Andy Thomas — OGILVIE

Andy ThomasC Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 28 L/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .275 / .301

PA250

HR4

K%26

BB%8

ISO95

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	88	76	15	3	0	1	9	23	1	0	0	197	291	276	567	79	259	26	10	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	88	71	17	4	0	1	14	17	1	0	0	239	372	338	710	99	291	19	16	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	410	360	66	12	0	7	43	134	7	2	0	183	283	275	558	92	269	33	10	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	410	335	78	14	0	10	68	99	7	2	0	233	373	364	737	131	301	24	17	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	398	81	13	1	12	39	139	3	5	1	204	280	332	611	128	273	31	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	381	86	16	1	11	56	107	3	5	1	226	330	360	689	134	279	24	12	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	391	73	11	1	4	30	107	6	4	2	187	255	251	506	64	246	25	7	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	378	85	16	1	5	43	87	6	4	2	225	314	312	626	87	279	20	10	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	SF	—	250	226	47	8	1	4	19	65	3	3	1	208	278	305	584	97	270	26	8	264	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SF	23%	258	233	49	9	1	4	20	66	3	3	1	210	281	309	590	99	272	26	8	268	64	-11	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.0
2028	30	MLB	SF	35%	301	271	57	10	1	5	24	78	3	3	1	210	282	310	592	100	272	26	8	270	65	-12	+0	-2	+5	+9	-0.0
2029	31	MLB	SF	42%	307	277	58	10	1	5	24	80	3	3	1	209	280	307	586	97	271	26	8	268	64	-13	+0	-3	+5	+9	-0.1
2027	29	MLB	SF	23%	58	53	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	208	276	302	578	94	267	26	7	257	55	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	30	MLB	SF	35%	104	94	19	3	0	2	8	27	1	1	0	202	272	298	570	96	267	26	8	258	56	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	31	MLB	SF	42%	128	116	23	4	0	2	10	33	1	1	0	198	268	284	552	86	266	26	8	257	55	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	290	263	53	9	0	5	22	75	3	3	0	202	271	293	564	91	259	26	8	257	55	-15	+1	-2	+5	+8	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	118	20	0	11	49	168	7	7	0	200	269	290	560	90	258	26	8	257	55	-33	+1	-5	+12	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	2494	2232	446	76	6	42	208	692	29	23	7	200	277	296	572	96	267	28	8	259	57	-122	+2	-6	+45	+71	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	117	20	2	11	54	180	8	6	2	201	278	299	577	98	268	28	8	259	57	-32	+0	-2	+12	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	43	38	11	2	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	289	357	421	778	132	370	26	7	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	45	33	6	2	0	0	11	6	0	0	0	182	386	242	629	61	214	13	24	308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	367	302	72	13	0	10	58	91	7	1	0	238	373	381	754	142	308	25	16	347	124	+10	+0	—	—	+10	2.1
2022	24	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	43	33	6	1	0	0	10	8	0	1	0	182	372	212	584	30	240	19	23	297	86	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	448	381	86	16	1	11	56	107	3	5	1	226	330	360	689	134	279	24	12	310	95	-2	+1	—	—	+13	1.1
2024	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	432	378	85	16	1	5	43	87	6	4	2	225	314	312	626	87	279	20	10	287	78	-11	+0	—	—	+12	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	296	5	3	211	278	312	+5	+4	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	11	7	211	278	312	+11.9	+9.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Thomas (OGILVIE)	28	45	34	45	46	206/275/301	95	270	4	3	26%	8%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA	28	45	39→40	46→45	43	217/273/304	87	286	6	7	26%	6%	59	-1.1	202/262/288	86	290	7	7	31%	7%	51	-1.7	144/214/194	50	214	4	0	33%	7%	4	-1.4
✕Anthony Bemboom 2018 · AAA	28	42	40→45	46→45	45	205/265/295	90	267	7	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	198/262/303	105	261	10	4	27%	7%	55	-1.4	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Jonathan Morales 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	41→40	46→30	46	215/272/307	92	262	10	4	22%	7%	60	-1.0	216/269/333	117	257	14	5	21%	6%	66	-0.6	197/248/312	115	226	14	1	20%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Chris Kroski 2009 · AA	27	44	42→45	46→40	42	215/273/327	112	279	9	5	26%	6%	66	-0.6	210/276/319	109	287	9	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	171/245/282	112	234	9	0	30%	9%	40	-0.5
✕Tyler LaTorre 2012 · AAA	29	44	41→40	42→40	44	213/275/313	99	289	8	5	28%	7%	63	-0.9	216/274/316	100	297	9	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	239/294/317	78	325	6	3	27%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Jeff Kunkel 2011 · AAA	28	43	42→40	44→30	41	214/263/313	99	275	10	4	26%	5%	57	-1.2	206/262/301	95	284	9	7	29%	5%	54	-1.4	138/197/176	38	206	4	0	33%	3%	-7	-1.2
✕Javi Herrera 2009 · AAA	28	46	41→40	43→45	49	219/301/313	94	275	8	7	22%	8%	75	-0.0	211/289/313	102	278	9	9	26%	8%	69	-0.4	130/224/199	69	170	6	0	25%	9%	16	-0.7
✕Jose Lozada 2014 · AA	28	45	39→45	44→45	42	216/272/302	87	283	7	7	26%	6%	59	-1.1	228/276/288	60	303	4	11	24%	6%	56	-1.3	229/271/261	32	305	1	13	24%	5%	43	-0.6
✕Peter Mooney 2019 · AAA	28	46→51	40	43→45	48	221/275/315	94	253	8	5	16%	6%	63	-0.9	205/268/302	97	256	8	9	22%	7%	57	-1.2	174/244/250	75	226	5	7	24%	8%	29	-1.3
✕Nate Mondou 2023 · AAA	28	45→53	43→45	42→50	46	218/289/331	113	269	9	3	22%	7%	74	-0.1	223/293/326	103	289	8	8	24%	8%	74	-0.1	224/297/318	94	291	7	9	24%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Irving Lopez 2023 · AAA	28	43→50	40→45	50→40	43	209/271/299	90	268	7	8	24%	6%	58	-1.2	225/297/346	121	288	12	6	25%	8%	81	+0.4	222/304/350	127	284	13	0	25%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Sergio Burruel 2019 · AAA	28	51	38→30	40→30	47	241/292/316	75	285	6	6	17%	6%	70	-0.3	237/314/388	151	310	17	8	27%	9%	99	+1.7	221/327/400	179	289	21	0	29%	12%	105	+0.6
✕Joel Weeks 2012 · AA	27	46	38→45	43→45	44	219/270/300	81	281	6	5	24%	6%	56	-1.3	217/270/302	85	292	7	6	26%	7%	57	-1.2	204/255/261	57	274	6	0	27%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Brian Ward 2014 · AA	28	48	39→40	48→45	48	226/288/317	90	275	6	8	19%	7%	69	-0.4	221/288/311	90	283	8	7	23%	8%	68	-0.5	223/292/269	46	287	3	4	22%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Marcus Lemon 2016 · AAA	28	46→53	39→40	41→45	40	223/265/314	91	293	6	5	26%	5%	58	-1.2	217/269/301	84	291	5	6	26%	5%	56	-1.3	202/258/263	61	273	2	1	25%	5%	40	-1.3
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA	28	43→37	37→45	42→40	48	204/286/272	68	290	6	7	30%	9%	58	-1.2	197/267/264	67	274	6	5	28%	8%	47	-1.9	176/255/236	60	237	6	0	26%	9%	33	-0.9
✕Raffy Lopez 2016 · AAA	28	46→50	39→50	45→40	45	220/277/303	83	293	7	5	26%	7%	61	-1.0	214/270/348	134	288	16	5	30%	7%	70	-0.3	199/259/358	159	264	21	1	32%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Levi Hyams 2016 · AA	26	47→48	40	48→45	46	223/285/324	101	297	7	7	26%	8%	69	-0.4	206/250/297	91	285	8	5	29%	5%	47	-1.9	190/215/280	90	260	9	0	30%	3%	25	-1.5
✕Beau Amaral 2019 · AAA	28	46→51	38→40	48→55	41	220/265/300	80	285	5	10	24%	5%	54	-1.4	222/272/330	108	281	10	11	24%	6%	66	-0.6	208/260/325	118	245	14	10	21%	5%	58	-0.3
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	47→50	43	236/289/345	109	300	11	10	25%	6%	76	+0.1	236/300/346	110	323	12	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	237/305/328	92	327	11	5	29%	8%	80	+0.2