Nate Esposito
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 119 | .167/.267/.186 | 0 | 2 | 1 | — | .143/.217/.152 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 141 | .176/.243/.240 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | .141/.191/.195 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAAKC | 29 | .200/.310/.360 | 1 | 0 | 34 | — | .154/.241/.308 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 77 | 64 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 377 | 312 | 689 | 62 | 340 | 22 | 12 | 327 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK | Burlington Royals | — | 112 | 101 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 317 | 373 | 475 | 848 | 158 | 357 | 14 | 4 | 370 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 243 | 227 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 270 | 264 | 534 | 40 | 270 | 16 | 3 | 245 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 48 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 208 | 200 | 408 | 44 | 233 | 31 | 4 | 192 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 71 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 309 | 175 | 484 | 217 | 17 | 11 | 237 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 49 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 170 | 182 | 352 | 68 | 121 | 20 | 6 | 159 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 92 | 81 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 281 | 272 | 553 | 62 | 279 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 310 | 360 | 670 | 160 | 333 | 41 | 7 | 308 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 77 | 68 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 273 | 221 | 493 | 44 | 263 | 31 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 112 | 103 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 282 | 359 | 641 | 126 | 269 | 21 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 243 | 230 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 228 | 226 | 454 | 35 | 242 | 22 | 2 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 48 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 146 | 130 | 276 | 22 | 197 | 40 | 2 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 71 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 265 | 167 | 431 | 198 | 24 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 49 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 149 | 178 | 327 | 67 | 111 | 27 | 4 | 126 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 92 | 83 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 157 | 213 | 205 | 418 | 48 | 222 | 30 | 3 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 241 | 308 | 549 | 154 | 281 | 52 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 77 | 68 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 273 | 221 | 493 | 44 | 273 | 31 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 77 | 64 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 377 | 312 | 689 | 62 | 340 | 22 | 12 | 327 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 112 | 103 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 282 | 359 | 641 | 126 | 278 | 21 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK RAW | Burlington Royals | — | 112 | 101 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 317 | 373 | 475 | 848 | 158 | 357 | 14 | 4 | 370 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 243 | 230 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 228 | 226 | 454 | 35 | 250 | 22 | 2 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 243 | 227 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 270 | 264 | 534 | 40 | 270 | 16 | 3 | 245 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 119 | 106 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 132 | 207 | 142 | 348 | 9 | 197 | 30 | 5 | 170 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 119 | 102 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 267 | 186 | 454 | 20 | 224 | 23 | 8 | 219 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 141 | 127 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 142 | 199 | 197 | 395 | 55 | 195 | 29 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 141 | 125 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 243 | 240 | 483 | 64 | 223 | 23 | 6 | 218 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 241 | 308 | 549 | 154 | 300 | 52 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 310 | 360 | 670 | 160 | 333 | 41 | 7 | 308 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 77 | 68 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 273 | 221 | 493 | 44 | 263 | 31 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 112 | 104 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 282 | 356 | 638 | 125 | 269 | 21 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 243 | 230 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 228 | 226 | 454 | 35 | 242 | 22 | 2 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 119 | 108 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 130 | 207 | 139 | 346 | 9 | 198 | 30 | 5 | 170 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 141 | 131 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 137 | 199 | 191 | 389 | 53 | 183 | 29 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 241 | 308 | 549 | 154 | 281 | 52 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 721 | 660 | 116 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 193 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 176 | 233 | 230 | 463 | 55 | 240 | 27 | 4 | 201 | 22 | -67 | -0 | +0 | +13 | +16 | -3.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 174 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 176 | 233 | 234 | 467 | 57 | 240 | 27 | 4 | 201 | 22 | -60 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 29 PAwOBA .300 → .218 (−82)K% 41.4% → 50.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.38% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 50.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 6.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.056 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 20.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 5.20% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .300 → .218; ISO .160 → .098; BABIP .333 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 92 PAwOBA .249 → .194 (−55)K% 23.9% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.91% | ÷0.962 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.43% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.26% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 2.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.34% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 16.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 117, 2B 97, 3B 118, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .249 → .194; ISO .062 → .049; BABIP .279 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 49 PAwOBA .155 → .126 (−29)K% 20.4% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.12% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | ×1.035 | ×1.018 | 10.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×1.035 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | ×1.035 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.023 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.28% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .155 → .126; ISO .068 → .052; BABIP .121 → .111. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 71 PAwOBA .236 → .191 (−45)K% 16.9% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.90% | ÷1.010 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.077 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 6.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.23% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 3.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.021 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×0.978 | 20.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.965 | ×0.800 | ×1.010 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.773 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 55, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 93, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .236 → .191; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .217 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 48 PAwOBA .187 → .140 (−47)K% 31.2% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.049 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 2.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 14.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 109, 2B 123, 3B 91, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .187 → .140; ISO .044 → .030; BABIP .233 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 243 PAwOBA .239 → .197 (−42)K% 15.6% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.64% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.29% | ÷0.979 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 2.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.47% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.75% | ÷1.017 | ×0.940 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 20.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.025 | ×0.800 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.810 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 103, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .239 → .197; ISO .040 → .031; BABIP .270 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKBurlington Royals · 112 PAwOBA .364 → .264 (−100)K% 14.3% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.965 | 2.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.965 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.970 | ×0.965 | 19.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.970 | ×0.965 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.970 | ×0.965 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.965 | 1.82% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .364 → .264; ISO .158 → .112; BABIP .357 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKAZL Royals · 77 PAwOBA .320 → .221 (−99)K% 22.1% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.19% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.997 | ×0.975 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×0.975 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .320 → .221; ISO .062 → .041; BABIP .340 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).