Paul McIntosh — OGILVIE

Paul McIntoshC Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 220 lbs AAA HR +11%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.8 · 2027

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .296 / .363

PA250

HR7

K%25

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

50→50

SPD

45→45

EYE

46↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2031	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	94	80	17	4	2	6	10	27	3	0	0	.212	.323	.537	.860	.325	.229	29	11	.349	125	+3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.7
2022	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	383	336	76	22	1	12	37	100	8	10	5	.226	.318	.405	.722	.179	.283	26	10	.310	95	-2	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.6
2023	25	AA	4 teams	389	342	69	6	0	14	34	126	10	6	4	.202	.293	.342	.635	.140	.268	32	9	.277	70	-13	-0	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2024	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	480	435	96	16	2	11	33	119	10	8	3	.221	.291	.343	.633	.122	.277	25	7	.275	69	-17	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.6
2025	27	AA	2 teams	272	245	55	11	0	9	20	60	4	2	0	.224	.294	.380	.673	.155	.257	22	7	.292	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	34	31	5	2	0	1	2	11	1	0	0	.161	.235	.323	.558	.161	.211	32	6	.244	45	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	28	MLB	PHI	216	194	44	8	1	6	16	55	4	2	1	.227	.299	.371	.670	.144	.273	25	7	.294	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.6
TOT	28	MLB	PHI	250	225	49	10	1	7	18	66	5	2	1	.218	.290	.364	.655	.147	.275	26	7	.287	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	PHI	290	261	59	11	1	8	22	67	5	3	1	.226	.299	.368	.666	.142	.268	23	8	.298	87	-4	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.8
2028	30	MLB 33%	PHI	319	286	64	12	1	9	25	75	5	3	1	.224	.297	.367	.665	.143	.269	24	8	.297	86	-5	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.8
2029	31	MLB 43%	PHI	307	275	61	11	1	8	24	73	5	1	0	.222	.296	.356	.652	.135	.269	24	8	.295	84	-6	+0	-3	+5	+9	0.6
2030	32	MLB 52%	PHI	288	259	58	11	1	8	23	70	4	1	0	.224	.297	.367	.664	.143	.268	24	8	.291	81	-6	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.4
2031	33	MLB 64%	PHI	256	230	49	9	1	6	20	64	4	0	0	.213	.287	.339	.627	.126	.266	25	8	.285	77	-7	+0	-4	+5	+7	0.1
2032	34	MLB 73%	PHI	213	192	40	7	1	5	16	55	3	0	0	.208	.280	.333	.613	.125	.264	26	8	.279	72	-7	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.2
2033	35	MLB 81%	PHI	164	149	30	5	0	4	12	44	2	0	0	.201	.270	.315	.585	.114	.262	27	7	.271	66	-6	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3671	3284	718	133	12	106	292	935	67	36	15	.219	.296	.363	.659	.145	.270	25	8	.291	81	-80	+1	-24	+66	+104	6.7
/ 162G	—			650	581	128	24	2	19	52	166	12	6	3	.220	.298	.367	.664	.146	.273	26	8	.291	81	-14	+0	-4	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	94	75	19	6	2	6	15	20	3	0	0	.253	.398	.627	1.025	.373	.260	21	16	.432	189	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2022	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	383	318	82	25	1	13	55	75	8	10	5	.258	.381	.465	.846	.208	.297	20	14	.376	146	+20	+0	—	—	+11	3.1
2023	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	117	100	23	0	0	5	13	32	3	0	0	.230	.336	.380	.716	.150	.281	27	11	.325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	166	137	35	2	0	8	23	34	4	3	2	.255	.378	.445	.823	.190	.278	20	14	.366	139	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	25	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	49	42	10	5	0	1	7	19	0	0	0	.238	.347	.429	.776	.190	.409	39	14	.347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	25	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	57	48	11	1	0	2	6	19	3	3	2	.229	.351	.375	.726	.146	.333	33	11	.335	114	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	480	418	103	18	2	12	50	95	10	8	3	.246	.341	.385	.726	.139	.291	20	10	.329	110	+5	+0	—	—	+14	2.0
