Ethan Chapman

PosCF

B/TL/R

Born1990-01-05

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	24	AANorthwest Ark…	347	.235/.311/.282	1	11	49	—	.234/.287/.279
2015	25	AAPHI	83	.181/.280/.236	1	1	31	—	.184/.244/.237
2017	27	AAAVaqueros Unio…	347	.277/.352/.363	5	20	68	—	.241/.296/.312

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	22	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	318	281	88	9	9	1	32	43	1	25	7	313	385	420	805	107	364	14	10	357	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	256	219	55	6	0	0	25	44	1	14	10	251	331	279	609	27	312	17	10	274	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A	Lexington Legends	—	224	189	45	6	1	0	26	36	1	18	8	238	333	280	614	42	292	16	12	279	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	347	298	70	7	2	1	32	74	1	11	9	235	311	282	593	47	307	21	9	264	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	83	72	13	1	0	1	10	18	0	1	0	181	280	236	517	56	222	22	12	245	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	347	300	83	9	1	5	30	83	5	20	12	277	352	363	716	87	355	24	9	316	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	22	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	318	294	69	6	6	1	19	62	1	25	7	235	283	306	590	71	291	19	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	256	229	54	5	0	0	15	61	1	14	10	236	286	258	543	22	297	24	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	224	198	42	4	1	0	17	45	1	18	8	212	278	242	520	30	261	20	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	347	308	72	7	2	1	22	92	1	11	9	234	287	279	566	45	303	27	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	83	76	14	1	0	1	6	21	0	1	0	184	244	237	481	53	225	25	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	347	311	75	8	1	4	19	100	5	20	12	241	296	312	607	71	310	29	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	318	294	69	6	6	1	19	62	1	25	7	235	283	306	590	71	292	19	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	318	281	88	9	9	1	32	43	1	25	7	313	385	420	805	107	364	14	10	357	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	480	427	96	9	1	0	32	106	2	32	18	225	282	251	533	26	297	22	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	480	408	100	12	1	0	51	80	2	32	18	245	332	279	611	34	303	17	11	277	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	347	308	72	7	2	1	22	92	1	11	9	234	287	279	566	45	327	27	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	347	298	70	7	2	1	32	74	1	11	9	235	311	282	593	47	307	21	9	264	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	83	76	14	1	0	1	6	21	0	1	0	184	244	237	481	53	236	25	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	—	83	72	13	1	0	1	10	18	0	1	0	181	280	236	517	56	222	22	12	245	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	347	311	75	8	1	4	19	100	5	20	12	241	296	312	607	71	330	29	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	347	300	83	9	1	5	30	83	5	20	12	277	352	363	716	87	355	24	9	316	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	318	295	69	6	6	1	19	62	1	25	7	234	283	305	589	71	291	19	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	480	443	96	9	1	0	32	106	2	32	18	217	282	242	524	25	280	22	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	347	321	72	7	2	1	22	92	1	11	9	224	287	268	555	44	303	27	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	83	77	14	1	0	1	6	21	0	1	0	182	244	234	478	52	225	25	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	347	320	75	8	1	4	19	100	5	20	12	234	296	303	599	69	310	29	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1575	1416	326	31	10	7	98	381	9	89	46	230	284	281	565	51	306	24	6	248	54	-87	-1	+0	+6	+34	-4.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	135	13	4	3	40	157	4	37	19	231	285	283	567	51	307	24	6	248	54	-36	-0	+0	+2	+14	-2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAVaqueros Union Laguna · 347 PAwOBA .312 → .268 (−44)K% 23.9% → 28.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.92%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	28.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.78%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.43%
HBP% /PA	1.44%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.36%
Singles /BIP	31.34%	÷1.039	×0.930	×0.984	×1.003	27.69%
Doubles /BIP	4.15%	÷0.972	×0.830	×0.984	×1.003	3.50%
Triples /BIP	0.46%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.984	×1.003	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	2.30%	÷0.879	×0.700	—	×1.003	1.84%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .312 → .268; ISO .087 → .073; BABIP .355 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAReading Fightin Phils · 83 PAwOBA .236 → .214 (−22)K% 21.7% → 25.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.69%	÷1.060	×1.220	—	—	24.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.84%	÷1.029	×0.700	—	×0.998	7.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.37%	÷0.995	×0.970	×1.050	×0.998	20.80%
Doubles /BIP	1.85%	÷0.949	×0.860	×1.050	×0.998	1.76%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.050	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.85%	÷1.021	×0.780	—	×0.998	1.41%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 112, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .236 → .214; ISO .056 → .047; BABIP .222 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 347 PAwOBA .259 → .241 (−18)K% 21.3% → 26.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.33%	÷0.984	×1.220	—	—	26.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.22%	÷1.028	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.36%
HBP% /PA	0.29%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	0.25%
Singles /BIP	26.79%	÷0.977	×0.920	×1.050	×1.012	26.80%
Doubles /BIP	3.12%	÷0.969	×0.840	×1.050	×1.012	2.88%
Triples /BIP	0.89%	÷1.127	×0.940	×1.050	×1.012	0.79%
Home runs /BIP	0.45%	÷1.199	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.30%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 125, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .259 → .241; ISO .047 → .042; BABIP .307 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 256 PAwOBA .269 → .235 (−34)K% 17.2% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.19%	÷1.018	×1.420	—	—	23.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.77%	÷1.031	×0.630	—	×0.998	5.95%
HBP% /PA	0.39%	—	×0.860	—	×0.998	0.34%
Singles /BIP	28.00%	÷0.989	×0.940	×1.024	×0.998	27.20%
Doubles /BIP	3.43%	÷1.082	×0.830	×1.024	×0.998	2.69%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.072	×0.800	×1.024	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.924	×0.900	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 114, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .269 → .235; ISO .027 → .022; BABIP .312 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ALexington Legends · 224 PAwOBA .274 → .233 (−42)K% 16.1% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.07%	÷1.074	×1.340	—	—	20.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.61%	÷0.995	×0.660	—	×0.990	7.62%
HBP% /PA	0.45%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	0.34%
Singles /BIP	24.84%	÷1.001	×0.920	×1.015	×0.990	22.95%
Doubles /BIP	3.92%	÷1.183	×0.820	×1.015	×0.990	2.73%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷1.043	×0.940	×1.015	×0.990	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.379	×0.820	—	×0.990	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 100, 2B 137, 3B 109, K 115, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .274 → .233; ISO .042 → .033; BABIP .292 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 318 PAwOBA .351 → .262 (−89)K% 13.5% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.52%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	19.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.06%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×0.975	5.98%
HBP% /PA	0.31%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.22%
Singles /BIP	28.99%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.027	×0.975	23.82%
Doubles /BIP	3.78%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.027	×0.975	2.73%
Triples /BIP	3.78%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.027	×0.975	2.73%
Home runs /BIP	0.42%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.975	0.31%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .351 → .262; ISO .107 → .077; BABIP .364 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).