Michael Turconi
SS Akron RubberDucks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | AA/A+TOR | 432 | .263/.391/.439 | 10 | 5 | 86 | — | .222/.317/.359 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AATOR | 401 | .232/.342/.296 | 2 | 10 | 55 | — | .206/.289/.254 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 113 | .120/.270/.174 | 0 | 0 | 5 | — | .103/.216/.155 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 28 | MLBCLE | 2 | .186/.265/.272 | 0 | 0 | 54 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 29 | MLBCLE | 34 | .186/.265/.273 | 0 | 0 | 54 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 39 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 281 | 410 | 281 | 692 | 346 | 15 | 18 | 334 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 68 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 409 | 370 | 779 | 93 | 298 | 12 | 13 | 353 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 121 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 306 | 324 | 629 | 147 | 208 | 22 | 15 | 292 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 311 | 251 | 75 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 299 | 425 | 486 | 911 | 187 | 368 | 21 | 17 | 400 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 105 | 97 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 257 | 227 | 484 | 31 | 306 | 33 | 8 | 228 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 296 | 244 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 82 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 246 | 372 | 324 | 696 | 78 | 358 | 28 | 15 | 324 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 28 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 259 | 174 | 433 | 43 | 188 | 29 | 14 | 210 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 85 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 116 | 274 | 174 | 448 | 58 | 211 | 38 | 16 | 226 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 39 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 265 | 359 | 265 | 624 | 331 | 21 | 13 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 68 | 57 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 364 | 351 | 715 | 88 | 280 | 16 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 121 | 109 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 156 | 240 | 266 | 506 | 110 | 200 | 28 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 311 | 266 | 66 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 84 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 248 | 346 | 395 | 741 | 147 | 323 | 27 | 12 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 105 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 229 | 212 | 441 | 30 | 309 | 40 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 296 | 257 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 101 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 214 | 311 | 268 | 579 | 54 | 337 | 34 | 10 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 28 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 167 | 389 | 42 | 166 | 36 | 11 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 85 | 73 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 96 | 214 | 151 | 365 | 55 | 200 | 48 | 12 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 91 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 264 | 362 | 319 | 681 | 55 | 315 | 18 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 107 | 86 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 410 | 337 | 747 | 58 | 315 | 13 | 15 | 346 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 375 | 82 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 118 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 219 | 314 | 352 | 666 | 133 | 294 | 27 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 432 | 353 | 93 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 70 | 91 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 263 | 391 | 439 | 830 | 176 | 323 | 21 | 16 | 369 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 356 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 142 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 205 | 289 | 250 | 539 | 45 | 335 | 35 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 401 | 341 | 79 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 52 | 117 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 232 | 342 | 296 | 638 | 65 | 344 | 29 | 13 | 299 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 97 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 93 | 207 | 134 | 341 | 41 | 188 | 45 | 12 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 113 | 92 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 120 | 270 | 174 | 444 | 54 | 204 | 35 | 16 | 222 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 92 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 362 | 315 | 677 | 54 | 299 | 18 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 432 | 377 | 82 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 118 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 218 | 314 | 350 | 664 | 133 | 289 | 27 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 356 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 142 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 205 | 289 | 250 | 539 | 45 | 330 | 35 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 207 | 133 | 340 | 41 | 192 | 45 | 12 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 356 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 142 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 205 | 289 | 250 | 539 | 45 | 330 | 35 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 207 | 133 | 340 | 41 | 192 | 45 | 12 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 2% | 200 | 178 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 185 | 265 | 272 | 537 | 87 | 284 | 35 | 9 | 248 | 54 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 265 | 272 | 537 | 86 | 284 | 50 | 0 | 248 | 54 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 23% | 151 | 136 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 52 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 186 | 265 | 273 | 539 | 87 | 283 | 34 | 9 | 248 | 54 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 23% | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 265 | 273 | 538 | 86 | 283 | 35 | 9 | 248 | 54 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 235 | 194 | 429 | 32 | 263 | 35 | 9 | 248 | 63 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 95 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 229 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 234 | 192 | 426 | 32 | 261 | 35 | 9 | 248 | 63 | -35 | +0 | -6 | +7 | +14 | -2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1309 | 1149 | 230 | 44 | 7 | 12 | 131 | 419 | 15 | 21 | 5 | 200 | 290 | 282 | 572 | 82 | 298 | 32 | 10 | 262 | 63 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 65 | 208 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 200 | 289 | 280 | 569 | 81 | 298 | 32 | 10 | 262 | 63 | -35 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 85 PAwOBA .224 → .176 (−49)K% 37.6% → 48.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.65% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 48.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.47% | ÷0.953 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 11.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.51% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 13.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.935 | ×0.950 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 2.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .224 → .176; ISO .058 → .049; BABIP .211 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAABuffalo Bisons · 28 PAwOBA .214 → .172 (−41)K% 28.6% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 12.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.098 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 5.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.847 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 101, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .214 → .172; ISO .043 → .034; BABIP .188 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 296 PAwOBA .319 → .268 (−51)K% 27.7% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.70% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.86% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 10.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.015 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 27.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.02% | ÷1.051 | ×0.860 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.145 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .319 → .268; ISO .078 → .061; BABIP .358 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAABuffalo Bisons · 105 PAwOBA .222 → .195 (−27)K% 33.3% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.62% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.81% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 26.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 4.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .222 → .195; ISO .031 → .027; BABIP .306 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Vancouver Canadians · 311 PAwOBA .396 → .320 (−76)K% 20.6% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.58% | ÷1.028 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.72% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 11.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.60% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×0.988 | 22.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.63% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.988 | 8.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.14% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.004 | ×0.988 | 1.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.74% | ÷1.253 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .396 → .320; ISO .187 → .146; BABIP .368 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 121 PAwOBA .285 → .232 (−54)K% 22.3% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.31% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.88% | ÷1.105 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 9.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 13.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.963 | ×0.860 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.033 | ×0.950 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 93, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .285 → .232; ISO .147 → .124; BABIP .208 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADunedin Blue Jays · 68 PAwOBA .355 → .313 (−42)K% 11.8% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.24% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 8.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.41% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 3.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 24.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .355 → .313; ISO .093 → .086; BABIP .298 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Vancouver Canadians · 39 PAwOBA .327 → .280 (−47)K% 15.4% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 20.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.95% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 12.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.62% | ÷0.950 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 33.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.254 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 151, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .327 → .280; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .346 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).