Dan Butler

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1986-10-17

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	29	AAAPawtucket Red…	169	.308/.399/.452	3	101	—	.275/.339/.386
2017	30	AAAPawtucket Red…	266	.259/.341/.375	4	59	—	.212/.276/.300
2018	31	AAAPawtucket Red…	250	.212/.324/.340	6	35	—	.165/.243/.250

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	23	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	143	113	33	12	0	1	23	21	6	1	0	292	437	425	861	133	348	15	16	392	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A	Greenville Drive	—	244	214	70	18	3	6	20	44	9	0	0	327	407	523	931	196	388	18	8	410	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	76	66	14	5	0	0	9	11	1	0	0	212	316	288	604	76	255	14	12	284	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	369	312	77	20	0	11	45	56	7	4	1	247	354	417	771	170	264	15	12	343	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	64	48	15	1	0	1	13	7	3	0	0	312	484	396	880	83	350	11	20	413	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	83	73	17	5	0	3	9	20	0	0	0	233	317	425	742	192	275	24	11	326	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	285	247	62	14	2	6	31	42	7	0	0	251	351	397	748	146	281	15	11	339	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	INTL	Toros del Este	—	84	73	12	5	0	1	8	21	2	0	0	164	265	274	539	110	212	25	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	323	282	74	19	0	14	34	59	5	1	1	262	352	479	831	216	284	18	11	365	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	INTL	Toros del Este	—	38	36	6	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	167	189	194	384	28	188	11	3	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	20	19	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	250	368	618	158	286	25	5	273	56	-1	+0	-1	+6	+0	0.5
2014	27	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	325	286	69	19	0	4	29	71	5	0	0	241	322	350	672	108	301	22	9	302	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	325	282	64	20	1	1	32	65	6	0	0	227	319	316	634	89	288	20	10	290	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	169	146	45	12	0	3	20	34	2	0	0	308	399	452	851	144	385	20	12	380	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	266	232	60	15	0	4	27	48	2	0	0	259	341	375	716	116	304	18	10	320	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	250	212	45	9	0	6	31	44	4	0	0	212	324	340	664	127	238	18	12	303	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	20	19	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	250	368	618	158	286	25	5	273	71	-1	+0	-1	+6	+0	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	23	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	143	122	30	10	0	1	14	33	6	1	0	246	352	352	705	107	316	23	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	244	221	56	13	3	3	13	58	9	0	0	253	321	380	701	127	319	24	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	76	69	12	4	0	0	6	14	1	0	0	174	250	232	482	58	226	18	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	369	330	66	14	0	10	27	84	7	4	1	200	275	333	608	133	229	23	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	83	76	14	4	0	2	6	24	0	0	0	184	244	316	560	132	234	29	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	285	257	54	11	2	4	21	54	7	0	0	210	288	315	603	105	247	19	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	323	295	64	14	0	11	21	69	5	1	1	217	280	376	657	159	245	21	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	20	19	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	250	368	618	158	286	25	5	251	56	-1	+0	-1	+6	+0	0.5
2014	27	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	325	297	60	16	0	3	18	87	5	0	0	202	259	286	546	84	264	27	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	325	292	55	15	1	1	22	75	6	0	0	188	259	257	516	68	242	23	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	169	153	42	11	0	2	13	42	2	0	0	275	339	386	725	111	356	25	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	266	240	51	12	0	3	19	59	2	0	0	212	276	300	576	87	256	22	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	250	224	37	7	0	4	19	53	4	0	0	165	243	250	493	85	191	21	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	387	343	85	24	3	3	27	91	15	1	0	248	330	362	691	114	327	24	7	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	387	327	103	30	3	7	43	65	15	1	0	315	418	489	907	174	374	17	11	403	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	509	456	90	21	0	11	37	111	11	4	1	197	274	316	590	118	233	22	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	509	426	106	26	0	12	67	74	11	4	1	249	365	394	759	146	272	15	13	343	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	452	408	84	18	2	8	33	96	9	0	0	206	280	319	599	113	248	21	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	452	393	91	24	2	10	48	83	9	0	0	232	329	379	708	148	268	18	11	320	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	361	329	73	16	0	13	24	78	5	1	1	222	285	389	674	167	250	22	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	361	318	80	20	0	14	35	63	5	1	1	252	335	447	782	195	272	17	10	345	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	345	316	64	19	0	3	19	92	5	0	0	203	259	291	550	89	270	27	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	345	305	73	22	0	4	30	76	5	0	0	239	318	351	668	111	300	22	9	301	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	325	292	55	15	1	1	22	75	6	0	0	188	259	257	516	68	247	23	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA RAW	Syracuse Chiefs	—	325	282	64	20	1	1	32	65	6	0	0	227	319	316	634	89	288	20	10	290	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	169	153	42	11	0	2	13	42	2	0	0	275	339	386	725	111	367	25	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA RAW	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	169	146	45	12	0	3	20	34	2	0	0	308	399	452	851	144	385	20	12	380	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	266	240	51	12	0	3	19	59	2	0	0	212	276	300	576	87	264	22	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA RAW	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	266	232	60	15	0	4	27	48	2	0	0	259	341	375	716	116	304	18	10	320	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	250	224	37	7	0	4	19	53	4	0	0	165	243	250	493	85	195	21	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA RAW	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	250	212	45	9	0	6	31	44	4	0	0	212	324	340	664	127	238	18	12	303	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	387	342	85	24	3	3	27	91	15	1	0	249	330	363	692	114	318	24	7	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	509	456	90	21	0	11	37	111	11	4	1	197	274	316	590	118	228	22	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	452	407	84	18	2	8	33	96	9	0	0	206	280	319	599	113	244	21	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	361	329	73	16	0	13	24	78	5	1	1	222	285	389	674	167	245	22	7	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	345	318	64	19	0	3	19	92	5	0	0	201	259	289	548	88	265	27	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	325	294	55	15	1	1	22	75	6	0	0	187	259	255	514	68	242	23	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	169	152	42	11	0	2	13	42	2	0	0	276	339	388	727	112	356	25	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	266	243	51	12	0	3	19	59	2	0	0	210	276	296	572	86	256	22	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	250	225	37	7	0	4	19	53	4	0	0	164	243	249	492	84	191	21	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	20	19	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	250	368	618	158	286	25	5	273	65	-1	+0	-1	+6	+0	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	618	130	98	0	0	32	162	0	0	0	210	249	369	618	159	285	25	5	273	65	-23	+0	-29	+200	+14	16.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3064	2761	581	143	6	48	213	697	59	6	2	210	281	319	600	108	261	23	7	264	65	-1	+0	-1	+6	+0	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	122	30	1	10	45	148	13	1	0	208	280	314	593	106	259	23	7	264	65	-23	+0	-29	+200	+14	16.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 250 PAwOBA .298 → .220 (−78)K% 17.6% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.60%	÷0.994	×1.200	—	—	21.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.40%	÷1.082	×0.690	—	×0.952	7.53%
HBP% /PA	1.60%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	1.43%
Singles /BIP	17.86%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.957	×0.952	15.14%
Doubles /BIP	5.36%	÷1.067	×0.830	×0.957	×0.952	3.80%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.957	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷1.342	×0.840	—	×0.952	2.13%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 168, 1B 100, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .298 → .220; ISO .127 → .084; BABIP .238 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 266 PAwOBA .316 → .256 (−60)K% 18.0% → 22.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.05%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	21.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.15%	÷0.937	×0.690	—	×0.962	7.19%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.68%
Singles /BIP	22.28%	÷0.987	×0.930	×0.953	×0.962	19.26%
Doubles /BIP	8.15%	÷0.954	×0.830	×0.953	×0.962	6.50%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.953	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.17%	÷1.106	×0.840	—	×0.962	1.59%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .316 → .256; ISO .116 → .091; BABIP .304 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 169 PAwOBA .370 → .318 (−53)K% 20.1% → 24.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.12%	÷0.979	×1.200	—	—	24.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.83%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×0.972	7.88%
HBP% /PA	1.18%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.08%
Singles /BIP	26.79%	÷0.957	×0.930	×1.006	×0.972	25.43%
Doubles /BIP	10.71%	÷0.923	×0.830	×1.006	×0.972	9.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.912	×0.970	×1.006	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.68%	÷0.994	×0.840	—	×0.972	2.20%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 82, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .370 → .318; ISO .144 → .123; BABIP .385 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 325 PAwOBA .284 → .234 (−50)K% 20.0% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.043	×1.200	—	—	23.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.54%	÷0.938	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.89%
HBP% /PA	1.85%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.70%
Singles /BIP	19.35%	÷1.010	×0.930	×0.985	×0.982	17.24%
Doubles /BIP	9.22%	÷1.088	×0.830	×0.985	×0.982	6.80%
Triples /BIP	0.46%	÷0.947	×0.970	×0.985	×0.982	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	0.46%	÷1.183	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.32%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 109, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .284 → .234; ISO .089 → .068; BABIP .288 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 325 PAwOBA .299 → .243 (−56)K% 21.8% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.85%	÷0.980	×1.200	—	—	26.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.92%	÷1.084	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.63%
HBP% /PA	1.54%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.43%
Singles /BIP	21.40%	÷0.976	×0.930	×0.954	×0.992	19.29%
Doubles /BIP	8.84%	÷0.937	×0.830	×0.954	×0.992	7.41%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.104	×0.970	×0.954	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.86%	÷1.240	×0.840	—	×0.992	1.25%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 95, 2B 87, 3B 121, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .299 → .243; ISO .108 → .084; BABIP .301 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 323 PAwOBA .357 → .290 (−66)K% 18.3% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.27%	÷1.018	×1.200	—	—	21.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.22%	÷1.069	×0.690	—	×1.003	6.62%
HBP% /PA	1.55%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.46%
Singles /BIP	18.39%	÷0.964	×0.930	×0.966	×1.003	17.17%
Doubles /BIP	8.52%	÷1.083	×0.830	×0.966	×1.003	6.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.957	×0.970	×0.966	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.28%	÷1.068	×0.840	—	×1.003	4.95%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 93, 2B 117, 3B 91, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .357 → .290; ISO .216 → .171; BABIP .284 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 285 PAwOBA .331 → .266 (−64)K% 14.7% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.74%	÷0.958	×1.220	—	—	18.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.88%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×0.988	7.51%
HBP% /PA	2.46%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	2.06%
Singles /BIP	19.51%	÷1.007	×0.970	×0.982	×0.988	18.23%
Doubles /BIP	6.83%	÷1.095	×0.860	×0.982	×0.988	5.20%
Triples /BIP	0.98%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.982	×0.988	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	2.93%	÷1.098	×0.780	—	×0.988	2.05%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .331 → .266; ISO .146 → .107; BABIP .281 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 83 PAwOBA .317 → .248 (−69)K% 24.1% → 29.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.10%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	29.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.64%	÷0.974	×0.690	—	×1.018	6.95%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.98%	÷0.975	×0.930	×0.950	×1.018	15.66%
Doubles /BIP	9.43%	÷1.031	×0.830	×0.950	×1.018	7.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.982	×0.970	×0.950	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.66%	÷1.280	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.78%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .317 → .248; ISO .192 → .135; BABIP .275 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .