Andrés Alvarez — OGILVIE

Andrés AlvarezSS Venados de Mazatlan

Age 29 R/R 5'8" / 175 lbs INTL BB +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .274 / .322

PA250

HR5

K%30

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

33→33

PWR

41→41

SPD

51→51

EYE

48→48

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-3M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	ROK	2 teams	169	152	24	3	1	1	11	47	5	3	2	.158	.238	.211	.449	.053	.221	28	7	.200	11	-17	-0	+0	+2	+5	-1.1
2021	24	A+	2 teams	202	185	44	10	0	5	13	64	2	10	3	.238	.295	.373	.668	.135	.333	32	6	.292	82	-4	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.5
2022	25	AA	Altoona Curve	443	388	67	11	1	15	44	163	5	21	1	.173	.265	.322	.588	.149	.242	37	10	.264	60	-20	+4	+0	+5	+13	0.1
2023	26	AA	2 teams	589	539	96	20	2	10	31	194	11	11	5	.178	.238	.278	.516	.100	.252	33	5	.223	29	-47	+0	+0	+6	+17	-2.5
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	470	419	93	12	4	9	36	145	4	18	3	.222	.290	.334	.624	.112	.313	31	8	.274	68	-17	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.4
2025	28	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	269	238	63	9	2	2	14	53	6	9	0	.265	.322	.345	.666	.080	.324	20	5	—	—	—	—	+0	+3	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	PIT	250	227	47	9	1	5	18	75	3	4	2	.207	.274	.322	.596	.115	.284	30	7	.271	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB 7%	PIT	298	271	56	10	1	6	22	88	3	5	2	.207	.274	.317	.591	.111	.284	30	7	.273	67	-11	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.1
2028	31	MLB 18%	PIT	302	273	57	11	1	6	23	89	3	4	1	.209	.278	.322	.600	.114	.283	29	8	.274	68	-11	+0	-3	+3	+9	-0.2
2029	32	MLB 27%	PIT	296	269	55	10	1	6	22	88	3	3	1	.204	.272	.316	.588	.112	.282	30	7	.271	66	-11	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.3
2030	33	MLB 39%	PIT	274	248	50	9	1	5	21	83	3	2	1	.202	.272	.306	.579	.105	.281	30	8	.267	63	-12	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.5
2031	34	MLB 53%	PIT	236	213	43	8	1	4	18	73	3	2	1	.202	.274	.305	.579	.103	.279	31	8	.261	58	-11	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3798	3422	695	122	16	74	273	1162	51	92	22	.203	.272	.313	.585	.110	.281	31	7	.241	43	-245	+10	-17	+41	+108	-10.6
/ 162G	—			650	586	120	21	3	13	47	199	9	16	4	.205	.275	.317	.592	.113	.282	31	7	.241	43	-42	+2	-3	+7	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	16	14	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	.143	.250	.143	.393	.000	.200	25	12	.200	12	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2019	22	ROK	GCL Pirates	153	132	31	5	2	1	15	29	5	3	2	.235	.336	.326	.661	.091	.294	19	10	.305	92	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2021	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	158	139	40	9	0	6	17	38	1	10	2	.288	.369	.482	.851	.194	.354	24	11	.375	145	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2021	24	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	44	39	9	0	1	0	3	4	1	0	1	.231	.302	.282	.584	.051	.257	9	7	.266	61	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	25	AA	Altoona Curve	443	368	81	13	2	20	64	123	5	21	1	.220	.343	.429	.773	.209	.265	28	14	.342	120	+10	+4	—	—	+13	2.7
2023	26	AA	Altoona Curve	380	339	73	18	1	8	30	98	5	4	3	.215	.289	.345	.634	.130	.273	26	8	.283	75	-11	-0	—	—	+11	-0.0
2023	26	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	209	187	57	7	0	5	14	42	6	7	2	.305	.372	.422	.794	.118	.369	20	7	.355	130	+7	+1	—	—	+6	1.4
2024	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	286	247	67	10	4	6	31	69	4	7	3	.271	.362	.417	.779	.146	.353	24	11	.346	123	+7	+0	—	—	+8	1.6
2024	27	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	184	162	47	9	2	7	15	36	0	11	0	.290	.350	.500	.850	.210	.331	20	8	.359	133	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	28	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	269	238	63	9	2	2	14	53	6	9	0	.265	.322	.345	.666	.080	.324	20	5	.291	81	-6	+2	—	—	+8	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrés Alvarez (OGILVIE)	29	33	41	51	48	.206/.274/.322	.115	.284	5	4	30%	7%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB	29	40	44→45	47→30	40	.200/.262/.313	.113	.299	13	4	36%	7%	58	-1.2	.195/.259/.307	.112	.360	12	6	45%	7%	55	-1.4	.163/.227/.268	.105	.321	15	3	51%	7%	28	-0.9
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	40	40	47→55	44	.195/.262/.284	.089	.273	9	13	30%	8%	50	-1.7	.197/.263/.291	.094	.306	9	10	36%	7%	53	-1.5	.156/.228/.224	.068	.265	5	5	40%	6%	17	-1.2
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	38	44→45	47→50	42	.195/.261/.312	.117	.253	13	10	28%	6%	58	-1.2	.211/.282/.335	.124	.279	14	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.212/.294/.334	.122	.284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	46→50	46→45	50	.191/.285/.319	.128	.261	14	9	31%	11%	70	-0.3	.189/.283/.313	.124	.261	14	10	31%	11%	68	-0.5	.168/.270/.287	.119	.228	14	8	31%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	43	.197/.260/.308	.111	.260	13	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.211/.260/.328	.117	.271	13	5	26%	6%	60	-1.0	.210/.254/.324	.114	.266	12	1	25%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	42→43	41→45	51→50	41	.203/.267/.304	.100	.289	8	10	31%	7%	57	-1.2	.186/.250/.270	.084	.313	6	8	39%	7%	41	-2.3	.127/.198/.171	.044	.256	2	2	47%	8%	-7	-2.3
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	44→50	48→30	43	.204/.269/.324	.120	.267	10	7	27%	7%	64	-0.8	.215/.275/.352	.137	.301	15	6	32%	7%	73	-0.1	.205/.267/.343	.138	.291	19	0	35%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	42→41	45→55	49→50	40	.211/.264/.333	.122	.283	13	11	30%	6%	63	-0.8	.207/.271/.370	.163	.326	22	14	41%	7%	77	+0.1	.151/.220/.316	.164	.233	26	18	47%	7%	40	-0.9
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	43→46	41→45	51→50	47	.206/.279/.307	.101	.275	8	8	27%	8%	63	-0.8	.196/.273/.279	.083	.270	6	10	28%	9%	54	-1.4	.174/.259/.229	.054	.247	4	10	28%	9%	33	-1.3
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→45	45	49→55	41	.197/.268/.316	.118	.283	13	17	34%	7%	62	-0.9	.210/.295/.327	.117	.326	12	25	36%	9%	76	+0.0	.199/.294/.308	.110	.316	12	32	37%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	.214/.288/.346	.132	.297	14	8	31%	9%	78	+0.2	.211/.288/.354	.143	.274	16	12	28%	9%	79	+0.3	.202/.286/.351	.149	.254	18	16	27%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	46→50	48→40	48	.200/.287/.330	.129	.255	14	5	26%	9%	73	-0.1	.215/.296/.335	.120	.285	13	7	27%	9%	79	+0.3	.199/.298/.266	.067	.267	9	0	27%	12%	60	-0.2
✕Adam Fox 2011 · AAA	29	38→44	47→50	50→45	41	.201/.252/.331	.130	.251	16	9	27%	5%	58	-1.2	.202/.247/.332	.130	.256	13	9	26%	5%	56	-1.3	.183/.221/.321	.138	.225	13	6	25%	4%	37	-1.1
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	38	44→45	47→40	40	.194/.247/.308	.114	.270	12	4	32%	6%	50	-1.7	.198/.255/.324	.126	.283	16	5	34%	7%	57	-1.2	.183/.287/.336	.152	.261	22	8	36%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	44	44→45	47→30	44	.217/.278/.331	.114	.288	12	3	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.213/.280/.353	.140	.269	14	5	25%	8%	76	+0.0	.204/.283/.358	.153	.247	16	1	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→42	41→45	47→50	43	.193/.254/.284	.092	.249	10	12	26%	6%	46	-2.0	.221/.284/.356	.135	.267	16	14	23%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.293/.382	.154	.263	20	15	22%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2015 · AAA	29	43	42→40	48→50	37	.217/.250/.313	.097	.272	11	9	25%	4%	51	-1.7	.220/.264/.341	.121	.282	14	14	27%	5%	66	-0.6	.217/.267/.334	.117	.266	15	24	24%	5%	59	-0.2
✕Patrick Brady 2016 · AAA	28	43	47→50	48→45	39	.219/.262/.352	.132	.286	15	12	29%	5%	67	-0.5	.211/.269/.312	.101	.308	7	11	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.196/.263/.290	.094	.295	4	9	32%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Dan Butler 2016 · MLB	29	42→39	41→45	45→40	44	.208/.269/.310	.103	.264	8	3	24%	6%	59	-1.1	.220/.283/.318	.098	.283	8	3	24%	7%	68	-0.5	.214/.284/.310	.095	.269	9	0	22%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Travis Garcia 2011 · AA	29	44	46→50	48→40	37	.223/.260/.350	.127	.301	13	8	30%	5%	66	-0.6	.246/.287/.427	.181	.319	24	10	30%	5%	98	+1.6	.243/.279/.416	.173	.307	24	5	29%	3%	90	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)