JJ Bleday — OGILVIE

JJ BledayCF Cincinnati Reds

Age 28 L/L 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 3.169 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION602 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 110113vR 114

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO184

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

837.6%

xAVG

230.229

POWER50

Barrel%

548.7

Avg EV

4288.5

Bat Spd

5371.7

EYE55

Chase%

9019.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

5027.5

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▼25% over 112 PA (30d) · proj 23%

BB%12%▲13% over 167 PA (45d) · proj 11%

ISO.158▼.136 over 184 AB (60d) · proj .184xISO .183 vs .166 prior — approach does NOT back the move

HR/BB5.1%·4.6% over 130 BBE (60d) · proj 5.7%barrel% 9.9% vs 8.1% prior

BABIP.246▼.218 over 124 BIP (60d) · proj .251xBABIP .276 vs .264 prior — approach does NOT back the move

SLASH.207/.305/.366▼proj .219/.305/.403

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 986 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

198

788

—

wRC+

114

104

◀L

wOBA

336

321

◀L

ISO

212

188

◀L

BABIP

303

259

◀L

25.3%

21.1%

▶▶R

BB%

6.6%

10.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.169 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.5M
2027	Arb-2	$7M	+1.5	$11M	+$5M
2028	Arb-3	$10M	+1.3	$9M	+$1M
Totals		$17M		$21M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	151	140	36	8	0	3	11	29	0	0	0	257	311	379	690	121	306	19	7	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	468	397	84	22	3	12	64	101	3	5	3	212	325	373	698	161	250	22	14	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+10	1.0
2021	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	115	95	30	8	2	5	20	23	0	2	0	316	435	600	1.035	284	373	20	17	447	189	+12	+0	—	—	+2	1.5
2022	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	238	204	34	10	2	5	30	67	2	4	1	167	280	309	588	142	216	28	13	270	69	-9	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.3
2022	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	367	302	69	13	0	20	60	99	5	1	1	228	365	470	835	242	268	27	16	372	138	+16	-0	—	—	+8	2.5
2023	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	303	256	50	11	0	10	42	72	2	5	1	195	313	355	669	160	226	24	14	303	92	-3	+1	-3	-5	+7	-0.4
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	133	108	36	8	2	8	23	18	0	1	1	333	450	667	1.117	333	333	14	17	470	204	+16	-0	—	—	+3	2.0
2024	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	642	572	139	43	4	20	67	125	2	2	3	243	324	437	762	194	279	19	10	337	115	+11	-1	-2	+2	+14	2.5
2025	27	MLB	Athletics	—	344	307	65	17	0	14	36	91	0	1	2	212	294	404	698	192	251	26	10	311	96	-1	-1	-7	+2	+7	-0.0
2025	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	132	119	42	6	1	6	12	25	0	3	1	353	412	571	984	218	404	19	9	427	175	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1527	1339	288	81	6	49	175	355	6	12	7	215	309	394	703	179	254	23	11	314	99	-2	-0	-15	+1	+33	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	151	143	29	7	0	3	8	41	0	0	0	203	245	315	560	112	267	27	5	249	55	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2021	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	468	416	70	18	2	9	45	127	3	5	3	168	254	286	540	118	212	27	10	244	51	-27	-0	—	—	+10	-1.8
2022	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	238	204	35	11	2	5	30	67	2	4	1	172	284	319	603	147	216	28	13	274	72	-8	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.3
2022	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	367	320	53	11	0	13	42	123	5	1	1	166	272	322	594	156	220	34	11	268	68	-14	-0	—	—	+8	-0.7
2023	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	303	256	51	11	0	11	42	72	2	5	1	199	317	371	688	172	226	24	14	308	95	-2	+1	-3	-5	+7	-0.3
2023	25	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	133	116	31	6	1	7	15	23	0	1	1	267	351	517	868	250	268	17	11	369	136	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	642	572	142	44	4	22	67	125	2	2	3	248	329	455	784	206	279	19	10	340	116	+12	-1	-2	+2	+14	2.6
2025	27	MLB MLE	Athletics	—	344	307	64	16	0	14	36	91	0	1	2	208	292	397	689	189	251	26	10	301	90	-4	-1	-7	+2	+7	-0.3
2025	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	132	122	34	5	1	4	9	31	0	3	1	279	328	434	763	156	331	23	7	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2019	21	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	151	143	29	7	0	3	8	41	0	0	0	203	245	315	560	112	263	27	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	151	140	36	8	0	3	11	29	0	0	0	257	311	379	690	121	306	19	7	310	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	583	520	88	22	3	11	56	158	3	7	3	169	254	287	540	117	217	27	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	583	492	114	30	5	17	84	124	3	7	3	232	347	417	764	185	273	21	14	341	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	605	524	89	22	2	18	72	190	7	5	2	170	279	323	601	153	223	31	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	605	506	103	23	2	25	90	166	7	5	2	204	332	405	737	202	246	27	15	332	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	436	372	82	17	1	18	57	95	2	6	2	220	327	417	744	196	242	22	13	327	107	+4	+0	-3	-5	+9	0.6
2023	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	436	364	86	19	2	18	65	90	2	6	2	236	355	448	803	212	261	21	15	354	107	+4	+0	-3	-5	+9	0.6
2024	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	642	572	142	44	4	22	67	125	2	2	3	248	329	455	784	206	282	19	10	340	116	+12	-1	-2	+2	+14	2.6
2024	26	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	642	572	139	43	4	20	67	125	2	2	3	243	324	437	762	194	279	19	10	337	116	+12	-1	-2	+2	+14	2.6
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	476	429	98	21	1	18	45	122	0	4	3	228	302	408	710	179	275	26	9	306	93	-4	-0	-7	+2	+10	0.1
2025	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	476	426	107	23	1	20	48	116	0	4	3	251	327	451	778	200	298	24	10	343	93	-4	-0	-7	+2	+10	0.1
2019	21	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	151	142	29	7	0	3	8	41	0	0	0	204	245	317	562	113	267	27	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	583	519	88	22	3	11	56	158	3	7	3	170	254	287	541	118	212	27	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	605	521	89	22	2	18	72	190	7	5	2	171	279	324	603	154	219	31	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	436	374	82	17	1	18	57	95	2	6	2	219	327	414	742	195	239	22	13	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	642	568	142	44	4	22	67	125	2	2	3	250	329	458	787	208	279	19	10	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	476	428	98	21	1	18	45	122	0	4	3	229	302	409	711	180	273	26	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	436	374	82	17	1	18	57	95	2	6	2	219	327	414	742	195	239	22	13	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	642	568	142	44	4	22	67	125	2	2	3	250	329	458	787	208	279	19	10	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	476	428	98	21	1	18	45	122	0	4	3	229	302	409	711	180	273	26	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	CIN	—	602	516	113	21	3	25	79	139	4	7	5	219	327	417	744	198	248	23	13	324	105	+4	-1	+0	+2	+13	1.9
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	CIN	—	498	424	91	16	2	22	67	111	3	6	5	215	325	417	743	203	235	22	13	331	105	+3	-1	+0	+2	+11	1.6
