Seby Zavala — OGILVIE

Seby ZavalaC Oklahoma City Comets

Age 32 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 208 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .267 / .333

PA208

HR6

K%34

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO145

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1018.1%

xwOBA

170.270

POWER55

Barrel%

427.1

Avg EV

4088.4

Bat Spd

2468.6

EYE60

Chase%

1937.7%

SPEED45

Sprint

2026.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.7M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	147	135	31	12	3	3	9	39	2	2	0	230	288	430	717	200	298	27	6	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	147	129	42	17	5	4	15	27	2	2	0	326	404	628	1.032	302	384	18	10	440	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	404	377	74	15	3	6	18	139	7	1	1	196	246	300	546	103	292	34	4	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	404	360	91	19	3	7	35	108	7	1	1	253	331	381	711	128	341	27	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	3 teams	—	489	452	98	15	0	22	25	171	7	1	0	217	269	396	665	179	291	35	5	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	3 teams	—	489	433	124	23	0	22	43	115	7	1	0	286	360	492	851	206	342	24	9	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	2 teams	—	423	389	78	16	0	12	24	137	3	0	2	201	252	334	587	134	267	32	6	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	2 teams	—	423	380	98	22	0	13	33	109	3	0	2	258	322	418	741	161	321	26	8	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	331	307	44	12	0	10	16	151	6	1	1	143	201	280	481	137	230	46	5	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	331	297	66	14	0	20	26	116	6	1	1	222	298	471	769	249	282	35	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	283	255	37	6	0	10	19	129	2	0	1	145	210	286	496	141	227	46	7	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	283	248	43	8	0	13	26	116	2	0	1	173	257	363	620	190	246	41	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	374	330	75	22	0	5	35	140	4	0	0	227	309	339	648	112	374	37	9	291	81	-8	+0	+12	+7	+11	2.2
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	374	320	88	26	0	10	45	124	4	0	0	275	371	450	821	175	415	33	12	363	136	+15	+0	+12	+7	+11	4.5
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	—	217	198	34	4	0	7	13	76	2	1	0	172	230	298	528	126	231	35	6	234	37	-15	+0	+12	+4	+6	0.7
2023	29	MLB	2 teams	—	217	197	35	4	0	8	14	75	2	1	0	178	239	320	559	142	233	35	6	248	48	-13	+0	+12	+4	+6	1.0
2024	30	AAA	2 teams	—	166	145	19	7	0	3	14	71	5	0	1	131	232	241	473	110	222	43	8	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	2 teams	—	166	140	25	9	0	5	19	59	5	0	1	179	299	350	649	171	260	36	11	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA	2 teams	—	266	237	31	10	1	7	22	112	1	2	0	131	208	270	478	139	197	42	8	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA	2 teams	—	266	225	37	12	1	8	34	95	1	2	0	164	277	333	610	169	230	36	13	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	AAA	LAD	—	62	53	8	0	1	1	5	23	3	0	0	151	262	245	508	94	233	37	8	243	44	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
YTD	32	AAA	LAD	—	62	51	10	0	1	2	7	18	3	0	0	196	328	353	681	157	250	29	11	310	95	-0	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	32	AAA	LAD	10%	208	186	35	7	1	6	17	71	3	1	0	188	267	333	600	145	258	34	8	267	63	-9	+0	+2	+4	+6	0.3
ROS	32	MLB	LAD	10%	21	19	4	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	211	286	421	707	211	255	33	10	252	51	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	32	AAA	LAD	—	83	72	12	1	1	2	7	30	3	0	0	167	268	292	560	125	244	36	8	245	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
TOT	32	AAA	LAD	—	270	239	43	7	2	7	22	94	6	1	0	180	266	314	580	134	257	35	8	262	58	-13	+0	+2	+5	+8	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	LAD	33%	218	195	35	7	1	6	18	75	3	1	0	179	259	318	577	138	253	34	8	261	58	-10	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.2
2028	34	MLB	LAD	28%	174	155	26	5	1	4	14	61	3	1	0	168	250	290	540	123	244	35	8	251	50	-10	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.5
2027	33	MLB	LAD	33%	71	64	11	2	0	2	6	25	1	0	0	172	254	297	550	125	249	35	8	246	46	-4	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	34	MLB	LAD	28%	49	44	7	1	0	1	4	17	1	0	0	159	245	250	495	91	241	35	8	236	39	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	686	612	123	27	0	19	52	240	8	1	0	201	272	338	611	137	291	35	8	269	64	-28	+0	+25	+21	+19	3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	117	26	0	18	49	227	8	1	0	202	273	340	613	138	292	35	8	269	64	-27	+0	+23	+20	+18	3.6
Career	—			—	3700	3361	617	138	10	101	244	1372	48	11	6	184	249	321	570	137	269	37	7	249	49	-214	-0	+24	+66	+105	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	109	24	2	18	43	241	8	2	1	185	249	324	573	139	271	37	7	249	49	-38	+0	+4	+12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	147	129	42	17	5	4	15	27	2	2	0	326	404	628	1.032	302	384	18	10	440	195	+16	+0	—	—	+4	2.1
2016	22	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	404	360	91	19	3	7	35	108	7	1	1	253	331	381	711	128	341	27	9	320	103	+2	-0	—	—	+11	1.3
2017	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	228	202	61	13	0	8	24	52	0	1	0	302	374	485	860	183	373	23	11	378	148	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.9
2017	23	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	207	185	48	8	0	13	13	52	6	0	0	259	328	514	842	254	289	25	6	363	136	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2017	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	54	46	15	2	0	1	6	11	1	0	0	326	415	435	850	109	400	20	11	378	148	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2018	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	191	181	44	15	0	2	6	44	1	0	2	243	271	359	630	116	304	23	3	276	70	-7	-1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2018	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	232	199	54	7	0	11	27	65	2	0	0	271	364	472	836	201	339	28	12	365	138	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.7
2019	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	331	297	66	14	0	20	26	116	6	1	1	222	298	471	769	249	282	35	8	336	115	+6	-0	—	—	+9	1.5
2021	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	104	93	17	3	0	5	6	41	1	0	0	183	240	376	616	194	255	39	6	263	59	-5	+0	+0	+5	+3	0.4
2021	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	179	155	26	5	0	8	20	75	1	0	1	168	267	355	622	187	240	42	11	277	70	-6	-0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2022	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	205	178	48	14	0	2	19	64	3	0	0	270	350	382	732	112	404	31	9	325	107	+2	+0	+12	+7	+6	2.7
2022	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	169	142	40	12	0	8	26	60	1	0	0	282	396	535	932	254	432	36	15	408	171	+14	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2023	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	193	175	30	4	0	7	12	70	2	1	0	171	233	314	547	143	230	36	6	242	44	-12	+0	+12	+4	+5	1.0
2023	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	24	22	5	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	227	292	364	655	136	250	21	8	296	84	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	43	39	6	2	0	1	3	16	0	0	0	154	214	282	496	128	227	37	7	220	27	-4	+0	+1	+3	+1	0.2
2024	30	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	123	101	19	7	0	4	16	43	5	0	1	188	328	376	704	188	273	35	13	320	103	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	31	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	250	212	35	11	1	8	32	94	1	2	0	165	278	340	617	175	239	38	13	276	69	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2025	31	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	16	13	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	154	267	231	497	77	154	6	12	224	30	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	545	485	101	23	0	15	40	191	6	1	0	208	277	348	625	140	304	35	7	275	69	-19	+0	+26	+19	+15	4.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1René Riveralast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,602 PA	10	1,602	42	1	221	273	354	+29	+90	11.7	11.8
	/162	664	17	0	221	273	354	+11.9	+37.2	4.9	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	649	18	2	203	271	341	+12	+21	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	18	2	203	271	341	+11.9	+21.8	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seby Zavala (OGILVIE)	32	20	55	45	60	180/266/314	134	257	7	1	35%	8%	58	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Hudson 2023 · MLB	32	36	50→45	48→40	42	196/258/342	146	266	20	6	34%	8%	64	-0.8	200/290/341	141	308	18	9	38%	10%	78	+0.2	186/300/317	131	286	17	10	37%	12%	74	-0.0
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	41→37	48→50	45	46	208/290/355	147	272	16	5	29%	8%	81	+0.4	196/274/370	174	253	22	6	31%	7%	79	+0.3	152/237/329	176	180	24	1	32%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2015 · MLB	32	36	46→45	47→40	39	193/249/313	121	249	16	4	30%	5%	53	-1.5	214/268/326	112	275	13	6	26%	6%	63	-0.8	207/263/279	72	262	8	0	23%	7%	48	-0.7
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/255/323	140	226	18	4	28%	8%	58	-1.2	193/267/322	129	258	16	4	30%	8%	63	-0.8	168/248/282	114	227	14	0	32%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	39	49→50	44→45	37	207/267/349	142	269	18	6	30%	4%	70	-0.3	215/276/333	118	299	13	8	31%	6%	69	-0.4	175/246/242	68	254	8	0	32%	6%	34	-0.6
✕Mike Rose 2007 · MLB	30	38	48→50	46→40	43	200/263/344	144	268	16	5	31%	7%	66	-0.6	212/268/335	123	287	13	6	29%	7%	66	-0.6	207/260/307	101	277	11	2	28%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Brett Hayes 2015 · MLB	31	37	51→45	50→40	35	203/237/357	154	262	19	7	31%	4%	59	-1.1	182/223/291	109	243	12	5	30%	4%	35	-2.8	151/193/229	78	208	8	0	31%	4%	3	-1.5
✕Chris Truby 2006 · MLB	32	39→43	51→50	41→45	43	209/255/364	155	246	19	4	25%	6%	68	-0.5	206/253/328	122	267	13	9	27%	5%	57	-1.2	179/230/277	99	235	9	11	28%	5%	32	-1.8
✕Chad Moeller 2008 · MLB	33	40	45→50	41→30	42	207/262/327	120	257	14	4	25%	6%	62	-0.9	214/267/319	105	267	9	4	22%	6%	61	-1.0	206/259/298	92	257	5	0	21%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Anthony Recker 2016 · MLB	32	37→47	52→55	45	43	199/270/359	160	268	21	5	34%	8%	74	-0.1	209/281/348	139	282	15	5	30%	8%	76	+0.0	198/269/334	136	266	15	2	30%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Jason Smith 2009 · MLB	32	39→35	51→55	47→50	33	208/242/365	157	291	19	5	35%	4%	63	-0.9	188/224/302	114	275	13	12	36%	4%	38	-2.6	138/170/206	68	206	8	18	37%	3%	-12	-3.1
✕Cody Ransom 2007 · MLB	31	39→42	49→55	47→50	41	204/263/348	144	276	18	7	32%	7%	68	-0.5	210/275/380	170	267	21	12	29%	7%	81	+0.4	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Chad Wallach 2023 · MLB	31	36→46	48→50	49→40	41	192/259/328	136	266	17	4	34%	7%	61	-1.0	198/266/342	144	279	18	5	34%	8%	68	-0.5	186/257/330	144	259	20	2	35%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Donnie Murphy 2015 · MLB	32	38→40	52→65	44→45	41	206/269/365	160	256	20	6	29%	6%	76	+0.0	209/275/331	122	266	13	7	26%	7%	68	-0.5	188/262/268	80	240	7	0	23%	7%	44	-0.6
✕Anthony Bemboom 2023 · MLB	33	41	46→45	48→45	46	209/278/336	127	264	14	5	26%	8%	70	-0.3	214/282/331	117	278	11	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	202/279/310	107	265	9	1	25%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	33	40→42	50→55	46→40	38	207/270/354	148	299	19	4	36%	7%	72	-0.2	208/261/317	109	306	12	4	34%	6%	58	-1.2	209/258/315	106	305	11	1	34%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB	30	37→41	46→50	46→50	41	185/262/309	123	286	14	5	38%	8%	57	-1.2	196/262/312	116	334	13	10	42%	7%	57	-1.2	165/231/258	94	300	12	12	46%	7%	28	-1.7
✕Dane Sardinha 2011 · MLB	32	35→32	45	47→30	35	188/228/305	118	255	14	4	33%	4%	41	-2.3	197/266/299	102	285	10	7	32%	7%	56	-1.3	129/246/156	26	214	0	0	34%	11%	8	-1.1
✕Jeff Arnold 2018 · AAA	30	35	45→50	41→40	36	177/242/301	123	297	14	4	43%	7%	46	-2.0	183/247/291	108	339	11	6	46%	7%	46	-2.0	134/201/208	74	269	8	0	50%	7%	2	-2.0
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2014 · MLB	32	45	47→50	47→50	44	226/284/365	139	286	14	4	26%	6%	80	+0.4	218/259/318	100	285	9	4	26%	4%	56	-1.3	205/237/302	97	277	10	0	29%	3%	39	-1.1