Tony Sanchez

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1988-05-20

Age (2027)39

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	29	AAALAA	284	.272/.359/.374	4	1	72	—	.238/.304/.317
2018	30	AAATEX	247	.298/.352/.453	7	0	80	—	.248/.291/.361
2019	31	AATEX	256	.246/.320/.346	4	0	40	—	.188/.249/.248

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	21	A	West Virginia Power	—	188	155	49	15	1	7	21	34	8	1	0	316	424	561	985	245	356	18	11	423	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	250	207	65	17	0	4	28	41	11	2	1	314	423	454	877	140	367	16	11	390	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	76	68	14	1	0	4	7	21	1	0	0	206	289	397	687	191	233	28	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	469	402	97	14	1	5	47	76	14	5	5	241	341	318	660	77	285	16	10	304	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	236	206	48	12	0	8	23	46	3	0	0	233	319	408	727	175	260	19	10	321	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	162	141	39	14	1	0	18	33	3	1	1	277	370	390	760	113	361	20	11	346	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	66	60	14	4	0	2	3	14	2	0	0	233	292	400	692	167	267	21	5	305	94	-0	+0	+2	+7	+1	1.0
2013	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	296	260	75	26	0	10	28	60	6	0	0	288	371	504	875	215	339	20	9	383	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	214	18	0	182	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	80	75	20	1	0	2	3	28	1	0	0	267	304	360	664	93	391	35	4	296	89	-1	+0	+0	+8	+2	0.9
2014	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	313	268	63	17	0	11	38	76	4	0	0	235	339	422	760	187	284	24	12	338	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	INTL	Toros del Este	—	36	30	3	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	100	182	133	315	33	115	14	8	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	371	313	74	20	2	3	45	65	8	4	3	236	347	342	689	105	284	18	12	315	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	228	199	40	8	0	5	25	43	3	0	0	201	300	317	616	116	230	19	11	284	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	284	243	66	13	0	4	29	61	4	1	3	272	359	374	733	103	343	21	10	326	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	247	225	67	12	1	7	17	57	2	0	0	298	352	453	806	156	368	23	7	354	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	256	228	56	11	0	4	16	55	9	0	0	246	320	346	667	101	302	21	6	302	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	146	135	34	5	0	4	6	42	3	0	0	252	299	378	676	126	330	29	4	300	89	-2	+0	+2	+14	+3	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	188	163	45	13	1	6	13	45	8	1	0	276	359	479	837	202	318	24	7	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	250	216	56	15	0	3	19	59	11	2	1	259	350	370	720	111	329	24	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	469	413	101	14	1	4	36	95	14	5	5	245	326	312	638	68	298	20	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	236	213	47	12	0	7	16	55	3	0	0	221	284	376	660	155	249	23	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	162	146	36	11	1	0	13	41	3	1	1	247	321	336	657	89	335	25	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	66	60	14	4	0	2	3	14	2	0	0	233	292	400	692	167	267	21	5	307	94	-0	+0	+2	+7	+1	1.0
2013	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	296	270	69	23	0	9	18	79	6	0	0	256	316	441	757	185	325	27	6	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	204	24	0	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	80	75	20	1	0	2	3	28	1	0	0	267	304	360	664	93	391	35	4	300	89	-1	+0	+0	+8	+2	0.9
2014	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	313	278	56	15	0	11	28	94	4	0	0	201	284	374	658	173	255	30	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	371	331	64	16	2	3	27	80	8	4	3	193	270	281	551	88	237	22	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	228	208	37	7	0	4	16	54	3	0	0	178	247	269	516	91	212	24	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	284	252	60	11	0	3	20	78	4	1	3	238	304	317	622	79	313	27	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	247	230	57	9	1	5	12	70	2	0	0	248	291	361	652	113	326	28	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	256	234	44	8	0	2	10	68	9	0	0	188	249	248	497	60	247	27	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	188	163	45	13	1	6	13	45	8	1	0	276	359	479	837	202	336	24	7	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	188	155	49	15	1	7	21	34	8	1	0	316	424	561	985	245	356	18	11	423	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	326	285	74	20	0	4	25	77	12	2	1	260	345	372	717	112	337	24	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	326	275	79	18	0	8	35	62	12	2	1	287	391	440	831	153	340	19	11	371	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	469	413	101	14	1	4	36	95	14	5	5	245	326	312	638	68	307	20	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	469	402	97	14	1	5	47	76	14	5	5	241	341	318	660	77	285	16	10	304	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	398	359	81	22	1	7	29	96	6	1	1	226	294	351	645	125	287	24	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	398	347	87	26	1	8	41	79	6	1	1	251	340	401	741	150	302	20	10	331	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	379	347	86	28	0	11	21	97	8	0	0	248	306	424	729	176	310	26	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	379	337	92	31	0	12	31	77	8	0	0	273	348	472	820	199	319	20	8	361	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	429	383	83	17	0	14	34	133	5	0	0	217	289	371	660	154	287	31	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	429	373	86	19	0	13	44	109	5	0	0	231	320	386	706	155	286	25	10	314	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	371	331	64	16	2	3	27	80	8	4	3	193	270	281	551	88	241	22	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	371	313	74	20	2	3	45	65	8	4	3	236	347	342	689	105	284	18	12	315	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	228	208	37	7	0	4	16	54	3	0	0	178	247	269	516	91	219	24	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	—	228	199	40	8	0	5	25	43	3	0	0	201	300	317	616	116	230	19	11	284	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	284	252	60	11	0	3	20	78	4	1	3	238	304	317	622	79	328	27	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	284	243	66	13	0	4	29	61	4	1	3	272	359	374	733	103	343	21	10	326	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	247	230	57	9	1	5	12	70	2	0	0	248	291	361	652	113	331	28	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	247	225	67	12	1	7	17	57	2	0	0	298	352	453	806	156	368	23	7	354	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	256	234	44	8	0	2	10	68	9	0	0	188	249	248	497	60	251	27	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	256	228	56	11	0	4	16	55	9	0	0	246	320	346	667	101	302	21	6	302	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	188	165	45	13	1	6	13	45	8	1	0	273	359	473	831	200	318	24	7	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	326	286	74	20	0	4	25	77	12	2	1	259	345	371	715	112	329	24	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	469	416	101	14	1	4	36	95	14	5	5	243	326	310	636	67	298	20	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	398	360	81	22	1	7	29	96	6	1	1	225	294	350	644	125	284	24	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	379	347	86	28	0	11	21	97	8	0	0	248	306	424	729	176	309	26	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	429	387	83	17	0	14	34	133	5	0	0	214	289	367	656	152	283	31	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	371	333	64	16	2	3	27	80	8	4	3	192	270	279	550	87	237	22	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	228	207	37	7	0	4	16	54	3	0	0	179	247	271	517	92	212	24	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	284	258	60	11	0	3	20	78	4	1	3	233	304	310	614	78	313	27	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	247	231	57	9	1	5	12	70	2	0	0	247	291	359	650	113	326	28	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	256	235	44	8	0	2	10	68	9	0	0	187	249	247	496	60	247	27	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	146	135	34	5	0	4	6	42	3	0	0	252	299	378	676	126	330	29	4	300	78	-2	+0	+2	+14	+3	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	151	22	0	18	27	187	13	0	0	251	298	378	676	126	328	29	4	300	78	-9	+0	+9	+64	+14	8.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3575	3205	732	165	6	63	243	893	79	14	13	228	299	343	641	114	293	25	7	284	78	-2	+0	+2	+14	+3	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	133	30	1	11	44	162	14	3	2	228	298	340	638	111	293	25	7	284	78	-9	+0	+9	+64	+14	8.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 256 PAwOBA .298 → .227 (−70)K% 21.5% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.48%	÷0.986	×1.220	—	—	26.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.25%	÷1.032	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.98%
HBP% /PA	3.52%	—	×0.870	—	×0.940	2.88%
Singles /BIP	23.70%	÷0.983	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	19.81%
Doubles /BIP	6.36%	÷0.960	×0.840	×0.950	×0.940	4.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.31%	÷1.208	×0.800	—	×0.940	1.44%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .298 → .227; ISO .101 → .069; BABIP .302 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAARound Rock Express · 247 PAwOBA .347 → .286 (−61)K% 23.1% → 28.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.08%	÷1.055	×1.290	—	—	28.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.88%	÷0.978	×0.710	—	×0.972	4.86%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.77%
Singles /BIP	27.98%	÷0.962	×0.900	×1.016	×0.972	25.85%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.019	×0.810	×1.016	×0.972	5.61%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.016	×0.972	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷0.978	×0.780	—	×0.972	3.23%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 92, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 111, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .347 → .286; ISO .156 → .119; BABIP .368 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAASalt Lake Bees · 284 PAwOBA .321 → .274 (−47)K% 21.5% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.48%	÷1.010	×1.290	—	—	27.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.21%	÷0.993	×0.710	—	×0.982	7.17%
HBP% /PA	1.41%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	1.36%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷0.986	×0.900	×1.050	×0.982	25.33%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.009	×0.810	×1.050	×0.982	5.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.093	×0.810	×1.050	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.20%	÷0.989	×0.780	—	×0.982	1.70%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .321 → .274; ISO .103 → .082; BABIP .343 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAASacramento River Cats · 228 PAwOBA .276 → .227 (−50)K% 18.9% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.86%	÷1.034	×1.290	—	—	23.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.53%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×0.992	7.05%
HBP% /PA	1.32%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	1.28%
Singles /BIP	17.31%	÷0.960	×0.900	×1.024	×0.992	16.48%
Doubles /BIP	5.13%	÷0.973	×0.810	×1.024	×0.992	4.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.024	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.21%	÷1.082	×0.780	—	×0.992	2.29%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .276 → .227; ISO .116 → .088; BABIP .230 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 371 PAwOBA .309 → .251 (−58)K% 17.5% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.52%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	21.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.59%	÷1.077	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.45%
HBP% /PA	2.16%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	2.03%
Singles /BIP	19.76%	÷1.044	×0.930	×0.961	×1.003	16.97%
Doubles /BIP	8.06%	÷1.050	×0.830	×0.961	×1.003	6.14%
Triples /BIP	0.81%	÷1.041	×0.970	×0.961	×1.003	0.72%
Home runs /BIP	1.21%	÷0.847	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.20%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 108, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .309 → .251; ISO .105 → .092; BABIP .284 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 313 PAwOBA .332 → .287 (−45)K% 24.3% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.28%	÷0.968	×1.200	—	—	30.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.14%	÷0.944	×0.690	—	×1.018	9.04%
HBP% /PA	1.28%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.22%
Singles /BIP	18.23%	÷1.068	×0.930	×1.006	×1.018	16.25%
Doubles /BIP	8.85%	÷0.932	×0.830	×1.006	×1.018	8.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.006	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.73%	÷0.854	×0.840	—	×1.018	5.74%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .332 → .287; ISO .187 → .176; BABIP .284 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 296 PAwOBA .373 → .332 (−42)K% 20.3% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.27%	÷0.909	×1.200	—	—	26.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.78%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.19%
HBP% /PA	2.03%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.97%
Singles /BIP	19.50%	÷0.978	×0.930	×1.015	×1.033	19.43%
Doubles /BIP	13.00%	÷0.954	×0.830	×1.015	×1.033	11.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.080	×0.970	×1.015	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷0.901	×0.840	—	×1.033	4.82%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 82, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .373 → .332; ISO .215 → .195; BABIP .339 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAltoona Curve · 17 PAwOBA .177 → .155 (−21)K% 17.6% → 23.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷0.905	×1.220	—	—	23.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.073	×0.700	—	×0.998	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.29%	÷0.997	×0.970	—	×0.998	13.87%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.933	×0.860	—	×0.998	6.57%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.006	×0.950	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.836	×0.780	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 81, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .177 → .155; ISO .059 → .050; BABIP .214 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .