Ronny Hernandez — OGILVIE

Ronny HernandezC Greenville Drive

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 177 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .297 / .331

PA177

HR4

K%20

BB%10

BABIP254

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$12M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$12M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$11M	+$11M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$10M	+$8M
2034	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2035	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$21M		$61M	+$51M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	120	105	18	5	0	3	10	31	2	0	0	171	256	305	561	133	203	26	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	120	97	26	7	0	6	18	21	2	0	0	268	393	526	919	258	274	18	15	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	172	156	36	9	1	1	14	51	2	1	0	231	302	321	623	90	337	30	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	172	148	50	12	1	3	22	35	2	1	0	338	430	493	923	155	427	20	13	412	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	413	366	88	12	0	1	43	85	3	0	0	240	325	281	607	41	310	21	10	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	413	345	94	16	0	1	62	59	3	0	0	272	386	328	713	55	325	14	15	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	355	326	66	9	1	5	26	105	0	4	0	202	261	282	544	80	279	30	7	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	355	307	77	12	1	4	45	75	0	4	0	251	347	336	682	85	316	21	13	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	BOS	—	143	123	28	6	0	9	17	20	1	0	0	228	326	496	822	268	198	14	12	348	124	+4	+0	+0	+3	+4	1.1
YTD	21	A+	BOS	—	143	114	31	7	0	10	26	15	1	0	0	272	411	596	1.008	325	231	10	18	429	186	+14	+0	+0	+3	+4	2.1
ROS	21	A+	BOS	0%	177	157	34	6	0	4	17	36	1	1	0	217	297	331	628	115	253	20	10	286	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
ROS	21	MLB	BOS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						259	0	0	287	78	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	A+	BOS	—	144	124	28	6	0	9	17	20	1	0	0	226	324	492	816	266	196	14	12	348	124	+4	+0	+0	+3	+4	1.1
TOT	21	A+	BOS	—	320	280	62	12	0	13	34	56	2	1	0	221	310	404	714	182	229	18	11	314	98	-1	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	BOS	35%	404	360	80	14	1	10	39	82	2	3	0	222	302	350	652	128	258	20	10	292	82	-8	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.1
2028	23	MLB	BOS	49%	469	417	94	17	1	12	46	94	3	4	1	225	307	357	664	132	261	20	10	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.6
2029	24	MLB	BOS	53%	512	454	105	19	1	14	50	102	3	5	1	231	312	370	682	139	263	20	10	305	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2030	25	MLB	BOS	55%	520	461	107	19	1	15	51	103	3	5	1	232	313	375	688	143	264	20	10	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2031	26	MLB	BOS	56%	520	460	107	19	1	15	52	103	3	6	1	233	315	376	691	143	264	20	10	309	94	-3	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2032	27	MLB	BOS	55%	520	460	106	19	1	15	52	103	3	6	1	230	313	374	687	143	264	20	10	309	94	-3	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2033	28	MLB	BOS	55%	520	459	106	19	1	15	53	104	3	6	1	231	315	375	689	144	263	20	10	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.1
2034	29	MLB	BOS	53%	520	459	106	19	1	15	53	105	3	6	1	231	315	375	689	144	262	20	10	306	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2035	30	MLB	BOS	57%	520	459	104	18	1	14	53	106	3	6	1	227	311	362	672	135	261	20	10	303	90	-6	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.7
2036	31	MLB	BOS	60%	501	442	98	17	1	13	51	104	3	5	1	222	306	353	659	131	259	21	10	299	87	-7	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.4
2037	32	MLB	BOS	61%	468	415	91	16	1	12	47	99	3	4	1	219	303	349	653	130	255	21	10	293	83	-9	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.9
2038	33	MLB	BOS	62%	427	379	80	13	1	10	43	92	2	4	1	211	295	330	625	119	251	22	10	286	77	-11	+0	-4	+8	+12	0.5
2039	34	MLB	BOS	58%	371	329	68	11	0	9	37	83	2	3	0	207	291	322	613	116	246	22	10	278	71	-12	+1	-5	+7	+11	0.1
2040	35	MLB	BOS	53%	314	279	55	8	0	7	31	72	1	2	0	197	280	301	581	104	240	23	10	268	63	-13	+0	-6	+6	+9	-0.4