YTD	28	AAA RAW	CIN	—	104	85	29	7	1	6	18	23	1	1	0	341	462	659	1.120	318	411	22	17	480	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB RAW	CIN	—	498	424	91	16	2	22	67	111	3	6	5	215	325	417	743	203	235	22	13	331	110	+6	-1	+0	+2	+11	1.8
ROS	28	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		264	20	10	336	113	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		268	20	10	340	113	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	CIN	—	508	433	92	16	2	22	68	113	3	6	5	212	323	411	734	199	233	22	13	331	105	+3	-1	-0	+2	+11	1.5
TOT	28	MLB MLE	CIN	—	612	525	114	21	3	25	80	141	4	7	5	217	325	411	737	194	246	23	13	324	105	+4	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	651	563	124	31	3	25	80	151	3	6	4	220	320	419	740	199	253	23	12	329	109	+7	-0	-9	+2	+14	1.5
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	638	551	120	30	2	24	79	149	3	6	3	218	319	410	729	192	252	23	12	327	107	+5	+0	-9	+2	+14	1.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	625	540	116	29	2	23	77	148	3	5	3	215	316	404	720	189	250	24	12	323	104	+3	-0	-10	+2	+14	0.9
2030	32	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	613	530	112	28	2	22	75	148	3	4	2	211	312	396	709	185	246	24	12	317	100	+0	+0	-10	+2	+13	0.6
2031	33	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	528	456	93	23	2	18	65	130	2	3	1	204	306	382	688	178	240	25	12	309	95	-3	+0	-10	+2	+11	0.1
2032	34	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	387	335	66	16	1	13	47	98	2	1	1	197	299	367	667	170	233	25	12	299	89	-5	-0	-9	+1	+8	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	651	563	128	32	3	27	80	151	3	6	4	227	327	439	765	211	257	23	12	334	109	+7	-0	-9	+2	+14	1.5
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	638	551	123	31	2	26	79	149	3	6	3	223	324	428	752	205	256	23	12	331	107	+5	+0	-9	+2	+14	1.3
2029	31	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	625	540	119	30	2	25	77	148	3	5	3	220	321	422	743	202	253	24	12	327	104	+3	-0	-10	+2	+14	0.9
2030	32	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	613	530	115	29	2	24	75	148	3	4	2	217	317	415	733	198	249	24	12	321	100	+0	+0	-10	+2	+13	0.6
2031	33	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	528	456	97	24	2	20	65	130	2	3	1	213	314	406	719	193	244	25	12	313	95	-3	+0	-10	+2	+11	0.1
2032	34	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	387	335	67	16	1	14	47	98	2	1	1	200	302	379	681	179	236	25	12	303	89	-5	-0	-9	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4979	4323	938	243	18	185	599	1181	22	37	21	217	315	410	725	193	253	24	12	320	94	+6	-1	-72	+14	+108	5.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	122	32	2	24	78	154	3	5	3	216	315	408	723	191	252	24	12	320	94	+1	-0	-9	+2	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6345	5544	1160	290	23	215	729	1557	30	49	27	209	304	386	691	177	249	25	11	307	94	+6	-1	-72	+14	+108	5.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	119	30	2	22	75	160	3	5	3	210	305	386	691	176	249	25	12	307	94	+1	-0	-9	+2	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	9.0	6,007	218	48	215	311	404	+8	-47	18.6	17.1
/162	664	24	5	+0.9	-5.2	2.1	pk7: 16
#2Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#4Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	5.0	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
/162	664	33	3	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Brad Millerlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,531 PA	5.3	3,531	123	43	236	314	416	+7	-38	8.8	9.4
/162	664	23	8	+1.4	-7.2	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JJ Bleday (OGILVIE)	28	45	50	50	55	228/326/426	199	264	21	6	23%	12%	113	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2023 · MLB	29	45→55	56→55	48→45	53	236/321/427	191	265	23	7	21%	10%	112	+2.2	245/352/398	153	292	17	4	21%	13%	116	+2.5	240/356/376	136	291	15	3	21%	14%	107	+1.2
