Will Wilson — OGILVIE

Will Wilson3B Tacoma Rainiers

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 184 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 189 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8058vR 3

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .283 / .322

PA189

HR3

K%30

BB%7

BABIP301

ISO105

MLB%45%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1018.5%

xwOBA

100.219

POWER55

Barrel%

102.0

Avg EV

3087.6

Bat Spd

5872.2

EYE45

Chase%

1638.4%

SPEED45

Sprint

1225.6

Platoon Splits2025 · 91 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

283

185

◀◀L

ISO

098

—

BABIP

391

286

◀◀L

36.7%

38.1%

◀L

BB%

8.2%

7.1%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	3 teams	—	519	473	79	16	2	14	37	196	7	8	1	167	238	298	536	131	245	38	7	238	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	3 teams	—	519	458	97	25	2	17	52	156	7	8	1	212	302	386	688	175	279	30	10	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	289	264	53	9	0	12	22	116	3	2	3	201	270	371	641	170	301	40	8	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	289	252	63	12	0	13	34	87	3	2	3	250	346	452	798	202	329	30	12	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	496	454	93	14	1	15	30	131	3	4	2	205	259	339	598	134	250	26	6	258	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	496	443	101	16	1	18	41	114	3	4	2	228	298	391	688	163	263	23	8	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	460	416	77	12	0	4	30	115	5	6	3	185	248	243	491	58	243	25	7	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	460	402	87	17	0	5	44	96	5	6	3	216	302	296	598	80	269	21	10	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	383	347	68	13	2	7	26	120	4	6	3	196	260	305	565	110	276	31	7	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	383	338	79	16	2	11	35	99	4	6	3	234	313	391	704	157	297	26	9	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	SEA	—	61	54	14	2	0	1	6	18	0	2	0	259	333	352	685	93	361	30	10	306	92	-1	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.2
YTD	28	AAA	SEA	—	61	51	16	3	0	1	9	14	0	2	0	314	417	431	848	118	405	23	15	378	148	+3	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.6
ROS	28	AAA	SEA	45%	189	171	37	7	1	3	14	56	2	3	1	216	283	322	605	105	288	30	7	268	63	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
ROS	28	MLB	SEA	45%	85	78	16	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	205	271	321	591	115	286	29	7	258	56	-4	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.2
FULL	28	AAA	SEA	—	146	132	30	5	0	3	12	43	1	3	0	227	297	333	630	106	310	29	8	278	71	-5	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.0
TOT	28	AAA	SEA	—	250	225	51	9	1	4	20	74	2	5	1	227	296	329	624	102	315	30	8	277	70	-8	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SEA	48%	380	345	73	14	1	7	29	112	3	5	1	212	279	319	597	107	288	29	8	271	66	-15	+1	-4	+1	+11	-0.6
2028	30	MLB	SEA	49%	380	345	73	14	1	7	29	111	3	4	1	212	279	319	597	107	287	29	8	272	67	-14	+0	-4	+1	+11	-0.6
2029	31	MLB	SEA	50%	365	331	70	13	1	7	28	106	3	4	1	211	279	320	599	109	285	29	8	271	65	-14	+0	-5	+1	+10	-0.7
2027	29	MLB	SEA	48%	181	163	34	6	1	3	14	53	2	2	1	209	279	313	592	104	286	29	8	262	59	-8	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.5
2028	30	MLB	SEA	49%	187	169	36	7	1	3	14	54	2	2	1	213	281	320	601	107	285	29	7	263	60	-9	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.5
2029	31	MLB	SEA	50%	183	165	33	6	0	3	14	53	2	2	0	200	271	291	562	91	282	29	8	262	58	-9	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	727	653	134	26	2	11	55	219	8	9	2	205	275	302	577	96	289	30	8	257	55	-37	+1	-9	+4	+21	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	120	23	2	10	49	196	7	8	2	205	275	303	578	98	289	30	8	257	55	-33	+1	-8	+3	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	3461	3146	623	112	9	76	245	1063	33	42	16	198	263	312	575	114	270	31	7	256	54	-179	+2	-17	+12	+98	-8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	117	21	2	14	46	200	6	8	3	198	263	311	574	113	271	31	7	256	54	-34	+0	-3	+2	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	221	196	37	8	0	5	22	81	3	1	0	189	281	306	587	117	291	37	10	271	66	-9	+0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2021	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	224	195	49	14	2	10	24	56	3	7	1	251	342	497	840	246	298	25	11	365	138	+10	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2021	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	74	67	11	3	0	2	6	19	1	0	0	164	243	299	542	134	196	26	8	248	48	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	24	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	36	33	6	2	0	0	2	14	1	0	1	182	250	242	492	61	316	39	6	231	35	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	219	191	43	6	0	12	28	65	0	2	2	225	324	445	769	220	272	30	13	342	120	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.1
2022	24	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	34	28	14	4	0	1	4	8	2	0	0	500	588	750	1.338	250	684	24	12	577	300	+8	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2023	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	340	299	70	13	0	13	31	85	1	2	1	234	308	408	716	174	278	25	9	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+10	0.8
2023	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	156	144	31	3	1	5	10	29	2	2	1	215	276	354	630	139	236	19	6	284	75	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2024	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	100	85	16	3	0	0	10	26	4	0	0	188	303	224	527	35	267	26	10	255	54	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	360	317	71	14	0	5	34	70	1	6	3	224	301	315	617	91	269	19	9	277	71	-12	+0	—	—	+10	-0.2
2025	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	91	78	15	4	0	0	7	34	1	2	0	192	267	244	511	51	341	37	8	228	32	-7	+0	-2	+1	+3	-0.5
2025	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	292	260	64	12	2	11	28	65	3	4	3	246	326	435	761	188	286	22	10	338	116	+5	-0	—	—	+8	1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	91	78	15	4	0	0	7	34	1	2	0	192	267	244	511	51	341	37	8	228	32	-7	+0	-2	+1	+3	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	755	13	9	208	273	309	+3	-6	-0.9	-0.6
	/162	664	11	8	208	273	309	+2.4	-5.1	-0.8	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Wilson (OGILVIE)	28	45	55	45	45	227/296/329	102	315	4	5	30%	8%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Mathis 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	44→50	45	43	204/260/311	107	264	12	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	199/248/318	119	261	13	5	28%	6%	53	-1.5	211/261/316	106	287	8	1	28%	6%	54	-0.4
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Jeff Bianchi 2015 · MLB	28	47→56	40→45	45→50	42	231/268/320	89	281	9	10	21%	5%	60	-1.0	219/263/295	76	285	6	9	24%	6%	52	-1.6	213/256/256	43	285	2	7	25%	5%	35	-0.9
✕John Ryan Murphy 2019 · MLB	28	39→46	45→50	46→40	42	201/249/316	115	250	14	3	26%	6%	53	-1.5	206/256/368	162	283	22	5	34%	6%	70	-0.3	177/226/383	205	213	32	0	36%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Jonathan Mota 2015 · AAA	28	45→47	42→45	47→45	38	221/254/322	100	286	10	5	27%	4%	56	-1.3	216/253/308	92	269	9	7	22%	4%	51	-1.7	209/242/283	74	251	7	3	19%	4%	37	-1.5
✕José Rondon 2021 · MLB	27	39→49	47→50	45→50	41	206/258/340	133	263	16	8	28%	6%	63	-0.9	232/288/397	165	282	22	10	25%	7%	91	+1.1	219/274/395	176	250	27	7	25%	7%	82	+0.1
✕Dustin Peterson 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	44→50	46→45	43	222/275/339	117	279	12	6	25%	6%	69	-0.4	206/264/350	144	277	18	7	32%	7%	68	-0.5	183/247/335	153	239	22	4	33%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Caonabo Cosme 2007 · AAA	28	42	45→50	45	41	213/262/334	121	271	13	8	27%	6%	63	-0.8	223/253/356	133	316	15	7	33%	4%	64	-0.8	225/246/359	134	324	16	4	35%	3%	58	-0.5
✕Beamer Weems 2015 · AAA	28	43→47	43→45	47→40	40	215/264/325	110	285	11	9	28%	6%	61	-1.0	207/257/304	97	252	8	7	20%	6%	52	-1.6	180/230/251	71	218	3	0	18%	6%	23	-1.4
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	42	45→50	49→50	41	213/268/337	124	286	13	11	30%	6%	66	-0.6	208/271/377	169	328	22	14	41%	7%	79	+0.3	153/218/323	171	234	27	18	47%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	39→45	46→55	51→50	39	202/256/326	125	272	14	12	31%	6%	59	-1.1	180/236/306	126	304	15	10	44%	5%	46	-2.0	152/209/273	121	273	16	8	48%	4%	23	-2.4
✕Bubba Starling 2021 · MLB	28	45→46	44→45	49→50	39	223/267/336	113	301	13	11	30%	6%	65	-0.7	226/275/389	163	295	20	10	29%	6%	82	+0.5	196/234/425	228	224	31	5	30%	5%	72	-0.0
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2010 · MLB	28	43	44→50	47→50	42	216/257/330	114	258	12	3	22%	5%	59	-1.1	220/269/349	129	289	13	3	28%	5%	69	-0.4	227/276/350	123	289	13	1	25%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Gift Ngoepe 2018 · MLB	28	43→40	44→45	42→50	39	208/266/331	122	315	11	6	36%	7%	63	-0.8	189/261/305	116	340	12	8	44%	8%	56	-1.3	137/227/227	90	277	11	7	50%	10%	20	-1.1
✕Craig Tatum 2011 · MLB	28	45→46	40→45	44→30	45	217/272/303	87	273	7	4	23%	7%	59	-1.1	209/269/294	85	265	7	7	23%	7%	55	-1.4	174/234/206	32	228	0	3	22%	7%	17	-1.2
✕Martin Cervenka 2021 · AAA	28	42→49	44→45	49→40	38	209/258/323	114	297	13	6	34%	6%	58	-1.2	196/257/321	125	276	14	8	32%	7%	58	-1.2	142/211/265	123	186	15	2	32%	8%	24	-1.3
✕Justin Sellers 2014 · MLB	28	41→51	43→45	50	43	205/260/318	112	254	10	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	211/256/292	81	249	6	6	17%	5%	49	-1.8	204/250/262	59	235	4	4	14%	5%	37	-1.8
✕Jeremy Barfield 2017 · AAA	29	40→49	42→55	47→30	44	199/261/305	105	269	10	5	29%	7%	55	-1.4	216/273/392	176	281	24	5	32%	6%	84	+0.6	200/260/388	187	249	28	1	32%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Jesus Flores 2013 · MLB	28	42→38	45→50	41→30	40	211/246/332	120	259	13	4	24%	4%	55	-1.4	189/227/282	93	246	9	4	27%	4%	33	-2.9	151/181/214	62	202	7	0	29%	3%	-8	-2.0
✕Bryce Brentz 2017 · MLB	28	45→46	44→60	48→40	38	220/264/342	122	311	12	5	32%	5%	66	-0.6	220/272/391	171	301	22	4	33%	6%	82	+0.5	205/266/389	185	277	25	1	35%	7%	75	+0.0