Tucker Mitchell — OGILVIE

Tucker MitchellC Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 175 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .237 / .268

PA175

HR2

K%34

BB%4

BABIP288

ISO73

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	57	52	8	1	1	1	3	19	2	1	0	154	228	269	497	115	219	33	5	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	57	50	10	2	1	1	5	13	2	1	0	200	298	340	638	140	250	23	9	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	189	167	23	3	1	4	13	85	9	8	2	138	238	240	478	102	244	45	7	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	189	159	30	5	1	5	21	61	9	8	2	189	317	327	645	138	269	32	11	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	337	298	69	10	1	10	24	113	11	5	1	232	312	372	685	141	330	34	7	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	337	285	79	10	1	11	37	76	11	5	1	277	381	435	816	158	337	23	11	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	242	223	35	5	1	5	15	69	4	2	0	157	223	256	479	99	201	29	6	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	242	215	43	6	1	7	23	51	4	2	0	200	289	335	624	135	229	21	10	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	192	186	32	3	0	1	2	77	3	3	0	172	194	204	398	32	284	40	1	174	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	192	185	37	4	0	1	3	58	3	3	0	200	225	238	463	38	283	30	2	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	TEX	—	34	33	12	4	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	364	382	485	867	121	400	9	3	373	144	+2	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
YTD	25	AA	TEX	—	34	31	12	4	0	0	3	2	0	0	1	387	441	516	957	129	414	6	9	426	184	+3	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
ROS	25	AA	TEX	2%	175	164	32	6	0	2	7	59	2	2	1	195	237	268	505	73	283	34	4	230	35	-13	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.5
ROS	25	MLB	TEX	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		285	25	0	223	29	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	TEX	—	38	37	13	4	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	351	368	459	828	108	394	11	3	357	131	+1	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
TOT	25	AA	TEX	—	209	197	44	10	0	2	8	62	2	2	2	223	261	305	565	81	313	30	4	254	52	-11	-0	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TEX	31%	302	281	57	10	1	5	14	97	4	3	1	203	251	299	550	96	281	32	5	241	42	-20	+0	+0	+5	+9	-0.6
2028	27	MLB	TEX	42%	342	318	64	11	1	6	17	108	4	4	1	201	251	299	549	97	282	32	5	247	47	-20	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.4
2029	28	MLB	TEX	48%	366	340	68	12	1	6	19	114	4	4	1	200	251	294	545	94	282	31	5	250	49	-21	+0	-1	+7	+10	-0.4
2030	29	MLB	TEX	53%	372	345	69	12	1	6	20	116	4	3	1	200	252	293	545	93	281	31	5	250	49	-21	+0	-1	+7	+11	-0.5
2027	26	MLB	TEX	31%	94	89	17	3	0	1	4	30	1	1	0	191	234	258	492	67	282	32	4	233	37	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	TEX	42%	144	134	27	5	0	2	7	45	2	2	0	201	252	284	535	82	283	31	5	239	41	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
2029	28	MLB	TEX	48%	175	162	33	6	0	3	9	55	2	2	1	204	254	296	551	93	283	31	5	242	44	-11	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.3
2030	29	MLB	TEX	53%	198	183	38	7	1	3	11	62	2	2	1	208	260	306	566	98	283	31	6	242	44	-13	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	615	572	116	21	1	9	31	193	7	7	2	203	252	290	543	87	287	31	5	240	42	-40	+1	-1	+11	+17	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	123	22	1	10	33	204	7	7	2	203	253	293	545	89	287	31	5	240	42	-43	+1	-1	+12	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2574	2374	457	73	8	46	134	857	47	35	8	193	250	288	538	96	277	33	5	240	42	-168	+4	-2	+46	+73	-4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	115	18	2	12	34	216	12	9	2	192	250	289	538	97	275	33	5	240	42	-42	+1	-1	+12	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	57	50	10	2	1	1	5	13	2	1	0	200	298	340	638	140	250	23	9	292	82	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	163	135	25	4	1	4	20	52	8	8	2	185	325	319	644	133	266	32	12	303	90	-2	+1	—	—	+5	0.4
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	26	24	5	1	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	208	269	375	644	167	286	35	4	289	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	213	182	47	4	1	9	24	52	4	2	0	258	357	440	797	181	306	24	11	352	128	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	100	80	27	6	0	2	12	23	7	3	1	338	465	487	952	150	446	23	12	426	184	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	22	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	24	23	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	217	250	217	467		227	4	4	218	25	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	78	70	7	1	1	0	7	16	1	0	0	100	192	143	335	43	130	21	9	167	-14	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	117	104	20	3	0	3	12	27	1	1	0	192	282	308	590	115	230	23	10	272	67	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	23	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	47	41	16	2	0	4	4	8	2	1	0	390	468	732	1.200	341	414	17	9	515	252	+8	+0	—	—	+1	1.0
2025	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	50	95	50	145		83	41	5	73	-86	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	170	165	36	4	0	1	2	49	3	3	0	218	241	261	502	42	304	29	1	229	33	-13	+1	—	—	+5	-0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	615	10	6	202	250	298	+11	+8	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	11	7	202	250	298	+11.9	+8.6	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tucker Mitchell (OGILVIE)	25	35	25	45	20	223/261/305	81	313	2	2	30%	4%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Jean Luc Blaquiere 2011 · AAA	25	39	40	40→45	36	191/241/278	86	285	8	4	35%	5%	39	-2.5	205/278/293	88	300	7	5	31%	8%	59	-1.1	203/315/285	82	271	6	0	24%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Dennis Ortega 2022 · AAA	25	40	39→45	47→45	38	197/244/276	79	285	7	5	33%	5%	40	-2.4	209/261/303	94	327	8	10	36%	6%	54	-1.4	187/240/258	72	308	5	10	39%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Jose Martinez 2015 · AAA	25	42	41→40	44→30	35	208/255/300	92	286	10	6	30%	4%	51	-1.7	198/245/289	91	303	8	4	36%	3%	43	-2.2	197/243/289	92	302	7	1	35%	4%	41	-1.2
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	35	172/214/248	76	253	6	4	34%	5%	20	-3.8	181/221/241	60	273	5	3	34%	4%	20	-3.8	164/200/203	38	252	3	0	35%	4%	-1	-1.7
✕Connor Harrell 2016 · AA	25	39→43	41→40	46→45	34	191/246/285	94	292	8	9	36%	4%	43	-2.2	209/261/307	98	311	10	9	34%	4%	56	-1.3	209/262/304	94	310	11	7	34%	4%	51	-1.1
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2008 · AAA	25	38	38→45	45→40	37	186/238/265	79	266	5	4	31%	5%	34	-2.8	207/260/287	80	289	7	4	29%	6%	49	-1.8	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	39→40	44→45	34	192/246/279	87	294	6	5	35%	4%	42	-2.3	189/241/273	84	303	7	6	38%	5%	37	-2.6	167/216/237	70	277	6	4	40%	5%	15	-1.5
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	192/239/277	84	280	9	6	34%	4%	38	-2.6	202/254/321	119	291	13	16	34%	5%	56	-1.3	193/249/316	123	274	14	21	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Osvaldo Abreu 2019 · AA	25	39→46	41→40	43→50	38	195/242/293	98	268	9	6	30%	5%	43	-2.2	197/252/290	93	307	8	8	36%	6%	47	-1.9	186/244/260	75	308	5	8	39%	6%	32	-1.2
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA	25	38	40	40	40	187/261/280	94	277	7	4	33%	7%	50	-1.8	192/262/285	93	308	8	7	37%	7%	51	-1.7	123/204/184	61	206	5	0	40%	8%	-2	-1.0
✕Cito Culver 2018 · AAA	25	40→46	40	45→50	36	197/235/290	94	289	8	5	34%	5%	39	-2.5	201/244/304	103	303	10	6	35%	5%	46	-2.0	174/213/248	74	270	9	0	38%	5%	18	-1.6
✕Jesse Hodges 2019 · AA	25	40→43	41→40	42→40	37	195/245/294	99	291	9	4	35%	6%	45	-2.1	195/248/292	97	293	8	6	35%	5%	46	-2.0	146/201/224	78	218	6	0	35%	3%	7	-1.0
✕Erick Castillo 2018 · AA	25	42	36→30	46→30	40	202/250/263	61	266	4	3	25%	5%	39	-2.5	206/253/282	76	265	6	5	24%	5%	45	-2.1	192/250/234	43	239	4	0	20%	4%	29	-0.9
✕John Murrian 2013 · AAA	25	40	42→45	47→45	36	202/241/304	102	279	9	5	31%	4%	46	-2.0	201/262/310	109	270	10	6	28%	6%	57	-1.2	153/226/253	100	200	10	0	28%	6%	26	-1.0