Trey Martin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 344 | .200/.265/.249 | 2 | 16 | 12 | — | .169/.217/.214 |
| 2017 | 24 | AATennessee Smo… | 337 | .265/.304/.379 | 5 | 6 | 46 | — | .209/.242/.296 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 420 | .230/.314/.350 | 7 | 17 | 42 | — | .185/.238/.285 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 76 | 70 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 243 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 114 | 315 | 22 | 5 | 286 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 33 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 448 | 515 | 690 | 1.205 | 241 | 500 | 9 | 6 | 522 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 42 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 200 | 300 | 257 | 557 | 57 | 259 | 24 | 10 | 253 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 400 | 367 | 90 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 101 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 245 | 299 | 332 | 631 | 87 | 323 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 332 | 306 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 83 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 239 | 283 | 307 | 590 | 69 | 318 | 25 | 5 | 263 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 74 | 72 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 250 | 270 | 375 | 645 | 125 | 340 | 26 | 3 | 284 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 239 | 215 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 55 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 186 | 242 | 242 | 484 | 56 | 237 | 23 | 6 | 217 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 105 | 90 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 317 | 267 | 583 | 33 | 333 | 29 | 10 | 265 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 337 | 317 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 89 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 265 | 304 | 379 | 683 | 114 | 353 | 26 | 4 | 304 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 153 | 139 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 54 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 201 | 255 | 237 | 492 | 36 | 322 | 35 | 6 | 224 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 267 | 227 | 56 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 75 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 247 | 347 | 419 | 766 | 172 | 331 | 28 | 13 | 337 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 76 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 183 | 227 | 268 | 494 | 85 | 245 | 32 | 4 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 33 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 367 | 424 | 567 | 991 | 200 | 385 | 12 | 3 | 379 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 42 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 167 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 56 | 221 | 33 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 400 | 377 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 144 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 183 | 220 | 244 | 464 | 61 | 276 | 36 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 332 | 312 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 115 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 192 | 225 | 247 | 471 | 54 | 281 | 35 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 74 | 73 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 178 | 189 | 247 | 436 | 68 | 287 | 35 | 1 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 239 | 219 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 68 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 169 | 212 | 224 | 436 | 55 | 218 | 28 | 4 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 105 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 170 | 228 | 191 | 419 | 21 | 280 | 42 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 337 | 321 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 111 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 209 | 242 | 296 | 538 | 87 | 301 | 33 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 153 | 143 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 70 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 154 | 188 | 182 | 370 | 28 | 274 | 46 | 3 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 267 | 241 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 94 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 203 | 267 | 344 | 612 | 141 | 290 | 35 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 76 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 183 | 227 | 268 | 494 | 85 | 271 | 32 | 4 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 76 | 70 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 243 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 114 | 315 | 22 | 5 | 286 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 33 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 367 | 424 | 567 | 991 | 200 | 423 | 12 | 3 | 379 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 33 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 448 | 515 | 690 | 1.205 | 241 | 500 | 9 | 6 | 522 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 42 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 167 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 56 | 250 | 33 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 42 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 200 | 300 | 257 | 557 | 57 | 259 | 24 | 10 | 253 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 400 | 377 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 144 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 183 | 220 | 244 | 464 | 61 | 284 | 36 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 400 | 367 | 90 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 101 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 245 | 299 | 332 | 631 | 87 | 323 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 384 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 141 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 190 | 221 | 250 | 471 | 60 | 292 | 35 | 3 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 406 | 378 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 102 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 241 | 281 | 320 | 601 | 79 | 322 | 25 | 5 | 267 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 314 | 53 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 112 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 169 | 214 | 213 | 427 | 45 | 249 | 33 | 5 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 344 | 305 | 61 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 85 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 200 | 265 | 249 | 514 | 49 | 265 | 25 | 7 | 232 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 337 | 321 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 111 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 209 | 242 | 296 | 538 | 87 | 304 | 33 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 337 | 317 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 89 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 265 | 304 | 379 | 683 | 114 | 353 | 26 | 4 | 304 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 420 | 384 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 164 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 182 | 236 | 276 | 512 | 94 | 292 | 39 | 6 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 420 | 366 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 129 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 230 | 314 | 350 | 664 | 120 | 328 | 31 | 10 | 296 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 76 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 181 | 227 | 264 | 491 | 83 | 245 | 32 | 4 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 33 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 367 | 424 | 567 | 991 | 200 | 385 | 12 | 3 | 379 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 42 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 158 | 250 | 211 | 461 | 53 | 221 | 33 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 400 | 379 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 144 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 182 | 220 | 243 | 463 | 61 | 276 | 36 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 388 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 141 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 188 | 221 | 247 | 468 | 59 | 282 | 35 | 3 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 323 | 53 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 112 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 164 | 214 | 207 | 421 | 43 | 237 | 33 | 5 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 337 | 320 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 111 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 209 | 242 | 297 | 539 | 87 | 301 | 33 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 420 | 390 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 164 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 179 | 236 | 272 | 508 | 92 | 284 | 39 | 6 | 231 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2058 | 1917 | 362 | 65 | 11 | 17 | 88 | 714 | 15 | 95 | 31 | 189 | 230 | 261 | 491 | 72 | 287 | 35 | 4 | 214 | 31 | -169 | +7 | +0 | +7 | +45 | -11.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 114 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 226 | 5 | 30 | 10 | 188 | 230 | 258 | 488 | 69 | 287 | 35 | 4 | 214 | 31 | -53 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AATennessee Smokies · 267 PAwOBA .326 → .270 (−56)K% 28.1% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.09% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.24% | ÷0.982 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 7.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×0.988 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.966 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | ×0.988 | 9.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.128 | ×0.880 | ×0.960 | ×0.988 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.61% | ÷0.947 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 126, K 95, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .326 → .270; ISO .172 → .147; BABIP .331 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAIowa Cubs · 153 PAwOBA .218 → .163 (−55)K% 35.3% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.29% | ÷0.993 | ×1.290 | — | — | 45.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.23% | ÷1.116 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.24% | ÷1.033 | ×0.900 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 24.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.091 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 2.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.024 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 118, 3B 105, K 99, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .218 → .163; ISO .036 → .025; BABIP .322 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATennessee Smokies · 337 PAwOBA .296 → .236 (−59)K% 26.4% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.41% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.26% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 2.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .296 → .236; ISO .114 → .092; BABIP .353 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATennessee Smokies · 239 PAwOBA .214 → .185 (−28)K% 23.0% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.01% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.86% | ÷0.982 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.25% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 19.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.25% | ÷0.918 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 1.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .214 → .185; ISO .056 → .049; BABIP .237 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 105 PAwOBA .266 → .191 (−75)K% 28.6% → 42.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.965 | ×1.420 | — | — | 42.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.48% | ÷1.043 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 25.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.311 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 162, 1B 109, 2B 84, 3B 108, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .266 → .191; ISO .033 → .026; BABIP .333 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 332 PAwOBA .258 → .203 (−55)K% 25.0% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.025 | ×1.420 | — | — | 34.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.12% | ÷0.960 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.56% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 23.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.138 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.90% | ÷0.888 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.91% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 105, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .258 → .203; ISO .069 → .052; BABIP .318 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ASouth Bend Cubs · 74 PAwOBA .276 → .201 (−75)K% 25.7% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.68% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.70% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 1.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.990 | 18.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.109 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.990 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.073 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×0.990 | 3.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 115, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .276 → .201; ISO .125 → .087; BABIP .340 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AKane County Cougars · 400 PAwOBA .276 → .205 (−71)K% 25.2% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.25% | ÷0.952 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.75% | ÷1.058 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.94% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | — | 22.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.64% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | — | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.144 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | — | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.88% | ÷1.029 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 83, 3B 129, K 90, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .276 → .205; ISO .087 → .064; BABIP .323 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).