Andres SosaC Naranjeros de Hermosillo
Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 210 lbs INTL Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 175 proj PA
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .260 / .258
PA175
HR2
K%33
BB%8
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +5.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.32627
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE51
scouting grade only
SPEED44
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202123 ADunedin Blue Jays — 1916 3000 191 00 188278188465 375 475 207 17 — — — — — —
202123 ADunedin Blue Jays — 1916 3000 171 00 188278188465 300 375 218 25 — — — — — —
202224 A+Vancouver Canadians — 273227 361015 268416 60 159290278567 119220 3110 250 50 — — — — — —
202224 A+Vancouver Canadians — 273208 472015 456016 60 226401404805 178288 2216 366 138 — — — — — —
202325 AA3 teams — 356318 631702 219913 61 198276270546 72279 286 250 50 — — — — — —
202325 AA3 teams — 356297 681604 427313 61 229349323673 94288 2112 312 97 — — — — — —
202426 AA2 teams — 233201 32613 209211 10 159272244515 85274 399 229 33 — — — — — —
202426 AA2 teams — 233193 39714 286911 10 202336311647 109292 3012 305 91 — — — — — —
202527 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo — 3328 5300 491 00 179303286589 107263 2712 — — — — — — — —
202527 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo — 3328 5300 491 00 179303286589 107263 2712 278 71 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202628 MLBTOR — 175155 28612 14584 31 181266271537 90265 338 243 44 -11 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729 MLBTOR 22% 209185 34713 17685 31 184271281552 97267 338 250 49 -12 +0 -1 +4 +6 -0.4
202729 MLBTOR 22% 4540 8201 4151 10 200289325614 125268 339 234 37 -3 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 4540 8201 4151 10 200289325614 125292 339 234 37 -3 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— — 650578 11529014 5821714 140 199288322609 123291 339 234 37 -46 +3 -4 +12 +18 -1.8
Career— — 12981130 20149415 10341951 193 178276268545 90264 328 238 41 -87 +3 -1 +23 +37 -2.6
/ 162G— — 650566 1022528 5221026 102 180280274554 94267 328 238 41 -44 +1 -1 +12 +18 -1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202123 ADunedin Blue Jays — 1916 3000 171 00 188278188465 300 375 218 25 -2 +0 — — +1 -0.1
202224 A+Vancouver Canadians — 273208 472015 456016 60 226401404805 178288 2216 366 138 +12 +1 — — +8 2.1
202325 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 148127 291101 13375 21 228324339663 110311 259 300 87 -2 +0 — — +4 0.2
202325 A+Vancouver Canadians — 9274 19201 11126 10 257396324720 68290 1312 339 118 +2 +0 — — +3 0.5
202325 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo — 11696 20302 18242 30 208345302647 94257 2116 307 93 -1 +1 — — +3 0.3
202426 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 208173 35714 25639 10 202333324657 121292 3012 307 93 -2 +0 — — +6 0.5
202426 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo — 2520 4000 362 00 200360200560 286 2412 287 78 -1 +0 — — +1 0.0
202527 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo — 3328 5300 491 00 179303286589 107263 2712 278 71 -1 +0 — — +1 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20
career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA
153,0035312194253300+54+13611.310.9
/162664123+11.9+30.12.5pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
122033179261264+4+4-0.4-0.2
/162664810+11.9+12.1-1.1pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Andres Sosa (OGILVIE) 28 20 36 44 51 175/260/258 83265 23 33% 8% 44 -0.6 ————————— —————————
✕Chris Rabago
2021 · AAA 		28 39 41→40 49→55 43 192/252/288 96264 814 30% 7% 46 -2.0 189/256/275 86286 811 34% 7% 45 -2.1 154/227/217622416836%7%15-1.2
✕Jason Delay
2023 · MLB 		28 41 39→45 42→40 39 200/246/285 85278 65 30% 5% 43 -2.2 222/278/307 85291 55 24% 6% 62 -0.9 216/271/282672813223%6%50-0.6
✕Joe Hudson
2019 · AAA 		28 40 40→45 47→40 43 197/251/291 95263 73 27% 6% 47 -1.9 194/246/311 117283 134 35% 6% 50 -1.7 184/288/33314926521837%11%73-0.0
✕Roberto Baldoquin
2022 · AA 		28 42 40→30 48→45 38 203/255/293 90292 79 32% 5% 49 -1.8 218/289/294 76280 58 22% 7% 64 -0.8 205/285/239342670221%7%45-0.8
✕Pat Cantwell
2018 · AAA 		28 42 37→30 45→40 38 200/254/268 68282 59 30% 5% 42 -2.3 228/300/342 114318 1110 30% 7% 82 +0.5 257/346/40414732516624%9%114+0.7
✕Connor Justus
2021 · AA 		26 35→37 37→40 43→45 42 172/248/244 72250 58 31% 7% 35 -2.8 192/256/268 76294 67 34% 7% 43 -2.2 166/232/217512613335%7%17-2.1
✕J.C. Boscan
2008 · AAA 		28 42 37→40 44→30 47 202/273/271 69281 66 28% 8% 51 -1.7 219/282/293 74286 54 23% 7% 60 -1.0 219/280/288692855223%7%55-0.7
✕Matt Whatley
2023 · AAA 		27 40→36 41→40 42→50 40 201/255/292 91279 109 31% 6% 49 -1.8 189/252/290 101263 1211 31% 6% 47 -1.9 154/225/24086212121133%7%22-1.3
✕Jake Wald
2009 · AAA 		28 41→42 40→45 50 40 200/260/299 99284 710 31% 6% 53 -1.5 189/254/275 86299 78 36% 7% 44 -2.1 161/230/226652645538%7%19-1.7
✕Yadiel Rivera
2019 · MLB 		27 37→47 38→45 46→50 39 184/239/256 72270 68 33% 6% 33 -2.9 217/255/317 100318 1117 34% 4% 54 -1.4 222/246/32299331132336%3%49-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton
2022 · AAA 		27 35 44→45 47→45 44 179/260/291 112277 129 38% 10% 52 -1.6 180/266/322 142275 196 39% 10% 63 -0.8 145/239/28213720521340%10%39-0.8
✕Scott Burcham
2021 · AA 		28 39 39→30 46→50 39 192/245/272 80277 711 32% 6% 40 -2.4 200/243/290 90328 88 39% 5% 43 -2.2 157/181/209522852045%3%-7-1.2
✕Chandler Seagle
2023 · AA 		27 41 40 44→45 37 199/255/289 91295 85 34% 6% 49 -1.8 179/226/256 77302 67 41% 5% 27 -3.3 143/184/197542573444%3%-9-1.7
✕Micah Gibbs
2015 · AA 		27 40 39→30 47→45 44 194/263/277 83281 68 31% 8% 49 -1.8 214/268/321 107292 98 28% 7% 62 -0.9 198/244/31912126311028%6%50-0.3
✕Tim Smalling
2016 · AAA 		28 43→42 38→40 45 41 208/254/286 78263 610 23% 5% 46 -2.0 207/248/285 78259 78 22% 4% 43 -2.2 186/217/223382304021%3%10-1.9
✕Erick Castillo
2021 · AAA 		28 43 40→30 48→30 41 211/259/300 88267 87 24% 5% 53 -1.5 212/276/280 68268 55 22% 5% 55 -1.4 199/267/230312532020%5%36-0.7
✕Ali Solis
2017 · AAA 		29 35 38→45 42→30 35 177/207/248 71239 64 29% 3% 16 -4.1 201/236/313 112282 126 32% 4% 46 -2.0 198/233/33713926618333%4%47-0.9
✕Trent Giambrone
2022 · AAA 		28 35→41 43→50 48→55 41 179/241/285 105253 1113 33% 7% 42 -2.3 189/249/278 89270 815 31% 7% 43 -2.2 160/223/2246523051931%6%16-2.0
✕Alberto Rosario
2015 · AAA 		28 43 40 45→50 39 211/255/294 83279 87 27% 4% 49 -1.8 211/251/281 70261 45 20% 4% 43 -2.2 225/259/263382812320%4%39-0.8
✕Errol Robinson
2022 · AAA 		27 41→47 38→40 47→55 43 194/261/270 76292 613 34% 8% 46 -2.0 208/279/278 70327 520 34% 8% 56 -1.3 204/277/2555131732633%8%45-0.7