Julio E. RodriguezC
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 29
R/R
6'4" / 245 lbs
AA
HR -5%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2026
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .266 / .333
PA141
HR3
K%29
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
40→40
SPD
45→45
EYE
36↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-5M | $-5M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 170 | 150 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .247 | .315 | .440 | .755 | .193 | .254 | 16 | 7 | .323 | 105 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 201 | 188 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .265 | .346 | .611 | .128 | .262 | 22 | 5 | .261 | 58 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 306 | 295 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .234 | .325 | .559 | .115 | .258 | 24 | 3 | .239 | 41 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 382 | 365 | 76 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 108 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .241 | .312 | .554 | .104 | .272 | 28 | 4 | .243 | 44 | -24 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .161 | .235 | .194 | .429 | .032 | .227 | 26 | 9 | — | — | — | — | +0 | +1 | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 137 | 125 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .176 | .243 | .256 | .499 | .080 | .216 | 26 | 6 | .221 | 27 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 313 | 272 | 57 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 95 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .210 | .309 | .357 | .665 | .147 | .274 | 30 | 12 | .299 | 87 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | 2 teams | 331 | 302 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 128 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .249 | .338 | .587 | .156 | .253 | 39 | 7 | .254 | 53 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | 2 teams | 142 | 135 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .156 | .197 | .222 | .419 | .067 | .208 | 27 | 3 | .191 | 4 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | 2 teams | 185 | 172 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .203 | .259 | .302 | .562 | .099 | .258 | 24 | 5 | .239 | 41 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | KC | 141 | 129 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .264 | .310 | .574 | .109 | .272 | 29 | 6 | .271 | 65 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 9% | KC | 196 | 179 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 56 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .212 | .273 | .346 | .620 | .134 | .273 | 29 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 19% | KC | 210 | 191 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .215 | .279 | .346 | .624 | .131 | .273 | 29 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -8 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 29% | KC | 207 | 189 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .268 | .333 | .602 | .127 | .272 | 29 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 40% | KC | 186 | 169 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .272 | .331 | .603 | .124 | .271 | 30 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 49% | KC | 151 | 138 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .196 | .260 | .297 | .557 | .101 | .269 | 30 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -7 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +4 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3292 | 3030 | 617 | 110 | 9 | 81 | 202 | 921 | 36 | 11 | 0 | .204 | .262 | .326 | .588 | .122 | .262 | 28 | 6 | .257 | 55 | -167 | +2 | -17 | +59 | +93 | -3.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 598 | 122 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 182 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .204 | .262 | .328 | .590 | .124 | .262 | 28 | 6 | .257 | 55 | -33 | +0 | -3 | +12 | +18 | -0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 170 | 143 | 46 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .322 | .412 | .580 | .993 | .259 | .320 | 11 | 11 | .419 | 179 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 2.0 |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 201 | 182 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .280 | .345 | .451 | .796 | .170 | .313 | 15 | 8 | .351 | 127 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 306 | 291 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .258 | .289 | .405 | .695 | .148 | .298 | 20 | 4 | .305 | 92 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 47 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .255 | .311 | .566 | .089 | .310 | 32 | 4 | .255 | 54 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 287 | 268 | 74 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .322 | .407 | .728 | .131 | .321 | 18 | 6 | .325 | 107 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.0 |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | 48 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .250 | .200 | .450 | .000 | .250 | 19 | 6 | .213 | 21 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .161 | .235 | .194 | .429 | .032 | .227 | 26 | 9 | .206 | 16 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 115 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .252 | .299 | .551 | .103 | .222 | 20 | 6 | .251 | 51 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 22 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .286 | .524 | .286 | .810 | .000 | .333 | 14 | 23 | .390 | 157 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 269 | 218 | 55 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .252 | .390 | .436 | .825 | .183 | .303 | 24 | 17 | .370 | 142 | +13 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 2.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | 44 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .250 | .333 | .583 | .119 | .276 | 27 | 5 | .261 | 58 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 296 | 260 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 30 | 85 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .223 | .313 | .427 | .740 | .204 | .261 | 29 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | 35 | 32 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .312 | .371 | .531 | .903 | .219 | .360 | 17 | 6 | .396 | 161 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 104 | 97 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .186 | .240 | .278 | .519 | .093 | .230 | 21 | 5 | .237 | 40 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | 38 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .194 | .342 | .290 | .632 | .097 | .238 | 24 | 16 | .303 | 90 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 158 | 144 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .243 | .310 | .361 | .671 | .118 | .288 | 19 | 7 | .305 | 91 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | 27 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .200 | .259 | .320 | .579 | .120 | .263 | 22 | 4 | .263 | 59 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Julio E. Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | 29 | 45 | 40 | 45 | 35 | .206/.266/.333 | .127 | .272 | 3 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 65 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB |
29 | 45 | 43→45 | 43→40 | 41 | .224/.271/.334 | .110 | .277 | 10 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .227/.279/.354 | .127 | .262 | 13 | 3 | 19% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.286/.341 | .124 | .252 | 13 | 2 | 19% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Brett Hayes 2013 · MLB |
29 | 45 | 47→45 | 48→40 | 39 | .225/.272/.364 | .139 | .305 | 15 | 5 | 31% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .203/.240/.353 | .150 | .259 | 19 | 5 | 29% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .165/.202/.301 | .136 | .201 | 17 | 2 | 29% | 4% | 26 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB |
29 | 45 | 45→50 | 46→45 | 42 | .222/.272/.345 | .123 | .285 | 12 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.249/.306 | .102 | .272 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .167/.207/.251 | .085 | .222 | 6 | 7 | 27% | 5% | 15 | -1.2 |
|
✕Martin Cervenka 2021 · AAA |
28 | 43→48 | 46→45 | 49→40 | 40 | .216/.265/.337 | .121 | .290 | 14 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .197/.258/.321 | .124 | .275 | 14 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .144/.214/.269 | .124 | .185 | 15 | 2 | 32% | 8% | 25 | -1.2 |
|
✕Francisco Peña 2019 · MLB |
29 | 44→43 | 46→55 | 47→40 | 41 | .223/.259/.345 | .122 | .267 | 14 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .221/.262/.382 | .161 | .258 | 21 | 5 | 24% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .196/.243/.367 | .171 | .216 | 26 | 1 | 24% | 5% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA |
29 | 44 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 44 | .217/.278/.331 | .114 | .288 | 12 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .213/.280/.353 | .140 | .269 | 14 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .204/.283/.358 | .153 | .247 | 16 | 1 | 24% | 9% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Devin Ivany 2011 · AAA |
29 | 44→48 | 46→50 | 45 | 43 | .222/.278/.355 | .134 | .286 | 14 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .217/.267/.330 | .113 | .280 | 11 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .210/.253/.312 | .102 | .262 | 10 | 5 | 23% | 4% | 49 | -0.5 |
|
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40→41 | 48→50 | 43→45 | 37 | .206/.257/.340 | .133 | .293 | 16 | 4 | 35% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .201/.243/.328 | .127 | .275 | 16 | 7 | 33% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.239/.321 | .147 | .238 | 22 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Travis Garcia 2011 · AA |
29 | 44 | 46→50 | 48→40 | 37 | .223/.260/.350 | .127 | .301 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .246/.287/.427 | .181 | .319 | 24 | 10 | 30% | 5% | 98 | +1.6 | .243/.279/.416 | .173 | .307 | 24 | 5 | 29% | 3% | 90 | +0.4 |
|
✕Pat Valaika 2022 · MLB |
29 | 43→46 | 47→55 | 42→50 | 40 | .221/.265/.350 | .129 | .288 | 16 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .207/.256/.314 | .107 | .266 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .193/.245/.290 | .097 | .246 | 11 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 43 | -1.3 |
|
✕Xorge Carrillo 2019 · AAA |
30 | 45 | 42→40 | 45→30 | 41 | .221/.269/.318 | .097 | .283 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .243/.300/.367 | .124 | .283 | 13 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .264/.325/.383 | .119 | .292 | 13 | 2 | 14% | 6% | 98 | +0.6 |
|
✕Nevin Ashley 2014 · AAA |
29 | 46→50 | 45 | 46→45 | 44 | .227/.292/.350 | .123 | .290 | 12 | 7 | 25% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .225/.287/.333 | .108 | .291 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .222/.290/.320 | .098 | .291 | 10 | 1 | 25% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dustin Garneau 2017 · MLB |
29 | 40→38 | 49→50 | 45 | 45 | .211/.268/.357 | .146 | .241 | 18 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.272/.362 | .155 | .252 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .184/.263/.355 | .171 | .225 | 21 | 0 | 29% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ronnie Freeman 2021 · AAA |
30 | 46 | 44→40 | 48→30 | 41 | .226/.274/.336 | .110 | .295 | 12 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .216/.270/.366 | .150 | .289 | 18 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .154/.212/.315 | .161 | .183 | 23 | 0 | 32% | 7% | 33 | -0.5 |
|
✕C.J. Hinojosa 2023 · AAA |
29 | 48→54 | 46→45 | 47→45 | 42 | .239/.282/.372 | .133 | .289 | 13 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .218/.259/.326 | .108 | .263 | 11 | 8 | 21% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.242/.289 | .088 | .241 | 9 | 5 | 20% | 4% | 39 | -1.6 |
|
✕Caonabo Cosme 2008 · AAA |
29 | 43 | 48→50 | 49→45 | 37 | .221/.258/.362 | .141 | .294 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.254/.347 | .123 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 35% | 4% | 63 | -0.9 | .224/.247/.309 | .085 | .335 | 10 | 0 | 36% | 3% | 46 | -0.7 |
|
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2015 · AAA |
29 | 43 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 37 | .217/.250/.313 | .097 | .272 | 11 | 9 | 25% | 4% | 51 | -1.7 | .220/.264/.341 | .121 | .282 | 14 | 14 | 27% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .217/.267/.334 | .117 | .266 | 15 | 24 | 24% | 5% | 59 | -0.2 |
|
✕Christian Lopes 2022 · AAA |
29 | 43→51 | 47→45 | 48→50 | 46 | .214/.294/.349 | .135 | .290 | 14 | 12 | 30% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .211/.284/.324 | .113 | .313 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .188/.264/.265 | .077 | .288 | 4 | 9 | 33% | 8% | 44 | -0.8 |
|
✕David Vidal 2019 · AAA |
29 | 46→47 | 44→50 | 48→30 | 44 | .228/.279/.345 | .118 | .281 | 11 | 5 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .236/.299/.375 | .139 | .285 | 16 | 6 | 22% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .236/.304/.375 | .139 | .278 | 18 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
✕Sebastian Valle 2019 · AAA |
29 | 43→47 | 42→45 | 48→40 | 36 | .207/.254/.309 | .102 | .315 | 10 | 6 | 36% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .237/.305/.387 | .150 | .300 | 17 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .235/.308/.390 | .155 | .291 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 95 | +1.0 |