Lyle Lin — OGILVIE

Lyle LinC Midland RockHounds

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .285 / .321

PA136

HR2

K%25

BB%7

ISO104

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A	2 teams	—	200	177	31	7	0	0	14	63	6	0	2	175	259	215	474	40	267	32	7	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A	2 teams	—	200	171	38	10	0	1	20	45	6	0	2	222	325	298	623	76	291	22	10	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+	2 teams	—	190	178	28	3	0	0	8	53	2	0	2	157	202	174	376	17	220	28	4	174	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+	2 teams	—	190	174	35	4	0	1	12	35	2	0	2	201	261	241	502	40	243	18	6	233	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	88	16	3	0	1	6	32	5	0	0	182	273	250	523	68	273	32	6	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	84	18	3	0	1	10	24	5	0	0	214	333	286	619	71	288	24	10	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	45	18	4	0	1	2	7	3	0	0	400	460	556	1.016	156	459	14	4	409	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	44	18	4	0	1	3	6	3	0	0	409	480	568	1.048	159	459	12	6	466	214	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	112	100	17	2	0	0	7	20	3	1	1	170	245	190	435	20	207	18	6	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	112	93	17	2	0	0	11	15	3	1	1	183	282	204	486	22	212	13	10	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	OAK	—	136	124	27	5	1	2	9	34	2	2	1	218	281	323	604	105	281	25	7	277	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	OAK	23%	194	175	38	7	1	3	14	48	3	3	1	217	286	320	606	103	281	25	7	279	71	-6	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.1
2028	31	MLB	OAK	35%	209	189	42	8	1	4	15	52	3	3	1	222	290	339	628	116	279	25	7	278	71	-7	+0	-3	+4	+6	0.0
2027	30	MLB	OAK	23%	44	40	9	2	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	225	295	350	645	125	279	25	7	264	61	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	31	MLB	OAK	35%	73	67	14	3	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	209	274	299	572	90	277	25	7	264	60	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	117	107	23	5	0	2	8	29	2	2	0	215	282	318	600	103	276	25	7	264	60	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	128	28	0	11	44	161	11	11	0	215	282	318	600	103	277	25	7	264	60	-29	+2	-8	+12	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1190	1076	217	39	3	11	75	309	27	9	8	202	271	274	545	72	269	26	6	245	46	-73	-1	-5	+21	+34	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	119	21	2	6	41	169	15	5	4	202	272	276	548	73	270	26	6	245	46	-40	-1	-3	+12	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	33	31	7	2	1	1	10	1	0	0	226	273	387	660	161	300	30	3	294	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	24	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	167	140	31	8	0	19	35	5	0	2	221	335	279	614	57	290	21	11	288	78	-4	-1	—	—	+5	-0.0
2022	25	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	138	126	23	3	0	9	30	2	0	0	183	248	206	455	24	237	22	7	215	23	-12	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2022	25	INTL	Auckland Tuatara	—	52	48	12	1	1	3	5	0	0	2	250	294	333	627	83	256	10	6	279	72	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	26	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	84	18	3	1	10	24	5	0	0	214	333	286	619	71	288	24	10	296	84	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	27	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	44	18	4	1	3	6	3	0	0	409	480	568	1.048	159	459	12	6	466	214	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	28	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	112	93	17	2	0	11	15	3	1	1	183	282	204	486	22	212	13	10	232	36	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lyle Lin (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	217/285/321	103	281	2	2	25%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	46	45	43→40	41	229/275/350	121	280	12	5	23%	5%	72	-0.2	229/282/357	128	264	13	3	18%	6%	78	+0.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	46	45→50	46→45	43	229/281/353	124	295	12	4	26%	6%	76	+0.0	203/248/308	105	271	9	8	28%	5%	50	-1.8	162/203/250	88	217	7	7	28%	5%	13	-1.3