✕Kyle Lewis 2023 · MLB	28	42→48	55	49→40	50	223/307/395	173	281	25	7	30%	10%	99	+1.2	247/315/421	174	320	23	5	29%	8%	107	+1.9	265/331/442	176	345	24	0	29%	8%	115	+1.4
✕Brad Miller 2018 · MLB	28	44→54	53→60	47→50	54	230/318/413	182	279	21	9	25%	11%	106	+1.8	236/317/428	192	304	23	6	28%	10%	109	+2.0	230/323/459	228	279	31	5	28%	11%	116	+1.2
●Max Kepler 2022 · MLB	29	42→52	59→60	52→50	56	228/317/441	213	239	26	9	19%	11%	113	+2.3	239/318/408	169	269	20	6	19%	10%	105	+1.7	244/318/403	159	278	18	2	19%	9%	102	+1.1
✕DJ Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→48	53→55	42→50	56	217/324/392	175	268	22	4	27%	12%	105	+1.7	221/325/401	180	278	24	6	28%	11%	107	+1.9	207/321/383	176	258	24	6	28%	12%	99	+0.6
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2021 · MLB	29	43→42	56→50	48→30	56	229/328/422	193	277	24	5	26%	12%	112	+2.2	221/309/378	157	283	19	3	27%	11%	95	+1.0	212/305/355	144	277	18	1	28%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Carson Kelly 2022 · MLB	28	46→47	56→55	46→40	56	241/332/427	186	270	24	3	21%	11%	115	+2.4	228/305/366	138	269	16	4	21%	9%	91	+0.7	248/329/397	149	278	19	1	18%	10%	105	+1.1
✕Scott Schebler 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	55→60	44→50	48	240/313/427	187	277	23	6	23%	8%	109	+2.0	202/271/336	134	264	16	5	29%	7%	72	-0.7	165/226/270	105	237	13	4	35%	5%	37	-1.6
✕Josh VanMeter 2022 · MLB	27	45→48	53→55	48→50	53	230/317/409	179	284	20	10	26%	11%	105	+1.7	202/301/335	133	265	14	9	27%	12%	82	+0.0	167/280/268	101	224	10	9	28%	13%	59	-0.6
✕Paul DeJong 2022 · MLB	28	41→51	57→65	47→45	49	225/307/417	193	259	26	7	25%	9%	104	+1.6	209/273/388	179	260	25	6	30%	7%	85	+0.2	225/276/400	175	294	25	5	32%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Jason Vosler 2022 · MLB	28	44	53→55	49→40	49	230/300/401	171	266	21	5	23%	8%	97	+1.1	213/276/378	165	270	21	6	29%	7%	83	+0.1	204/265/369	165	261	22	4	30%	7%	74	-0.5
✕Travis Shaw 2020 · MLB	30	41→51	57→60	47→45	57	225/327/421	196	259	26	6	25%	12%	112	+2.2	217/304/386	169	270	22	4	27%	10%	96	+1.0	214/296/384	170	265	21	0	27%	10%	90	+0.2
✕Ian Stewart 2012 · MLB	27	41→51	53→60	46→45	49	217/298/389	171	275	21	8	29%	10%	94	+0.9	187/269/324	137	267	15	5	34%	9%	68	-1.0	152/239/275	123	226	14	2	37%	9%	42	-1.1
✕Esteban Quiroz 2021 · AAA	29	42→52	54→55	47→45	47	221/300/402	181	278	22	7	28%	9%	98	+1.2	220/311/361	141	278	15	7	25%	10%	93	+0.8	203/300/318	114	252	12	6	23%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Ramon Castro 2005 · MLB	29	41	55	47→40	51	221/298/405	184	253	24	5	24%	10%	98	+1.2	241/315/425	184	295	22	5	25%	9%	108	+1.9	251/314/471	220	277	32	0	23%	8%	115	+0.7
✕David Bote 2021 · MLB	28	46→49	54→50	48→45	51	236/325/416	179	297	22	9	27%	10%	110	+2.1	219/294/363	144	279	16	7	26%	8%	86	+0.3	222/290/366	144	290	14	8	27%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Jake Fraley 2023 · MLB	28	47	53→55	51→55	56	241/339/409	168	299	22	15	26%	12%	114	+2.3	253/328/402	149	299	17	23	20%	9%	107	+1.9	253/327/392	138	298	15	27	19%	9%	101	+0.8
●Mike Ford 2020 · MLB	28	44→51	55	43→30	51	234/306/417	182	253	23	2	19%	8%	103	+1.6	205/283/363	158	243	20	3	24%	9%	82	+0.0	221/309/392	172	259	23	2	24%	10%	97	+0.5
✕Armando Rios 2001 · MLB	29	50	56→55	50→45	58	258/338/465	207	279	21	8	17%	11%	125	+3.2	253/320/413	160	290	17	6	18%	9%	107	+1.8	250/313/388	138	288	15	3	18%	8%	92	+0.3
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	57→55	52→40	45	249/318/445	195	302	25	9	26%	7%	114	+2.4	246/321/409	163	310	17	5	25%	8%	107	+1.8	239/321/389	150	307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps