Darrien Miller

C Biloxi Shuckers
Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 188 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#684ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AAMIL403.212/.394/.2912275—.191/.339/.252
202524AAMIL316.192/.382/.3297459—.155/.306/.252
202625AAA/AAMIL309.237/.420/.461112105—.204/.351/.393
2027PROJMLE26MLBMIL3.192/.328/.32000920.0
2028PROJ33% MLB27MLBMIL71.194/.327/.32211920.2
2029PROJ50% MLB28MLBMIL121.194/.324/.32232900.4
Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Chase%96
BB%90
Z-Con%83
Whiff%80
K%79
Speed66
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 4.2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 87%
CompsZack Collins (age 27) · César Salazar (age 26) · Josh Smith (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†92
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .328 / .320
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%12
BABIP251
ISO124
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.40.30.30.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201918 ROKAZL Brewers Blue — 9680 14300 9167 32 175312212525 38219 179 263 15 — — — — — —
202120 ACarolina Mudcats — 204160 42407 334510 40 263419419837 156324 2216 383 89 — — — — — —
202221 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 381304 6812112 498424 61 224374388762 164267 2213 348 76 — — — — — —
202221 INTLBrisbane Bandits — 134109 291202 16276 20 266389431821 165325 2012 364 132 — — — — — —
202322 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 372316 722017 437610 41 228339364703 136275 2012 320 55 — — — — — —
202423 AABiloxi Shuckers — 403306 651612 648228 20 212394291685 78280 2016 330 75 — — — — — —
202524 AABiloxi Shuckers — 316240 461017 577717 40 192382329711 137248 2418 337 59 — — — — — —
202625 AAANashville Sounds — 8667 19522 14144 10 284435507943 224333 1616 414 124 — — — — — —
202625 AABiloxi Shuckers — 223165 36819 404915 10 218414442856 224245 2218 385 97 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201918 ROK MLEAZL Brewers Blue — 9683 11200 6237 32 133250157407 24179 246 190 15 — — — — — —
202120 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 204170 37306 236110 40 218345341686 124289 3011 300 89 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 381315 579111 3810924 61 181316321636 140221 2910 280 76 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 372330 601615 2910110 41 182268282550 100238 278 249 55 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 403325 621511 4510128 20 191339252592 62261 2511 279 75 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 316258 40815 3910117 40 155306252558 97218 3212 256 59 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 8671 18422 10174 10 254376451827 197306 2012 352 124 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 223178 33718 276015 10 185341371712 185210 2712 311 97 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEAZL Brewers Blue — 9683 11200 6237 32 133250157407 24183 246 190 15 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWAZL Brewers Blue — 9680 14300 9167 32 175312212525 38219 179 263 15 — — — — — —
202120 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 204170 37306 236110 40 218345341686 124301 3011 300 89 — — — — — —
202120 A RAWCarolina Mudcats — 204160 42407 334510 40 263419419837 156324 2216 383 89 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLE2 teams — 515427 7612115 5114830 81 178309316625 138227 2910 280 76 — — — — — —
202221 A+ RAW2 teams — 515413 9724114 6511130 81 235378400777 165283 2213 352 76 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 372330 601615 2910110 41 182268282550 100242 278 249 55 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAWWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 372316 722017 437610 41 228339364703 136275 2012 320 55 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 403325 621511 4510128 20 191339252592 62270 2511 279 75 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 403306 651612 648228 20 212394291685 78280 2016 330 75 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 316258 40815 3910117 40 155306252558 97229 3212 256 59 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 316240 461017 577717 40 192382329711 137248 2418 337 59 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 309249 511239 377719 20 205351386736 181253 2512 322 104 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAW2 teams — 309232 5513311 546319 20 237420461881 224273 2017 393 104 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEAZL Brewers Blue — 9683 11200 6237 32 133250157407 24179 246 190 15 — — — — — —
202120 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 204169 37306 236110 40 219345343688 124289 3011 300 89 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLE2 teams — 515429 7612115 5114830 81 177309315624 138221 2910 280 76 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 372330 601615 2910110 41 182268282550 100238 278 249 55 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 403327 621511 4510128 20 190339251590 61261 2511 279 75 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 316257 40815 3910117 40 156306253559 97218 3212 256 59 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 309250 511239 377719 20 204351384735 180237 2512 322 104 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 403327 621511 4510128 20 190339251590 61261 2511 279 75 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 316257 40815 3910117 40 156306253559 97218 3212 256 59 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 309250 511239 377719 20 204351384735 180237 2512 322 104 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEMIL 2% 359296 581327 439417 51 194330322652 128255 2612 304 92 -3 +1 +0 +6 +8 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXMIL 2% 33 0000 010 00 192328320648 128251 330 302 92 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEMIL 33% 213176 35814 255610 40 196329324653 128257 2612 304 92 -2 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.7
202928 MLB MLEMIL 50% 243202 40915 286411 40 197326324650 127258 2612 302 90 -3 +1 -1 +4 +5 0.7
