Lyle Lin — OGILVIE

Lyle LinC Midland RockHounds

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .287 / .323

PA11

HR0

K%24

BB%7

ISO105

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	33	31	7	2	0	1	1	10	1	0	0	226	273	387	660	161	300	30	3	294	85	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	24	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	167	140	31	8	0	0	19	35	5	0	2	221	335	279	614	57	290	21	11	288	81	-4	-1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	25	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	138	126	23	3	0	0	9	30	2	0	0	183	248	206	455	24	237	22	7	215	32	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2022	25	INTL	Auckland Tuatara	—	52	48	12	1	0	1	3	5	0	0	2	250	294	333	627	83	256	10	6	279	75	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	26	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	84	18	3	0	1	10	24	5	0	0	214	333	286	619	71	288	24	10	296	86	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	27	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	44	18	4	0	1	3	6	3	0	0	409	480	568	1.048	159	459	12	6	466	201	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	28	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	112	93	17	2	0	0	11	15	3	1	1	183	282	204	486	22	212	13	10	232	43	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	33	31	5	1	0	1	1	13	1	0	0	161	212	290	502	129	262	39	3	209	28	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	24	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	167	146	27	6	0	0	13	48	5	0	2	185	274	226	500	41	267	29	8	234	45	-11	-1	—	—	+4	-0.8
2022	25	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	138	129	19	2	0	0	6	40	2	0	0	147	197	163	360	16	213	29	4	168	0	-16	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2023	26	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	88	15	2	0	1	6	33	5	0	0	170	263	227	490	57	257	33	6	219	34	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	45	18	4	0	1	2	7	3	0	0	400	460	556	1.016	156	432	14	4	403	159	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	28	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	112	100	18	2	0	0	7	18	3	1	1	180	255	200	455	20	203	16	6	206	26	-10	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2021	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	200	177	34	8	0	1	14	61	6	0	2	192	274	254	528	62	282	30	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	200	171	38	10	0	1	20	45	6	0	2	222	325	298	623	76	291	22	10	289	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	190	178	27	3	0	0	8	55	2	0	2	152	197	169	365	17	216	29	4	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	190	174	35	4	0	1	12	35	2	0	2	201	261	241	502	40	243	18	6	233	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	88	15	2	0	1	6	33	5	0	0	170	263	227	490	57	259	33	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	84	18	3	0	1	10	24	5	0	0	214	333	286	619	71	288	24	10	296	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	45	18	4	0	1	2	7	3	0	0	400	460	556	1.016	156	459	14	4	403	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	44	18	4	0	1	3	6	3	0	0	409	480	568	1.048	159	459	12	6	466	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	112	100	18	2	0	0	7	18	3	1	1	180	255	200	455	20	214	16	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	112	93	17	2	0	0	11	15	3	1	1	183	282	204	486	22	212	13	10	232	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	200	178	34	8	0	1	14	61	6	0	2	191	274	253	527	62	266	30	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	190	178	27	3	0	0	8	55	2	0	2	152	197	169	365	17	213	29	4	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	88	15	2	0	1	6	33	5	0	0	170	263	227	490	57	257	33	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	45	18	4	0	1	2	7	3	0	0	400	460	556	1.016	156	432	14	4	403	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	112	101	18	2	0	0	7	18	3	1	1	178	255	198	453	20	203	16	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	99	88	15	2	0	1	6	33	5	0	0	170	263	227	490	57	257	33	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	50	45	18	4	0	1	2	7	3	0	0	400	460	556	1.016	156	432	14	4	403	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	112	101	18	2	0	0	7	18	3	1	1	178	255	198	453	20	203	16	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	OAK	2%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		281	27	9	279	75	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	OAK	23%	194	175	38	7	1	3	14	47	3	1	0	217	286	320	606	103	281	24	7	280	76	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.0
