Paul McIntosh — OGILVIE

Paul McIntoshC Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 220 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION281 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO127

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	94	75	19	6	2	6	15	20	3	0	0	253	398	627	1.025	373	260	21	16	432	179	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2022	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	383	318	82	25	1	13	55	75	8	10	5	258	381	465	846	208	297	20	14	376	140	+18	+0	—	—	+8	2.7
2023	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	117	100	23	0	0	5	13	32	3	0	0	230	336	380	716	150	281	27	11	325	106	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	166	137	35	2	0	8	23	34	4	3	2	255	378	445	823	190	278	20	14	366	134	+7	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
2023	25	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	49	42	10	5	0	1	7	19	0	0	0	238	347	429	776	190	409	39	14	347	121	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	25	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	57	48	11	1	0	2	6	19	3	3	2	229	351	375	726	146	333	33	11	335	113	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	480	418	103	18	2	12	50	95	10	8	3	246	341	385	726	139	291	20	10	329	109	+5	+0	—	—	+10	1.6
2025	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	40	30	4	0	0	2	6	8	2	0	0	133	316	333	649	200	91	20	15	291	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	27	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	232	206	55	13	0	8	23	40	2	2	0	267	346	447	793	180	296	17	10	352	124	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	94	80	16	4	2	5	10	27	3	0	0	200	312	487	799	287	208	29	11	339	116	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	383	336	75	21	1	10	37	95	8	10	5	223	315	381	696	158	273	25	10	302	91	-4	+0	—	—	+8	0.4
2023	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	117	104	20	0	0	3	9	37	3	0	0	192	276	279	555	87	264	32	8	261	63	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	166	145	30	2	0	6	15	42	4	3	2	207	299	345	644	138	238	25	9	284	78	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2023	25	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	49	44	8	4	0	1	5	26	0	0	0	182	265	341	606	159	381	53	10	247	53	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	480	435	96	16	2	9	33	111	10	8	3	221	291	329	620	108	272	23	7	274	72	-16	+0	—	—	+10	-0.6
2025	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	40	32	4	0	0	2	4	10	2	0	0	125	263	312	576	188	85	25	10	242	50	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	232	213	50	11	0	6	16	48	2	2	0	235	294	371	665	136	273	21	7	291	83	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	94	80	16	4	2	5	10	27	3	0	0	200	312	487	799	287	224	29	11	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	94	75	19	6	2	6	15	20	3	0	0	253	398	627	1.025	373	260	21	16	432	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	383	336	75	21	1	10	37	95	8	10	5	223	315	381	696	158	279	25	10	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	383	318	82	25	1	13	55	75	8	10	5	258	381	465	846	208	297	20	14	376	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	4 teams	—	389	342	68	6	0	12	34	123	10	6	4	199	290	322	612	123	267	32	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	4 teams	—	389	327	79	8	0	16	49	104	10	6	4	242	358	413	770	171	300	27	13	347	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	480	435	96	16	2	9	33	111	10	8	3	221	291	329	620	108	274	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	480	418	103	18	2	12	50	95	10	8	3	246	341	385	726	139	291	20	10	329	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	272	245	54	11	0	8	20	58	4	2	0	220	290	363	653	143	253	21	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	272	236	59	13	0	10	29	48	4	2	0	250	342	432	774	182	271	18	11	343	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	94	81	16	4	2	5	10	27	3	0	0	198	312	481	793	284	208	29	11	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	383	335	75	21	1	10	37	95	8	10	5	224	315	382	697	158	273	25	10	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	4 teams	—	389	342	68	6	0	12	34	123	10	6	4	199	290	322	612	123	268	32	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	480	434	96	16	2	9	33	111	10	8	3	221	291	329	620	108	272	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	272	246	54	11	0	8	20	58	4	2	0	220	290	362	652	142	245	21	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	4 teams	—	389	342	68	6	0	12	34	123	10	6	4	199	290	322	612	123	268	32	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	480	434	96	16	2	9	33	111	10	8	3	221	291	329	620	108	272	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	272	246	54	11	0	8	20	58	4	2	0	220	290	362	652	142	245	21	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	PHI	—	281	253	52	13	0	6	19	73	7	0	0	206	280	328	608	123	261	26	7	272	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA RAW	PHI	—	281	245	61	16	0	9	27	61	7	0	0	249	341	424	765	176	294	22	10	341	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AAA MLE	PHI	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	22	11	283	78	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	28	MLB CTX	PHI	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						271	0	0	273	78	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	PHI	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	273	70	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	28	AAA MLE	PHI	—	290	261	53	13	0	6	20	75	7	0	0	203	278	322	600	119	258	26	7	272	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PHI	33%	290	262	57	12	0	7	21	73	5	2	0	218	288	344	632	126	271	25	7	286	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	PHI	46%	319	287	64	13	1	8	23	80	6	1	0	223	294	359	653	136	271	25	7	286	79	-8	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	307	276	60	12	1	7	23	78	5	1	0	217	289	344	634	127	270	25	7	283	78	-8	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.2
2030	32	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	288	260	55	11	0	7	21	74	5	1	0	212	283	335	618	123	267	26	7	279	75	-9	+0	-4	+5	+6	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	PHI	33%	95	86	18	4	0	2	7	24	2	0	0	209	284	326	610	116	273	25	7	277	79	-2	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	PHI	46%	146	131	29	6	0	4	11	37	3	1	0	221	297	359	655	137	274	25	8	277	79	-4	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	164	148	32	7	0	4	12	41	3	1	0	216	288	345	633	128	272	25	7	276	78	-4	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2030	32	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	167	150	32	6	0	4	12	43	3	1	0	213	285	333	618	120	269	26	7	271	75	-5	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	573	516	111	23	0	14	42	145	11	3	0	215	288	341	629	126	269	25	7	275	79	-15	+1	-5	+10	+12	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	126	26	0	16	48	164	12	3	0	215	288	342	630	126	270	25	7	275	79	-17	+1	-6	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2831	2531	546	106	7	73	223	721	56	31	12	216	294	350	643	134	270	25	8	284	79	-32	+1	-10	+22	+26	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	126	24	2	17	51	166	13	7	3	217	295	353	647	136	271	26	8	284	79	-17	+1	-5	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	598	14	3	216	285	342	+11	+8	1.0	1.0
/162	664	16	3	+11.9	+8.9	1.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paul McIntosh (OGILVIE)	28	50	50	45	45	213/285/338	125	269	6	1	25%	7%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→49	48→50	48→45	49	234/302/373	139	276	17	6	22%	8%	91	+0.7	239/300/372	133	305	15	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	230/288/352	123	295	14	6	26%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	48→52	44→45	47→40	45	235/287/343	108	286	12	3	22%	6%	78	-0.3	223/278/320	97	273	11	4	22%	6%	70	-0.9	242/307/339	96	312	9	2	24%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Jett Bandy 2018 · MLB	28	44	48→50	44→45	43	225/288/365	140	265	17	5	22%	6%	85	+0.2	212/277/355	143	265	18	6	27%	5%	78	-0.3	188/253/311	123	242	16	2	29%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	48	46→50	43→40	51	237/313/371	133	279	13	5	20%	8%	95	+1.0	214/278/320	106	265	9	4	22%	7%	70	-0.8	191/253/282	92	240	7	1	23%	6%	51	-0.8
✕Anthony Recker 2012 · MLB	28	45→49	50	44→45	46	231/298/388	157	296	18	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	217/286/373	156	289	19	7	30%	8%	86	+0.3	197/266/351	154	263	21	3	32%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Kevin Plawecki 2019 · MLB	28	48→56	47→45	43→30	50	238/315/378	141	279	14	3	20%	8%	98	+1.2	248/318/381	133	292	13	5	19%	8%	99	+1.3	238/304/332	94	278	8	0	17%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Carlos Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	47→49	46→60	47→45	45	237/286/363	126	276	14	6	20%	6%	82	+0.0	215/260/371	156	236	20	4	19%	5%	76	-0.4	215/286/399	184	236	23	0	21%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Caleb Joseph 2014 · AAA	28	47→49	47→50	46→40	43	235/276/369	134	274	14	5	20%	5%	80	-0.1	221/269/348	127	267	14	3	22%	6%	73	-0.6	223/272/341	118	272	13	0	23%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	28	48→54	44→45	43→50	45	234/288/352	117	294	12	8	24%	7%	80	-0.1	234/296/348	114	303	10	8	25%	7%	82	+0.0	232/297/347	115	299	10	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Nick Tanielu 2021 · AAA	28	47→53	48→50	43→40	45	239/285/387	147	277	16	5	20%	6%	88	+0.4	205/264/333	128	257	14	5	25%	6%	68	-1.0	189/252/313	124	237	13	3	26%	6%	56	-0.9
●James McCann 2018 · MLB	28	48→55	50	45	44	245/302/395	150	299	18	3	24%	6%	96	+1.0	249/305/401	152	317	19	4	26%	6%	99	+1.2	258/319/420	162	336	21	4	28%	7%	106	+1.0
✕Alan Espinoza 2019 · AAA	28	47	47→50	49→45	42	238/281/370	132	278	15	7	20%	5%	82	+0.0	252/296/398	146	291	17	7	19%	5%	95	+0.9	266/304/414	148	301	18	3	18%	4%	100	+0.8
✕Donny Sands 2023 · AAA	27	49	46→45	46→40	49	244/304/367	124	288	14	5	21%	8%	90	+0.6	215/277/315	100	285	9	5	26%	8%	68	-1.0	196/262/290	94	259	7	1	26%	8%	55	-1.3
✕Jonathan Aceves 2006 · AAA	28	46	45→50	45→30	44	228/291/360	132	291	12	4	26%	7%	84	+0.1	230/288/376	146	289	15	4	25%	6%	87	+0.4	243/313/353	111	291	12	1	20%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Tony Sanchez 2015 · MLB	27	44→49	47→50	45→40	44	223/287/364	141	291	15	2	28%	7%	84	+0.1	208/277/312	104	270	9	5	25%	7%	68	-1.0	231/287/319	89	313	8	1	27%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Brian O'Keefe 2021 · AA	28	41→43	46→55	45→40	47	211/281/338	127	262	14	5	25%	8%	76	-0.4	215/273/369	154	291	19	5	32%	7%	80	-0.2	196/260/359	163	245	20	1	28%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Xavier Fernández 2022 · AAA	27	44	48→45	47→40	43	226/278/356	129	273	17	6	24%	6%	78	-0.3	237/286/355	118	284	12	4	20%	6%	81	-0.1	241/291/360	119	284	11	1	19%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Devin Ivany 2010 · AA	28	44→48	47→50	42→45	44	226/278/364	139	276	15	7	24%	6%	80	-0.1	215/268/327	112	280	11	9	26%	6%	68	-1.0	203/254/302	99	264	9	8	26%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Cameron Rupp 2017 · MLB	28	45→48	51→55	45→30	43	232/291/392	160	294	18	3	27%	7%	92	+0.7	212/283/383	171	296	21	3	34%	8%	87	+0.4	183/262/347	163	262	22	1	37%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Nevin Ashley 2013 · AAA	28	48→51	43→45	44→45	44	232/300/345	113	295	10	6	24%	6%	84	+0.1	223/286/328	105	289	9	5	25%	7%	75	-0.5	223/291/321	98	292	9	1	25%	7%	73	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps