Adam Zebrowski — OGILVIE

Adam ZebrowskiC Columbus Clingstones

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 230 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 151 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .240 / .317

PA151

HR5

K%38

BB%6

BABIP256

ISO137

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	62	57	9	3	0	0	3	23	2	0	0	158	226	211	436	53	265	37	5	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	62	55	12	4	0	0	5	16	2	0	0	218	306	291	597	73	308	26	8	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	365	321	66	15	2	8	36	111	4	3	0	206	294	340	633	134	282	30	10	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	365	300	67	15	2	11	57	85	4	3	0	223	355	397	751	173	269	23	16	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	381	347	54	12	1	9	27	164	6	1	0	156	229	274	503	118	257	43	7	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	381	330	67	16	1	13	44	119	6	1	0	203	308	376	684	173	271	31	12	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	428	395	74	9	3	11	22	158	7	2	1	187	243	309	552	122	274	37	5	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	428	378	83	11	3	10	39	114	7	2	1	220	304	344	648	124	283	27	9	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	349	329	62	10	0	9	15	138	4	3	1	188	233	301	534	112	290	40	4	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	349	321	74	11	0	9	23	109	4	3	1	231	290	349	639	118	319	31	7	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	ATL	—	169	153	28	5	0	8	12	68	2	0	0	183	251	373	624	190	253	40	7	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
YTD	25	AA	ATL	—	169	147	34	6	0	10	18	54	2	0	0	231	323	476	800	245	282	32	11	348	125	+5	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.3
ROS	25	AA	ATL	2%	151	139	25	4	0	5	9	57	2	1	0	180	240	317	557	137	264	38	6	250	49	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	ATL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						264	33	0	242	43	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	ATL	—	172	156	28	5	0	8	12	69	2	0	0	179	247	365	612	186	247	40	7	270	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
TOT	25	AA	ATL	—	320	292	53	9	0	13	21	125	4	1	0	182	246	346	592	164	255	39	7	261	58	-15	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ATL	31%	362	333	63	11	1	11	22	132	4	2	1	189	248	327	575	138	267	36	6	259	56	-18	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	ATL	42%	386	354	68	12	1	12	25	137	4	2	1	192	253	333	587	141	270	35	6	264	60	-17	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.0
2029	28	MLB	ATL	48%	399	365	71	12	1	13	27	139	4	2	1	195	258	340	597	145	270	35	7	266	62	-17	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.0
2027	26	MLB	ATL	31%	112	103	19	3	0	4	7	41	1	1	0	184	243	330	573	146	267	37	6	251	50	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	ATL	42%	162	149	28	5	0	5	10	57	2	1	0	188	248	322	571	134	270	35	6	256	54	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	ATL	48%	191	174	35	6	1	6	13	67	2	1	0	201	265	351	615	149	270	35	7	258	55	-10	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	468	429	82	14	1	15	30	166	5	3	0	191	252	333	585	142	267	35	6	255	53	-25	+1	-0	+8	+13	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	113	19	1	21	42	231	7	4	0	190	251	331	582	141	264	36	6	255	53	-34	+1	-0	+12	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	2883	2640	492	88	9	78	186	1059	37	16	5	186	250	315	565	129	272	37	6	250	50	-164	+1	-1	+51	+82	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	111	20	2	18	42	239	8	4	1	187	250	318	567	131	272	37	6	250	50	-37	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	43	38	8	2	0	0	3	12	2	0	0	211	302	263	565	53	308	28	7	269	64	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	19	17	4	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	235	316	353	669	118	308	21	11	304	91	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	A+	Rome Braves	—	39	35	4	0	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	114	184	200	384	86	125	28	8	177	-7	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	326	265	63	15	2	10	54	74	4	3	0	238	375	423	797	185	288	23	17	357	132	+12	+1	—	—	+9	2.2
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	381	330	67	16	1	13	44	119	6	1	0	203	308	376	684	173	271	31	12	309	95	-2	+0	—	—	+11	0.9
2024	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	56	51	11	1	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	216	286	235	521	20	239	9	9	247	47	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	372	327	72	10	3	10	34	109	7	2	1	220	307	361	668	141	292	29	9	300	88	-5	+0	—	—	+11	0.6
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	349	321	74	11	0	9	23	109	4	3	1	231	290	349	639	118	319	31	7	289	79	-8	+0	—	—	+10	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	472	15	2	193	252	336	+8	+4	0.0	0.1
	/162	664	21	3	193	252	336	+11.9	+5.6	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adam Zebrowski (OGILVIE)	25	35	40	45	30	182/246/346	164	255	13	1	39%	7%	58	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Anchia 2022 · AA	25	33	49→45	47→40	33	182/230/321	139	262	18	3	38%	5%	46	-2.0	191/236/310	119	268	14	4	33%	5%	46	-2.0	179/223/299	120	245	15	3	33%	4%	35	-1.3
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	45	47→40	37	189/244/308	119	264	14	4	33%	5%	49	-1.8	215/272/313	98	325	9	8	35%	5%	62	-0.9	241/300/316	75	381	6	5	36%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	44→45	41→50	39	195/257/308	113	291	11	6	35%	7%	54	-1.4	218/275/332	114	316	10	14	32%	6%	68	-0.5	223/280/335	112	320	9	17	31%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	34→33	47→50	48→45	30	178/225/314	135	284	15	8	42%	4%	43	-2.2	194/265/328	134	314	15	9	40%	7%	64	-0.8	172/260/302	130	280	15	8	41%	8%	52	-1.1
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Blake Forsythe 2014 · AA	25	36→37	45	50→30	39	184/246/308	124	280	12	4	38%	7%	50	-1.8	197/249/310	113	314	11	5	39%	6%	51	-1.7	182/235/278	96	304	10	0	42%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Matthew Allegra 2006 · AA	25	37→38	47→50	44→40	35	189/245/321	132	298	16	4	41%	6%	53	-1.5	202/257/353	151	291	17	5	35%	6%	66	-0.6	196/251/356	160	271	18	4	34%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Garrett Wolforth 2023 · AA	25	34	45	44→40	35	170/237/294	124	298	13	4	45%	7%	43	-2.2	190/246/293	103	313	9	7	40%	6%	46	-2.0	171/213/252	80	273	6	6	38%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	37	45	44→30	40	191/250/309	118	275	13	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	208/275/344	136	298	17	5	34%	8%	72	-0.2	192/268/324	132	267	19	2	34%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Nicholas Moresi 2010 · AA	25	38→39	45	46→45	34	194/237/316	122	285	12	6	36%	4%	47	-1.9	194/236/289	95	307	7	6	37%	4%	39	-2.5	169/208/237	68	283	2	2	39%	3%	11	-2.4
✕Matt Winn 2018 · AAA	25	36→34	46→50	45→30	37	186/245/315	128	292	15	3	40%	7%	51	-1.7	179/240/298	119	346	12	3	48%	7%	44	-2.1	147/210/266	119	303	12	0	52%	7%	21	-1.4
✕Yusniel Díaz 2022 · AAA	25	35→45	43→45	42→50	36	180/231/288	108	270	12	6	37%	6%	38	-2.6	225/291/354	129	297	15	11	28%	8%	80	+0.4	242/312/379	138	306	16	11	25%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕John Murrian 2012 · AAA	24	39	43→45	47→45	35	198/238/307	109	283	11	5	33%	4%	45	-2.1	197/250/301	104	268	9	5	29%	5%	49	-1.8	153/226/253	100	200	10	0	28%	6%	26	-1.0
✕Matt Spring 2010 · AA	25	35	48→50	44→45	37	188/240/325	137	265	16	3	35%	6%	52	-1.6	184/237/316	132	289	16	4	40%	6%	48	-1.9	166/218/321	155	252	19	0	41%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	48→50	36	200/246/316	117	282	12	9	33%	5%	51	-1.7	211/256/324	113	294	11	10	30%	5%	57	-1.2	209/254/319	110	274	10	10	27%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA	25	35→31	45→50	49→40	36	179/242/305	127	289	13	5	41%	7%	48	-1.9	173/227/316	143	304	19	5	47%	6%	44	-2.1	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Taylor Sparks 2018 · AA	25	32→40	44→45	46→50	33	171/226/282	111	267	13	6	40%	5%	34	-2.8	182/240/314	132	325	15	7	46%	6%	49	-1.8	156/214/298	142	290	17	5	50%	6%	31	-2.3