Santiago Chávez

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1995-08-05

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	27	AAA/INTL2 orgs	285	.181/.275/.226	1	3	26	—	.140/.218/.181
2024	28	INTLYaquis de Obr…	144	.180/.234/.258	1	1	32	—
2025	29	INTLMexico Rojo	178	.222/.276/.327	3	1	67	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 AAA

BB%41

Max EV35

Chase%29

Whiff%29

Speed25

Z-Con%23

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	16	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	108	96	24	4	1	0	9	18	1	2	3	250	321	312	633	62	308	17	8	287	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	117	112	25	4	0	0	2	4	1	2	2	223	243	259	502	36	231	3	2	225	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A	Beloit Snappers	—	153	134	27	3	0	0	8	24	4	0	1	201	267	224	491	22	243	16	5	223	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+	Stockton Ports	—	64	60	6	2	0	0	2	15	0	0	0	100	129	133	262	33	133	23	3	118	-43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	154	137	20	4	0	0	12	34	0	0	0	146	215	175	390	29	194	22	8	182	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	Beloit Snappers	—	273	251	52	9	0	0	12	51	2	0	0	207	249	243	492	36	256	19	4	221	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+	Stockton Ports	—	180	167	32	10	0	2	10	58	1	2	1	192	242	287	529	96	278	32	6	238	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	53	46	12	2	0	0	1	14	2	0	0	261	306	304	610	43	375	26	2	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	98	91	19	9	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	209	242	308	550	99	257	17	3	239	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Stockton Ports	—	127	112	30	2	0	3	11	38	1	2	1	268	339	366	705	98	375	30	9	314	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	37	37	10	0	0	1	0	9	0	1	0	270	270	351	622	81	333	24	0	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	272	248	43	5	0	1	18	84	2	0	0	173	235	206	441	32	258	31	7	206	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	35	28	5	1	0	0	4	9	1	1	0	179	303	214	517	36	250	26	11	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	21	19	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	158	200	211	411	53	231	29	5	181	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	110	97	18	4	0	2	6	38	5	1	0	186	269	289	557	103	281	35	5	255	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	75	67	9	1	0	0	6	21	0	0	0	134	205	149	355	15	196	28	8	169	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL	Mexico	—	123	110	27	2	0	0	5	24	3	1	0	245	297	264	560	18	314	20	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	130	120	25	7	0	1	6	33	2	0	0	208	258	292	549	83	273	25	5	247	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	65	58	8	1	0	2	5	20	2	0	0	138	231	259	489	121	167	31	8	230	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	89	79	20	5	0	0	3	20	1	0	1	253	289	316	606	63	339	22	3	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	188	165	27	5	0	1	20	55	3	0	0	164	266	212	478	48	239	29	11	232	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	97	83	18	3	0	0	6	28	3	3	1	217	293	253	546	36	321	29	6	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	144	128	23	7	0	1	6	40	3	1	3	180	234	258	491	78	250	28	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	178	162	36	8	0	3	10	36	2	1	1	222	276	327	603	105	268	20	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	16	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	108	99	18	3	1	0	6	22	1	2	3	182	236	232	468	51	219	20	6	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	117	113	18	3	0	0	1	5	1	2	2	159	174	186	360	27	161	4	1	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	153	136	28	3	0	0	6	34	4	0	1	206	260	228	488	22	244	22	4	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	64	61	6	2	0	0	1	19	0	0	0	98	113	131	244	33	130	30	2	104	-43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	154	140	18	3	0	0	9	47	0	0	0	129	181	150	331	21	184	31	6	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	273	255	45	8	0	0	8	70	2	0	0	176	208	208	415	31	230	26	3	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	180	171	26	8	0	1	6	77	1	2	1	152	185	216	402	64	263	43	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	98	92	17	8	0	0	2	21	1	0	0	185	211	272	482	87	234	21	2	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	127	116	25	2	0	2	7	52	1	2	1	216	266	284	551	69	354	41	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	272	255	36	4	0	1	11	102	2	0	0	141	183	169	351	27	227	38	4	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	110	99	15	3	0	1	4	46	5	1	0	152	222	212	434	61	271	42	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	75	69	8	1	0	0	4	26	0	0	0	116	164	130	295	14	181	35	5	137	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	130	122	21	6	0	1	4	41	2	0	0	172	211	246	457	74	240	32	3	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	65	60	6	1	0	1	3	25	2	0	0	100	169	167	336	67	151	38	5	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	188	171	24	4	0	1	14	63	3	0	0	140	218	181	399	41	220	34	7	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	16	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	108	99	18	3	1	0	6	22	1	2	3	182	236	232	468	51	234	20	6	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	16	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	108	96	24	4	1	0	9	18	1	2	3	250	321	312	633	62	308	17	8	287	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	117	113	18	3	0	0	1	5	1	2	2	159	174	186	360	27	167	4	1	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	117	112	25	4	0	0	2	4	1	2	2	223	243	259	502	36	231	3	2	225	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	153	136	28	3	0	0	6	34	4	0	1	206	260	228	488	22	272	22	4	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	—	153	134	27	3	0	0	8	24	4	0	1	201	267	224	491	22	243	16	5	223	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	218	200	24	5	0	0	11	66	0	0	0	120	166	145	311	25	179	30	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	218	197	26	6	0	0	14	49	0	0	0	132	190	162	352	30	176	22	6	163	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	273	255	45	8	0	0	8	70	2	0	0	176	208	208	415	31	239	26	3	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	—	273	251	52	9	0	0	12	51	2	0	0	207	249	243	492	36	256	19	4	221	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	233	216	34	10	0	2	8	100	3	2	1	157	198	231	430	74	278	43	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	233	213	44	12	0	2	11	72	3	2	1	207	256	291	547	85	300	31	5	243	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	262	243	49	11	0	2	11	86	2	3	1	202	242	272	514	70	301	33	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	262	240	59	11	0	4	14	64	2	3	1	246	293	342	635	96	318	24	5	281	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	307	286	41	5	0	1	12	115	3	1	0	143	186	171	357	28	234	37	4	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	307	276	48	6	0	1	22	93	3	1	0	174	243	207	449	33	257	30	7	210	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	21	19	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	158	200	211	411	53	231	29	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	21	19	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	158	200	211	411	53	231	29	5	181	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	308	277	39	7	0	2	14	121	8	2	0	141	204	188	392	47	240	39	5	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	308	274	54	7	0	2	17	83	8	2	0	197	264	245	509	47	275	27	6	233	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	284	260	40	10	0	3	11	96	5	0	1	154	203	227	430	73	227	34	4	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	284	257	53	13	0	3	14	73	5	0	1	206	261	292	553	86	273	26	5	246	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	285	253	37	7	0	1	21	96	6	3	1	146	229	186	414	40	229	34	7	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	285	248	45	8	0	1	26	83	6	3	1	181	275	226	501	44	267	29	9	237	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	144	128	23	7	0	1	6	40	3	1	3	180	234	258	491	78	250	28	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	144	128	23	7	0	1	6	40	3	1	3	180	234	258	491	78	250	28	4	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL MLE	Mexico Rojo	—	178	162	36	8	0	3	10	36	2	1	1	222	276	327	603	105	268	20	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL RAW	Mexico Rojo	—	178	162	36	8	0	3	10	36	2	1	1	222	276	327	603	105	268	20	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	16	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	108	100	18	3	1	0	6	22	1	2	3	180	236	230	466	50	219	20	6	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	117	114	18	3	0	0	1	5	1	2	2	158	174	184	358	26	161	4	1	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	153	142	28	3	0	0	6	34	4	0	1	197	260	218	479	21	244	22	4	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	218	205	24	5	0	0	11	66	0	0	0	117	166	141	307	24	168	30	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	273	261	45	8	0	0	8	70	2	0	0	172	208	203	411	31	230	26	3	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	233	220	34	10	0	2	8	100	3	2	1	155	198	227	426	73	263	43	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	262	247	49	11	0	2	11	86	2	3	1	198	242	267	509	69	302	33	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	307	289	41	5	0	1	12	115	3	1	0	142	186	170	356	28	227	37	4	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	308	283	39	7	0	2	14	121	8	2	0	138	204	184	388	46	235	39	5	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	284	266	40	10	0	3	11	96	5	0	1	150	203	222	425	71	210	34	4	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	285	256	37	7	0	1	21	96	6	3	1	145	229	184	412	39	220	34	7	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2891	2647	435	88	1	15	126	893	40	18	14	164	214	215	429	51	240	31	4	161	-5	-362	-2	+0	+52	+63	-25.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	97	20	0	3	28	201	9	4	3	163	212	212	423	49	239	31	4	161	-5	-81	-0	+0	+12	+14	-5.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 188 PAwOBA .227 → .187 (−40)K% 29.3% → 33.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.26%	÷1.040	×1.200	—	—	33.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.64%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×0.992	7.22%
HBP% /PA	1.60%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.49%
Singles /BIP	19.09%	÷1.016	×0.930	×1.028	×0.992	17.82%
Doubles /BIP	4.55%	÷0.955	×0.830	×1.028	×0.992	4.03%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.039	×0.970	×1.028	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.91%	÷1.031	×0.700	—	×0.992	0.61%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 108, K 108, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .227 → .187; ISO .048 → .038; BABIP .239 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 130 PAwOBA .244 → .200 (−44)K% 25.4% → 31.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.38%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	31.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.62%	÷0.978	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.27%
HBP% /PA	1.54%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.45%
Singles /BIP	19.54%	÷1.054	×0.930	×0.985	×1.003	17.04%
Doubles /BIP	8.05%	÷0.898	×0.830	×0.985	×1.003	7.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.930	×0.970	×0.985	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.15%	÷1.032	×0.700	—	×1.003	0.78%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 86, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .244 → .200; ISO .083 → .067; BABIP .273 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 65 PAwOBA .224 → .168 (−56)K% 30.8% → 38.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.77%	÷0.964	×1.220	—	—	38.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.69%	÷1.021	×0.680	—	×0.978	5.01%
HBP% /PA	3.08%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	2.53%
Singles /BIP	13.16%	÷0.981	×0.920	×1.016	×0.978	12.27%
Doubles /BIP	2.63%	÷1.056	×0.910	×1.016	×0.978	2.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.016	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.048	×0.800	—	×0.978	3.93%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 93, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .224 → .168; ISO .121 → .084; BABIP .167 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 110 PAwOBA .248 → .212 (−36)K% 34.5% → 42.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.55%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	42.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.45%	÷0.994	×0.690	—	×1.018	3.86%
HBP% /PA	4.55%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	4.35%
Singles /BIP	20.34%	÷0.971	×0.930	×1.014	×1.018	20.11%
Doubles /BIP	6.78%	÷0.933	×0.830	×1.014	×1.018	6.23%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.109	×0.920	×1.014	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.39%	÷0.886	×0.700	—	×1.018	2.73%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 122, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .248 → .212; ISO .103 → .081; BABIP .281 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 75 PAwOBA .166 → .137 (−29)K% 28.0% → 35.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.00%	÷0.973	×1.220	—	—	35.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.00%	÷0.985	×0.690	—	×0.988	5.54%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.39%	÷1.011	×0.940	×1.019	×0.988	16.28%
Doubles /BIP	2.17%	÷1.026	×0.870	×1.019	×0.988	1.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.019	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.011	×0.780	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .166 → .137; ISO .015 → .012; BABIP .196 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 272 PAwOBA .197 → .160 (−37)K% 30.9% → 37.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.88%	÷1.007	×1.220	—	—	37.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.015	×0.680	—	×1.012	3.99%
HBP% /PA	0.74%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	0.63%
Singles /BIP	22.56%	÷1.008	×0.920	×0.950	×1.012	19.80%
Doubles /BIP	3.05%	÷0.975	×0.910	×0.950	×1.012	2.74%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.880	×0.950	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.61%	÷0.918	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.54%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .197 → .160; ISO .032 → .028; BABIP .258 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Stockton Ports · 127 PAwOBA .308 → .243 (−65)K% 29.9% → 41.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.92%	÷0.972	×1.340	—	—	41.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.66%	÷1.035	×0.710	—	×0.998	5.93%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.62%
Singles /BIP	33.78%	÷0.978	×0.910	×1.031	×0.998	32.36%
Doubles /BIP	2.70%	÷0.926	×0.820	×1.031	×0.998	2.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.006	×0.760	×1.031	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.05%	÷1.244	×0.920	—	×0.998	2.99%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .308 → .243; ISO .098 → .068; BABIP .375 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAMidland RockHounds · 98 PAwOBA .233 → .205 (−27)K% 17.3% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.35%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	21.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.06%	÷0.985	×0.700	—	×1.027	2.23%
HBP% /PA	1.02%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.91%
Singles /BIP	13.51%	÷1.050	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	12.77%
Doubles /BIP	12.16%	÷1.041	×0.840	×1.050	×1.027	10.59%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×1.050	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.922	×0.800	—	×1.027	0.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 110, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .233 → .205; ISO .099 → .086; BABIP .257 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .