Jorge Alfaro — OGILVIE

Jorge AlfaroC Nashville Sounds

Age 33 R/R 6'1" / 243 lbs AAA BB +10%HR +7% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .268 / .370

PA348

HR10

SB9

K%36

BB%3

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

60→60

SPD

55→55

EYE

30↘20

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	17	ROK	DSL Rangers	187	175	28	3	1	1	2	69	9	1	4	.160	.210	.206	.415	.046	.255	37	1	.183	-2	-21	-1	+0	+3	+5	-1.5
2012	19	A	2 teams	366	343	66	18	5	4	11	141	9	7	5	.192	.237	.309	.546	.117	.308	39	3	.240	42	-24	-1	+0	+7	+10	-0.8
2013	20	A	3 teams	526	478	94	22	1	16	20	183	23	20	6	.197	.263	.347	.610	.151	.275	35	4	.261	58	-25	+2	+0	+9	+15	0.1
2014	21	A+	2 teams	536	496	107	20	5	13	19	179	17	6	5	.216	.269	.355	.624	.139	.305	33	4	.268	63	-22	-1	+0	+10	+15	0.2
2015	22	AA	2 teams	251	233	45	14	1	5	8	92	8	2	2	.193	.245	.326	.571	.133	.294	37	3	.251	50	-14	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
2016	23	AA	3 teams	564	531	126	21	2	12	20	190	8	6	3	.237	.275	.352	.628	.115	.342	34	4	.266	62	-24	+0	+0	+10	+16	0.2
2017	24	AAA	2 teams	464	437	98	16	2	9	13	173	12	1	1	.224	.266	.332	.598	.108	.346	37	3	.263	59	-21	-0	-2	+8	+13	-0.3
2018	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	377	344	90	15	2	9	18	138	14	3	0	.262	.324	.395	.720	.134	.409	37	5	.313	98	-1	+1	+18	+7	+11	3.5
2019	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	465	431	114	14	1	18	22	154	10	4	4	.265	.315	.427	.742	.162	.368	33	5	.319	102	+1	-1	+3	+8	+13	2.5
2020	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	100	93	21	2	0	3	4	36	3	2	0	.226	.280	.344	.624	.118	.333	36	4	.280	72	-3	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.0
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	327	311	75	16	1	6	11	100	5	8	1	.241	.278	.357	.635	.116	.337	31	3	.279	72	-10	+1	+3	+6	+9	0.9
2022	29	MLB	3 teams	312	291	71	17	0	8	13	113	4	1	0	.244	.286	.385	.671	.141	.362	36	4	.290	80	-7	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.7
2023	30	AAA	3 teams	402	372	90	23	2	8	14	109	12	5	0	.242	.291	.379	.670	.137	.317	27	3	.292	81	-8	+1	-0	+7	+11	1.1
2024	31	INTL	Tigres del Licey	36	33	10	2	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	.303	.361	.455	.816	.152	.360	19	6	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
2025	32	AAA	2 teams	365	350	72	10	1	10	7	155	7	13	0	.206	.236	.326	.562	.120	.333	42	2	.247	47	-22	+3	-2	+7	+10	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	33	MLB	MIL	348	326	73	13	1	10	12	126	7	9	2	.224	.267	.362	.629	.138	.332	36	3	.285	76	-9	+1	-3	+6	+10	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	34	MLB 20%	MIL	268	252	57	10	1	8	9	99	5	6	1	.226	.267	.369	.636	.143	.331	37	3	.278	71	-9	+1	-7	+5	+8	-0.3
2028	35	MLB 33%	MIL	214	201	45	8	1	6	7	81	4	4	1	.224	.264	.363	.627	.139	.329	38	3	.270	65	-9	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.6
2029	36	MLB 43%	MIL	160	151	32	5	1	4	5	63	3	3	0	.212	.252	.338	.589	.126	.326	39	3	.261	58	-8	+1	-7	+3	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6268	5848	1314	249	28	151	217	2208	161	101	35	.225	.272	.354	.626	.130	.330	35	3	.270	65	-248	+6	-7	+112	+178	4.1
/ 162G	—			650	606	137	26	3	16	23	229	17	10	4	.226	.274	.358	.633	.132	.332	35	4	.270	65	-26	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	17	ROK	DSL Rangers	187	172	38	5	2	1	5	48	9	1	4	.221	.280	.291	.570	.070	.298	26	3	.262	59	-9	-1	—	—	+5	-0.5
2012	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	300	272	71	21	5	5	16	84	9	7	3	.261	.323	.430	.753	.169	.355	28	5	.331	112	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.3
2012	19	INTL	Leones de Ponce	66	65	19	2	1	2	1	16	0	0	2	.292	.303	.446	.749	.154	.362	24	2	.329	110	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.2
2013	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	420	372	96	22	1	16	28	111	18	16	3	.258	.340	.452	.791	.194	.324	26	7	.351	127	+13	+2	—	—	+12	2.7
2013	20	ROK	AZL Rangers	26	21	9	2	0	2	2	6	2	2	0	.429	.520	.810	1.330	.381	.500	23	8	.543	274	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2013	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	80	70	27	6	1	0	5	17	3	2	3	.386	.449	.500	.949	.114	.491	21	6	.414	175	+7	-1	—	—	+2	0.8
2014	21	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	99	88	23	4	0	4	6	23	5	0	0	.261	.343	.443	.787	.182	.311	23	6	.352	128	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2014	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	437	398	104	22	5	13	23	100	12	6	5	.261	.321	.440	.761	.178	.315	23	5	.334	114	+7	-1	—	—	+12	1.9
2015	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	207	190	48	15	2	5	9	61	8	2	1	.253	.314	.432	.746	.179	.347	29	4	.331	112	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2015	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	44	42	11	1	0	1	0	16	0	0	1	.262	.262	.357	.619	.095	.400	36	0	.262	58	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2016	23	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	.125	.176	.125	.301	.000	.250	47	6	.148	-29	-2	+0	+0	+10	+0	0.8
2016	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	435	404	115	21	2	15	22	105	4	3	2	.285	.328	.458	.786	.173	.347	24	5	.343	121	+10	-0	—	—	+12	2.3
2016	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	112	105	22	5	1	3	3	35	4	3	1	.210	.259	.362	.621	.152	.284	31	3	.277	71	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2017	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	114	107	34	6	0	5	3	33	4	0	0	.318	.360	.514	.874	.196	.420	29	3	.386	153	+7	+0	-2	+8	+3	1.6
2017	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	350	324	78	13	2	7	16	113	8	1	1	.241	.293	.358	.651	.117	.345	32	5	.292	82	-7	-0	—	—	+10	0.3
2018	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	377	344	90	16	2	10	18	138	14	3	0	.262	.324	.407	.731	.145	.406	37	5	.328	109	+4	+1	+18	+7	+11	4.0
2019	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	465	431	113	14	1	18	22	154	10	4	4	.262	.313	.425	.738	.162	.364	33	5	.327	109	+4	-1	+3	+8	+13	2.9
2020	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	100	93	21	2	0	3	4	36	3	2	0	.226	.280	.344	.624	.118	.333	36	4	.283	75	-3	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.0
2021	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	311	295	72	15	1	4	11	99	5	8	1	.244	.283	.342	.625	.098	.354	32	4	.282	74	-9	+1	+3	+6	+9	1.0
2021	28	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	16	16	4	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	.250	.250	.625	.875	.375	.154	6	0	.373	144	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	274	256	63	14	0	7	11	98	4	1	0	.246	.288	.383	.671	.137	.364	36	4	.296	85	-5	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.8
2022	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	16	15	4	1	0	2	1	5	0	0	0	.267	.312	.733	1.046	.467	.250	31	6	.441	195	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	29	INTL	Tigres del Licey	22	21	6	2	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	.286	.286	.381	.667	.095	.375	27	0	.281	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	30	MLB	Boston Red Sox	52	48	7	4	0	1	2	15	2	0	0	.146	.212	.292	.503	.146	.188	29	4	.229	33	-4	+0	-0	+7	+1	0.5
2023	30	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	278	254	74	17	2	7	14	65	7	5	0	.291	.345	.457	.802	.165	.362	23	5	.352	128	+9	+1	—	—	+8	1.8
2023	30	INTL	Tigres del Licey	72	64	11	3	0	0	4	21	3	0	0	.172	.254	.219	.472	.047	.250	29	6	.223	29	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	31	INTL	Tigres del Licey	36	33	10	2	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	.303	.361	.455	.816	.152	.360	19	6	.364	137	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	32	MLB	Washington Nationals	39	39	10	2	0	0	0	14	0	1	0	.256	.256	.308	.564	.051	.400	36	0	.251	51	-2	+0	-2	+7	+1	0.4
2025	32	AAA	Nashville Sounds	326	307	75	10	1	15	11	119	7	12	0	.244	.286	.430	.716	.186	.345	37	3	.315	100	-0	+2	—	—	+9	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1749	1629	412	73	4	48	72	595	42	19	5	.253	.302	.391	.693	.138	.367	34	4	.309	95	-10	+2	+17	+60	+50	12.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Alfaro (OGILVIE)	33	35	60	55	20	.226/.268/.370	.144	.332	10	9	36%	3%	76	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kristopher Negrón 2019 · MLB	33	45→50	45	54→55	39	.223/.279/.349	.126	.309	13	17	31%	6%	74	-0.1	.232/.294/.361	.129	.336	14	14	33%	7%	83	+0.6	.238/.304/.360	.122	.346	14	14	33%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Seth Bynum 2012 · AAA	31	42→44	49→55	51→50	38	.216/.261/.362	.146	.290	18	12	32%	5%	70	-0.3	.204/.256/.327	.123	.296	13	10	34%	6%	59	-1.1	.180/.234/.285	.105	.269	11	6	36%	5%	35	-1.9
