Andy Thomas — OGILVIE

Andy ThomasC Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 28 L/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .275 / .296

PA20

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO89

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	43	38	11	2	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	289	357	421	778	132	370	26	7	342	118	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	45	33	6	2	0	0	11	6	0	0	0	182	386	242	629	61	214	13	24	308	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	367	302	72	13	0	10	58	91	7	1	0	238	373	381	754	142	308	25	16	347	121	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.8
2022	24	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	43	33	6	1	0	0	10	8	0	1	0	182	372	212	584	30	240	19	23	297	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	381	86	16	1	11	56	107	3	5	1	226	330	360	689	134	279	24	12	310	96	-2	+1	—	—	+10	0.8
2024	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	378	85	16	1	5	43	87	6	4	2	225	314	312	626	87	279	20	10	287	80	-10	+0	—	—	+9	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	43	39	9	1	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	231	286	333	619	103	329	35	5	268	68	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	45	36	6	2	0	0	8	8	0	0	0	167	318	222	540	56	188	18	18	247	53	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	367	323	58	10	0	7	37	124	7	1	0	180	278	276	553	96	265	34	10	252	57	-19	+0	—	—	+8	-1.1
2023	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	398	81	14	1	10	39	131	3	5	1	204	280	319	599	116	259	29	9	262	63	-19	+1	—	—	+10	-0.9
2024	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	391	75	12	1	4	30	104	6	4	2	192	260	258	518	66	244	24	7	231	42	-30	+0	—	—	+9	-2.1
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	88	76	15	3	0	1	9	23	1	0	0	197	291	276	567	79	259	26	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	88	71	17	4	0	1	14	17	1	0	0	239	372	338	710	99	291	19	16	325	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	410	361	65	11	0	8	42	138	7	2	0	180	278	277	555	97	265	34	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	410	335	78	14	0	10	68	99	7	2	0	233	373	364	737	131	301	24	17	342	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	398	81	14	1	10	39	131	3	5	1	204	280	319	599	116	270	29	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	381	86	16	1	11	56	107	3	5	1	226	330	360	689	134	279	24	12	310	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	391	75	12	1	4	30	104	6	4	2	192	260	258	518	66	250	24	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	378	85	16	1	5	43	87	6	4	2	225	314	312	626	87	279	20	10	287	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	88	78	15	3	0	1	9	23	1	0	0	192	291	269	560	77	257	26	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	410	358	65	11	0	8	42	138	7	2	0	182	278	279	557	98	265	34	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	403	81	14	1	10	39	131	3	5	1	201	280	315	595	114	259	29	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	393	75	12	1	4	30	104	6	4	2	191	260	257	517	66	244	24	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	403	81	14	1	10	39	131	3	5	1	201	280	315	595	114	259	29	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	393	75	12	1	4	30	104	6	4	2	191	260	257	517	66	244	24	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	SF	2%	20	18	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	222	300	278	578	56	271	25	10	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SF	23%	258	233	50	9	1	4	20	64	3	3	1	215	285	313	598	99	272	25	8	267	67	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	SF	35%	301	272	59	11	1	5	23	75	3	3	1	217	285	320	605	103	272	25	8	269	68	-11	+0	-2	+5	+7	-0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	SF	42%	307	277	59	11	1	5	24	77	3	3	1	213	283	314	597	101	271	25	8	267	67	-12	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	SF	23%	58	53	11	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	208	276	302	578	94	267	24	7	254	67	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	SF	35%	104	94	19	4	0	1	8	26	1	1	0	202	272	277	548	74	267	25	8	256	68	-4	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	SF	42%	128	116	23	4	0	2	10	32	1	1	0	198	268	284	552	86	266	25	8	255	67	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	290	263	53	10	0	4	22	72	3	3	0	202	271	285	556	84	259	25	8	255	60	-11	+1	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	118	22	0	9	49	161	7	7	0	200	269	284	553	83	258	25	8	255	60	-25	+1	-5	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2264	2026	408	72	5	37	189	617	26	20	6	201	278	297	575	95	268	27	8	256	60	-35	+1	-6	+16	+19	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	117	21	1	11	54	177	7	6	2	201	277	297	574	96	266	27	8	256	60	-25	+0	-5	+12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	296	4	3	212	279	308	+5	+4	0.1	0.1
/162	664	10	7	+11.9	+9.0	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Thomas (OGILVIE)	28	46	34	45	46	207/275/296	88	271	3	3	25%	8%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Bemboom 2018 · AAA	28	43	40	46→45	46	210/270/304	93	271	7	7	24%	7%	63	-1.4	202/267/309	107	264	11	4	26%	7%	63	-1.3	201/272/306	105	260	10	2	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA	28	45→47	39→40	46→45	43	214/271/298	83	280	6	7	25%	6%	61	-1.5	203/264/289	86	290	7	7	31%	7%	57	-1.8	151/217/205	53	224	5	0	33%	7%	19	-1.3
✕Tyler LaTorre 2012 · AAA	29	45	40	42→40	45	215/278/312	97	287	7	5	27%	7%	68	-1.0	217/277/313	96	294	8	6	27%	7%	68	-1.0	241/298/312	71	324	5	3	25%	7%	73	-0.2
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA	28	43→38	37→40	42→40	48	205/287/272	67	288	6	7	29%	9%	63	-1.4	198/269/264	66	271	5	5	27%	8%	54	-2.0	178/260/236	58	234	5	0	24%	10%	43	-0.9
✕Javi Herrera 2009 · AAA	28	46	40	43→45	49	219/301/308	89	274	7	7	22%	8%	77	-0.3	211/290/311	100	276	8	9	25%	9%	73	-0.6	131/224/197	66	169	5	0	24%	9%	26	-0.7
✕Jose Salazar 2012 · AAA	28	49	38→40	43→45	46	233/274/311	78	269	6	8	16%	5%	65	-1.2	235/271/317	82	297	5	7	22%	5%	65	-1.2	234/267/301	67	302	3	5	23%	4%	57	-0.8
✕Chris Kroski 2009 · AA	27	44	42→45	46→40	43	215/273/327	112	278	9	5	26%	6%	70	-0.9	210/276/317	107	283	8	7	27%	8%	68	-1.0	172/247/279	107	233	8	0	28%	9%	47	-0.5
✕Jonathan Morales 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	42→40	46→30	46	222/278/315	94	269	11	4	22%	7%	68	-1.0	222/275/344	122	261	14	5	20%	7%	74	-0.5	205/254/326	121	230	15	1	19%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Peter Mooney 2019 · AAA	28	46→51	40	43→45	49	222/277/312	90	253	7	5	16%	7%	67	-1.1	208/271/306	98	257	8	9	21%	7%	64	-1.3	178/245/259	81	226	6	7	23%	8%	40	-1.2
✕Sergio Burruel 2019 · AAA	28	51	38→30	40→30	48	243/295/316	73	288	5	6	17%	6%	75	-0.5	237/317/382	145	311	15	8	27%	10%	99	+1.2	219/323/384	165	287	18	0	28%	12%	99	+0.3
✕Brian Ward 2014 · AA	28	47	39→40	48→45	48	226/288/313	87	271	6	8	19%	7%	72	-0.7	221/290/306	85	284	8	7	23%	8%	71	-0.8	221/293/264	42	287	3	4	22%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Joel Weeks 2012 · AA	27	46	38→45	43→45	45	221/272/300	79	283	6	5	24%	6%	62	-1.4	220/272/303	83	293	7	6	26%	7%	63	-1.4	211/259/265	54	278	6	0	25%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Jeff Kunkel 2011 · AAA	28	44	41→40	44→30	41	215/264/308	93	276	8	4	25%	5%	61	-1.5	207/263/298	91	283	8	7	28%	5%	59	-1.6	141/200/175	34	208	3	0	32%	3%	7	-1.2
✕Irving Lopez 2023 · AAA	28	44→50	39→45	50→40	44	212/275/299	87	268	6	8	23%	6%	64	-1.3	227/300/343	116	287	11	6	23%	8%	84	+0.1	225/306/345	121	283	12	0	24%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2012 · AA	28	46	38→40	46→50	45	219/276/297	77	277	6	11	22%	6%	63	-1.4	218/291/295	77	276	4	13	21%	8%	70	-0.9	211/296/269	58	261	1	11	18%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Marcus Lemon 2016 · AAA	28	47→53	39→40	42→45	40	224/266/310	87	289	5	5	24%	5%	62	-1.4	218/270/301	83	288	5	6	25%	5%	61	-1.5	205/260/265	60	273	2	1	24%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Beau Amaral 2019 · AAA	28	46→52	37→40	48→55	42	220/267/294	74	284	5	10	24%	5%	59	-1.7	220/271/321	101	283	9	11	24%	6%	68	-1.0	198/251/303	105	243	11	10	23%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Israel Nunez 2014 · AAA	28	48	39→40	42→40	45	230/281/312	82	281	7	7	20%	6%	68	-1.0	252/302/344	92	308	7	6	19%	5%	84	+0.1	267/306/333	66	322	4	1	18%	3%	81	-0.0
✕Nash Knight 2021 · AA	28	44→48	41→40	38→40	47	213/288/309	97	276	8	5	25%	8%	72	-0.7	192/275/294	102	302	9	4	36%	9%	64	-1.3	167/259/259	92	274	9	1	38%	10%	47	-1.2
✕Erick Castillo 2021 · AAA	28	44	40→30	48→30	42	212/261/299	87	266	7	7	23%	5%	58	-1.7	212/278/279	67	268	5	5	21%	6%	61	-1.5	198/267/228	29	252	1	0	20%	5%	43	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps