Andy YerzyC Memphis Redbirds
Age 28 L/R 6'3" / 224 lbs AAA HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .259 / .317
PA170
HR4
K%34
BB%7
MLB%10%
BAT: -10.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3030
PWR
4545
SPD
4545
EYE
4645
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M
2029Arb-1$0.8M
2030Arb-2$0.9M
2031Arb-3$0.2M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $-5M $-8M -$4M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201618 ROKMissoula Osprey 172164 27301 2552 01 .165.185.201.386 .037.234 321 .167 -14 -22 -0 +0 +3 +5 -1.5
201719 ROKMissoula Osprey 249235 52909 14650 00 .221.265.374.640 .153.267 266 .278 71 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
201921 AKane County Cougars 136128 10400 6502 00 .078.132.109.242 .031.128 374 .113 -55 -24 +0 +0 +2 +4 -1.8
202123 A+3 teams 387336 528016 3515114 71 .155.262.321.584 .167.211 399 .261 58 -18 +1 +0 +7 +11 0.0
202224 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 346309 5512110 321103 10 .178.262.320.582 .142.236 329 .261 58 -16 +0 +0 +6 +10 -0.0
202325 AAChattanooga Lookouts 4942 9202 6111 10 .214.327.405.731 .190.241 2212 .302 89 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.2
202426 AABiloxi Shuckers 7569 11101 5200 10 .159.216.217.434 .058.204 277 .207 17 -7 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
202527 AAAMemphis Redbirds 204188 31405 14852 11 .165.230.266.496 .101.265 427 .225 30 -16 -0 +0 +4 +6 -0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202628 AAAMemphis Redbirds 2724 3000 3100 00 .125.222.125.347 .000.214 3711 .159 -20 -4 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.2
ROS28 MLBSTL 143130 26414 11481 21 .200.268.338.606 .138.272 348 .262 59 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.0
TOT28 MLBSTL 170154 29414 14581 21 .188.260.305.566 .117.269 348 .246 46 -10 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202729 MLB 20%STL 243221 44816 18802 31 .199.266.326.591 .127.274 337 .266 62 -10 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.0
202830 MLB 33%STL 290263 52917 22943 41 .198.267.319.587 .122.274 328 .267 63 -12 +0 -2 +5 +8 -0.1
202931 MLB 43%STL 278252 50917 21903 20 .198.268.325.594 .127.273 328 .266 62 -12 +0 -3 +5 +8 -0.2
203032 MLB 52%STL 258234 46816 20842 10 .197.266.316.582 .120.272 338 .263 60 -12 +0 -4 +5 +7 -0.3
203133 MLB 70%STL 228207 40715 17762 10 .193.261.309.570 .116.270 337 .258 55 -11 +0 -4 +4 +6 -0.5
203234 MLB 87%STL 186168 33614 14632 00 .196.266.315.582 .119.269 348 .251 51 -10 +0 -5 +3 +5 -0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 32442946 53894883 237108239 246 .183.253.304.557 .122.253 337 .249 49 -188 +2 -19 +58 +92 -5.5
/ 162G 650590 10919217 472178 51 .185.254.310.564 .125.256 337 .249 49 -38 +1 -4 +12 +18 -1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201618 ROKMissoula Osprey 172162 35501 4382 01 .216.244.265.509 .049.270 222 .227 32 -13 -0 +5 -0.9
201719 ROKMissoula Osprey 249225 6712013 24450 00 .298.365.524.890 .227.323 1810 .390 157 +16 +0 +7 2.4
201921 AKane County Cougars 136125 13500 9392 00 .104.176.144.320 .040.151 297 .157 -21 -19 +0 +4 -1.5
202123 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 8672 14105 13301 01 .194.326.417.742 .222.243 3515 .334 114 +1 -0 +2 0.3
202123 A+Hillsboro Hops 246205 479014 31688 50 .229.352.478.831 .249.264 2813 .366 138 +11 +1 +7 1.9
202123 AVisalia Rawhide 5541 9302 9105 20 .220.418.439.857 .220.241 1816 .393 159 +4 +0 +2 0.6
202224 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 346291 6415112 50853 10 .220.340.402.742 .182.265 2514 .334 114 +5 +0 +10 1.6
202325 AAChattanooga Lookouts 4939 9202 981 10 .231.388.436.824 .205.241 1618 .373 143 +2 +0 +1 0.4
202426 AABiloxi Shuckers 7567 13102 7150 10 .194.270.299.569 .104.216 209 .258 56 -4 +0 +2 -0.1
202527 AAAMemphis Redbirds 204182 37506 20672 11 .203.289.330.619 .126.284 3310 .284 75 -6 -0 +6 -0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Andy Yerzy (OGILVIE) 28 30 45 45 45 .192/.259/.317 .124.272 43 34% 7% 59 -0.3
Connor Hoover
2023 · AA
27 34→30 47→50 50 44 .181/.258/.318 .137.259 1513 35% 9% 58 -1.2 .189/.267/.321 .132.273 1612 35% 9% 63 -0.9 .160/.249/.296.136.218191236%9%46-1.0
Dave Wallace
2008 · AAA
28 34 47→45 43→40 42 .182/.258/.310 .127.254 165 34% 8% 56 -1.3 .209/.277/.329 .120.281 136 29% 8% 69 -0.4 .205/.282/.307.102.26711026%8%64-0.2
Gabe Johnson
2008 · AAA
28 38 48→50 45→40 40 .198/.259/.337 .138.279 175 35% 7% 63 -0.8 .207/.265/.317 .110.307 108 34% 7% 59 -1.1 .179/.239/.258.079.2736435%7%31-0.7
Patrick Dorrian
2023 · AAA
27 38→37 50→55 47→45 41 .196/.266/.350 .154.290 196 38% 8% 70 -0.3 .196/.260/.343 .147.289 186 37% 7% 65 -0.7 .181/.245/.318.137.26118537%7%49-1.0
Jake Lowery
2017 · AA
27 36 43→45 48→30 43 .183/.252/.292 .109.264 105 33% 8% 48 -1.9 .194/.265/.297 .103.312 96 37% 9% 55 -1.4 .125/.205/.184.059.2604049%9%0-1.2
Zack Short
2023 · MLB
28 37→39 46→50 46→45 50 .191/.285/.319 .128.261 149 31% 11% 70 -0.3 .189/.283/.313 .124.261 1410 31% 11% 68 -0.5 .168/.270/.287.119.22814831%11%54-0.9
Dom Nuñez
2023 · MLB
28 36→43 45→50 46→45 49 .185/.271/.311 .126.259 124 32% 10% 62 -0.9 .176/.265/.289 .113.261 116 34% 10% 54 -1.4 .147/.248/.254.107.22111436%11%36-1.2
Ryan Jorgensen
2007 · AAA
28 38 44→45 48→30 43 .197/.260/.308 .111.260 136 29% 7% 56 -1.3 .211/.260/.328 .117.271 135 26% 6% 60 -1.0 .210/.254/.324.114.26612125%5%54-0.6
Grayson Greiner
2021 · MLB
28 40 46→45 45→30 44 .206/.272/.331 .125.276 154 30% 8% 66 -0.6 .196/.260/.306 .110.334 125 42% 7% 55 -1.4 .177/.244/.263.086.3299146%8%34-0.9
Camden Duzenack
2023 · AAA
28 39→37 49→50 51→50 36 .205/.244/.348 .143.271 1712 31% 4% 59 -1.1 .225/.280/.351 .126.287 1310 26% 6% 75 -0.0 .235/.302/.339.104.29610623%6%79+0.1
Brian Serven
2022 · AAA
27 35 49→50 46→30 38 .191/.245/.335 .144.238 185 29% 5% 57 -1.2 .196/.257/.319 .123.257 154 29% 6% 57 -1.2 .182/.252/.278.096.25112031%7%42-0.9
Trent Giambrone
2022 · AAA
28 35→41 45→50 49→55 40 .183/.244/.299 .117.258 1314 34% 7% 46 -2.0 .185/.247/.272 .087.266 815 31% 7% 41 -2.3 .158/.224/.222.065.22651931%6%16-2.0
Andrew Susac
2018 · MLB
28 37→39 48→50 47→30 43 .197/.261/.333 .136.264 163 31% 8% 63 -0.9 .206/.283/.350 .144.290 177 33% 9% 76 +0.1 .198/.293/.339.141.28118034%11%76+0.0
Caleb Hamilton
2022 · AAA
27 36 44→45 46→45 43 .181/.257/.295 .114.275 129 37% 9% 52 -1.6 .181/.267/.319 .138.277 186 38% 10% 63 -0.9 .145/.237/.274.129.20919339%10%37-0.8
Jordan Procyshen
2021 · AA
28 39 47→40 45→40 42 .202/.251/.335 .133.249 156 26% 6% 59 -1.1 .201/.276/.329 .128.277 157 31% 8% 69 -0.4 .167/.257/.287.120.22916633%8%48-0.4
John Nelson
2007 · AAA
28 34→35 47→45 48→45 37 .181/.241/.311 .129.276 169 39% 6% 49 -1.8 .189/.246/.332 .143.280 198 38% 6% 56 -1.3 .158/.218/.302.144.21522038%6%36-1.3
Jason Delay
2022 · AAA
27 38 47→45 48→40 33 .198/.238/.325 .127.287 156 36% 4% 50 -1.7 .216/.269/.301 .085.295 55 27% 6% 56 -1.3 .226/.285/.301.075.2973223%6%61-0.4
Jake Means
2023 · AA
27 35→30 47→45 50→45 43 .183/.260/.318 .135.266 159 36% 9% 59 -1.1 .181/.252/.301 .120.260 1410 34% 8% 51 -1.7 .130/.207/.227.097.17215834%8%11-2.0
Mark Contreras
2022 · AAA
27 38 49→50 50→55 37 .194/.258/.343 .149.284 1615 36% 6% 65 -0.7 .203/.264/.339 .136.292 1623 35% 6% 66 -0.6 .192/.256/.306.115.275143034%6%50-1.2
Erik Ostberg
2023 · AA
27 40 50→55 46→45 41 .207/.269/.357 .150.297 196 36% 8% 72 -0.2 .206/.262/.347 .141.292 168 33% 7% 66 -0.6 .172/.219/.324.153.22617632%5%41-0.6