2025	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	40	30	4	0	0	2	6	8	2	0	0	.133	.316	.333	.649	.200	.091	20	15	.291	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	27	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	232	206	55	13	0	8	23	40	2	2	0	.267	.346	.447	.793	.180	.296	17	10	.352	127	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paul McIntosh (OGILVIE)	28	50	50	45	45	.225/.296/.363	.138	.279	7	3	25%	7%	86	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	49→50	48→50	47→45	49	.247/.313/.386	.139	.305	16	4	24%	8%	98	+1.6	.237/.295/.372	.135	.302	15	8	26%	7%	86	+0.8	.222/.275/.349	.128	.281	15	11	26%	6%	68	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→49	51→55	46→30	44	.235/.294/.394	.158	.299	20	3	28%	7%	92	+1.2	.230/.285/.371	.141	.296	16	4	27%	6%	82	+0.5	.223/.277/.353	.130	.278	13	2	24%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Michael McKenry 2013 · MLB	28	44→46	49→55	43→40	47	.224/.290/.370	.146	.281	16	3	26%	8%	85	+0.7	.242/.314/.405	.163	.294	19	6	23%	9%	104	+2.0	.231/.329/.388	.157	.295	17	5	26%	12%	101	+0.7
✕John Hester 2012 · MLB	28	48	45→55	43→50	43	.234/.286/.359	.125	.303	12	8	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.205/.263/.320	.115	.288	12	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	.188/.247/.298	.110	.271	12	4	34%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	42	50	43→40	43	.209/.295/.363	.155	.298	17	4	34%	8%	86	+0.8	.225/.297/.384	.159	.313	17	4	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.221/.291/.378	.157	.312	18	2	33%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	43→48	51→50	43→45	47	.220/.295/.378	.157	.286	19	7	29%	9%	89	+0.9	.211/.280/.369	.158	.286	20	6	32%	8%	80	+0.4	.200/.280/.351	.151	.266	19	3	31%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	46→54	49→50	45	44	.236/.289/.381	.145	.282	17	4	23%	6%	86	+0.8	.217/.286/.379	.162	.259	20	5	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.183/.263/.348	.164	.208	22	1	24%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	52→58	46→50	46→50	43	.257/.301/.389	.133	.310	13	7	22%	6%	93	+1.3	.241/.289/.355	.114	.306	11	6	24%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.276/.324	.098	.285	9	5	23%	6%	63	-0.5
●Brandon Inge 2005 · MLB	28	48→56	48→55	44→45	47	.239/.299/.387	.148	.280	15	7	20%	7%	92	+1.2	.253/.318/.419	.166	.298	18	7	21%	8%	108	+2.3	.246/.316/.412	.166	.295	18	7	22%	8%	102	+1.9
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	46	.231/.290/.377	.146	.281	15	12	23%	7%	86	+0.8	.226/.270/.358	.132	.293	14	12	27%	5%	72	-0.2	.208/.248/.323	.114	.277	14	12	30%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Josh Fields 2011 · MLB	28	47→56	49→55	45→50	44	.234/.295/.378	.143	.309	17	8	29%	8%	89	+0.9	.251/.303/.393	.142	.332	15	11	27%	7%	95	+1.4	.250/.299/.374	.123	.348	11	11	30%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	42→49	54→55	47→55	46	.224/.291/.399	.174	.259	23	11	24%	7%	93	+1.3	.215/.281/.358	.143	.270	16	13	26%	7%	78	+0.2	.210/.278/.325	.115	.278	10	18	27%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Caleb Joseph 2014 · AAA	28	47→50	47→50	47→40	43	.238/.280/.374	.136	.279	15	5	21%	5%	81	+0.4	.227/.273/.363	.136	.274	16	3	23%	6%	75	-0.0	.228/.276/.350	.122	.278	13	0	23%	6%	70	-0.2
✕John Hicks 2019 · MLB	29	50→51	49→60	44→50	41	.252/.295/.397	.145	.322	17	6	27%	5%	93	+1.3	.230/.270/.397	.167	.302	22	6	31%	5%	83	+0.6	.215/.250/.403	.188	.281	26	9	34%	4%	73	-0.1
✕Deibinson Romero 2015 · AAA	28	45→46	47→50	47→40	47	.228/.295/.366	.138	.276	15	4	23%	8%	85	+0.7	.228/.295/.362	.134	.269	14	4	20%	8%	84	+0.6	.228/.297/.358	.130	.254	15	1	17%	8%	84	+0.2
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	45→50	49→40	49	.215/.292/.335	.120	.252	13	6	20%	8%	76	+0.1	.217/.288/.330	.113	.269	12	4	23%	8%	73	-0.1	.225/.294/.342	.116	.277	13	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1
●Jonathan Aceves 2006 · AAA	28	46	47→55	45→30	43	.229/.291/.371	.142	.294	14	5	27%	7%	85	+0.7	.232/.289/.390	.158	.293	17	4	26%	6%	90	+1.0	.240/.292/.410	.170	.283	22	3	23%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Matt Downs 2012 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	44→50	47	.233/.294/.385	.152	.264	16	7	19%	6%	90	+1.0	.211/.269/.348	.137	.248	16	6	22%	6%	70	-0.3	.183/.238/.296	.112	.215	14	5	22%	5%	40	-1.2
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	38→42	49→50	46→40	51	.195/.290/.346	.151	.268	16	6	32%	11%	79	+0.3	.210/.290/.356	.146	.319	16	6	36%	10%	81	+0.4	.203/.283/.339	.136	.319	15	4	38%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	47	48→50	43→40	50	.237/.311/.381	.144	.279	16	4	21%	8%	96	+1.5	.217/.281/.326	.109	.267	9	4	22%	7%	69	-0.4	.192/.254/.284	.092	.242	7	1	23%	6%	46	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)