Josh BreauxC
Charlotte Knights
Age 28
R/R
6'0" / 230 lbs
AAA
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.1 · 2027
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .263 / .336
PA195
HR5
K%31
BB%6
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
24→24
PWR
43→43
SPD
42→42
EYE
42→42
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-2M | $-5M | -$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 216 | 205 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 79 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .237 | .395 | .632 | .195 | .259 | 37 | 4 | .269 | 64 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 382 | 358 | 74 | 17 | 0 | 19 | 18 | 131 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .207 | .247 | .413 | .660 | .207 | .258 | 34 | 5 | .280 | 72 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 403 | 380 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 141 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .176 | .223 | .334 | .558 | .158 | .232 | 35 | 5 | .241 | 42 | -26 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | 3 teams | 205 | 195 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .239 | .379 | .619 | .179 | .232 | 29 | 4 | .264 | 60 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | 2 teams | 148 | 138 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .212 | .304 | .517 | .138 | .231 | 39 | 5 | .214 | 22 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 179 | 164 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .195 | .258 | .305 | .563 | .110 | .284 | 34 | 6 | .243 | 44 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .214 | .154 | .368 | .000 | .333 | 47 | 7 | .143 | -32 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | CWS | 180 | 164 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .207 | .270 | .348 | .617 | .140 | .274 | 31 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| TOT | 28 | MLB | CWS | 195 | 177 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .203 | .266 | .333 | .599 | .130 | .282 | 32 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | CWS | 252 | 230 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .204 | .268 | .339 | .607 | .135 | .275 | 31 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | CWS | 294 | 269 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 90 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .204 | .267 | .338 | .605 | .134 | .275 | 31 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | CWS | 282 | 257 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 86 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .206 | .271 | .335 | .606 | .128 | .275 | 30 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | CWS | 263 | 240 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .204 | .268 | .338 | .606 | .133 | .273 | 31 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 64% | CWS | 232 | 212 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 73 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .261 | .325 | .586 | .127 | .272 | 31 | 7 | .264 | 60 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 73% | CWS | 190 | 173 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .197 | .261 | .312 | .573 | .116 | .270 | 33 | 7 | .258 | 55 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3226 | 2985 | 590 | 105 | 11 | 107 | 190 | 1054 | 28 | 14 | 2 | .198 | .252 | .348 | .600 | .150 | .263 | 33 | 6 | .263 | 59 | -149 | +2 | -19 | +58 | +91 | -1.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 601 | 119 | 21 | 2 | 22 | 38 | 212 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .198 | .252 | .349 | .602 | .151 | .262 | 33 | 6 | .263 | 59 | -30 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 216 | 199 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .271 | .326 | .518 | .843 | .246 | .320 | 27 | 7 | .366 | 139 | +9 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.6 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 106 | 100 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .240 | .276 | .500 | .776 | .260 | .261 | 25 | 4 | .333 | 113 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 276 | 250 | 63 | 12 | 0 | 17 | 22 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .252 | .312 | .504 | .817 | .252 | .280 | 26 | 8 | .351 | 127 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 172 | 159 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .239 | .297 | .403 | .699 | .164 | .308 | 28 | 7 | .311 | 96 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 231 | 211 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .204 | .273 | .436 | .709 | .232 | .224 | 28 | 8 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 49 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .327 | .524 | .850 | .310 | .167 | 16 | 10 | .371 | 142 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 97 | 93 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .280 | .309 | .548 | .858 | .269 | .306 | 25 | 4 | .372 | 143 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 59 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .204 | .271 | .278 | .549 | .074 | .263 | 25 | 8 | .254 | 53 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 51 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .146 | .196 | .292 | .488 | .146 | .179 | 35 | 6 | .219 | 26 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 97 | 87 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .230 | .295 | .414 | .709 | .184 | .276 | 28 | 8 | .308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 132 | 115 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .226 | .321 | .330 | .651 | .104 | .304 | 27 | 11 | .298 | 86 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 47 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .277 | .372 | .649 | .163 | .286 | 30 | 4 | .291 | 81 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Josh Breaux (OGILVIE) | 28 | 24 | 43 | 42 | 42 | .202/.263/.336 | .134 | .274 | 5 | 2 | 31% | 6% | 65 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 48→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .198/.259/.337 | .138 | .279 | 17 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.265/.317 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.239/.258 | .079 | .273 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB |
28 | 40 | 46→45 | 45→30 | 44 | .206/.272/.331 | .125 | .276 | 15 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.260/.306 | .110 | .334 | 12 | 5 | 42% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .177/.244/.263 | .086 | .329 | 9 | 1 | 46% | 8% | 34 | -0.9 |
|
✕Kevin Richardson 2009 · AAA |
28 | 40 | 49→50 | 44→40 | 39 | .209/.268/.352 | .143 | .283 | 19 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .193/.243/.330 | .137 | .305 | 17 | 4 | 41% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .177/.226/.315 | .137 | .293 | 18 | 1 | 44% | 4% | 39 | -1.1 |
|
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA |
28 | 34 | 47→45 | 43→40 | 42 | .182/.258/.310 | .127 | .254 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.277/.329 | .120 | .281 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .205/.282/.307 | .102 | .267 | 11 | 0 | 26% | 8% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 46→50 | 46→45 | 50 | .191/.285/.319 | .128 | .261 | 14 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.283/.313 | .124 | .261 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 68 | -0.5 | .168/.270/.287 | .119 | .228 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 11% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕David Masters 2021 · AA |
28 | 42→36 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 43 | .212/.279/.339 | .128 | .290 | 14 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .215/.274/.369 | .154 | .312 | 19 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .170/.231/.347 | .178 | .226 | 28 | 6 | 39% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA |
27 | 35 | 49→50 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.245/.335 | .144 | .238 | 18 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .196/.257/.319 | .123 | .257 | 15 | 4 | 29% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.252/.278 | .096 | .251 | 12 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 42 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB |
28 | 42 | 47→50 | 43→45 | 44 | .213/.270/.353 | .141 | .266 | 15 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .213/.260/.321 | .108 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .197/.240/.283 | .087 | .265 | 6 | 4 | 27% | 5% | 37 | -1.1 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 48→50 | 47→30 | 43 | .197/.261/.333 | .136 | .264 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.283/.350 | .144 | .290 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .198/.293/.339 | .141 | .281 | 18 | 0 | 34% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40→41 | 48→50 | 43→45 | 37 | .206/.257/.340 | .133 | .293 | 16 | 4 | 35% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .201/.243/.328 | .127 | .275 | 16 | 7 | 33% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.239/.321 | .147 | .238 | 22 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA |
26 | 35→28 | 49→50 | 43→40 | 41 | .191/.255/.331 | .140 | .253 | 18 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .195/.273/.341 | .146 | .245 | 19 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .191/.275/.335 | .144 | .229 | 19 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Matt Macri 2010 · MLB |
28 | 42→39 | 49→55 | 43→45 | 41 | .216/.264/.368 | .152 | .269 | 16 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .210/.261/.344 | .134 | .268 | 14 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .206/.257/.332 | .127 | .262 | 13 | 2 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Chadwick Tromp 2023 · MLB |
28 | 39 | 50 | 43→40 | 38 | .211/.243/.356 | .145 | .255 | 19 | 4 | 27% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .215/.269/.346 | .131 | .269 | 16 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.265/.315 | .111 | .259 | 13 | 1 | 26% | 8% | 56 | -0.6 |
|
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB |
28 | 43→39 | 45 | 44→40 | 45 | .213/.274/.334 | .121 | .264 | 12 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.279/.315 | .098 | .282 | 7 | 3 | 24% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .214/.284/.310 | .095 | .269 | 9 | 0 | 22% | 8% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Lucas May 2013 · MLB |
28 | 38→42 | 45→55 | 44→45 | 37 | .197/.240/.320 | .124 | .267 | 12 | 6 | 31% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .199/.235/.300 | .101 | .269 | 10 | 7 | 29% | 4% | 42 | -2.3 | .191/.231/.254 | .063 | .257 | 8 | 3 | 28% | 4% | 26 | -1.1 |
|
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 45 | 45→40 | 39 | .209/.261/.332 | .122 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.263/.342 | .127 | .288 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .180/.219/.291 | .112 | .242 | 14 | 3 | 32% | 3% | 31 | -1.0 |
|
✕Dustin Garneau 2016 · MLB |
28 | 40→38 | 47→50 | 43→45 | 46 | .203/.259/.335 | .132 | .225 | 16 | 6 | 19% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .209/.268/.359 | .150 | .248 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .184/.263/.355 | .171 | .225 | 21 | 0 | 29% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 46→50 | 48→40 | 48 | .200/.287/.330 | .129 | .255 | 14 | 5 | 26% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .215/.296/.335 | .120 | .285 | 13 | 7 | 27% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .199/.298/.266 | .067 | .267 | 9 | 0 | 27% | 12% | 60 | -0.2 |
|
✕Mike Olt 2017 · MLB |
28 | 39→41 | 51→55 | 41→40 | 41 | .206/.272/.362 | .156 | .295 | 20 | 4 | 36% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .203/.272/.344 | .141 | .296 | 17 | 3 | 35% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.261/.327 | .141 | .266 | 17 | 0 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -0.7 |