Tyler Payne — OGILVIE

Tyler PayneC Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 33 R/R 5'10" / 210 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .264 / .323

PA250

HR4

K%25

BB%4

ISO104

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1018.2%

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE35

Chase%

4233.3%

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	63	56	9	1	0	0	7	12	0	0	1	161	254	179	433	18	205	19	11	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	63	52	10	1	0	0	11	8	0	0	1	192	333	212	545	19	227	13	17	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A	South Bend Cubs	—	206	190	39	5	0	6	12	51	1	0	0	205	256	326	582	121	244	25	6	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A	South Bend Cubs	—	206	184	45	7	0	6	18	39	1	0	0	245	315	380	696	136	277	19	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A	South Bend Cubs	—	53	51	12	1	1	0	2	13	0	0	0	235	264	294	558	59	316	25	4	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A	South Bend Cubs	—	53	50	14	2	1	0	3	10	0	0	0	280	321	360	681	80	350	19	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+	2 teams	—	356	335	72	16	1	8	12	86	5	0	0	215	253	340	593	125	261	24	3	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	A+	2 teams	—	356	327	83	20	1	9	20	62	5	0	0	254	307	404	710	150	285	17	6	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	234	219	42	11	1	3	10	87	2	1	0	192	234	292	526	100	295	37	4	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	234	212	49	14	1	4	17	66	2	1	0	231	294	363	658	132	310	28	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	163	154	44	9	1	1	5	44	1	0	0	286	312	377	689	91	391	27	3	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	163	151	45	10	1	1	8	36	1	0	0	298	338	397	735	99	383	22	5	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	157	148	42	11	0	4	7	39	2	0	0	284	325	439	764	155	362	25	4	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	157	144	45	11	0	4	11	32	2	0	0	312	369	472	842	160	380	20	7	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	290	274	55	8	0	4	10	72	4	3	0	201	240	274	513	73	256	25	3	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	290	270	63	11	0	4	14	53	4	3	0	233	281	319	600	85	276	18	5	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	33	MLB	LAA	—	250	234	52	10	1	4	11	61	3	4	1	222	266	325	591	103	281	24	4	265	61	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	LAA	0%	202	188	41	8	1	3	10	51	2	2	1	218	265	319	584	101	276	25	5	262	58	-9	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.5
2027	34	MLB	LAA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	252	51	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1974	1849	408	80	6	33	86	516	20	10	3	221	263	324	587	103	286	26	4	257	55	-100	+1	-5	+35	+56	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	609	134	26	2	11	28	170	7	3	1	220	262	323	586	103	285	26	4	257	55	-33	+0	-2	+12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	63	52	10	1	0	0	11	8	0	0	1	192	333	212	545	19	227	13	17	271	66	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2017	24	A	South Bend Cubs	—	206	184	45	7	0	6	18	39	1	0	0	245	315	380	696	136	277	19	9	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2018	25	A	South Bend Cubs	—	53	50	14	2	1	0	3	10	0	0	0	280	321	360	681	80	350	19	6	306	93	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2019	26	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	80	73	18	5	0	1	5	14	0	0	0	247	295	356	651	110	283	18	6	286	77	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2019	26	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	276	254	65	15	1	8	15	48	5	0	0	256	310	417	728	161	285	17	5	322	104	+1	+0	—	—	+8	0.9
2021	28	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	234	212	49	14	1	4	17	66	2	1	0	231	294	363	658	132	310	28	7	292	82	-5	+0	—	—	+7	0.2
2022	29	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	163	151	45	10	1	1	8	36	1	0	0	298	338	397	735	99	383	22	5	323	106	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	30	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	157	144	45	11	0	4	11	32	2	0	0	312	369	472	842	160	380	20	7	374	144	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2024	31	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	290	270	63	11	0	4	14	53	4	3	0	233	281	319	600	85	276	18	5	271	66	-11	+1	—	—	+8	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	207	3	2	218	262	322	+4	+0	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	11	7	218	262	322	+11.9	+0.2	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Payne (OGILVIE)	33	45	36	46	35	220/264/323	103	281	4	4	25%	4%	61	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2021 · AAA	33	43→50	41→45	46→50	44	211/268/308	97	274	9	9	26%	7%	58	-1.2	215/262/351	136	282	15	8	29%	5%	68	-0.5	190/233/325	136	239	17	2	28%	4%	46	-0.7
✕Carlos Maldonado 2012 · AAA	33	42→50	40	46→40	45	206/270/298	93	273	8	6	27%	8%	57	-1.2	201/268/320	119	283	13	6	32%	8%	63	-0.9	177/261/314	138	221	19	0	29%	10%	55	-0.4
✕Ed Rogers 2013 · AAA	34	45→49	41→40	49→50	42	218/267/317	99	268	8	11	22%	5%	60	-1.0	242/294/352	110	293	13	12	21%	5%	81	+0.4	266/316/341	75	314	12	12	19%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2017 · AAA	33	48	40	48→55	36	230/268/315	85	327	9	12	32%	5%	59	-1.1	212/264/306	94	309	10	10	33%	6%	56	-1.3	174/229/253	79	259	10	5	35%	6%	25	-0.9
✕Elliot Soto 2023 · AAA	33	43→53	40	52→50	44	208/271/301	93	280	7	12	27%	7%	58	-1.2	190/256/268	78	286	6	19	33%	8%	43	-2.2	165/239/221	56	259	4	23	35%	8%	22	-2.0
✕Hiroyuki Nakajima 2014 · AAA	32	50	39→40	47→45	39	238/282/318	80	320	7	7	27%	5%	66	-0.6	226/276/319	93	303	9	8	27%	5%	64	-0.8	214/267/288	74	286	9	6	27%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Yamid Haad 2010 · AAA	32	42	42→45	43→40	39	210/247/310	100	271	10	5	27%	4%	50	-1.8	239/281/352	113	301	11	6	23%	5%	75	-0.0	266/309/373	107	328	9	2	21%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Gregorio Petit 2018 · MLB	33	47→55	41→45	46→50	40	227/258/333	105	281	8	6	22%	4%	59	-1.1	228/269/312	84	283	6	10	21%	5%	59	-1.1	231/272/277	46	287	2	10	19%	5%	48	-1.2
✕Carlos Orrantia 2016 · AAA	34	49→53	39→45	47→55	40	233/277/315	82	300	6	10	24%	4%	63	-0.8	231/268/313	82	293	8	9	23%	4%	59	-1.1	235/263/300	64	292	7	8	21%	4%	49	-0.6
✕Sean Kazmar Jr. 2018 · AAA	33	49→54	43→45	44→45	41	237/262/342	105	261	11	6	14%	3%	64	-0.8	224/264/331	107	252	11	5	16%	4%	63	-0.9	204/246/306	102	229	12	3	17%	4%	46	-1.2
✕Paul Hoover 2009 · MLB	33	45	44→45	43→45	40	224/271/339	115	298	12	5	28%	5%	68	-0.5	222/276/315	93	306	6	4	28%	6%	63	-0.8	221/279/301	80	307	3	1	27%	7%	57	-0.6
✕José Yépez 2014 · AAA	33	47	39→40	47→30	46	222/278/306	84	258	6	5	16%	5%	62	-0.9	204/253/280	76	249	6	7	20%	5%	44	-2.1	161/194/192	30	203	3	4	22%	3%	-6	-1.3
✕Alberto Castillo 2003 · MLB	33	43	40→30	46→30	47	206/266/296	90	253	7	6	21%	7%	55	-1.4	230/301/357	127	271	12	7	19%	9%	85	+0.7	235/311/307	73	284	2	2	17%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Octavio Sandoval 2006 · AAA	33	49	44→40	43→45	37	241/271/362	121	303	12	9	25%	3%	73	-0.1	249/277/338	89	291	8	7	17%	3%	69	-0.4	257/282/333	76	293	7	5	15%	3%	66	-0.3
✕Juan Graterol 2022 · MLB	33	47	39→40	46→30	44	226/273/304	79	254	7	5	15%	4%	59	-1.1	227/274/330	103	256	10	10	15%	4%	66	-0.6	217/256/301	84	234	7	10	10%	2%	48	-0.5
✕Jorge Velandia 2008 · MLB	33	49→53	41→40	46→45	42	236/275/336	101	291	8	9	22%	5%	68	-0.5	218/273/306	88	282	8	7	24%	6%	60	-1.0	203/268/247	44	265	4	3	23%	7%	38	-1.5
✕J.C. Boscan 2013 · AAA	33	37	40	43→30	39	186/235/273	87	249	8	4	28%	5%	35	-2.8	189/236/254	65	251	5	5	25%	5%	30	-3.1	174/220/209	35	229	2	2	24%	5%	8	-1.4
✕Humberto Sosa 2019 · AAA	33	42→49	44→50	49→45	42	213/259/324	110	266	12	7	25%	6%	59	-1.1	263/314/504	241	308	33	8	26%	6%	131	+3.9	294/349/646	353	317	52	0	26%	6%	179	+2.1
✕Gookie Dawkins 2011 · AAA	32	41→48	44→45	44→50	39	206/259/325	119	291	12	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	207/263/337	130	285	14	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	181/238/294	114	241	14	12	31%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Cosme Valle 2012 · AAA	33	45	40	46→30	44	216/254/305	89	244	7	7	15%	4%	50	-1.7	187/223/295	108	231	13	9	25%	4%	36	-2.7	113/135/198	85	123	14	4	25%	2%	-29	-1.4