Stevie Berman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | AAMIN | 160 | .179/.304/.269 | 2 | 0 | 35 | — | .150/.247/.207 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAATOR | 261 | .212/.348/.392 | 8 | 1 | 68 | — | .183/.285/.317 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA/ATOR | 127 | .223/.360/.301 | 2 | 0 | 57 | — | .200/.296/.273 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 70 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 329 | 207 | 535 | 17 | 262 | 23 | 14 | 268 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 35 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 344 | 382 | 438 | 820 | 94 | 344 | 3 | 3 | 358 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 239 | 219 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 280 | 279 | 558 | 55 | 262 | 15 | 6 | 255 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 120 | 96 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 302 | 442 | 500 | 942 | 198 | 325 | 12 | 16 | 421 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 48 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 383 | 381 | 764 | 71 | 387 | 23 | 10 | 342 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 72 | 61 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 295 | 386 | 541 | 927 | 246 | 333 | 19 | 12 | 393 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 160 | 134 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 304 | 269 | 572 | 90 | 204 | 16 | 12 | 270 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 261 | 212 | 45 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 64 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 348 | 392 | 739 | 179 | 257 | 25 | 14 | 331 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 112 | 91 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 382 | 341 | 722 | 88 | 323 | 22 | 17 | 332 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 13 | 13 | 142 | -52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 70 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 271 | 180 | 452 | 16 | 234 | 31 | 10 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 35 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 324 | 344 | 667 | 62 | 266 | 3 | 3 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 239 | 224 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 225 | 223 | 448 | 40 | 227 | 20 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 120 | 103 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 350 | 417 | 767 | 175 | 258 | 18 | 10 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 48 | 44 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 319 | 341 | 660 | 68 | 355 | 29 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 72 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 238 | 314 | 460 | 775 | 222 | 280 | 26 | 10 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 160 | 140 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 247 | 207 | 454 | 57 | 183 | 19 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 261 | 224 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 285 | 317 | 602 | 134 | 230 | 29 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 112 | 97 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 318 | 309 | 627 | 82 | 297 | 28 | 12 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 15 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 133 | 20 | 7 | 91 | -52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 105 | 94 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 269 | 223 | 493 | 32 | 250 | 22 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 105 | 90 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 346 | 289 | 635 | 44 | 297 | 16 | 10 | 298 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 239 | 224 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 225 | 223 | 448 | 40 | 229 | 20 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 239 | 219 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 280 | 279 | 558 | 55 | 262 | 15 | 6 | 255 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 120 | 103 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 350 | 417 | 767 | 175 | 269 | 18 | 10 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 120 | 96 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 302 | 442 | 500 | 942 | 198 | 325 | 12 | 16 | 421 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 107 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 316 | 411 | 727 | 159 | 319 | 28 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 120 | 103 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 301 | 385 | 476 | 860 | 175 | 355 | 21 | 12 | 373 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 160 | 140 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 247 | 207 | 454 | 57 | 183 | 19 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA RAW | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 160 | 134 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 304 | 269 | 572 | 90 | 204 | 16 | 12 | 270 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 261 | 224 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 285 | 317 | 602 | 134 | 238 | 29 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 261 | 212 | 45 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 64 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 348 | 392 | 739 | 179 | 257 | 25 | 14 | 331 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 127 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 296 | 273 | 569 | 73 | 263 | 26 | 11 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 127 | 103 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 360 | 301 | 661 | 78 | 280 | 21 | 17 | 310 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 105 | 94 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 269 | 223 | 493 | 32 | 245 | 22 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 239 | 225 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 225 | 222 | 447 | 40 | 227 | 20 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 120 | 102 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 350 | 422 | 772 | 176 | 258 | 18 | 10 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 109 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 248 | 316 | 404 | 720 | 156 | 310 | 28 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 160 | 141 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 149 | 247 | 206 | 453 | 57 | 183 | 19 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 261 | 227 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 285 | 313 | 598 | 132 | 230 | 29 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 127 | 111 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 296 | 270 | 566 | 72 | 262 | 26 | 11 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1132 | 1002 | 195 | 38 | 2 | 17 | 91 | 264 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 195 | 277 | 287 | 564 | 93 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 252 | 57 | -59 | +1 | +0 | +20 | +25 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 112 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 52 | 152 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 276 | 289 | 565 | 94 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 252 | 57 | -34 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAABuffalo Bisons · 112 PAwOBA .327 → .274 (−54)K% 22.3% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.32% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.96% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 11.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.79% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×0.982 | 26.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.982 | 2.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.916 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.27% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .327 → .274; ISO .088 → .070; BABIP .323 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADunedin Blue Jays · 15 PAwOBA .140 → .091 (−49)K% 13.3% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.018 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.062 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 4.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.279 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 122, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .140 → .091; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAABuffalo Bisons · 261 PAwOBA .328 → .269 (−59)K% 24.5% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.52% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.18% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 9.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.54% | ÷0.960 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 14.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.46% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 7.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.149 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.951 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.95% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .328 → .269; ISO .179 → .144; BABIP .257 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAWichita Wind Surge · 160 PAwOBA .266 → .220 (−46)K% 15.6% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.62% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.88% | ÷0.950 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.978 | 8.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.68% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 13.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.50% | ÷1.040 | ×0.870 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.104 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.27% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 82, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .266 → .220; ISO .090 → .069; BABIP .204 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 72 PAwOBA .388 → .321 (−67)K% 19.4% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.44% | ÷0.991 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.948 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 9.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.28% | ÷1.043 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 18.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.51% | ÷0.935 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.049 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.978 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.38% | ÷0.969 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 5.93% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 109, 2B 87, 3B 110, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .388 → .321; ISO .246 → .214; BABIP .333 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATulsa Drillers · 48 PAwOBA .341 → .290 (−51)K% 22.9% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷0.954 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.71% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 35.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.83% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 110, 3B 85, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .341 → .290; ISO .071 → .062; BABIP .387 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 120 PAwOBA .410 → .318 (−92)K% 12.5% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.957 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.83% | ÷1.066 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 10.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷1.025 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 19.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.076 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 4.24% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 105, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .410 → .318; ISO .198 → .161; BABIP .325 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AGreat Lakes Loons · 239 PAwOBA .251 → .202 (−50)K% 14.6% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.64% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.28% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.11% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 18.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 103, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .251 → .202; ISO .055 → .041; BABIP .262 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).