Jake Anchia
C Columbus Clippers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | AASEA | 267 | .190/.281/.316 | 4 | 1 | 31 | — | .155/.225/.265 |
| 2024 | 27 | AASEA | 290 | .210/.249/.358 | 9 | 3 | 32 | — | .168/.204/.293 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAACLE | 71 | .215/.271/.338 | 2 | 0 | 19 | — | .152/.200/.212 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBCLE | 10 | .209/.268/.334 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 31 | MLBCLE | 26 | .207/.266/.328 | 1 | 0 | 67 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 43 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 209 | 105 | 315 | 174 | 35 | 12 | 165 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 22 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 319 | 286 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 107 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 290 | 374 | 664 | 161 | 290 | 34 | 8 | 298 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 107 | 96 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 248 | 302 | 550 | 125 | 226 | 31 | 7 | 247 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 206 | 184 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 310 | 505 | 816 | 266 | 260 | 25 | 7 | 351 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 310 | 287 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 82 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 270 | 293 | 563 | 73 | 289 | 26 | 6 | 255 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 267 | 237 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 281 | 316 | 597 | 127 | 253 | 27 | 9 | 275 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 290 | 271 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 85 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 249 | 358 | 607 | 148 | 265 | 29 | 3 | 266 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 71 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 271 | 338 | 610 | 123 | 316 | 37 | 6 | 272 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 43 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 140 | 75 | 215 | 159 | 49 | 7 | 111 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 319 | 295 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 140 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 211 | 268 | 479 | 115 | 239 | 44 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 107 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 210 | 283 | 492 | 121 | 201 | 37 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 206 | 190 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 232 | 358 | 589 | 179 | 213 | 34 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 310 | 292 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 99 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 221 | 236 | 458 | 55 | 256 | 32 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 267 | 245 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 83 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 225 | 265 | 490 | 110 | 213 | 31 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 290 | 273 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 99 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 168 | 204 | 293 | 497 | 125 | 219 | 34 | 2 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 71 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 200 | 212 | 412 | 61 | 278 | 46 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 335 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 160 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 203 | 245 | 448 | 101 | 232 | 44 | 5 | 197 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 324 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 122 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 281 | 343 | 623 | 142 | 276 | 34 | 8 | 282 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 289 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 111 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 218 | 322 | 539 | 156 | 215 | 35 | 4 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 313 | 280 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 22 | 85 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 289 | 436 | 725 | 218 | 249 | 27 | 7 | 315 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 310 | 292 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 99 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 221 | 236 | 458 | 55 | 259 | 32 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 310 | 287 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 82 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 270 | 293 | 563 | 73 | 289 | 26 | 6 | 255 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 267 | 245 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 83 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 225 | 265 | 490 | 110 | 215 | 31 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 267 | 237 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 281 | 316 | 597 | 127 | 253 | 27 | 9 | 275 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 290 | 273 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 99 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 168 | 204 | 293 | 497 | 125 | 224 | 34 | 2 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 290 | 271 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 85 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 249 | 358 | 607 | 148 | 265 | 29 | 3 | 266 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 71 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 200 | 212 | 412 | 61 | 273 | 46 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 71 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 271 | 338 | 610 | 123 | 316 | 37 | 6 | 272 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 334 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 160 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 203 | 246 | 448 | 102 | 229 | 44 | 5 | 197 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 291 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 111 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 218 | 320 | 537 | 155 | 209 | 35 | 4 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 310 | 292 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 99 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 221 | 236 | 458 | 55 | 256 | 32 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 267 | 243 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 83 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 225 | 267 | 492 | 111 | 213 | 31 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 290 | 276 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 99 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 204 | 290 | 493 | 123 | 219 | 34 | 2 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 71 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 149 | 200 | 209 | 409 | 60 | 278 | 46 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 290 | 276 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 99 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 167 | 204 | 290 | 493 | 123 | 219 | 34 | 2 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 71 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 149 | 200 | 209 | 409 | 60 | 278 | 46 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 10% | 200 | 183 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 268 | 335 | 603 | 126 | 271 | 28 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 10% | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 268 | 334 | 602 | 125 | 271 | 30 | 10 | 270 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | CLE | 27% | 94 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 266 | 329 | 595 | 123 | 269 | 29 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | CLE | 27% | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 266 | 328 | 594 | 122 | 269 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 375 | 644 | 167 | 250 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 34 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 125 | 25 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 375 | 644 | 167 | 250 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 34 | -26 | +0 | -19 | +12 | +14 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1812 | 1683 | 279 | 53 | 3 | 40 | 84 | 642 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 166 | 218 | 272 | 490 | 106 | 235 | 35 | 5 | 219 | 34 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +4 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 100 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 230 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 166 | 217 | 270 | 487 | 104 | 235 | 35 | 5 | 219 | 34 | -25 | +2 | -9 | +12 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 71 PAwOBA .268 → .197 (−71)K% 36.6% → 46.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.62% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 45.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 23.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .268 → .197; ISO .123 → .073; BABIP .316 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAArkansas Travelers · 290 PAwOBA .262 → .216 (−45)K% 29.3% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.31% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.10% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 2.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.82% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×0.978 | 15.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.99% | ÷0.977 | ×0.840 | ×0.953 | ×0.978 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.953 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 4.62% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 109, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .262 → .216; ISO .148 → .129; BABIP .265 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAArkansas Travelers · 267 PAwOBA .268 → .214 (−54)K% 26.6% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.59% | ÷1.041 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.99% | ÷1.046 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.06% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.988 | 12.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.983 | ×0.840 | ×0.974 | ×0.988 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.103 | ×0.940 | ×0.974 | ×0.988 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷0.853 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 121, K 108, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .268 → .214; ISO .127 → .107; BABIP .253 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAArkansas Travelers · 310 PAwOBA .251 → .207 (−44)K% 26.5% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.45% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.81% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 21.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.39% | ÷0.987 | ×0.840 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.964 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .251 → .207; ISO .073 → .060; BABIP .289 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Everett AquaSox · 206 PAwOBA .344 → .251 (−93)K% 25.2% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.24% | ÷0.985 | ×1.350 | — | — | 34.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.80% | ÷1.125 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.15% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 13.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.929 | ×0.820 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.078 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 6.91% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 86, K 97, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .344 → .251; ISO .266 → .188; BABIP .260 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAArkansas Travelers · 107 PAwOBA .245 → .200 (−45)K% 30.8% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.84% | ÷1.013 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.54% | ÷1.144 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.46% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 15.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.975 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.892 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.21% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 103, BB 129 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .245 → .200; ISO .125 → .107; BABIP .226 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AWest Virginia Power · 319 PAwOBA .291 → .209 (−82)K% 33.5% → 43.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.54% | ÷1.026 | ×1.340 | — | — | 43.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.84% | ÷1.013 | ×0.660 | — | — | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.79% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 18.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.59% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | — | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.70% | ÷1.016 | ×0.820 | — | — | 5.41% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .291 → .209; ISO .161 → .114; BABIP .290 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Modesto Nuts · 43 PAwOBA .150 → .111 (−39)K% 34.9% → 47.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.88% | ÷0.976 | ×1.340 | — | — | 47.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.005 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 15.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.768 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .150 → .111; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .174 → .159. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).