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	42	44→45	47→30	43	212/272/328	116	281	12	3	28%	7%	66	-0.6	219/288/371	152	273	16	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	214/294/383	169	256	18	1	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Rob Johnson 2012 · MLB	30	43→52	42→45	48→50	50	210/290/320	110	269	9	7	24%	9%	72	-0.2	211/268/328	117	255	12	6	22%	7%	64	-0.8	197/247/305	108	232	12	3	21%	6%	45	-0.9
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB	30	46→38	42→45	42→40	45	226/279/328	102	284	9	5	23%	7%	68	-0.5	218/270/343	125	291	14	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	214/267/333	119	287	14	0	30%	5%	63	-0.2
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	49	213/288/334	121	268	10	13	24%	8%	74	-0.1	204/270/325	121	268	14	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	42→45	51→50	49	214/289/322	109	281	8	8	26%	9%	71	-0.3	199/276/283	84	272	7	10	27%	9%	56	-1.3	177/262/235	58	247	4	10	27%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Francisco Peña 2019 · MLB	29	44→46	47→55	48→40	40	226/263/353	127	273	15	6	24%	5%	68	-0.5	221/263/389	168	255	23	5	24%	5%	78	+0.2	198/243/382	184	213	28	1	23%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Josh Wilson 2010 · MLB	29	46→50	42→45	46→50	44	223/279/328	105	264	8	10	19%	5%	68	-0.5	223/271/323	100	278	7	8	22%	4%	63	-0.8	214/262/309	95	277	6	8	24%	4%	54	-0.9
✕Nevin Ashley 2014 · AAA	29	46→51	44→45	47→45	44	225/288/347	122	288	12	7	26%	6%	77	+0.1	222/285/334	112	288	11	4	26%	7%	72	-0.2	219/288/325	106	285	11	1	26%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Omir Santos 2010 · MLB	29	49→43	41→45	42→30	44	238/283/336	98	278	9	3	18%	5%	72	-0.2	220/253/314	94	266	9	4	20%	4%	53	-1.5	224/244/298	74	289	5	0	24%	2%	42	-0.8
✕Danny Mendick 2023 · MLB	29	49	44→45	43→50	46	240/300/357	117	301	12	7	24%	7%	85	+0.7	231/290/367	136	278	15	14	22%	7%	83	+0.6	223/282/357	134	264	16	15	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Devin Ivany 2011 · AAA	29	43→48	46→50	45	43	217/273/347	131	284	13	9	28%	7%	71	-0.3	217/265/331	114	279	11	9	25%	5%	63	-0.8	212/254/319	107	262	11	5	23%	4%	51	-0.5
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB	28	43→38	43→45	44→40	43	213/270/326	113	269	11	3	25%	6%	64	-0.8	220/284/316	96	287	6	3	24%	7%	67	-0.5	220/291/305	85	286	5	0	23%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Craig Stansberry 2011 · MLB	29	48→47	43→50	44→50	47	234/292/349	114	282	11	9	21%	7%	79	+0.3	224/282/341	117	296	11	14	27%	7%	73	-0.1	195/262/295	100	275	9	18	31%	7%	53	-0.6
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Xavier Fernández 2023 · AAA	28	46	42→50	46→40	43	227/270/325	98	274	10	5	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/291/381	142	289	15	5	22%	6%	88	+0.9	245/302/415	170	290	18	0	22%	7%	98	+1.1
✕Andy González 2011 · MLB	29	45→53	42→40	47→50	47	220/289/318	97	283	11	9	25%	8%	70	-0.3	221/292/329	108	272	11	6	22%	9%	75	-0.0	213/291/319	106	259	10	3	21%	9%	70	-0.2
✕Eric Fryer 2015 · MLB	29	43→53	41→45	56→50	46	211/272/316	105	269	8	14	24%	7%	62	-0.9	239/305/321	82	310	6	7	23%	8%	77	+0.1	266/332/325	58	346	3	1	22%	9%	85	+0.2