JJ Bleday — OGILVIE

JJ BledayCF Louisville Bats

Age 28 L/L 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA HR +9%K -4% Svc 3.169 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 2.5 · 2026

wRC+†vL 136119vR 124

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .302 / .404

PA518

HR19

SB5

K%23

BB%10

xwOBA.276

Barrel%7.8%

MLB%45%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

50→50

SPD

50→50

EYE

56↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.9peak

2027

Barrel%

477.8

xwOBA

220.276

Avg EV

4488.7

Whiff%

330.130

Chase%

650.287

Speed

4227.1

Bat Spd

5371.7

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.169 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$1M	+2.5	$20M	+$19M
2027	Arb-2	$9M	+2.5	$21M	+$12M
2028	Arb-3	$12M	+2.2	$19M	+$7M
Totals		$22M		$59M	+$38M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	151	143	29	7	0	3	8	41	0	0	0	.203	.245	.315	.560	.112	.263	27	5	.248	48	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2021	23	AA	2 teams	583	521	87	22	2	14	55	168	3	7	3	.167	.250	.298	.548	.131	.213	29	9	.245	46	-36	+0	+0	+2	+17	-1.7
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	605	524	92	22	2	21	72	189	7	5	2	.176	.284	.345	.629	.170	.225	31	12	.275	68	-22	+0	-2	+2	+17	-0.4
2023	25	MLB	2 teams	436	371	80	15	1	17	58	95	2	6	2	.216	.325	.399	.724	.183	.239	22	13	.321	104	+2	+0	-3	-5	+12	0.7
2024	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	642	572	145	45	4	21	67	125	2	2	3	.253	.334	.456	.790	.203	.291	19	10	.342	120	+14	-1	-2	+2	+18	3.2
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	476	429	98	20	1	19	45	123	0	4	3	.228	.302	.413	.714	.184	.273	26	9	.305	91	-5	-0	-7	+2	+13	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	102	89	25	6	1	5	12	28	1	1	0	.281	.373	.539	.912	.258	.357	27	12	.384	152	+6	+0	+0	+0	+3	1.0
ROS	28	MLB	CIN	416	367	85	20	2	16	44	100	2	4	1	.232	.317	.428	.745	.196	.273	24	11	.330	111	+5	+0	-3	+1	+12	1.6
TOT	28	MLB	CIN	518	456	110	26	3	21	56	128	3	5	1	.241	.328	.450	.778	.208	.288	25	11	.341	119	+11	+1	-3	+2	+15	2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 54%	CIN	506	441	106	25	2	20	58	94	2	3	0	.240	.331	.442	.774	.202	.262	19	11	.344	122	+12	+1	-5	+2	+14	2.4
2028	30	MLB 65%	CIN	494	432	103	24	2	20	57	94	2	2	0	.238	.330	.442	.772	.204	.261	19	12	.341	119	+11	+0	-6	+2	+14	2.1
2029	31	MLB 74%	CIN	479	419	99	23	2	19	55	93	2	0	0	.236	.328	.437	.764	.200	.259	19	11	.337	116	+9	+0	-7	+2	+14	1.8
2030	32	MLB 82%	CIN	460	402	94	22	2	17	53	92	2	0	0	.234	.326	.425	.751	.192	.258	20	12	.332	113	+7	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.4
2031	33	MLB 89%	CIN	430	377	87	20	2	16	49	89	1	0	0	.231	.321	.422	.743	.191	.256	21	11	.327	108	+4	+0	-8	+2	+12	1.0
2032	34	MLB 94%	CIN	384	336	74	17	1	13	44	82	1	0	0	.220	.312	.393	.705	.173	.253	21	11	.319	103	+1	+0	-8	+1	+11	0.6
2033	35	MLB	CIN	330	289	63	15	1	11	37	74	1	0	0	.218	.309	.391	.700	.173	.250	22	11	.311	96	-1	+0	-8	+1	+9	0.1
2034	36	MLB	CIN	272	239	49	11	1	8	30	64	1	0	0	.205	.296	.360	.656	.155	.247	24	11	.301	89	-3	+0	-8	+1	+8	-0.3
2035	37	MLB	CIN	209	184	37	8	1	6	23	51	0	0	0	.201	.290	.353	.643	.152	.242	24	11	.290	80	-5	+0	-9	+1	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6873	6046	1328	316	26	241	755	1574	28	33	14	.220	.309	.400	.709	.180	.255	23	11	.313	98	-16	+1	-84	+18	+195	11.7
/ 162G	—			650	572	125	30	2	23	71	149	3	3	1	.219	.308	.399	.707	.180	.253	23	11	.313	98	-1	+0	-8	+2	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	151	140	36	8	0	3	11	29	0	0	0	.257	.311	.379	.690	.121	.306	19	7	.310	95	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2021	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	468	397	84	22	3	12	64	101	3	5	3	.212	.325	.373	.698	.161	.250	22	14	.315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+13	1.3
2021	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	115	95	30	8	2	5	20	23	0	2	0	.316	.435	.600	1.035	.284	.373	20	17	.447	200	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2022	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	238	204	34	10	2	5	30	67	2	4	1	.167	.280	.309	.588	.142	.216	28	13	.270	65	-9	+0	-2	+2	+7	-0.2
2022	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	367	302	69	13	0	20	60	99	5	1	1	.228	.365	.470	.835	.242	.268	27	16	.372	143	+18	-0	—	—	+10	2.8
2023	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	303	256	50	11	0	10	42	72	2	5	1	.195	.313	.355	.669	.160	.226	24	14	.303	90	-3	+1	-3	-5	+9	-0.2
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	133	108	36	8	2	8	23	18	0	1	1	.333	.450	.667	1.117	.333	.333	14	17	.470	218	+18	-0	—	—	+4	2.2
2024	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	642	572	139	43	4	20	67	125	2	2	3	.243	.324	.437	.762	.194	.279	19	10	.337	116	+12	-1	-2	+2	+18	3.0
2025	27	MLB	Athletics	344	307	65	17	0	14	36	91	0	1	2	.212	.294	.404	.698	.192	.251	26	10	.311	96	-2	-1	-7	+2	+10	0.2
2025	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	132	119	42	6	1	6	12	25	0	3	1	.353	.412	.571	.984	.218	.404	19	9	.427	185	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1527	1339	288	81	6	49	175	355	6	12	7	.215	.309	.394	.703	.179	.254	23	11	.314	99	-2	-0	-15	+1	+43	2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JJ Bleday (OGILVIE)	28	45	50	50	55	.221/.302/.404	.184	.256	19	4	23%	10%	99	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2022 · MLB	28	45→54	53→55	48→45	53	.232/.318/.404	.172	.266	20	9	22%	10%	105	+2.1	.241/.339/.409	.168	.280	20	5	21%	12%	115	+2.8	.244/.359/.388	.144	.287	17	2	20%	14%	115	+1.9
✕Esteban Quiroz 2021 · AAA	29	42→52	55	47→45	47	.222/.299/.405	.184	.277	23	7	28%	9%	98	+1.6	.224/.312/.381	.157	.280	18	7	25%	10%	97	+1.5	.208/.304/.337	.129	.254	14	6	23%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Jason Vosler 2022 · MLB	28	42→44	53→55	48→40	47	.225/.294/.399	.174	.267	22	4	25%	8%	94	+1.3	.213/.276/.381	.168	.268	22	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.205/.266/.374	.169	.260	23	4	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕George Kottaras 2011 · MLB	28	41→51	51→55	49→30	54	.216/.298/.381	.165	.255	19	4	24%	11%	91	+1.1	.232/.326/.406	.174	.284	20	5	24%	12%	109	+2.4	.223/.338/.408	.185	.278	22	1	26%	14%	105	+0.7
●Josh Reddick 2015 · MLB	28	48→58	55→60	51→50	51	.249/.313/.439	.190	.277	22	8	20%	8%	111	+2.5	.272/.331/.442	.170	.292	19	9	14%	8%	120	+3.1	.283/.343/.446	.162	.302	18	9	13%	8%	122	+2.9
✕Kyle Lewis 2023 · MLB	28	44→46	55	49→40	51	.229/.315/.401	.171	.291	25	7	29%	11%	103	+1.9	.247/.316/.423	.176	.320	23	4	29%	9%	109	+2.4	.268/.335/.445	.177	.348	24	0	28%	8%	118	+1.7
✕Scott Schebler 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	55→60	44→50	47	.244/.314/.431	.187	.282	23	6	23%	7%	111	+2.5	.204/.274/.342	.138	.264	17	5	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.164/.226/.272	.108	.237	13	4	36%	5%	30	-1.5
✕DJ Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	42→48	55→60	42→50	55	.224/.325/.407	.183	.271	23	5	26%	12%	109	+2.4	.224/.328/.412	.188	.280	25	6	28%	11%	112	+2.6	.212/.325/.401	.189	.259	26	6	28%	12%	104	+0.9
●Travis Shaw 2018 · MLB	28	48→53	55→60	50→45	49	.251/.318/.439	.188	.295	23	7	23%	8%	114	+2.7	.235/.328/.434	.199	.273	26	6	24%	12%	118	+3.0	.216/.322/.406	.190	.249	26	4	24%	13%	101	+1.2
✕Brad Miller 2018 · MLB	28	46→56	53→60	48→50	53	.236/.320/.415	.179	.286	20	9	24%	11%	108	+2.3	.236/.317/.423	.187	.305	22	6	28%	10%	109	+2.4	.231/.323/.461	.230	.278	31	5	28%	11%	117	+1.4
✕Ian Stewart 2012 · MLB	27	42→52	54→60	46→45	50	.222/.304/.397	.176	.279	22	8	28%	10%	98	+1.6	.189/.270/.325	.136	.269	15	5	34%	9%	66	-0.6	.149/.236/.270	.120	.224	13	2	38%	9%	31	-1.1
●Jay Bruce 2015 · MLB	28	46→55	55→65	48→50	49	.241/.310/.434	.193	.294	23	10	26%	9%	109	+2.4	.240/.305/.452	.212	.277	26	7	23%	8%	112	+2.6	.243/.311/.484	.240	.266	31	5	22%	9%	115	+2.8
✕Gregory Polanco 2020 · MLB	28	48→55	55→60	53→55	52	.246/.319/.438	.192	.285	22	12	22%	9%	114	+2.7	.221/.292/.402	.181	.278	23	16	28%	9%	94	+1.3	.201/.272/.373	.171	.249	24	19	29%	8%	73	-0.1
✕David Bote 2021 · MLB	28	45→48	54→55	47→45	50	.232/.318/.410	.178	.292	22	9	28%	10%	107	+2.2	.218/.294/.367	.149	.276	17	7	26%	8%	85	+0.7	.227/.294/.384	.157	.293	17	8	27%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Eric Valent 2005 · MLB	28	50	54→60	44→30	51	.257/.324/.442	.185	.293	22	4	21%	9%	117	+2.9	.228/.303/.363	.135	.282	15	4	23%	10%	88	+0.9	.210/.299/.327	.116	.259	12	1	23%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Josh VanMeter 2022 · MLB	27	45→49	54→55	48→50	53	.234/.320/.419	.185	.286	21	11	26%	11%	110	+2.4	.205/.302/.345	.140	.267	15	9	27%	12%	83	+0.6	.171/.283/.281	.110	.225	12	9	28%	13%	57	-0.4
✕Greg Bird 2021 · MLB	28	42→46	52→55	48→30	51	.219/.304/.389	.170	.271	20	5	27%	10%	96	+1.5	.206/.279/.363	.157	.270	20	4	30%	9%	79	+0.3	.184/.260/.333	.149	.236	20	1	31%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jake Lamb 2019 · MLB	28	46→54	57→60	45	56	.239/.334/.446	.206	.287	24	6	25%	12%	122	+3.3	.215/.316/.378	.163	.269	19	5	26%	12%	98	+1.6	.224/.314/.381	.158	.293	20	1	29%	10%	95	+0.8
✕Colby Rasmus 2015 · MLB	28	45→55	57→60	46→50	45	.237/.299/.433	.197	.297	25	5	29%	8%	105	+2.1	.229/.299/.428	.199	.299	26	5	31%	9%	103	+1.9	.221/.295/.421	.200	.282	27	4	31%	9%	95	+0.8
●Seth Smith 2011 · MLB	28	51→56	54→60	52→50	56	.258/.336/.446	.188	.286	20	8	18%	10%	123	+3.3	.257/.331/.432	.175	.300	17	7	19%	10%	117	+2.9	.252/.347/.428	.176	.294	17	0	19%	12%	116	+2.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)