✕John Hicks 2023 · MLB	33	43→51	56→60	49→50	35	.228/.265/.418	.190	.303	25	13	34%	4%	87	+0.8	.212/.261/.354	.142	.296	16	17	33%	6%	68	-0.5	.169/.230/.255	.086	.246	7	27	33%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Drew Maggi 2022 · AAA	33	43→53	47→45	49→60	42	.214/.293/.350	.135	.297	15	13	32%	7%	82	+0.5	.192/.262/.287	.095	.274	8	20	31%	7%	52	-1.6	.168/.238/.238	.070	.236	5	22	29%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Cody Ransom 2008 · MLB	32	38→41	51→55	49→50	42	.204/.265/.360	.156	.265	19	12	31%	7%	72	-0.2	.215/.279/.389	.174	.271	21	10	28%	7%	85	+0.7	.217/.285/.398	.181	.290	23	7	32%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Mark Little 2006 · MLB	34	44	52→55	52→55	40	.227/.298/.393	.166	.296	20	19	30%	6%	95	+1.4	.232/.315/.357	.125	.319	12	15	29%	6%	92	+1.2	.233/.334/.324	.091	.343	4	13	29%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Jason Smith 2008 · MLB	31	43→35	50→55	50	36	.222/.263/.378	.156	.299	18	11	32%	5%	75	-0.0	.195/.229/.331	.136	.280	16	9	36%	4%	48	-1.9	.170/.200/.289	.119	.245	14	9	37%	3%	22	-2.4
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2013 · AAA	32	48	54→55	49→60	33	.238/.296/.413	.175	.338	22	23	35%	4%	99	+1.7	.240/.289/.418	.178	.335	23	20	34%	4%	97	+1.5	.237/.277/.411	.175	.327	24	22	34%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	33	42→44	53→55	45→40	39	.218/.280/.384	.166	.304	23	4	35%	7%	84	+0.6	.215/.269/.332	.117	.307	13	4	33%	6%	66	-0.6	.217/.266/.330	.113	.309	12	1	32%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2015 · AAA	33	44	46→50	47→40	41	.224/.273/.345	.121	.286	14	7	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.217/.265/.316	.099	.306	9	5	31%	5%	59	-1.1	.204/.253/.285	.081	.295	7	1	32%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Brandon Barnes 2019 · MLB	33	45→52	44→55	50	38	.221/.270/.339	.118	.312	11	16	32%	5%	67	-0.5	.220/.270/.389	.169	.298	22	13	33%	5%	82	+0.5	.202/.250/.400	.198	.256	29	11	34%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jed Hansen 2006 · AAA	33	41→40	45	51→50	39	.205/.267/.330	.125	.284	12	14	31%	6%	65	-0.7	.209/.267/.326	.117	.266	12	13	25%	6%	63	-0.8	.199/.258/.303	.104	.244	11	12	23%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	41→38	49→50	44→45	45	.210/.289/.361	.151	.270	17	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	.197/.276/.372	.175	.256	22	5	31%	8%	80	+0.4	.153/.238/.328	.175	.182	24	1	32%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Dusty Coleman 2018 · MLB	31	39→43	47→50	51→50	35	.198/.251/.338	.139	.298	15	14	38%	5%	59	-1.1	.171/.223/.301	.130	.330	15	12	50%	5%	39	-2.5	.114/.167/.218	.104	.254	13	11	58%	5%	-9	-3.2
✕David Matranga 2009 · AAA	32	41	46→45	49→50	42	.210/.274/.334	.124	.276	14	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.222/.302/.348	.126	.301	13	9	28%	9%	84	+0.6	.209/.311/.324	.115	.287	11	5	28%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Mike Coolbaugh 2006 · AAA	34	43→41	53→55	53→50	42	.228/.277/.396	.168	.276	21	10	26%	6%	86	+0.8	.217/.283/.361	.144	.272	17	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	.182/.274/.295	.113	.227	14	4	26%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Anthony Recker 2017 · MLB	33	42→48	50	48→45	47	.214/.292/.365	.151	.283	18	5	30%	9%	85	+0.7	.212/.279/.357	.145	.289	16	5	31%	7%	77	+0.1	.194/.255/.340	.146	.266	16	1	32%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Lorenzo Quintana 2021 · AAA	32	43	54→55	45	38	.227/.272/.402	.175	.273	22	9	26%	4%	85	+0.7	.242/.290/.401	.159	.297	19	5	25%	5%	92	+1.2	.240/.289/.402	.162	.291	20	2	24%	4%	89	+0.5
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2015 · MLB	33	45	44→50	48→50	40	.222/.268/.336	.114	.285	11	4	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.219/.260/.324	.105	.284	10	5	26%	4%	59	-1.1	.211/.251/.342	.131	.272	16	0	28%	3%	56	-0.6
✕Matt Carson 2014 · MLB	33	46→50	48→60	49→50	40	.234/.281/.378	.143	.299	16	12	27%	5%	82	+0.5	.215/.270/.335	.120	.286	13	14	29%	6%	67	-0.5	.194/.256/.305	.111	.256	13	15	29%	6%	53	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)