203029 MLB MLEMIL 56% 254212 42915 296711 40 197323321644 125258 2611 299 89 -3 +1 -1 +5 +6 0.6
203130 MLB MLEMIL 59% 262220 43915 296911 40 196319318637 122258 2611 296 86 -4 +1 -2 +5 +6 0.5
203231 MLB MLEMIL 61% 240203 38814 26649 40 194314312627 118256 2711 291 83 -5 +1 -3 +4 +5 0.3
202827 MLB CTXMIL 33% 7160 10201 8193 10 194327322649 128252 2711 302 92 -1 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.2
202928 MLB CTXMIL 50% 121101 20413 14325 20 194324322646 127253 2612 300 90 -1 +0 -0 +2 +3 0.4
203029 MLB CTXMIL 56% 142119 24513 16376 20 194321320641 125253 2611 298 89 -2 +0 -1 +3 +3 0.3
203130 MLB CTXMIL 59% 156132 25513 17416 30 194317316633 122253 2611 294 86 -3 +1 -1 +3 +3 0.3
203231 MLB CTXMIL 61% 147124 25513 16396 20 192312310623 118252 2711 290 83 -3 +0 -2 +3 +3 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 637536 10421413 7116826 100 194318321638 127253 2611 296 78 -9 +2 -4 +11 +14 1.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650547 10521413 7217127 100 192316316632 124251 2611 296 78 -10 +2 -4 +12 +14 1.4
Career— MLE — 35822984 5591161367 385973180 494 187317302619 115250 2711 284 78 -19 +4 -7 +24 +30 3.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650541 10121212 7017733 91 187317299616 113250 2711 284 78 -9 +2 -3 +12 +14 1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 223 PAwOBA .381 → .311 (−70)K% 22.0% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.97%÷1.000×1.220——26.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.94%÷1.000×0.680—×0.99812.17%
HBP% /PA6.73%—×0.840—×0.9985.64%
Singles /BIP15.52%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×0.99813.53%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×0.9985.95%
Triples /BIP0.86%÷1.000×0.880×0.950×0.9980.72%
Home runs /BIP7.76%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9986.19%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .381 → .311; ISO .224 → .194; BABIP .245 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAANashville Sounds · 86 PAwOBA .404 → .352 (−52)K% 16.3% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.28%÷1.000×1.200——19.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.28%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03311.60%
HBP% /PA4.65%—×0.940—×1.0334.52%
Singles /BIP18.87%÷1.000×0.930×0.993×1.03318.00%
Doubles /BIP9.43%÷1.000×0.830×0.993×1.0338.03%
Triples /BIP3.77%÷1.000×0.970×0.993×1.0333.75%
Home runs /BIP3.77%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0332.73%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .404 → .352; ISO .224 → .196; BABIP .333 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 316 PAwOBA .331 → .256 (−75)K% 24.4% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.37%÷0.932×1.220——31.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.04%÷1.008×0.680—×1.01212.32%
HBP% /PA5.38%—×0.840—×1.0124.57%
Singles /BIP17.18%÷0.976×0.920×0.963×1.01215.78%
Doubles /BIP6.13%÷1.091×0.910×0.963×1.0124.99%
Triples /BIP0.61%÷1.083×0.880×0.963×1.0120.49%
Home runs /BIP4.29%÷1.170×0.800—×1.0122.97%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .331 → .256; ISO .138 → .100; BABIP .248 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 403 PAwOBA .326 → .279 (−47)K% 20.3% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.35%÷0.994×1.220——24.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.88%÷0.989×0.680—×1.02711.21%
HBP% /PA6.95%—×0.840—×1.0275.99%
Singles /BIP20.54%÷0.972×0.920×0.962×1.02719.19%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.971×0.910×0.962×1.0276.61%
Triples /BIP0.45%÷0.900×0.880×0.962×1.0270.43%
Home runs /BIP0.89%÷1.198×0.800—×1.0270.61%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .326 → .279; ISO .078 → .071; BABIP .280 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 372 PAwOBA .314 → .249 (−65)K% 20.4% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.43%÷0.955×1.270——27.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.29%÷1.024×0.710—×1.0127.92%
HBP% /PA2.69%—×0.790—×1.0122.15%
Singles /BIP18.33%÷1.013×0.920×0.972×1.01216.38%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷0.966×0.810×0.972×1.0126.87%
Triples /BIP0.42%÷1.150×0.850×0.972×1.0120.30%
Home runs /BIP2.92%÷1.033×0.800—×1.0122.29%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .314 → .249; ISO .136 → .106; BABIP .275 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 381 PAwOBA .342 → .280 (−62)K% 22.0% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.05%÷0.977×1.270——28.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.86%÷0.944×0.710—×1.0279.94%
HBP% /PA6.30%—×0.790—×1.0275.11%
Singles /BIP19.55%÷1.083×0.920×0.973×1.02716.59%
Doubles /BIP5.45%÷1.049×0.810×0.973×1.0274.21%
Triples /BIP0.45%÷0.900×0.850×0.973×1.0270.43%
Home runs /BIP5.45%÷0.885×0.800—×1.0275.06%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .342 → .280; ISO .164 → .143; BABIP .267 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 204 PAwOBA .374 → .300 (−74)K% 22.1% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.06%÷0.996×1.360——30.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.18%÷1.017×0.690—×1.03011.30%
HBP% /PA4.90%—×0.780—×1.0303.94%
Singles /BIP26.96%÷0.990×0.920×0.969×1.03024.99%
Doubles /BIP3.48%÷1.177×0.830×0.969×1.0302.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.052×0.910×0.969×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP6.09%÷0.974×0.800—×1.0305.15%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .374 → .300; ISO .156 → .125; BABIP .324 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKAZL Brewers Blue · 96 PAwOBA .257 → .190 (−67)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷1.000×1.440——24.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.38%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0225.94%
HBP% /PA7.29%—×0.720—×1.0225.37%
Singles /BIP17.19%÷1.000×0.820—×1.02214.41%
Doubles /BIP4.69%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0223.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .257 → .190; ISO .037 → .027; BABIP .219 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .