Lyle Lin

C Midland RockHounds
Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202326A+TOR99.214/.333/.2861041—.184/.283/.253
202427AAARI50.409/.480/.56810149—.356/.420/.489
202528AAOAK112.183/.282/.2040120—.170/.245/.190
2027PROJMLE30MLBOAK2.227/.292/.34300750.0
2028PROJ23% MLB31MLBOAK17.224/.288/.3370072-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA
K%94
Whiff%90
Z-Con%89
BB%51
Chase%20
wOBA13
CompsTony Cruz (age 30) · Dusty Brown (age 30) · Bryan Holaday (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .292 / .343
PA2
HR0
K%25
BB%7
BABIP290
ISO117
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202124 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 3331 7201 1101 00 226273387660 161300 303 294 29 — — — — — —
202124 AVisalia Rawhide — 167140 31800 19355 02 221335279614 57290 2111 288 41 — — — — — —
202225 A+Hillsboro Hops — 138126 23300 9302 00 183248206455 24237 227 215 5 — — — — — —
202225 INTLAuckland Tuatara — 5248 12101 350 02 250294333627 83256 106 279 75 — — — — — —
202326 A+Vancouver Canadians — 9984 18301 10245 00 214333286619 71288 2410 296 41 — — — — — —
202427 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 5044 18401 363 00 4094805681.048 159459 126 466 149 — — — — — —
202528 AAMidland RockHounds — 11293 17200 11153 11 183282204486 22212 1310 232 20 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202124 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 3331 6201 1131 00 194242355597 161266 393 211 29 — — — — — —
202124 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 167146 27600 13485 02 185274226500 41262 298 229 41 — — — — — —
202225 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 138129 20200 6392 00 155204171375 16219 284 176 5 — — — — — —
202326 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 9987 16301 7315 00 184283253536 69262 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202427 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 5045 16301 273 00 356420489909 133412 144 388 149 — — — — — —
202528 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 112100 17200 7183 11 170245190435 20192 166 198 20 — — — — — —
202124 A MLE2 teams — 200178 33801 13616 02 185264247511 62271 306 226 39 — — — — — —
202124 A RAW2 teams — 200171 381001 20456 02 222325298623 76291 2210 289 39 — — — — — —
202225 A+ MLE2 teams — 190177 28300 9532 02 158207175383 17222 285 176 5 — — — — — —
202225 A+ RAW2 teams — 190174 35401 12352 02 201261241502 40243 186 233 5 — — — — — —
202326 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 9987 16301 7315 00 184283253536 69273 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202326 A+ RAWVancouver Canadians — 9984 18301 10245 00 214333286619 71288 2410 296 41 — — — — — —
202427 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 5045 16301 273 00 356420489909 133405 144 388 149 — — — — — —
202427 AA RAWAmarillo Sod Poodles — 5044 18401 363 00 4094805681.048 159459 126 466 149 — — — — — —
202528 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 112100 17200 7183 11 170245190435 20202 166 198 20 — — — — — —
202528 AA RAWMidland RockHounds — 11293 17200 11153 11 183282204486 22212 1310 232 20 — — — — — —
202124 A MLE2 teams — 200179 33801 13616 02 184264246510 61263 306 226 39 — — — — — —
202225 A+ MLE2 teams — 190177 28300 9532 02 158207175383 17219 285 176 5 — — — — — —
202326 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 9987 16301 7315 00 184283253536 69262 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202427 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 5045 16301 273 00 356420489909 133412 144 388 149 — — — — — —
202528 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 112101 17200 7183 11 168245188434 20192 166 198 20 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 5045 16301 273 00 356420489909 133412 144 388 149 — — — — — —
202528 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 112101 17200 7183 11 168245188434 20192 166 198 20 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLEOAK 2% 200181 40714 14503 20 221286333619 112281 257 279 75 -6 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXOAK 2% 22 0000 000 00 227292343635 116290 00 286 75 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLEOAK 23% 7670 15301 5191 00 218283327610 109278 257 275 72 -2 +0 -3 +1 +2 -0.2
202831 MLB CTXOAK 23% 1716 3100 140 00 224288337626 113287 246 282 72 -1 +0 -1 +0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1716 3100 140 00 188235250485 62250 246 282 42 -1 +0 -1 +0 +0 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650612 1143800 381530 00 186234248482 62248 246 282 42 -21 +0 -24 +12 +14 -2.0
Career— MLE — 811734 1422506 4921021 25 193264252516 59260 266 231 42 -5 +0 -3 +3 +3 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 1142005 3916817 24 194264253517 60260 266 231 42 -20 +1 -11 +12 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 112 PAwOBA .231 → .198 (−34)K% 13.4% → 16.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.39%÷0.988×1.220——16.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.82%÷1.078×0.700—×0.9686.17%
HBP% /PA2.68%—×0.870—×0.9682.26%
Singles /BIP19.23%÷1.012×0.920×1.050×0.96817.76%
Doubles /BIP2.56%÷1.131×0.840×1.050×0.9681.94%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940×1.050×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.043×0.800—×0.9680.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .231 → .198; ISO .022 → .017; BABIP .212 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 50 PAwOBA .453 → .388 (−65)K% 12.0% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.00%÷1.018×1.220——14.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.00%÷1.026×0.700—×0.9784.00%
HBP% /PA6.00%—×0.870—×0.9785.11%
Singles /BIP34.21%÷0.974×0.920—×0.97831.60%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷0.966×0.840—×0.9788.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.987×0.940—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷1.229×0.800—×0.9781.68%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 95, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .453 → .388; ISO .159 → .122; BABIP .459 → .412. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Vancouver Canadians · 99 PAwOBA .289 → .229 (−60)K% 24.2% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷1.028×1.350——31.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.10%÷0.992×0.710—×0.9687.00%
HBP% /PA5.05%—×0.810—×0.9683.96%
Singles /BIP23.33%÷1.006×0.910×1.050×0.96821.46%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷0.949×0.830×1.050×0.9684.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.820×1.050×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷1.253×0.830—×0.9681.07%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .289 → .229; ISO .071 → .052; BABIP .288 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Hillsboro Hops · 138 PAwOBA .212 → .176 (−35)K% 21.7% → 28.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷1.046×1.350——28.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.52%÷0.974×0.710—×0.9784.65%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.810—×0.9781.15%
Singles /BIP20.83%÷0.965×0.910×1.028×0.97819.76%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷1.100×0.830×1.028×0.9782.37%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.006×0.820×1.028×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.848×0.830—×0.9780.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 101, K 109, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .212 → .176; ISO .024 → .017; BABIP .237 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AVisalia Rawhide · 167 PAwOBA .284 → .229 (−55)K% 21.0% → 28.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.96%÷0.988×1.360——28.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.38%÷1.013×0.690—×0.9807.60%
HBP% /PA2.99%—×0.780—×0.9802.29%
Singles /BIP21.90%÷1.006×0.920×1.047×0.98020.56%
Doubles /BIP7.62%÷1.056×0.830×1.047×0.9806.14%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.054×0.910×1.047×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.923×0.800—×0.9800.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .284 → .229; ISO .057 → .045; BABIP .290 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 33 PAwOBA .286 → .211 (−75)K% 30.3% → 39.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.30%÷0.946×1.220——39.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.03%÷0.992×0.690—×1.0122.13%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.850—×1.0122.61%
Singles /BIP19.05%÷1.025×0.940—×1.01217.67%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.034×0.870—×1.0128.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.945×0.920—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.271×0.780—×1.0122.96%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 89, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .286 → .211; ISO .161 → .102; BABIP .300 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .