Tucker Mitchell — OGILVIE

Tucker Mitchell1B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .182 / .182

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%4

BABIP283

ISO75

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	57	50	10	2	1	1	5	13	2	1	0	200	298	340	638	140	250	23	9	292	84	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	163	135	25	4	1	4	20	52	8	8	2	185	325	319	644	133	266	32	12	303	91	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	26	24	5	1	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	208	269	375	644	167	286	35	4	289	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	213	182	47	4	1	9	24	52	4	2	0	258	357	440	797	181	306	24	11	352	125	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	100	80	27	6	0	2	12	23	7	3	1	338	465	487	952	150	446	23	12	426	174	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	22	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	24	23	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	217	250	217	467		227	4	4	218	33	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	78	70	7	1	1	0	7	16	1	0	0	100	192	143	335	43	130	21	9	167	-1	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	117	104	20	3	0	3	12	27	1	1	0	192	282	308	590	115	230	23	10	272	71	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	23	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	47	41	16	2	0	4	4	8	2	1	0	390	468	732	1.200	341	414	17	9	515	235	+8	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2025	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	50	95	50	145		83	41	5	73	-65	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.4
2025	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	170	165	36	4	0	1	2	49	3	3	0	218	241	261	502	42	304	29	1	229	41	-12	+1	—	—	+4	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	57	52	8	1	1	1	3	19	2	1	0	154	228	269	497	115	194	33	5	193	17	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2022	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	163	143	20	3	1	3	12	73	8	8	2	140	245	238	483	98	243	45	7	221	36	-12	+1	—	—	+4	-0.8
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	26	24	4	1	0	1	1	13	1	0	0	167	231	333	564	167	219	50	4	171	2	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	213	192	39	3	1	7	14	72	4	2	0	203	271	339	610	135	272	34	7	276	73	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	100	84	24	5	0	2	8	32	7	3	1	286	394	417	811	131	414	32	8	347	121	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	78	72	7	1	1	0	5	19	1	0	0	97	167	139	306	42	117	24	6	131	-25	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	117	108	16	2	0	2	8	37	1	1	0	148	214	222	436	74	211	32	7	208	27	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	47	42	12	1	0	3	3	12	2	1	0	286	362	524	886	238	317	26	6	361	130	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	50	95	50	145		71	50	5	59	-74	-5	+0	—	—	+0	-0.4
2025	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	170	166	32	3	0	1	1	62	3	3	0	193	212	229	441	36	299	36	1	193	17	-17	+1	—	—	+4	-1.3
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	57	52	8	1	1	1	3	19	2	1	0	154	228	269	497	115	219	33	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	57	50	10	2	1	1	5	13	2	1	0	200	298	340	638	140	250	23	9	292	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	189	167	23	3	1	4	13	86	9	8	2	138	238	240	478	102	247	46	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	189	159	30	5	1	5	21	61	9	8	2	189	317	327	645	138	269	32	11	301	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	337	298	69	9	1	10	24	111	11	5	1	232	312	369	681	138	326	33	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	337	285	79	10	1	11	37	76	11	5	1	277	381	435	816	158	337	23	11	364	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	242	223	36	5	1	5	15	68	4	2	0	161	227	260	487	99	207	28	6	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	242	215	43	6	1	7	23	51	4	2	0	200	289	335	624	135	229	21	10	286	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	192	186	33	3	0	1	2	72	3	3	0	177	199	210	409	32	281	38	1	178	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	192	185	37	4	0	1	3	58	3	3	0	200	225	238	463	38	283	30	2	211	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	57	52	8	1	1	1	3	19	2	1	0	154	228	269	497	115	194	33	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	189	165	23	3	1	4	13	86	9	8	2	139	238	242	481	103	240	46	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	337	299	69	9	1	10	24	111	11	5	1	231	312	368	680	137	317	33	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	242	221	36	5	1	5	15	68	4	2	0	163	227	262	490	100	201	28	6	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	192	185	33	3	0	1	2	72	3	3	0	178	199	211	410	32	273	38	1	178	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	337	299	69	9	1	10	24	111	11	5	1	231	312	368	680	137	317	33	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	242	221	36	5	1	5	15	68	4	2	0	163	227	262	490	100	201	28	6	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	192	185	33	3	0	1	2	72	3	3	0	178	199	211	410	32	273	38	1	178	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	TEX	—	34	33	12	4	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	364	382	485	867	121	387	6	3	374	139	+2	-0	+0	-1	+1	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	TEX	—	34	31	12	4	0	0	3	2	0	0	1	387	441	516	957	129	414	6	9	426	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	TEX	2%	11	11	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	182	182	182	364		281	27	0	236	46	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	25	AA MLE	TEX	—	45	44	14	4	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	318	333	409	742	91	359	11	2	340	116	+1	-0	+0	-1	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	31%	302	281	58	10	1	5	14	91	4	3	1	206	254	302	557	96	279	30	5	246	52	-17	+0	+0	-5	+7	-1.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	42%	342	318	66	11	1	6	17	101	4	4	1	208	257	305	562	97	280	30	5	252	57	-18	+0	+0	-6	+7	-1.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	366	340	70	12	1	6	19	107	4	4	1	206	256	300	556	94	280	29	5	254	58	-18	+0	-1	-7	+8	-1.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	TEX	49%	372	345	70	12	1	6	20	109	4	3	1	203	255	296	550	93	280	29	5	254	58	-19	+0	-1	-7	+8	-1.9
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	31%	94	89	18	3	0	2	4	28	1	1	0	202	245	303	548	101	281	30	4	240	52	-5	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	42%	144	134	28	5	0	3	7	43	2	2	0	209	259	313	572	104	282	30	5	246	57	-7	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.7
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	175	162	34	6	1	3	9	51	2	2	1	210	260	315	575	105	282	29	5	249	58	-9	+0	-0	-3	+4	-0.9
2030	29	MLB CTX	TEX	49%	184	170	36	6	1	3	10	54	2	2	1	212	264	312	576	100	282	29	5	249	58	-9	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	597	555	116	20	2	11	30	176	7	7	2	209	258	312	570	103	283	29	5	247	51	-31	+1	-1	-11	+13	-2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	126	22	2	12	33	192	8	8	2	209	259	311	570	103	283	30	5	247	51	-33	+1	-1	-12	+14	-3.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2410	2221	435	66	8	44	127	767	45	33	7	196	254	292	546	96	275	32	5	244	51	-72	+1	-2	-25	+30	-6.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	117	18	2	12	34	207	12	9	2	195	253	292	545	97	273	32	5	244	51	-34	+1	-1	-12	+14	-3.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	601	10	6	207	255	303	+11	+8	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	11	7	+11.7	+8.8	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tucker Mitchell (OGILVIE)	25	35	25	45	20	198/240/277	79	281	2	2	31%	4%	46	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	37→40	45→40	40	178/255/248	70	259	5	5	32%	6%	46	-2.6	192/272/277	85	272	7	6	30%	7%	59	-1.7	144/248/206	63	200	4	0	27%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2008 · AAA	25	38	38→40	45→40	37	186/239/266	79	266	5	4	31%	5%	42	-2.9	207/260/286	79	287	7	4	29%	6%	55	-2.0	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	42→40	45	36	194/249/295	101	286	9	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	216/266/303	87	312	6	8	31%	5%	61	-1.5	219/269/292	73	315	5	8	30%	5%	56	-0.8
✕Jean Luc Blaquiere 2011 · AAA	25	39	40	40→45	36	192/241/277	85	286	8	4	35%	5%	46	-2.6	206/277/292	86	298	7	5	31%	8%	63	-1.3	206/313/286	80	269	6	0	23%	11%	73	-0.2
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Dennis Ortega 2022 · AAA	25	41	38→45	47→45	39	200/250/277	77	288	6	5	32%	6%	49	-2.4	214/269/308	94	322	8	10	34%	6%	63	-1.3	201/253/274	73	312	5	10	35%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	280	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	215/262/289	74	286	5	5	25%	4%	56	-1.9	229/274/261	32	293	2	0	21%	3%	51	-0.9
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	39	35→30	46→45	36	185/230/236	51	281	3	6	34%	5%	31	-3.7	191/245/263	72	274	5	6	30%	6%	44	-2.8	172/230/237	65	240	4	2	28%	6%	31	-0.8
✕John Murrian 2013 · AAA	25	41	41→45	47→45	37	206/245/306	100	278	9	5	29%	4%	54	-2.0	202/264/311	109	271	10	6	28%	6%	63	-1.4	151/227/250	100	198	10	0	29%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	46→32	38→40	48→50	37	217/258/299	82	300	5	10	29%	4%	57	-1.8	208/251/313	105	359	9	17	42%	4%	57	-1.8	188/220/292	104	356	9	25	48%	2%	40	-1.3
✕Osvaldo Abreu 2019 · AA	25	40→48	40	43→50	39	196/244/288	92	267	8	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	198/253/289	91	302	7	8	35%	6%	53	-2.1	188/247/261	74	303	5	8	37%	6%	42	-1.2
✕Erick Castillo 2018 · AA	25	43	36→30	46→30	41	207/254/267	60	268	4	3	24%	5%	48	-2.5	207/254/280	73	264	6	5	23%	5%	51	-2.3	191/250/230	39	236	3	0	20%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	35	38→30	48→30	36	174/216/251	77	253	5	4	33%	5%	30	-3.8	181/221/242	61	268	5	3	33%	4%	30	-3.8	164/201/203	38	247	3	0	33%	4%	11	-1.7
✕Connor Harrell 2016 · AA	25	40→46	41→40	46→45	35	197/252/292	96	291	9	9	34%	5%	54	-2.0	215/268/313	98	310	9	9	32%	4%	65	-1.2	220/272/312	92	317	10	7	32%	4%	62	-1.0
✕Jesse Hodges 2019 · AA	25	40→44	41→40	42→40	37	198/246/294	96	287	8	4	33%	5%	51	-2.2	198/250/294	96	288	8	6	32%	5%	53	-2.1	156/211/234	79	224	6	0	32%	3%	25	-0.9
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	195/241/277	82	279	8	6	33%	4%	46	-2.6	200/251/312	112	283	12	16	32%	5%	58	-1.7	190/246/305	114	266	13	21	32%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	38→40	44→45	35	193/247/277	84	283	5	5	32%	4%	49	-2.4	190/240/270	80	296	6	6	36%	5%	44	-2.8	170/217/237	67	275	5	4	38%	5%	25	-1.5
✕Sahid Valenzuela 2023 · AA	25	39	39→30	43→45	40	194/247/278	84	264	7	5	28%	6%	49	-2.4	205/248/263	58	270	4	6	24%	5%	45	-2.7	202/245/241	39	260	2	6	22%	5%	35	-1.7
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA	25	39	40	40	41	190/266/285	95	277	7	4	32%	7%	58	-1.7	196/266/290	94	304	8	7	35%	7%	59	-1.6	130/211/192	62	213	4	0	38%	8%	14	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps