Matt Whatley — OGILVIE

Matt WhatleyC Round Rock Express

Age 30 R/R 5'8" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 182 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .260 / .312

PA182

HR4

K%27

BB%7

ISO121

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	19	18	5	0	1	0	1	4	0	0	1	278	316	389	705	111	357	21	5	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	19	17	6	0	1	0	2	3	0	0	1	353	421	471	892	118	429	16	11	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	183	168	22	4	2	1	8	80	4	1	1	131	189	196	385	65	236	44	4	171	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	183	162	29	5	2	3	14	55	4	1	1	179	261	290	551	111	245	30	8	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	504	431	77	12	2	3	48	123	9	30	7	179	275	237	511	58	237	24	10	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	504	412	98	18	3	4	67	95	9	30	7	238	357	325	682	87	294	19	13	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	268	242	43	6	0	3	20	95	3	7	8	178	249	240	489	62	276	35	7	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	268	227	46	6	0	4	35	80	3	7	8	203	317	282	599	79	292	30	13	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	215	194	39	6	0	4	11	59	1	2	1	201	248	294	541	93	261	27	5	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	215	189	43	7	0	4	16	47	1	2	1	228	291	328	619	101	277	22	7	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	268	242	35	6	0	4	15	97	8	5	4	145	219	219	438	74	218	36	6	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	268	236	48	10	0	6	21	70	8	5	4	203	291	322	613	119	261	26	8	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	164	148	26	2	0	5	13	43	0	4	1	176	242	291	533	115	206	26	8	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	164	141	28	2	0	5	20	38	0	4	1	199	298	319	617	121	230	23	12	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	TEX	—	182	165	33	6	1	4	13	49	2	4	1	200	267	321	588	121	245	27	7	260	58	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	TEX	27%	164	149	30	5	1	4	12	44	2	3	1	201	270	329	599	128	247	27	7	263	59	-8	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.3
2028	32	MLB	TEX	37%	152	138	27	5	0	4	11	41	2	2	1	196	265	319	584	123	248	27	7	262	59	-7	+0	-4	+3	+4	-0.4
2027	31	MLB	TEX	27%	45	41	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	171	244	268	513	98	249	27	7	256	54	-2	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	32	MLB	TEX	37%	57	52	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	192	263	288	552	96	249	26	7	255	53	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	102	93	17	3	0	2	7	27	2	2	0	183	255	280	534	97	234	26	7	255	54	-5	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	108	19	0	13	45	172	13	13	0	182	255	280	535	98	233	26	7	255	54	-34	+3	-13	+12	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	2119	1895	337	52	7	32	152	635	31	58	26	178	250	263	514	85	245	30	7	229	33	-159	+1	-6	+38	+60	-6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	103	16	2	10	47	195	10	18	8	177	251	263	515	86	243	30	7	229	33	-49	+0	-2	+12	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	19	17	6	0	1	0	2	3	0	0	1	353	421	471	892	118	429	16	11	397	162	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2018	22	A+	Down East Wood Ducks	—	162	143	25	5	2	2	12	48	4	1	1	175	258	280	538	105	242	30	7	244	45	-10	-0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2018	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	21	19	4	0	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	273	33	10	295	84	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2019	23	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	465	380	89	17	2	4	62	84	8	29	7	234	353	321	674	87	285	18	13	306	92	-4	+3	—	—	+13	1.2
2019	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	39	32	9	1	1	0	5	11	1	1	0	281	395	375	770	94	409	28	13	345	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	268	227	46	6	0	4	35	80	3	7	8	203	317	282	599	79	292	30	13	281	73	-8	-2	—	—	+8	-0.2
2022	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	92	74	17	2	0	2	10	22	0	0	1	230	321	338	659	108	288	24	11	277	70	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	123	115	26	5	0	2	6	25	1	2	0	226	270	322	592	96	270	20	5	266	62	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	268	236	48	10	0	6	21	70	8	5	4	203	291	322	613	119	261	26	8	279	72	-9	-1	—	—	+8	-0.2
2024	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	164	141	28	2	0	5	20	38	0	4	1	199	298	319	617	121	230	23	12	280	73	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Whatley (OGILVIE)	30	—	—	—	—	192/260/312	120	245	4	4	27%	7%	58	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	37	45	47→50	42	193/259/309	116	250	13	9	28%	6%	56	-1.3	213/284/337	124	283	14	11	28%	7%	73	-0.1	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Dustin Garneau 2018 · MLB	30	38→37	49→50	44→45	44	201/262/348	147	241	17	4	25%	7%	67	-0.5	201/275/344	143	257	15	4	27%	7%	72	-0.2	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/255/323	140	226	18	4	28%	8%	58	-1.2	193/267/322	129	258	16	4	30%	8%	63	-0.8	168/248/282	114	227	14	0	32%	8%	43	-0.9
✕José Briceño 2022 · AAA	29	38	48→45	50→45	38	200/242/340	140	254	16	10	29%	4%	56	-1.3	209/250/351	142	266	18	6	29%	4%	63	-0.9	191/229/327	136	233	21	0	29%	3%	44	-0.6
✕Luis Flores 2017 · AAA	30	39	45→40	48→45	45	201/256/323	122	241	13	5	23%	6%	58	-1.2	216/256/362	146	254	17	7	22%	5%	68	-0.5	241/272/439	198	255	28	0	19%	4%	92	+0.2
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	43→45	54→50	41	184/246/294	109	250	11	13	30%	6%	46	-2.0	193/261/313	120	273	13	13	33%	6%	58	-1.2	153/230/258	105	221	12	16	35%	6%	28	-1.2
✕Clint Sammons 2012 · AAA	29	34→44	45→40	44→45	42	182/239/296	114	224	14	8	26%	6%	44	-2.1	203/247/342	139	274	18	8	32%	5%	59	-1.1	156/183/282	126	198	20	0	34%	2%	14	-1.0
✕Austin Hedges 2023 · MLB	30	33→40	46→60	48→45	45	180/244/293	113	213	16	5	25%	7%	45	-2.1	182/245/274	92	230	11	6	25%	7%	41	-2.3	190/259/290	100	237	13	5	25%	7%	49	-0.5
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	38→37	50	51→50	36	205/243/354	149	265	18	13	31%	4%	60	-1.0	223/281/343	120	285	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	228/298/319	92	290	8	6	23%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Mike Rose 2007 · MLB	30	38	48→50	46→40	43	200/263/344	144	268	16	5	31%	7%	66	-0.6	212/268/335	123	287	13	6	29%	7%	66	-0.6	207/260/307	101	277	11	2	28%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Paul Hoover 2006 · AAA	30	43	43→45	50→45	43	212/268/326	114	264	10	10	24%	6%	63	-0.8	225/275/340	115	296	11	7	26%	6%	69	-0.4	223/273/333	109	299	10	3	28%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	43	196/259/308	112	257	13	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	213/261/333	120	273	13	5	26%	6%	62	-0.9	210/254/324	114	266	12	1	25%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→50	48→55	41	179/241/285	105	253	11	13	33%	7%	42	-2.3	189/249/278	89	270	8	15	31%	7%	43	-2.2	160/223/224	65	230	5	19	31%	6%	16	-2.0
✕Ryan Budde 2010 · MLB	30	39	42→45	46→40	41	197/251/300	103	268	10	6	30%	6%	49	-1.8	187/249/268	81	292	7	6	36%	7%	40	-2.4	161/230/216	55	265	5	4	38%	8%	18	-1.4
✕Eli Whiteside 2010 · MLB	30	41	45→50	46→40	38	210/249/332	122	270	13	5	28%	4%	56	-1.3	214/268/339	125	277	13	6	27%	6%	67	-0.5	200/260/308	108	259	10	3	26%	6%	51	-0.5
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	37	45	47→40	39	194/245/315	121	274	14	4	34%	6%	51	-1.7	195/251/321	126	280	15	5	34%	7%	55	-1.4	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Kevin Cash 2008 · MLB	30	35	45→40	43→30	41	183/249/298	115	253	13	4	32%	7%	49	-1.8	202/270/308	106	281	11	4	30%	8%	60	-1.0	193/265/272	79	264	9	0	29%	9%	45	-0.5
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB	30	37→41	46→50	46→50	41	185/262/309	123	286	14	5	38%	8%	57	-1.2	196/262/312	116	334	13	10	42%	7%	57	-1.2	165/231/258	94	300	12	12	46%	7%	28	-1.7
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	38	40	47→55	43	190/255/276	86	266	8	13	31%	7%	45	-2.1	197/261/293	96	305	9	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	152/225/219	67	257	5	5	40%	6%	15	-1.2
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB	29	36→46	50	52→50	41	196/252/349	153	257	19	10	32%	7%	63	-0.8	201/258/315	114	276	11	9	30%	7%	56	-1.3	190/247/283	93	269	7	7	30%	6%	41	-0.9