Andrés Alvarez — OGILVIE

Andrés AlvarezSS Venados de Mazatlan

Age 29 R/R 5'8" / 175 lbs INTL HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .268 / .304

PA20

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	22	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	16	14	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		200	25	12	200	22	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2019	22	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	153	132	31	5	2	1	15	29	5	3	2	235	336	326	661	91	294	19	10	305	93	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2021	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	158	139	40	9	0	6	17	38	1	10	2	288	369	482	851	194	354	24	11	375	140	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2021	24	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	44	39	9	0	1	0	3	4	1	0	1	231	302	282	584	51	257	9	7	266	66	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	443	368	81	13	2	20	64	123	5	21	1	220	343	429	773	209	265	28	14	342	118	+9	+4	—	—	+10	2.3
2023	26	AA	Altoona Curve	—	380	339	73	18	1	8	30	98	5	4	3	215	289	345	634	130	273	26	8	283	78	-10	-0	—	—	+8	-0.2
2023	26	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	209	187	57	7	0	5	14	42	6	7	2	305	372	422	794	118	369	20	7	355	127	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2024	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	286	247	67	10	4	6	31	69	4	7	3	271	362	417	779	146	353	24	11	346	120	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2024	27	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	184	162	47	9	2	7	15	36	0	11	0	290	350	500	850	210	331	20	8	359	129	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	28	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	269	238	63	9	2	2	14	53	6	9	0	265	322	345	666	80	324	20	5	291	83	-5	+2	—	—	+6	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	22	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	16	15	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	133	188	133	321		165	31	6	141	-18	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2019	22	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	153	138	22	3	1	1	9	42	5	3	2	159	237	217	454	58	222	27	6	207	26	-13	-0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2021	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	158	146	34	8	0	4	10	50	1	10	2	233	287	370	656	137	324	32	6	289	82	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	443	388	69	12	2	14	44	154	5	21	1	178	270	327	597	149	234	35	10	262	63	-19	+4	—	—	+10	-0.6
2023	26	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	380	350	61	13	1	6	19	119	5	4	3	174	227	269	496	94	235	31	5	219	34	-30	-0	—	—	+8	-2.2
2024	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	286	256	57	8	3	4	22	88	4	7	3	223	294	324	619	102	310	31	8	274	72	-10	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2019	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	169	152	24	3	1	1	11	47	5	3	2	158	238	211	449	53	221	28	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	169	146	33	5	2	1	17	33	5	3	2	226	327	308	636	82	286	20	10	295	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	202	185	44	10	0	5	13	64	2	10	3	238	295	373	668	135	333	32	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	202	178	49	9	1	6	20	42	2	10	3	275	355	438	793	163	328	21	10	351	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	443	388	69	12	2	14	44	154	5	21	1	178	270	327	597	149	244	35	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	443	368	81	13	2	20	64	123	5	21	1	220	343	429	773	209	265	28	14	342	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	589	540	96	21	2	9	30	185	11	11	5	178	236	274	510	96	247	31	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	589	526	130	25	1	13	44	140	11	11	5	247	318	373	691	125	309	24	7	309	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	419	94	13	5	7	36	144	4	18	3	224	292	329	621	105	321	31	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	470	409	114	19	6	13	46	105	4	18	3	279	357	450	807	171	344	22	10	351	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	INTL MLE	Venados de Mazatlan	—	269	238	63	9	2	2	14	53	6	9	0	265	322	345	666	80	324	20	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	INTL RAW	Venados de Mazatlan	—	269	238	63	9	2	2	14	53	6	9	0	265	322	345	666	80	324	20	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	169	151	24	3	1	1	11	47	5	3	2	159	238	212	450	53	217	28	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	202	185	44	10	0	5	13	64	2	10	3	238	295	373	668	135	324	32	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	443	391	69	12	2	14	44	154	5	21	1	176	270	325	595	148	234	35	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	589	543	96	21	2	9	30	185	11	11	5	177	236	273	508	96	235	31	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	427	94	13	5	7	36	144	4	18	3	220	292	323	615	103	310	31	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	589	543	96	21	2	9	30	185	11	11	5	177	236	273	508	96	235	31	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	427	94	13	5	7	36	144	4	18	3	220	292	323	615	103	310	31	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	267	25	5	262	63	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PIT	22%	298	271	56	10	2	5	22	79	3	5	2	207	274	314	587	107	268	27	7	265	66	-12	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	PIT	22%	64	58	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	190	266	276	541	86	266	27	8	253	66	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	64	58	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	190	266	276	541	86	250	27	8	253	38	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	111	20	0	10	51	173	10	10	0	188	265	273	538	85	249	27	8	253	38	-26	+2	-5	+7	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2460	2212	450	79	14	43	171	731	36	77	16	203	272	310	582	107	279	30	7	224	38	-13	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	119	21	4	11	45	193	10	20	4	204	272	310	582	106	280	30	7	224	38	-27	+0	-4	+7	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	314	5	6	205	269	309	+3	+3	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	11	12	+7.1	+6.3	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrés Alvarez (OGILVIE)	29	33	38	51	48	201/268/304	103	267	4	5	27%	7%	63	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	41→50	43→45	41	191/242/288	96	249	9	6	27%	6%	49	-2.4	204/257/329	125	273	14	4	29%	6%	64	-1.3	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	40	40	47→55	44	198/266/286	88	273	8	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/268/296	95	308	8	10	35%	7%	61	-1.5	157/228/221	64	263	4	5	39%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Cam Gallagher 2023 · MLB	30	45	43→45	47→30	46	219/276/332	113	277	10	4	24%	7%	72	-0.7	196/245/295	99	268	8	7	29%	6%	51	-2.2	125/154/166	42	183	0	0	31%	3%	-15	-1.8
✕Clint Sammons 2012 · AAA	29	35→45	43→40	44→45	43	181/241/285	104	224	12	8	26%	6%	49	-2.4	202/250/335	133	276	17	8	32%	5%	63	-1.3	148/174/263	115	189	19	0	35%	2%	16	-1.2
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	40	42→40	44→45	44	199/258/302	103	260	10	4	27%	7%	58	-1.7	206/276/328	122	265	13	5	26%	8%	72	-0.7	201/272/306	105	260	10	2	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	42	41→45	51→50	42	202/266/300	98	286	8	10	31%	7%	61	-1.5	191/256/277	86	314	7	8	38%	7%	52	-2.2	135/207/179	44	258	2	2	44%	8%	11	-2.1
✕Luke Maile 2019 · MLB	28	44→50	41→40	49→40	45	214/275/317	103	281	9	5	26%	7%	68	-1.0	212/283/321	109	291	10	8	28%	8%	72	-0.7	228/311/347	119	313	11	4	28%	9%	87	+0.1
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2015 · AAA	29	42	41→40	47→50	37	211/245/301	90	271	10	8	26%	4%	53	-2.1	221/271/337	116	288	13	14	27%	6%	71	-0.8	213/263/314	101	266	12	24	24%	5%	59	-0.4
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Allan de San Miguel 2017 · AAA	29	41	41→45	48→40	43	203/256/301	98	246	9	8	21%	5%	57	-1.8	210/267/308	98	275	8	8	25%	6%	63	-1.3	181/240/248	67	246	3	0	26%	4%	36	-0.7
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→44	40→45	47→50	44	190/253/273	83	247	8	12	26%	7%	50	-2.3	219/282/345	126	268	14	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	223/288/361	137	262	17	15	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→45	47→30	44	203/271/323	120	265	10	6	26%	7%	68	-1.0	218/281/348	130	303	14	6	31%	7%	78	-0.3	206/269/329	123	290	16	0	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→48	41→45	51→50	48	210/283/311	101	276	8	8	26%	9%	70	-0.8	198/276/278	80	272	6	10	27%	9%	60	-1.6	176/261/230	54	248	4	10	28%	9%	42	-1.3
✕Adam Fox 2011 · AAA	29	39→44	46→45	49→45	41	202/251/325	124	250	14	9	26%	5%	61	-1.5	201/247/324	123	254	12	9	25%	5%	59	-1.7	178/216/303	125	218	11	6	24%	4%	38	-1.3
✕Paul Hoover 2006 · AAA	30	43	42→45	50→45	44	211/269/319	108	265	9	10	24%	6%	66	-1.1	225/277/339	114	297	10	7	26%	6%	74	-0.6	223/273/333	109	299	10	3	28%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Max McDowell 2023 · AAA	29	40→48	38→40	47→50	45	192/279/274	82	267	6	9	28%	8%	61	-1.5	193/276/290	97	277	11	6	32%	7%	63	-1.3	168/259/249	80	245	12	1	34%	7%	46	-1.0
✕Eli Whiteside 2010 · MLB	30	41	45→50	46→40	38	210/250/331	121	270	13	5	27%	4%	62	-1.4	213/269/337	124	275	12	6	26%	6%	70	-0.8	198/259/304	106	255	9	3	25%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Yamid Haad 2007 · MLB	29	40	46→45	46→40	42	207/248/336	129	240	14	6	21%	5%	62	-1.4	213/256/310	97	271	10	6	24%	5%	59	-1.7	218/259/304	86	277	8	1	23%	5%	57	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps