Miguel Amaya — OGILVIE

Miguel AmayaC Chicago Cubs

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs MLB BB +5%HR -4% Svc 2.756S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.3 · 2026

wRC+†vL 2284vR 113

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .285 / .359

PA287

HR8

K%20

BB%6

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

40→40

SPD

40→40

EYE

44↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.756 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$10M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.2	$10M	+$8M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.0	$8M	+$5M
2029	Arb-4	$4M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$10M		$33M	+$22M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	242	216	41	9	0	1	13	39	11	9	3	.190	.271	.245	.516	.056	.226	16	5	.227	32	-19	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.7
2018	19	A	South Bend Cubs	479	431	93	15	2	11	33	115	11	1	0	.216	.288	.336	.625	.121	.265	24	7	.276	69	-17	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.6
2019	20	A+	2 teams	465	412	81	22	0	12	37	110	10	2	0	.197	.279	.337	.616	.141	.233	24	8	.273	67	-17	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.5
2020	21	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	38	23	6	2	0	2	8	3	7	0	0	.261	.553	.609	1.161	.348	.222	8	21	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
2021	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	106	87	17	4	0	1	13	29	5	2	0	.195	.333	.276	.609	.080	.276	27	12	.274	68	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2022	23	AA	2 teams	160	141	31	6	1	5	14	57	3	0	0	.220	.304	.383	.687	.163	.321	36	9	.291	81	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	272	230	52	12	0	9	24	78	15	1	0	.226	.338	.396	.734	.170	.297	29	9	.329	110	+3	+0	+4	+5	+8	2.0
2024	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	363	328	78	14	2	8	23	62	4	0	0	.238	.296	.366	.662	.128	.268	17	6	.288	79	-9	+0	+4	+6	+10	1.3
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	148	138	35	9	0	4	6	31	1	0	0	.254	.290	.406	.695	.152	.295	21	4	.300	88	-2	+0	+2	+3	+4	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	51	44	10	1	0	1	6	13	1	0	0	.227	.333	.318	.652	.091	.300	25	12	.301	89	-1	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	27	MLB	CHC	236	212	47	9	1	6	17	49	5	1	0	.222	.295	.358	.653	.137	.260	21	7	.293	82	-5	+0	+3	+4	+7	1.0
TOT	27	MLB	CHC	287	256	57	10	1	7	23	62	6	1	0	.223	.302	.352	.653	.129	.266	22	8	.295	84	-5	+0	+4	+5	+8	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	CHC	338	304	68	13	1	9	24	62	7	1	0	.224	.296	.362	.657	.138	.249	18	7	.292	82	-7	+0	+4	+6	+10	1.3
2028	29	MLB	CHC	351	316	70	14	1	9	25	65	7	0	0	.222	.293	.358	.651	.136	.248	19	7	.290	80	-8	+0	+3	+6	+10	1.2
2029	30	MLB	CHC	360	324	71	14	1	9	26	68	7	0	0	.219	.291	.352	.643	.133	.246	19	7	.287	78	-9	+0	+2	+6	+10	1.0
2030	31	MLB	CHC	335	302	65	13	1	8	24	65	6	0	0	.215	.286	.344	.631	.129	.245	19	7	.283	75	-10	+0	+1	+6	+9	0.8
2031	32	MLB	CHC	306	275	58	11	1	7	22	61	6	0	0	.211	.284	.335	.618	.124	.243	20	7	.278	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2032	33	MLB	CHC	269	243	51	10	1	6	19	55	5	0	0	.210	.281	.333	.614	.123	.242	20	7	.273	67	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2033	34	MLB	CHC	223	201	40	8	0	4	16	48	4	0	0	.199	.271	.299	.570	.100	.240	22	7	.266	62	-10	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4691	4183	904	185	12	111	344	997	114	17	3	.216	.293	.346	.639	.130	.255	21	7	.280	72	-146	+2	+21	+84	+133	9.6
/ 162G	—			650	580	126	26	2	15	48	138	16	2	0	.217	.295	.347	.642	.129	.257	21	7	.280	72	-20	+0	+3	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	242	208	51	12	0	1	21	27	11	9	3	.245	.346	.317	.663	.072	.276	11	9	.308	94	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2018	19	A	South Bend Cubs	479	414	106	21	2	12	50	91	11	1	0	.256	.352	.403	.755	.147	.298	19	10	.339	118	+10	+0	—	—	+14	2.4
2019	20	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	410	341	80	24	0	11	54	69	10	2	0	.235	.356	.402	.757	.167	.259	17	13	.340	118	+9	+0	—	—	+12	2.1
2019	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	55	49	11	3	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	.224	.296	.286	.582	.061	.289	22	9	.265	61	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2020	21	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	38	23	6	2	0	2	8	3	7	0	0	.261	.553	.609	1.161	.348	.222	8	21	.507	246	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2021	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	106	79	17	4	0	1	21	22	5	2	0	.215	.410	.304	.713	.089	.281	21	20	.343	121	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	116	97	27	6	1	4	14	28	3	0	0	.278	.386	.485	.871	.206	.343	24	12	.380	149	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	23	ROK	ACL Cubs	44	37	8	0	0	2	7	13	0	0	0	.216	.341	.378	.719	.162	.273	30	16	.329	110	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	156	131	28	4	0	5	12	40	11	0	0	.214	.331	.359	.690	.145	.264	26	8	.315	99	-0	+0	+4	+5	+4	1.3
2023	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	60	48	15	5	0	1	11	14	1	0	0	.312	.450	.479	.929	.167	.424	23	18	.418	178	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	56	44	12	5	0	4	8	17	3	1	0	.273	.418	.659	1.077	.386	.333	30	14	.451	203	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	363	328	76	13	2	8	23	62	4	0	0	.232	.290	.357	.647	.125	.261	17	6	.285	76	-10	+0	+4	+6	+10	1.2
2025	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	103	96	27	9	0	4	4	22	1	0	0	.281	.317	.500	.817	.219	.324	21	4	.350	126	+3	+0	+2	+3	+3	1.1
2025	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	45	41	8	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	.195	.250	.195	.445	.000	.229	16	7	.207	17	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			622	555	131	26	2	17	39	124	16	0	0	.236	.305	.382	.687	.146	.272	20	6	.304	90	-7	+0	+10	+14	+18	3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Amaya (OGILVIE)	27	50	40	40	40	.221/.291/.357	.135	.249	7	1	18%	7%	82	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2020 · MLB	27	44→50	47→50	46→45	47	.223/.283/.350	.127	.263	15	5	22%	7%	76	+0.1	.244/.307/.382	.138	.303	16	5	24%	8%	95	+1.4	.251/.313/.380	.128	.321	15	3	25%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Wyatt Toregas 2010 · MLB	27	45→38	46→45	43→40	45	.227/.280/.352	.125	.260	15	4	20%	6%	75	-0.0	.209/.260/.321	.112	.251	12	5	22%	5%	59	-1.1	.175/.219/.272	.098	.192	13	0	18%	4%	29	-0.6
✕Phillip Evans 2020 · MLB	27	45→55	46→45	40	47	.225/.287/.354	.129	.261	14	5	20%	7%	79	+0.3	.225/.295/.345	.120	.266	13	5	20%	8%	80	+0.4	.228/.303/.320	.092	.272	9	2	19%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Caleb Joseph 2013 · AAA	27	45→50	44→50	43→40	45	.223/.275/.340	.116	.262	12	5	20%	6%	69	-0.4	.234/.277/.377	.143	.279	16	4	22%	5%	80	+0.4	.233/.277/.380	.147	.275	17	1	22%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	45→50	49→40	49	.215/.292/.335	.120	.252	13	6	20%	8%	76	+0.1	.217/.288/.330	.113	.269	12	4	23%	8%	73	-0.1	.225/.294/.342	.116	.277	13	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Josmil Pinto 2016 · MLB	27	48→58	49→55	38→40	49	.244/.308/.391	.147	.290	17	2	22%	8%	97	+1.5	.227/.278/.364	.137	.291	15	4	27%	6%	77	+0.1	.230/.273/.370	.140	.300	16	0	28%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Rob Johnson 2010 · MLB	28	48→52	41→45	41→50	47	.233/.286/.338	.104	.277	8	7	19%	6%	73	-0.1	.214/.284/.322	.108	.268	9	6	22%	8%	69	-0.4	.196/.269/.293	.097	.245	8	5	22%	8%	50	-0.7
✕Francisco Cordoba 2011 · AAA	27	46→53	45	41→40	50	.229/.301/.353	.125	.277	13	7	22%	9%	85	+0.7	.227/.278/.349	.122	.287	14	6	25%	6%	73	-0.1	.245/.293/.365	.120	.298	16	1	23%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Jordy Mercer 2014 · MLB	27	51→58	47→50	43→45	45	.251/.302/.392	.142	.291	14	8	19%	6%	95	+1.4	.252/.305/.376	.124	.291	12	5	17%	7%	92	+1.2	.250/.320/.384	.135	.284	13	1	16%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Jeff Baisley 2009 · MLB	26	46→50	47→50	46→40	46	.230/.284/.367	.137	.269	14	4	21%	6%	81	+0.4	.224/.273/.346	.122	.280	12	4	24%	5%	71	-0.3	.236/.284/.369	.133	.283	14	3	22%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	42	50	43→40	43	.209/.295/.363	.155	.298	17	4	34%	8%	86	+0.8	.225/.297/.384	.159	.313	17	4	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.221/.291/.378	.157	.312	18	2	33%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	45→49	52→55	44→30	46	.235/.294/.401	.166	.288	20	3	26%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.287/.380	.148	.304	18	3	28%	7%	85	+0.7	.223/.277/.353	.130	.278	13	2	24%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Sean Ochinko 2015 · AAA	27	44→54	43→50	41→30	43	.218/.265/.331	.113	.261	11	4	21%	5%	63	-0.9	.224/.260/.324	.100	.253	9	6	15%	5%	59	-1.1	.233/.257/.312	.079	.256	4	0	11%	3%	50	-0.7
✕Donny Sands 2022 · AAA	26	43	48→45	44→40	44	.222/.271/.363	.141	.259	17	5	22%	6%	75	-0.0	.231/.291/.350	.119	.288	13	4	23%	8%	79	+0.3	.225/.294/.323	.098	.291	9	2	24%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Héctor Sánchez 2017 · MLB	27	42→49	51→50	43→30	42	.223/.272/.377	.154	.268	19	3	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.227/.275/.397	.170	.278	23	5	27%	6%	85	+0.7	.213/.243/.426	.213	.244	35	0	30%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Damek Tomscha 2019 · AAA	27	50→57	45	45→40	45	.249/.301/.368	.119	.286	13	4	18%	5%	89	+0.9	.221/.275/.344	.123	.281	14	4	26%	5%	71	-0.3	.193/.251/.312	.119	.258	14	2	30%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Rio Ruiz 2021 · MLB	27	46→52	48→50	41→40	48	.233/.290/.375	.142	.275	16	3	22%	8%	85	+0.7	.223/.283/.364	.141	.271	15	8	23%	7%	80	+0.4	.207/.266/.327	.119	.256	11	7	23%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Xorge Carrillo 2016 · AAA	27	48	42→40	42→30	44	.236/.293/.335	.099	.278	10	3	19%	5%	76	+0.1	.224/.277/.320	.096	.278	10	3	22%	5%	66	-0.6	.231/.284/.323	.092	.283	10	1	21%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	52→58	46→50	46→50	43	.257/.301/.389	.133	.310	13	7	22%	6%	93	+1.3	.241/.289/.355	.114	.306	11	6	24%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.276/.324	.098	.285	9	5	23%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Dan Butler 2014 · AAA	27	42→39	47→45	45→40	47	.215/.281/.350	.136	.253	15	4	22%	7%	76	+0.0	.213/.275/.318	.105	.275	8	3	24%	7%	64	-0.8	.214/.284/.310	.095	.269	9	0	22%	8%	63	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)