Lyle Lin — OGILVIE

Lyle LinC Midland RockHounds

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.2 · 2026

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .290 / .328

PA136

HR2

K%23

BB%7

MLB%2%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-3M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A	2 teams	200	178	34	8	0	1	13	61	6	0	2	.191	.269	.253	.522	.062	.280	30	6	.227	32	-15	-1	+0	+4	+6	-0.7
2022	25	A+	2 teams	190	178	27	3	0	0	8	56	2	0	2	.152	.197	.169	.365	.017	.218	29	4	.167	-14	-24	-1	+0	+3	+5	-1.7
2023	26	A+	Vancouver Canadians	99	88	15	2	0	1	6	32	5	0	0	.170	.263	.227	.490	.057	.255	32	6	.220	27	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
2024	27	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	50	45	16	3	0	1	2	8	3	0	0	.356	.420	.489	.909	.133	.417	16	4	.396	161	+3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.6
2025	28	AA	Midland RockHounds	112	100	17	2	0	0	7	20	3	1	1	.170	.245	.190	.435	.020	.207	18	6	.203	14	-11	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	OAK	136	123	27	5	1	2	10	32	2	2	1	.220	.289	.325	.614	.106	.280	24	7	.282	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB 9%	OAK	194	175	38	7	1	3	14	46	3	3	1	.217	.286	.320	.606	.103	.280	24	7	.283	75	-6	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.2
2028	31	MLB 19%	OAK	209	189	42	8	1	4	15	50	3	2	1	.222	.290	.339	.628	.116	.280	24	7	.282	74	-6	+0	-3	+4	+6	0.1
2029	32	MLB 29%	OAK	205	185	41	8	1	3	15	50	3	1	0	.222	.291	.324	.615	.103	.279	24	7	.280	72	-6	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.0
2030	33	MLB 40%	OAK	184	166	36	7	1	3	13	46	3	0	0	.217	.286	.325	.611	.108	.278	25	7	.276	69	-6	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.2
2031	34	MLB 49%	OAK	150	136	28	5	1	2	11	39	2	0	0	.206	.275	.301	.577	.096	.277	26	7	.269	64	-6	+0	-5	+3	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			1729	1563	321	58	6	20	114	440	35	9	8	.205	.275	.289	.563	.083	.270	25	7	.256	54	-90	-1	-17	+31	+49	-3.0
/ 162G	—			650	588	121	22	2	8	43	165	13	3	3	.206	.275	.291	.566	.085	.269	25	7	.256	54	-34	-1	-7	+12	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	33	31	7	2	1	1	10	1	0	0	.226	.273	.387	.660	.161	.300	30	3	.294	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	24	A	Visalia Rawhide	167	140	31	8	0	19	35	5	0	2	.221	.335	.279	.614	.057	.290	21	11	.288	78	-4	-1	—	—	+5	-0.0
2022	25	A+	Hillsboro Hops	138	126	23	3	0	9	30	2	0	0	.183	.248	.206	.455	.024	.237	22	7	.215	23	-12	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2022	25	INTL	Auckland Tuatara	52	48	12	1	1	3	5	0	0	2	.250	.294	.333	.627	.083	.256	10	6	.279	72	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	26	A+	Vancouver Canadians	99	84	18	3	1	10	24	5	0	0	.214	.333	.286	.619	.071	.288	24	10	.296	84	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	27	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	50	44	18	4	1	3	6	3	0	0	.409	.480	.568	1.048	.159	.459	12	6	.466	214	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	28	AA	Midland RockHounds	112	93	17	2	0	11	15	3	1	1	.183	.282	.204	.486	.022	.212	13	10	.232	36	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lyle Lin (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	.221/.290/.328	.106	.280	2	2	23%	7%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	45	43→45	43→40	41	.224/.271/.334	.110	.277	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.227/.279/.354	.127	.262	13	3	19%	5%	76	+0.0	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	44→45	48→50	49	.215/.288/.336	.121	.269	10	13	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.203/.269/.324	.121	.266	14	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	.212/.294/.334	.122	.284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Rob Johnson 2012 · MLB	30	44→52	42→45	48→50	50	.211/.291/.323	.111	.269	9	6	24%	9%	72	-0.2	.208/.267/.322	.114	.253	12	6	22%	7%	62	-0.9	.194/.244/.297	.104	.228	11	3	20%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	44	44→45	47→30	44	.217/.278/.331	.114	.288	12	3	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.213/.280/.353	.140	.269	14	5	25%	8%	76	+0.0	.204/.283/.358	.153	.247	16	1	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Shawn McGill 2013 · AAA	29	45	42→45	46→45	43	.222/.270/.327	.105	.269	10	10	21%	5%	64	-0.8	.230/.284/.331	.101	.284	6	8	20%	5%	71	-0.3	.251/.306/.355	.104	.311	2	5	19%	5%	82	+0.2
✕Nevin Ashley 2014 · AAA	29	46→50	45	46→45	44	.227/.292/.350	.123	.290	12	7	25%	7%	80	+0.4	.225/.287/.333	.108	.291	10	4	25%	7%	73	-0.1	.222/.290/.320	.098	.291	10	1	25%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Tommy Field 2016 · MLB	29	44→50	46→45	50→45	46	.222/.289/.353	.131	.276	13	8	24%	7%	79	+0.3	.202/.262/.322	.120	.250	12	6	24%	6%	60	-1.0	.187/.243/.293	.105	.231	11	4	24%	5%	42	-1.5
✕Gerald Laird 2010 · MLB	30	48→47	42→50	46→50	50	.234/.300/.346	.112	.272	9	7	17%	7%	82	+0.5	.227/.292/.336	.109	.262	9	7	17%	7%	76	+0.1	.263/.333/.361	.098	.304	5	3	14%	8%	94	+0.3
✕Craig Stansberry 2011 · MLB	29	46→47	42→50	44→50	48	.226/.286/.335	.109	.275	10	9	21%	7%	73	-0.1	.220/.282/.334	.114	.291	11	13	27%	7%	71	-0.3	.195/.266/.297	.101	.276	9	18	31%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	45	45→50	46→45	42	.222/.272/.345	.123	.285	12	4	26%	6%	69	-0.4	.204/.249/.306	.102	.272	9	8	27%	5%	50	-1.8	.167/.207/.251	.085	.222	6	7	27%	5%	15	-1.2
✕Travis Garcia 2011 · AA	29	44	46→50	48→40	37	.223/.260/.350	.127	.301	13	8	30%	5%	66	-0.6	.246/.287/.427	.181	.319	24	10	30%	5%	98	+1.6	.243/.279/.416	.173	.307	24	5	29%	3%	90	+0.4
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	46→50	48→40	48	.200/.287/.330	.129	.255	14	5	26%	9%	73	-0.1	.215/.296/.335	.120	.285	13	7	27%	9%	79	+0.3	.199/.298/.266	.067	.267	9	0	27%	12%	60	-0.2
✕Christian Lopes 2022 · AAA	29	43→51	47→45	48→50	46	.214/.294/.349	.135	.290	14	12	30%	8%	82	+0.5	.211/.284/.324	.113	.313	10	11	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.188/.264/.265	.077	.288	4	9	33%	8%	44	-0.8
✕Omir Santos 2010 · MLB	29	48→44	41→45	42→30	43	.235/.279/.329	.094	.277	9	3	19%	5%	68	-0.5	.222/.256/.317	.095	.266	9	4	20%	4%	55	-1.4	.224/.243/.298	.074	.286	5	0	24%	2%	42	-0.8
✕Devin Ivany 2011 · AAA	29	44→48	46→50	45	43	.222/.278/.355	.134	.286	14	9	27%	7%	75	-0.0	.217/.267/.330	.113	.280	11	9	26%	6%	63	-0.8	.210/.253/.312	.102	.262	10	5	23%	4%	49	-0.5
✕Francisco Peña 2019 · MLB	29	44→43	46→55	47→40	41	.223/.259/.345	.122	.267	14	5	23%	5%	64	-0.8	.221/.262/.382	.161	.258	21	5	24%	5%	76	+0.0	.196/.243/.367	.171	.216	26	1	24%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Xavier Fernández 2023 · AAA	28	46	44→50	46→40	44	.231/.275/.338	.107	.277	12	6	22%	6%	69	-0.4	.242/.294/.389	.147	.288	16	5	21%	6%	91	+1.1	.249/.308/.429	.180	.289	20	0	21%	7%	105	+1.4
✕Tony Cruz 2016 · MLB	29	44→37	42→45	40	46	.215/.265/.320	.105	.256	9	4	20%	6%	59	-1.1	.221/.275/.335	.114	.287	12	4	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.276/.322	.102	.291	11	2	27%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Sergio Garcia 2009 · AAA	29	50→51	43→45	50→45	49	.242/.298/.351	.109	.273	10	10	16%	7%	82	+0.5	.220/.277/.309	.089	.263	6	8	18%	6%	63	-0.9	.200/.260/.256	.056	.243	2	2	17%	6%	42	-1.0
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2011 · AAA	29	45	44→50	44→40	44	.224/.282/.339	.115	.273	12	3	22%	6%	72	-0.2	.225/.280/.361	.136	.274	16	6	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.225/.277/.362	.137	.277	18	3	25%	5%	73	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)