Andres Sosa — OGILVIE

Andres SosaC Naranjeros de Hermosillo

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 210 lbs INTL Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 175 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .264 / .263

PA14

HR0

K%32

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	19	16	3	0	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	188	278	188	465		300	37	5	218	34	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	24	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	273	208	47	20	1	5	45	60	16	6	0	226	401	404	805	178	288	22	16	366	134	+11	+1	—	—	+6	1.8
2023	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	148	127	29	11	0	1	13	37	5	2	1	228	324	339	663	110	311	25	9	300	89	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	25	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	92	74	19	2	0	1	11	12	6	1	0	257	396	324	720	68	290	13	12	339	116	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	25	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	116	96	20	3	0	2	18	24	2	3	0	208	345	302	647	94	257	21	16	307	94	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	26	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	208	173	35	7	1	4	25	63	9	1	0	202	333	324	657	121	292	30	12	307	94	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	26	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	25	20	4	0	0	0	3	6	2	0	0	200	360	200	560		286	24	12	287	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	27	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	33	28	5	3	0	0	4	9	1	0	0	179	303	286	589	107	263	27	12	278	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	19	16	3	0	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	188	278	188	465		286	47	5	192	16	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	24	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	273	226	36	12	1	4	27	84	16	6	0	159	294	274	568	115	212	31	10	255	59	-13	+1	—	—	+6	-0.6
2023	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	148	132	26	10	0	1	8	47	5	2	1	197	269	295	564	98	284	32	5	245	52	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	25	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	92	78	18	2	0	1	7	16	6	1	0	231	341	295	636	64	260	17	8	273	71	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	26	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	208	181	31	6	1	3	17	77	9	1	0	171	275	265	541	94	267	37	8	238	47	-13	+0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2021	23	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	19	16	3	0	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	188	278	188	465		375	47	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	19	16	3	0	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	188	278	188	465		300	37	5	218	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	273	226	36	12	1	4	27	84	16	6	0	159	294	274	568	115	227	31	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	273	208	47	20	1	5	45	60	16	6	0	226	401	404	805	178	288	22	16	366	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	356	317	64	17	0	2	22	93	13	6	1	202	281	274	556	73	277	26	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	356	297	68	16	0	4	42	73	13	6	1	229	349	323	673	94	288	21	12	312	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	233	201	34	6	1	3	20	86	11	1	0	169	280	254	534	85	277	37	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	233	193	39	7	1	4	28	69	11	1	0	202	336	311	647	109	292	30	12	305	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL MLE	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	33	28	5	3	0	0	4	9	1	0	0	179	303	286	589	107	263	27	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL RAW	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	33	28	5	3	0	0	4	9	1	0	0	179	303	286	589	107	263	27	12	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	19	17	3	0	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	176	278	176	454		286	47	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	273	228	36	12	1	4	27	84	16	6	0	158	294	272	566	114	212	31	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	356	318	64	17	0	2	22	93	13	6	1	201	281	274	555	72	275	26	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	233	200	34	6	1	3	20	86	11	1	0	170	280	255	535	85	267	37	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	356	318	64	17	0	2	22	93	13	6	1	201	281	274	555	72	275	26	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	233	200	34	6	1	3	20	86	11	1	0	170	280	255	535	85	267	37	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		264	29	7	247	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TOR	22%	209	185	35	7	1	3	17	65	5	3	1	189	275	286	562	97	266	31	8	253	58	-11	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.4
2028	30	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	264	234	45	9	1	4	22	81	6	3	1	192	279	291	569	98	267	31	8	256	59	-13	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	TOR	22%	45	40	8	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	200	289	325	614	125	268	31	9	238	58	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	90	81	14	3	0	1	7	28	2	1	0	173	256	247	502	74	269	31	8	241	59	-4	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	135	121	22	5	0	2	11	42	3	2	0	182	267	273	539	91	260	31	8	240	52	-7	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	106	24	0	10	53	202	14	10	0	182	266	274	541	93	259	31	8	240	52	-32	+2	-5	+12	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1401	1220	224	54	4	16	114	431	53	19	3	184	282	274	556	90	266	31	8	245	52	-24	+0	-3	+9	+11	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	104	25	2	7	53	200	25	9	1	184	283	272	555	88	267	31	8	245	52	-32	+1	-5	+12	+14	-1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	310	4	4	184	267	273	+6	+8	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	8	9	+11.9	+17.1	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andres Sosa (OGILVIE)	28	20	36	44	51	179/264/263	84	264	2	3	32%	8%	54	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	196/256/294	98	264	8	14	28%	7%	55	-1.9	194/262/280	86	289	7	11	33%	7%	55	-2.0	164/237/224	60	253	5	8	35%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Pat Cantwell 2018 · AAA	28	41	37→30	45→40	38	199/254/266	67	281	5	9	30%	5%	49	-2.4	227/300/335	108	316	10	10	29%	7%	82	-0.0	253/339/383	130	321	13	6	24%	8%	105	+0.4
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→44	40→45	47→50	44	190/253/273	83	247	8	12	26%	7%	50	-2.3	219/282/345	126	268	14	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	223/288/361	137	262	17	15	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	209/261/299	90	290	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	221/293/296	75	282	5	8	22%	7%	70	-0.8	211/292/243	32	271	0	2	20%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Joe Hudson 2019 · AAA	28	41	40→45	47→40	44	201/259/295	94	267	7	3	27%	7%	57	-1.8	196/251/311	115	284	13	4	34%	7%	57	-1.8	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→38	40	42→50	41	200/256/286	87	277	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	188/252/288	100	262	11	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	153/225/238	85	211	12	11	32%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	43→45	48→30	43	194/259/298	104	257	12	6	29%	7%	58	-1.7	211/261/323	112	273	12	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	207/251/312	105	265	11	1	25%	5%	55	-0.8
✕J.C. Boscan 2008 · AAA	28	43	37→40	44→30	47	203/275/270	67	279	5	6	28%	9%	57	-1.8	221/284/292	71	286	4	4	22%	7%	65	-1.2	222/282/286	64	286	4	2	22%	7%	60	-0.8
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	42→45	44→45	39	197/254/295	99	296	10	6	35%	7%	55	-1.9	198/255/294	96	327	9	8	39%	7%	55	-1.9	157/217/238	81	251	10	4	40%	6%	26	-0.8
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	40	39→30	47→45	44	193/264/277	83	278	6	8	31%	8%	55	-2.0	214/270/320	106	290	9	8	28%	7%	66	-1.1	200/250/316	115	268	9	0	28%	6%	58	-0.3
✕Jake Wald 2009 · AAA	28	42	40→45	50	41	201/262/298	97	283	7	10	30%	6%	59	-1.7	191/256/277	86	297	6	8	35%	7%	51	-2.2	163/232/229	66	262	5	5	37%	7%	30	-1.7
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	42	206/239/279	74	247	6	4	20%	4%	45	-2.7	232/274/337	105	271	11	6	18%	4%	72	-0.7	239/278/332	93	274	11	3	17%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Scott Burcham 2021 · AA	28	41	39→30	46→50	41	197/252/280	83	281	7	11	31%	6%	51	-2.3	205/249/297	92	329	7	8	38%	5%	53	-2.1	175/200/230	55	307	2	0	43%	3%	17	-1.0
✕Erick Castillo 2021 · AAA	28	44	40→30	48→30	42	212/261/299	87	266	7	7	23%	5%	58	-1.7	212/278/279	67	268	5	5	21%	6%	61	-1.5	198/267/228	29	252	1	0	20%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	37	42→45	47→30	44	184/253/289	105	259	9	5	32%	8%	54	-2.0	195/267/298	103	310	9	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps