Miguel Amaya — OGILVIE

Miguel AmayaC Chicago Cubs

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs MLB Svc 2.756S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION158 act + 107 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 2551vR 118

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .321 / .383

PA107

HR3

K%21

BB%8

BABIP275

ISO149

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

748.5%

xwOBA

430.300

POWER40

Barrel%

285.4

Avg EV

3087.6

Bat Spd

2068.1

EYE40

Chase%

6728.4%

SPEED40

Sprint

1025.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 517 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

135

382

—

wRC+

105

▶▶R

wOBA

236

323

▶▶R

ISO

099

155

▶▶R

BABIP

214

298

▶▶R

18.5%

18.8%

—

BB%

6.7%

6.3%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.756 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.5	$2M	+$2M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.6M
2029	Arb-4	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	242	216	41	9	0	1	13	39	11	9	3	190	271	245	516	56	226	16	5	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	242	208	51	12	0	1	21	27	11	9	3	245	346	317	663	72	276	11	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	479	431	92	14	2	12	33	123	11	1	0	213	286	339	625	125	267	26	7	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	479	414	106	21	2	12	50	91	11	1	0	256	352	403	755	147	298	19	10	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	2 teams	—	465	413	84	23	0	12	36	109	10	2	0	203	283	346	629	143	242	23	8	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	2 teams	—	465	390	91	27	0	11	59	81	10	2	0	233	349	387	736	154	263	17	13	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	38	23	6	2	0	2	8	3	7	0	0	261	553	609	1.161	348	222	8	21	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	38	23	6	2	0	2	8	3	7	0	0	261	553	609	1.161	348	222	8	21	507	246	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	106	87	16	3	0	1	13	29	5	2	0	184	324	253	577	69	259	27	12	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	106	79	17	4	0	1	21	22	5	2	0	215	410	304	713	89	281	21	20	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	160	140	31	6	1	5	15	59	3	0	0	221	310	386	696	164	333	37	9	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	160	134	35	6	1	6	21	41	3	0	0	261	373	455	829	194	326	26	13	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	272	230	51	12	0	9	24	78	15	1	0	222	335	391	726	170	290	29	9	323	106	+2	+0	+4	+5	+8	1.8
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	272	223	55	14	0	10	31	71	15	1	0	247	375	444	819	197	312	26	11	366	138	+12	+0	+4	+5	+8	2.9
2024	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	363	328	76	13	2	8	23	62	4	0	0	232	290	357	647	125	261	17	6	279	72	-11	+0	+4	+6	+10	1.0
2024	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	363	328	76	13	2	8	23	62	4	0	0	232	290	357	647	125	261	17	6	285	76	-10	+0	+4	+6	+10	1.2
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	148	138	35	9	0	4	6	31	1	0	0	254	290	406	695	152	295	21	4	299	87	-2	+0	+2	+3	+4	0.7
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	148	137	35	9	0	4	7	29	1	0	0	255	297	409	705	153	292	20	5	307	93	-1	+0	+2	+3	+4	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	CHC	—	158	132	30	7	0	3	18	36	7	0	0	227	350	348	699	121	290	23	11	319	103	+0	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.9
YTD	27	MLB	CHC	—	158	131	30	7	0	3	18	36	7	0	0	229	350	351	701	122	293	23	11	323	105	+1	+0	+1	+3	+4	1.0
ROS	27	MLB	CHC	100%	107	94	22	5	0	3	9	23	3	0	0	234	321	383	704	149	268	21	8	301	89	-1	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
ROS	27	MLB	CHC	100%	107	94	22	5	0	3	9	23	3	0	0	234	321	383	704	149	269	21	8	284	76	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
FULL	27	MLB	CHC	—	265	226	52	12	0	6	27	59	10	0	0	230	338	363	701	133	284	22	10	305	92	-2	+0	+1	+5	+8	1.1
TOT	27	MLB	CHC	—	265	226	52	12	0	6	27	59	10	0	0	230	338	363	701	133	284	22	10	312	97	-1	+0	+1	+5	+8	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CHC	82%	333	295	66	14	1	8	27	73	8	1	0	224	306	359	665	136	267	22	8	300	88	-5	+0	-1	+6	+9	1.0
2028	29	MLB	CHC	82%	348	307	69	15	1	8	29	77	9	1	0	225	310	358	668	134	266	22	8	298	86	-5	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.9
2029	30	MLB	CHC	82%	358	317	70	15	1	8	29	80	9	1	0	221	304	350	654	129	265	22	8	295	84	-6	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.8
2030	31	MLB	CHC	82%	333	295	63	13	1	7	27	75	8	1	0	214	297	336	633	122	262	23	8	291	81	-7	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.5
2031	32	MLB	CHC	82%	305	270	57	12	1	6	25	70	7	1	0	211	295	330	624	119	258	23	8	285	76	-8	+0	-4	+5	+9	0.2
2032	33	MLB	CHC	82%	268	238	48	10	0	5	22	63	6	0	0	202	286	307	592	105	253	24	8	277	70	-9	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	CHC	82%	273	242	55	12	1	7	22	60	7	1	0	227	310	372	682	145	269	22	8	283	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2028	29	MLB	CHC	82%	285	253	57	12	1	7	23	63	7	1	0	225	307	364	671	138	268	22	8	282	74	-8	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.3
2029	30	MLB	CHC	82%	294	261	58	12	1	7	24	65	7	1	0	222	305	356	661	134	266	22	8	279	72	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2030	31	MLB	CHC	82%	273	242	53	11	1	6	22	62	7	1	0	219	303	347	650	128	263	23	8	274	68	-10	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.0
2031	32	MLB	CHC	82%	250	222	46	10	0	5	20	57	6	0	0	207	290	320	610	113	259	23	8	268	64	-10	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.2
2032	33	MLB	CHC	82%	220	195	39	8	0	4	18	52	5	0	0	200	284	303	587	103	254	24	8	261	58	-11	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2324	2064	461	96	6	56	177	506	58	4	0	223	303	357	660	134	268	22	8	283	75	-66	+1	-6	+44	+66	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	130	27	2	16	50	142	16	1	0	225	305	362	667	137	270	22	8	283	75	-18	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	4325	3822	827	175	10	99	339	994	117	20	3	216	300	345	645	129	264	23	8	284	75	-121	+3	-9	+77	+123	7.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	125	26	2	15	51	149	18	3	0	218	302	348	650	131	265	23	8	284	75	-18	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	242	208	51	12	0	1	21	27	11	9	3	245	346	317	663	72	276	11	9	308	94	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2018	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	479	414	106	21	2	12	50	91	11	1	0	256	352	403	755	147	298	19	10	339	118	+10	+0	—	—	+14	2.4
2019	20	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	410	341	80	24	0	11	54	69	10	2	0	235	356	402	757	167	259	17	13	340	118	+9	+0	—	—	+12	2.1
2019	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	55	49	11	3	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	224	296	286	582	61	289	22	9	265	61	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2020	21	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	38	23	6	2	0	2	8	3	7	0	0	261	553	609	1.161	348	222	8	21	507	246	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2021	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	106	79	17	4	0	1	21	22	5	2	0	215	410	304	713	89	281	21	20	343	121	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	116	97	27	6	1	4	14	28	3	0	0	278	386	485	871	206	343	24	12	380	149	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	23	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	44	37	8	0	0	2	7	13	0	0	0	216	341	378	719	162	273	30	16	329	110	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	156	131	28	4	0	5	12	40	11	0	0	214	331	359	690	145	264	26	8	315	99	-0	+0	+4	+5	+4	1.3
2023	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	60	48	15	5	0	1	11	14	1	0	0	312	450	479	929	167	424	23	18	418	178	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	56	44	12	5	0	4	8	17	3	1	0	273	418	659	1.077	386	333	30	14	451	203	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	363	328	76	13	2	8	23	62	4	0	0	232	290	357	647	125	261	17	6	285	76	-10	+0	+4	+6	+10	1.2
2025	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	103	96	27	9	0	4	4	22	1	0	0	281	317	500	817	219	324	21	4	350	126	+3	+0	+2	+3	+3	1.1
2025	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	45	41	8	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	195	250	195	445		229	16	7	207	17	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	622	555	131	26	2	17	39	124	16	0	0	236	305	382	687	146	272	20	6	304	90	-7	+0	+10	+14	+18	3.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Henry Blancolast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 2,779 PA	14	2,779	65	5	221	284	359	+27	+49	8.6	9.6
	/162	664	16	1	221	284	359	+6.6	+11.7	2.1	pk7: 11
#3Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	2,640	62	5	223	300	355	+47	+29	7.4	6.5
	/162	664	16	1	223	300	355	+11.9	+7.3	1.9	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Amaya (OGILVIE)	27	50	40	40	40	230/338/363	133	284	6	0	22%	10%	97	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Plawecki 2019 · MLB	28	47→56	47→45	43→30	50	233/311/369	136	275	14	3	20%	8%	93	+1.3	245/315/376	131	289	12	5	19%	7%	96	+1.5	235/301/328	92	275	8	0	17%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Pedro Severino 2020 · MLB	27	43→48	47→50	46→45	47	222/284/353	131	259	16	5	22%	7%	78	+0.2	240/304/379	139	298	16	5	24%	8%	92	+1.2	246/308/377	131	314	15	3	25%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Josmil Pinto 2016 · MLB	27	47→57	49→55	39→40	48	239/302/385	147	282	17	2	22%	8%	93	+1.3	222/271/359	137	287	16	5	28%	6%	73	-0.1	213/255/350	137	280	16	0	30%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	50	42→40	43	209/294/364	155	295	17	3	34%	8%	85	+0.7	225/296/383	158	313	17	4	32%	7%	91	+1.1	219/289/370	151	311	17	2	33%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Wyatt Toregas 2010 · MLB	27	45→40	47→50	43→40	45	226/279/354	127	260	15	4	20%	6%	76	+0.0	207/258/318	111	251	12	6	22%	5%	57	-1.2	171/215/269	98	187	13	0	18%	4%	27	-0.7
✕Andrew Knizner 2023 · MLB	28	45	41→50	41→40	52	216/301/311	96	265	9	3	21%	9%	75	-0.0	225/292/348	123	277	14	5	23%	7%	79	+0.3	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Tucker Barnhart 2019 · MLB	28	51→54	44→45	40	55	248/325/372	123	289	11	3	18%	10%	98	+1.6	236/318/373	137	289	15	3	22%	10%	97	+1.5	228/313/361	133	287	15	1	24%	10%	86	+0.4
✕Austin Romine 2017 · MLB	28	47→53	45	45	42	234/269/358	124	270	12	4	19%	4%	72	-0.2	235/281/361	126	287	14	4	22%	6%	78	+0.2	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
✕Jordy Mercer 2014 · MLB	27	52→59	47→50	43→45	46	257/309/399	141	302	13	8	19%	6%	99	+1.7	253/307/373	120	293	11	5	17%	7%	92	+1.2	254/324/387	133	291	12	1	16%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Héctor Sánchez 2017 · MLB	27	42→50	50	44→30	42	222/272/376	154	269	19	3	25%	6%	79	+0.3	229/276/393	164	283	21	5	27%	6%	85	+0.7	219/250/433	213	254	34	0	30%	4%	80	+0.1
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→47	52→55	46→30	44	238/295/399	161	303	20	3	28%	7%	94	+1.3	232/286/372	140	298	15	4	26%	6%	83	+0.6	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Bruce Maxwell 2017 · MLB	26	49→48	44→45	43→30	46	243/296/361	118	302	12	3	24%	7%	84	+0.6	238/301/366	128	308	13	3	25%	8%	88	+0.9	232/300/364	131	297	15	0	26%	9%	84	+0.4
✕Elias Díaz 2019 · MLB	28	53→56	45→50	45	47	260/305/382	122	295	13	5	17%	6%	93	+1.3	243/298/361	118	279	12	3	17%	7%	85	+0.7	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Michael McKenry 2013 · MLB	28	44→47	50→55	43→40	47	225/294/378	153	281	17	3	26%	8%	88	+0.9	236/310/392	156	288	18	6	23%	9%	98	+1.6	228/310/373	145	276	16	5	23%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	45	47→30	44	235/285/349	114	286	14	3	23%	6%	76	+0.1	223/276/327	104	271	13	4	22%	6%	66	-0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
●James McCann 2017 · MLB	27	49→56	47→50	43→45	41	243/288/376	133	304	15	3	25%	5%	85	+0.7	247/302/394	147	311	18	3	25%	6%	95	+1.4	252/308/402	150	319	18	2	26%	6%	98	+1.2
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	42→50	46	248/303/377	129	294	12	6	20%	6%	91	+1.1	227/295/337	110	264	9	7	17%	7%	78	+0.2	268/338/369	101	310	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕J.R. Towles 2010 · MLB	26	44→53	47→50	45→50	47	222/301/361	139	260	15	9	21%	7%	88	+0.9	211/291/332	121	248	11	8	19%	7%	76	+0.0	199/280/301	102	229	8	5	16%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	49→52	45→50	46→50	43	243/289/369	125	298	12	7	22%	6%	82	+0.5	234/284/344	110	297	10	6	24%	6%	74	-0.1	225/277/323	98	284	9	5	23%	6%	63	-0.5