Adam Zebrowski
C Columbus Clingstones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 428 | .220/.304/.344 | 10 | 2 | 41 | — | .180/.236/.291 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAATL | 349 | .231/.290/.349 | 9 | 3 | 39 | — | .185/.230/.280 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/AAATL | 309 | .255/.336/.551 | 22 | 1 | 82 | — | .204/.264/.418 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBATL | 3 | .200/.252/.357 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBATL | 57 | .201/.255/.357 | 2 | 0 | 70 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 43 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 302 | 263 | 565 | 53 | 308 | 28 | 7 | 269 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 353 | 669 | 118 | 308 | 21 | 11 | 304 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 39 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 184 | 200 | 384 | 86 | 125 | 28 | 8 | 177 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 326 | 265 | 63 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 54 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 238 | 375 | 423 | 797 | 185 | 288 | 23 | 17 | 357 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 381 | 330 | 67 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 119 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 308 | 376 | 684 | 173 | 271 | 31 | 12 | 309 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 56 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 286 | 235 | 521 | 20 | 239 | 9 | 9 | 247 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Rome Emperors | — | 372 | 327 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 109 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 307 | 361 | 668 | 141 | 292 | 29 | 9 | 300 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 349 | 321 | 74 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 109 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 231 | 290 | 349 | 639 | 118 | 319 | 31 | 7 | 289 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 70 | 60 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 304 | 417 | 721 | 217 | 214 | 23 | 13 | 317 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 239 | 214 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 21 | 77 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 345 | 589 | 933 | 318 | 328 | 32 | 9 | 401 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 43 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 256 | 231 | 487 | 51 | 278 | 40 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 19 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 158 | 167 | 325 | 56 | 227 | 32 | 5 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 39 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 158 | 194 | 352 | 83 | 115 | 38 | 5 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 326 | 282 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 96 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 202 | 303 | 337 | 640 | 135 | 269 | 29 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 381 | 349 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 158 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 224 | 281 | 504 | 126 | 235 | 41 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 56 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 250 | 226 | 476 | 19 | 229 | 11 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 372 | 342 | 60 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 145 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 234 | 301 | 535 | 126 | 254 | 39 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 349 | 329 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 132 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 185 | 230 | 280 | 510 | 94 | 281 | 38 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 70 | 63 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 232 | 302 | 533 | 143 | 180 | 27 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 239 | 221 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 273 | 452 | 726 | 235 | 286 | 39 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 62 | 57 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 226 | 211 | 436 | 53 | 257 | 35 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 62 | 55 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 306 | 291 | 597 | 73 | 308 | 26 | 8 | 280 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 318 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 111 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 189 | 285 | 318 | 603 | 129 | 256 | 30 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 365 | 300 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 85 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 223 | 355 | 397 | 751 | 173 | 269 | 23 | 16 | 338 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 381 | 349 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 158 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 155 | 224 | 281 | 504 | 126 | 242 | 41 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | Rome Braves | — | 381 | 330 | 67 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 119 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 308 | 376 | 684 | 173 | 271 | 31 | 12 | 309 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 395 | 71 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 151 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 180 | 236 | 291 | 527 | 111 | 256 | 35 | 5 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 428 | 378 | 83 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 114 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 304 | 344 | 648 | 124 | 283 | 27 | 9 | 293 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 349 | 329 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 132 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 185 | 230 | 280 | 510 | 94 | 283 | 38 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | Columbus Clingstones | — | 349 | 321 | 74 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 109 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 231 | 290 | 349 | 639 | 118 | 319 | 31 | 7 | 289 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 284 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 113 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 261 | 415 | 676 | 215 | 261 | 37 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 309 | 274 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 22 | 30 | 93 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 336 | 551 | 887 | 296 | 298 | 30 | 10 | 382 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 62 | 57 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 226 | 211 | 436 | 53 | 262 | 35 | 5 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 319 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 111 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 285 | 317 | 602 | 129 | 253 | 30 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 381 | 347 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 158 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 224 | 282 | 506 | 127 | 235 | 41 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 396 | 71 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 151 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 236 | 290 | 526 | 111 | 251 | 35 | 5 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 349 | 327 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 132 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 187 | 230 | 281 | 511 | 95 | 281 | 38 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 283 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 113 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 261 | 417 | 678 | 216 | 262 | 37 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 396 | 71 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 151 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 236 | 290 | 526 | 111 | 251 | 35 | 5 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 349 | 327 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 132 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 187 | 230 | 281 | 511 | 95 | 281 | 38 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 283 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 20 | 113 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 261 | 417 | 678 | 216 | 262 | 37 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | ATL | 2% | 359 | 333 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 122 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 252 | 357 | 610 | 157 | 268 | 34 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | ATL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 252 | 357 | 610 | 157 | 268 | 33 | 0 | 270 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 27% | 213 | 197 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 255 | 357 | 612 | 156 | 269 | 34 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 27% | 57 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 255 | 357 | 612 | 156 | 269 | 33 | 5 | 271 | 70 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 57 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 263 | 358 | 622 | 151 | 281 | 33 | 5 | 271 | 54 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 126 | 23 | 0 | 23 | 34 | 217 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 263 | 361 | 624 | 152 | 283 | 33 | 5 | 271 | 54 | -23 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2262 | 2073 | 382 | 69 | 8 | 65 | 145 | 812 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 184 | 247 | 319 | 567 | 135 | 262 | 36 | 6 | 248 | 54 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 110 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 233 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 185 | 248 | 320 | 568 | 136 | 261 | 36 | 6 | 248 | 54 | -24 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 239 PAwOBA .391 → .303 (−88)K% 32.2% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 19.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 10.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .391 → .303; ISO .318 → .240; BABIP .328 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 70 PAwOBA .313 → .243 (−71)K% 22.9% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 10.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.86% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .313 → .243; ISO .217 → .162; BABIP .214 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAColumbus Clingstones · 349 PAwOBA .282 → .226 (−56)K% 31.2% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.23% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷1.036 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.47% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 4.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.880 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.25% | ÷0.934 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.63% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 122, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .282 → .226; ISO .118 → .098; BABIP .319 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Rome Emperors · 372 PAwOBA .296 → .230 (−66)K% 29.3% → 39.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.30% | ÷0.982 | ×1.310 | — | — | 39.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.14% | ÷1.092 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.48% | ÷0.993 | ×0.870 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.59% | ÷0.985 | ×0.780 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 3.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.59% | ÷0.831 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 4.80% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 96, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .296 → .230; ISO .141 → .128; BABIP .292 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMississippi Braves · 56 PAwOBA .241 → .216 (−25)K% 8.9% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.025 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.899 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 2.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.880 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.906 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 99, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .241 → .216; ISO .020 → .021; BABIP .239 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Rome Braves · 381 PAwOBA .302 → .221 (−81)K% 31.2% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.23% | ÷0.985 | ×1.310 | — | — | 41.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.55% | ÷1.045 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.54% | ÷0.977 | ×0.870 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 15.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.58% | ÷0.995 | ×0.780 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.087 | ×0.850 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.022 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.30% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 117, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .302 → .221; ISO .173 → .133; BABIP .271 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAugusta GreenJackets · 326 PAwOBA .352 → .286 (−66)K% 22.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.70% | ÷1.050 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.56% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | — | 11.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.85% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | — | 18.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.85% | ÷0.931 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | — | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | — | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.24% | ÷1.127 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 110, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .352 → .286; ISO .185 → .144; BABIP .288 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Rome Braves · 39 PAwOBA .177 → .138 (−38)K% 28.2% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.21% | ÷0.970 | ×1.310 | — | — | 38.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.052 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.956 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 11.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.928 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 4.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .177 → .138; ISO .086 → .077; BABIP .125 → .115. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).