Sharif Othman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AA/A+2 orgs | 132 | .156/.208/.221 | 0 | 0 | -5 | — | .145/.177/.210 |
| 2017 | 28 | AA/A+2 orgs | 246 | .223/.267/.345 | 7 | 2 | 28 | — | .172/.210/.262 |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 213 | .190/.275/.275 | 3 | 0 | 19 | — | .163/.218/.229 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 85 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 265 | 295 | 560 | 77 | 276 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 35 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 531 | 825 | 281 | 222 | 9 | 6 | 346 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 56 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 259 | 333 | 593 | 167 | 182 | 23 | 9 | 260 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 375 | 728 | 62 | 385 | 18 | 6 | 330 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 112 | 90 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 250 | 256 | 506 | 122 | 145 | 23 | 12 | 222 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 79 | 73 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 260 | 342 | 602 | 123 | 269 | 24 | 5 | 263 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 310 | 282 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 68 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 297 | 309 | 606 | 71 | 302 | 22 | 6 | 275 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 112 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 236 | 255 | 491 | 78 | 257 | 29 | 7 | 221 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 20 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 77 | 35 | 0 | 45 | -94 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 52 | 51 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 288 | 431 | 720 | 157 | 324 | 23 | 2 | 317 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 194 | 178 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 208 | 262 | 320 | 582 | 112 | 235 | 20 | 5 | 260 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 31 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 267 | 259 | 526 | 74 | 227 | 16 | 10 | 238 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 182 | 162 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 276 | 278 | 554 | 86 | 301 | 36 | 9 | 257 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 85 | 79 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 229 | 266 | 495 | 76 | 261 | 33 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 35 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 531 | 825 | 281 | 195 | 11 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 56 | 49 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 204 | 224 | 428 | 102 | 158 | 32 | 7 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 312 | 607 | 62 | 294 | 24 | 6 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 112 | 94 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 202 | 234 | 436 | 117 | 135 | 35 | 9 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 79 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 195 | 240 | 435 | 67 | 248 | 33 | 3 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 310 | 290 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 252 | 266 | 517 | 55 | 286 | 28 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 112 | 105 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 200 | 238 | 438 | 76 | 244 | 36 | 4 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 20 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 67 | 50 | 0 | 29 | -94 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 52 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 98 | 294 | 29 | 2 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 194 | 181 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 155 | 199 | 243 | 442 | 88 | 198 | 30 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 31 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 233 | 250 | 483 | 71 | 194 | 19 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 182 | 169 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 77 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 215 | 225 | 440 | 65 | 268 | 42 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 85 | 79 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 229 | 266 | 495 | 76 | 275 | 33 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 85 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 265 | 295 | 560 | 77 | 276 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 108 | 98 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 229 | 316 | 545 | 143 | 206 | 25 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 108 | 96 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 286 | 406 | 692 | 188 | 233 | 18 | 7 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 191 | 170 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 193 | 235 | 429 | 94 | 196 | 34 | 6 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 191 | 163 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 254 | 294 | 549 | 123 | 202 | 24 | 9 | 239 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 310 | 290 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 252 | 266 | 517 | 55 | 291 | 28 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 310 | 282 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 68 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 297 | 309 | 606 | 71 | 302 | 22 | 6 | 275 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 132 | 125 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 177 | 208 | 385 | 64 | 240 | 38 | 4 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 132 | 122 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 208 | 221 | 429 | 66 | 229 | 30 | 6 | 195 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 232 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 172 | 210 | 263 | 473 | 91 | 224 | 30 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 229 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 223 | 267 | 345 | 612 | 122 | 254 | 21 | 4 | 272 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 213 | 197 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 157 | 213 | 223 | 437 | 66 | 259 | 39 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 213 | 189 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 275 | 275 | 550 | 85 | 287 | 33 | 9 | 255 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 85 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 229 | 259 | 488 | 74 | 261 | 33 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 108 | 100 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 170 | 229 | 310 | 539 | 140 | 191 | 25 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 191 | 178 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 193 | 225 | 418 | 90 | 182 | 34 | 6 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 310 | 291 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 252 | 265 | 516 | 55 | 286 | 28 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 132 | 126 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 177 | 206 | 383 | 63 | 217 | 38 | 4 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 233 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 172 | 210 | 262 | 472 | 90 | 218 | 30 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 213 | 197 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 157 | 213 | 223 | 437 | 66 | 257 | 39 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1285 | 1191 | 206 | 37 | 3 | 17 | 56 | 412 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 173 | 218 | 252 | 470 | 79 | 246 | 32 | 4 | 206 | 26 | -113 | -1 | +0 | +23 | +28 | -6.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 208 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 174 | 219 | 257 | 476 | 83 | 247 | 32 | 4 | 206 | 26 | -57 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 182 PAwOBA .251 → .197 (−54)K% 36.3% → 42.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.26% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.122 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.96% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×0.958 | 20.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×1.035 | ×0.958 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.035 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.041 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 2.30% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 75, 3B 80, K 110, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .251 → .197; ISO .086 → .071; BABIP .301 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 31 PAwOBA .232 → .194 (−38)K% 16.1% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.990 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.054 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.982 | 11.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.906 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 7.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 81, 3B 106, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .232 → .194; ISO .074 → .067; BABIP .227 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Tampa Yankees · 194 PAwOBA .256 → .198 (−58)K% 20.1% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.10% | ÷0.949 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.15% | ÷1.007 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.948 | 3.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.948 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.42% | ÷1.071 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.948 | 16.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.995 | ×0.960 | ×1.022 | ×0.948 | 3.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.810 | ×1.022 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.949 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.948 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 114, 2B 99, 3B 106, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .256 → .198; ISO .112 → .091; BABIP .235 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATrenton Thunder · 52 PAwOBA .307 → .253 (−54)K% 23.1% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.92% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 1.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷1.020 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.968 | 23.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 4.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 4.03% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .307 → .253; ISO .157 → .120; BABIP .324 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJacksonville Suns · 112 PAwOBA .216 → .184 (−32)K% 28.6% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.029 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 4.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.14% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 16.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 2.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 103, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .216 → .184; ISO .078 → .070; BABIP .257 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 20 PAwOBA .044 → .029 (−15)K% 35.0% → 50.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.00% | ÷0.987 | ×1.420 | — | — | 50.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.958 | 6.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .044 → .029; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .077 → .067. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAJacksonville Suns · 310 PAwOBA .267 → .232 (−35)K% 21.9% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.94% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.13% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.23% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 24.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 3.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.40% | ÷0.973 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .267 → .232; ISO .071 → .061; BABIP .302 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 112 PAwOBA .219 → .180 (−40)K% 23.2% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.21% | ÷0.951 | ×1.420 | — | — | 34.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.079 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 8.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.94% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 9.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.944 | ×0.960 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 3.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.810 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.69% | ÷0.983 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 90, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .219 → .180; ISO .122 → .110; BABIP .145 → .135. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).