2028	31	MLB MLE	OAK	35%	209	189	42	8	1	4	15	51	3	1	0	222	290	339	628	116	279	24	7	279	75	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	OAK	23%	44	40	9	2	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	225	295	350	645	125	286	25	7	272	76	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	OAK	35%	73	67	14	3	0	1	5	18	1	0	0	209	274	299	572	90	285	25	7	271	75	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	117	107	23	5	0	2	8	29	2	0	0	215	282	318	600	103	276	25	7	271	51	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	128	28	0	11	44	161	11	0	0	215	282	318	600	103	277	25	7	271	51	-19	+0	-8	+12	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1065	962	194	34	2	10	67	275	25	3	5	202	271	272	544	71	269	26	6	243	51	-12	+0	-5	+7	+9	-0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	118	21	1	6	41	168	15	2	3	201	271	271	541	70	268	26	6	243	51	-19	+1	-8	+12	+14	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lyle Lin (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	219/287/323	104	281	2	1	24%	7%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	46	44→45	43→40	42	227/275/344	117	280	11	5	23%	5%	74	-0.5	227/281/349	122	263	12	3	18%	6%	78	-0.3	220/288/344	124	255	13	2	19%	7%	76	-0.1
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	43	42→45	47→30	44	210/271/314	104	281	10	3	28%	7%	66	-1.1	213/283/348	135	271	14	5	25%	8%	79	-0.2	202/281/348	146	246	15	1	24%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	46	44→50	46→45	42	226/277/345	119	292	11	4	26%	6%	75	-0.5	202/249/302	100	271	8	8	27%	5%	54	-2.0	164/205/243	79	220	5	7	28%	5%	22	-1.3
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB	30	45→39	42→45	42→40	46	221/276/322	102	279	9	5	24%	7%	69	-0.9	218/270/342	124	292	14	5	29%	6%	72	-0.7	221/270/345	124	295	15	0	30%	4%	72	-0.2
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2011 · AAA	29	45	43→45	44→40	45	223/284/329	106	274	10	3	22%	6%	74	-0.5	221/278/347	126	273	14	6	24%	6%	76	-0.4	220/272/343	123	275	15	3	25%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB	28	43→39	43→45	44→40	44	211/270/320	110	265	10	3	24%	6%	67	-1.1	218/281/310	92	285	6	3	24%	7%	69	-0.9	212/282/298	86	268	7	0	22%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Omir Santos 2010 · MLB	29	49→44	41→45	42→30	44	238/283/335	97	278	9	3	18%	5%	75	-0.5	221/255/314	93	265	8	4	20%	4%	59	-1.7	224/243/295	71	286	5	0	23%	2%	48	-0.9
✕Rob Johnson 2011 · MLB	29	46→52	41→45	41→50	52	222/298/332	109	272	8	5	20%	9%	80	-0.1	206/271/313	107	258	10	7	23%	7%	65	-1.2	192/248/290	98	236	10	5	23%	6%	48	-0.9
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	48→52	44→45	47→40	45	235/287/343	108	286	12	3	22%	6%	78	-0.3	223/278/320	97	273	11	4	22%	6%	70	-0.9	242/307/339	96	312	9	2	24%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Nevin Ashley 2014 · AAA	29	45→51	43→45	47→45	45	222/288/336	114	285	10	7	25%	7%	78	-0.3	224/288/329	105	292	9	4	25%	7%	76	-0.4	223/291/321	98	292	9	1	25%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48→49	48→50	47→45	48	242/308/378	135	300	16	4	24%	8%	94	+0.9	234/292/366	132	299	15	9	26%	7%	86	+0.3	221/275/344	123	283	14	11	26%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	48	46→50	43→40	51	237/313/371	133	279	13	5	20%	8%	95	+1.0	214/278/320	106	265	9	4	22%	7%	70	-0.8	191/253/282	92	240	7	1	23%	6%	51	-0.8
✕Danny Mendick 2023 · MLB	29	49→48	44→45	43→50	46	241/302/360	118	302	12	7	24%	7%	88	+0.4	229/288/357	128	276	14	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	220/279/343	122	262	14	15	21%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Xavier Fernández 2023 · AAA	28	47	42→45	46→40	44	231/275/327	96	277	10	5	21%	6%	70	-0.9	240/295/377	137	287	14	5	21%	7%	89	+0.5	246/305/407	160	287	16	0	20%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Humberto Sosa 2015 · AAA	29	44→49	45	43→45	45	222/271/344	122	267	13	5	22%	6%	72	-0.7	223/266/316	93	280	10	5	23%	5%	64	-1.3	213/266/331	118	266	14	2	25%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Andrew Knizner 2023 · MLB	28	45	41→50	41→40	52	216/302/314	98	265	9	3	21%	9%	78	-0.3	227/294/353	126	278	14	5	23%	7%	84	+0.2	227/296/347	120	278	14	3	22%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB	29	42	43→45	47→30	40	202/266/311	110	311	12	4	37%	7%	63	-1.3	196/261/307	111	365	12	6	46%	7%	61	-1.5	163/227/268	105	321	15	3	51%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB	29	41	47→50	44→45	37	211/260/340	129	290	15	4	32%	5%	68	-1.0	197/240/316	119	272	15	7	33%	4%	55	-1.9	168/243/303	136	236	19	5	37%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Brian O'Keefe 2021 · AA	28	41→43	46→55	45→40	47	211/281/338	127	262	14	5	25%	8%	76	-0.4	215/273/369	154	291	19	5	32%	7%	80	-0.2	196/260/359	163	245	20	1	28%	7%	70	-0.5