Josh Breaux — OGILVIE

Josh BreauxC Charlotte Knights

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 230 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 146 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .255 / .319

PA146

HR3

K%30

BB%5

BABIP270

ISO119

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 23 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT23

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	216	204	40	7	0	11	10	84	1	0	0	196	237	392	629	196	264	39	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	216	199	54	10	0	13	15	59	1	0	0	271	326	518	843	246	320	27	7	366	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	382	359	74	18	0	18	17	131	1	1	0	206	244	407	651	201	260	34	4	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	382	350	87	20	0	23	26	99	1	1	0	249	302	503	805	254	275	26	7	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	403	381	66	11	2	15	20	142	2	2	0	173	218	331	549	157	228	35	5	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	403	370	81	14	2	19	31	113	2	2	0	219	283	422	705	203	261	28	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	205	195	39	5	0	10	8	60	2	1	0	200	239	379	619	179	232	29	4	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	205	189	46	6	0	12	14	47	2	1	0	243	302	466	768	222	262	23	7	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	148	139	21	4	0	4	7	57	0	0	0	151	192	266	458	115	212	39	5	207	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	148	135	27	5	0	6	11	45	0	0	0	200	260	370	631	170	244	30	7	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	179	164	32	5	2	3	10	60	4	0	0	195	258	305	563	110	284	34	6	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	179	158	35	6	2	3	16	49	4	0	0	222	309	342	651	120	299	27	9	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	CWS	—	49	44	8	2	0	1	3	19	0	0	0	182	234	295	529	114	280	39	6	203	14	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	28	AAA	CWS	—	49	43	8	2	0	1	4	16	0	0	0	186	255	302	558	116	259	33	8	244	45	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	28	AAA	CWS	10%	146	135	27	5	1	3	8	44	2	1	0	200	255	319	574	119	267	30	5	260	57	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
ROS	28	MLB	CWS	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	268	33	7	253	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	CWS	—	64	58	11	3	0	1	4	24	0	0	0	190	242	293	535	103	294	38	6	215	23	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
TOT	28	AAA	CWS	—	195	179	35	7	1	4	11	63	2	1	0	196	250	313	563	117	272	32	6	245	46	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CWS	27%	252	232	47	9	1	6	15	75	3	2	1	203	260	328	588	125	267	30	6	262	59	-12	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.2
2027	29	MLB	CWS	27%	69	64	13	2	0	2	4	20	1	1	0	203	261	328	589	125	268	29	6	255	54	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	84	78	16	3	0	2	5	25	1	1	0	205	262	321	582	115	275	30	6	255	53	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	123	23	0	15	39	193	8	8	0	204	262	316	578	113	273	30	6	255	53	-34	+2	-3	+12	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	1931	1809	346	64	6	70	95	653	15	7	1	191	238	349	587	158	252	34	5	255	53	-102	+1	-1	+34	+55	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	609	117	22	2	24	32	220	5	2	0	192	238	353	591	161	252	34	5	255	53	-34	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	216	199	54	10	0	13	15	59	1	0	271	326	518	843	246	320	27	7	366	139	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2021	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	106	100	24	8	0	6	4	26	1	1	240	276	500	776	260	261	25	4	333	113	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2021	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	276	250	63	12	0	17	22	73	0	0	252	312	504	817	252	280	26	8	351	127	+8	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2022	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	172	159	38	4	2	6	12	49	1	1	239	297	403	699	164	308	28	7	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2022	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	231	211	43	10	0	13	19	64	1	1	204	273	436	709	232	224	28	8	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2023	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	49	42	9	1	0	4	5	8	2	1	214	327	524	850	310	167	16	10	371	142	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	97	93	26	4	0	7	4	24	0	0	280	309	548	858	269	306	25	4	372	143	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	25	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	59	54	11	1	0	1	5	15	0	0	204	271	278	549	74	263	25	8	254	53	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	51	48	7	1	0	2	3	18	0	0	146	196	292	488	146	179	35	6	219	26	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	97	87	20	4	0	4	8	27	0	0	230	295	414	709	184	276	28	8	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	132	115	26	4	1	2	14	35	2	0	226	321	330	651	104	304	27	11	298	86	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	27	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	47	43	9	2	1	1	2	14	2	0	209	277	372	649	163	286	30	4	291	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Breaux (OGILVIE)	28	23	43	42	41	196/250/313	117	272	4	1	32%	6%	46	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA	28	34	47→45	43→40	42	182/256/313	130	250	17	5	33%	8%	56	-1.3	211/279/332	121	284	13	7	29%	8%	70	-0.3	205/282/307	102	267	11	0	26%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Jackson Williams 2013 · AAA	27	38	47→45	40	38	200/245/329	129	255	16	3	29%	5%	55	-1.4	203/257/307	104	261	10	4	25%	6%	53	-1.5	193/256/268	75	250	6	2	24%	7%	41	-1.2
✕Alberto Concepcion 2008 · AAA	27	40	45	39→30	40	206/264/329	124	272	13	3	29%	6%	63	-0.9	226/290/352	126	285	13	6	25%	6%	80	+0.4	235/305/345	109	291	11	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Jesus Flores 2013 · MLB	28	42→38	45→50	41→30	40	211/246/332	120	259	13	4	24%	4%	55	-1.4	189/227/282	93	246	9	4	27%	4%	33	-2.9	151/181/214	62	202	7	0	29%	3%	-8	-2.0
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	49→50	45→40	39	200/259/341	142	281	17	5	35%	7%	64	-0.8	210/268/319	109	310	10	9	33%	7%	62	-0.9	179/240/258	79	274	6	4	35%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA	28	42	46→45	44→40	40	214/267/340	125	281	14	5	29%	6%	67	-0.5	213/261/339	126	288	14	8	30%	5%	64	-0.8	173/213/279	105	237	13	3	32%	3%	26	-1.1
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	43	196/259/308	112	257	13	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	213/261/333	120	273	13	5	26%	6%	62	-0.9	210/254/324	114	266	12	1	25%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Brad Davis 2010 · AAA	27	39	46→50	42→45	44	201/260/336	135	254	13	3	26%	7%	63	-0.9	220/274/344	124	286	12	5	26%	6%	70	-0.3	217/271/330	113	284	10	4	26%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Caonabo Cosme 2007 · AAA	28	42	45→50	45	41	213/262/334	121	271	13	8	27%	6%	63	-0.8	223/253/356	133	316	15	7	33%	4%	64	-0.8	225/246/359	134	324	16	4	35%	3%	58	-0.5
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	41	45→50	44→40	44	208/276/324	116	260	13	6	25%	7%	67	-0.5	222/290/349	127	278	15	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/275/318	107	244	12	3	18%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB	28	43→38	43→45	44→40	43	213/270/326	113	269	11	3	25%	6%	64	-0.8	220/284/316	96	287	6	3	24%	7%	67	-0.5	220/291/305	85	286	5	0	23%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Kevin Richardson 2009 · AAA	28	40	49→50	43→40	39	210/268/349	139	283	18	4	32%	6%	70	-0.3	194/243/331	137	309	17	4	41%	5%	55	-1.4	180/227/316	136	295	18	1	44%	4%	40	-1.0
✕Eli Whiteside 2008 · AAA	28	42	46→50	38→40	36	216/250/345	129	267	14	4	25%	3%	61	-1.0	214/255/337	123	274	13	5	26%	4%	60	-1.0	211/264/345	135	273	14	3	28%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Chadwick Tromp 2023 · MLB	28	39	51→50	42→40	38	211/243/359	148	254	20	4	27%	4%	61	-1.0	217/272/349	132	274	15	3	26%	7%	71	-0.3	206/267/321	115	263	13	1	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Ryan Budde 2007 · AAA	27	37	46→45	46→40	40	195/251/326	131	250	14	7	28%	5%	56	-1.3	204/258/316	112	271	11	7	28%	6%	56	-1.3	191/246/287	96	258	8	4	28%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	34	49→45	47→30	38	187/238/330	143	232	18	5	29%	4%	53	-1.5	190/252/306	116	254	14	4	30%	7%	52	-1.6	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	41	48→45	46→30	43	210/274/348	137	279	17	4	30%	8%	72	-0.2	197/260/308	111	344	12	5	43%	7%	56	-1.3	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕David Masters 2021 · AA	28	43→36	47→45	44→40	42	215/279/349	134	294	15	4	31%	7%	75	-0.0	220/277/383	163	314	21	9	35%	6%	82	+0.5	182/238/383	201	234	33	6	38%	6%	62	-0.2
✕Patrick Brady 2015 · AAA	27	41	46→45	44→45	39	210/254/335	126	277	14	8	30%	5%	59	-1.1	216/267/323	107	307	8	12	30%	6%	62	-0.9	217/274/312	95	312	4	14	30%	7%	58	-0.4