2027	22	MLB	BOS	35%	140	124	27	5	0	3	14	28	1	1	0	218	302	331	633	113	264	20	10	293	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2028	23	MLB	BOS	49%	228	203	47	9	0	6	22	46	1	2	0	232	310	365	674	133	267	20	10	300	88	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2029	24	MLB	BOS	53%	270	240	56	10	1	7	26	54	2	3	0	233	313	371	684	138	269	20	10	305	92	-3	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2030	25	MLB	BOS	55%	285	253	60	11	1	8	28	56	2	3	0	237	318	383	701	146	270	20	10	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2031	26	MLB	BOS	56%	289	256	60	11	1	8	29	57	2	3	0	234	317	379	696	145	270	20	10	309	94	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2032	27	MLB	BOS	55%	286	253	60	11	1	8	29	57	2	3	0	237	320	383	704	146	270	20	10	309	94	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2033	28	MLB	BOS	55%	284	251	59	11	1	8	29	57	2	3	0	235	319	382	702	147	269	20	10	308	94	-2	+1	-0	+5	+8	1.2
2034	29	MLB	BOS	53%	277	245	56	10	0	8	28	56	2	3	0	229	313	367	680	139	268	20	10	306	92	-2	+1	-1	+5	+8	1.0
2035	30	MLB	BOS	57%	296	262	60	11	0	8	30	60	2	3	0	229	313	363	676	134	267	20	10	303	90	-3	+1	-1	+5	+8	1.0
2036	31	MLB	BOS	60%	298	264	60	11	0	8	30	62	2	3	0	227	311	360	671	133	265	21	10	299	87	-4	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.9
2037	32	MLB	BOS	61%	287	254	56	10	0	7	29	61	2	3	0	220	305	343	648	122	261	21	10	294	83	-6	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.6
2038	33	MLB	BOS	62%	267	237	52	9	0	7	27	58	1	2	0	219	302	346	648	127	257	22	10	287	78	-7	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.3
2039	34	MLB	BOS	58%	215	190	40	7	0	5	22	48	1	2	0	211	296	326	622	116	251	22	10	278	71	-7	+0	-3	+4	+6	0.1
2040	35	MLB	BOS	53%	168	148	31	5	0	4	17	39	1	1	0	209	295	324	620	115	245	23	10	269	64	-7	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3591	3181	724	131	5	95	360	739	23	35	0	228	311	362	672	134	266	21	10	299	87	-52	+7	-15	+64	+102	10.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	131	24	1	17	65	134	4	6	0	227	310	361	671	134	266	21	10	299	87	-9	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	7823	6943	1549	269	14	190	768	1660	45	71	11	223	305	348	653	125	265	21	10	294	83	-151	+10	-25	+140	+222	19.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	128	22	1	16	64	138	4	6	1	222	304	347	651	125	262	21	10	294	83	-13	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	120	97	26	7	0	6	18	21	2	0	268	393	526	919	258	274	18	15	394	160	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2023	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	172	148	50	12	1	3	22	35	2	1	338	430	493	923	155	427	20	13	412	173	+14	+0	—	—	+5	2.0
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	413	345	94	16	0	1	62	59	3	0	272	386	328	713	55	325	14	15	334	113	+6	+0	—	—	+12	1.8
2025	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	355	307	77	12	1	4	45	75	0	4	251	347	336	682	85	316	21	13	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+10	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,591	96	35	224	304	358	+58	+32	11.2	9.5
	/162	664	18	6	224	304	358	+10.7	+5.9	2.1	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ronny Hernandez (OGILVIE)	21	40	25	40	50	221/310/404	182	229	13	1	18%	11%	98	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	45	38→40	42→45	47	212/273/289	77	273	5	5	23%	7%	56	-1.3	200/258/270	70	282	5	5	29%	7%	44	-2.1	202/252/250	48	271	3	6	25%	6%	33	-0.9
✕Jeffer Patino 2010 · A	21	44	38→45	40→45	48	207/268/286	79	249	5	5	19%	7%	53	-1.5	206/249/281	75	268	6	4	24%	5%	43	-2.2	201/233/264	63	262	6	2	25%	3%	28	-0.7
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	46	40→30	45→50	49	222/293/313	91	261	7	7	18%	7%	71	-0.3	207/262/291	84	277	5	8	26%	6%	51	-1.7	188/240/263	74	248	4	9	25%	5%	33	-0.9
✕Leopoldo Correa 2013 · A	21	45	39→45	42→30	46	216/274/302	86	272	6	3	22%	7%	59	-1.1	206/259/285	79	274	5	5	25%	6%	48	-1.9	178/223/244	66	223	3	0	21%	4%	17	-0.9
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Simon Vasquez 2009 · A	21	45	35→40	40→50	49	210/285/271	61	269	2	4	22%	8%	56	-1.3	227/286/308	81	283	4	7	20%	6%	66	-0.6	253/299/341	88	301	2	9	16%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Luis Sierra 2007 · A	20	45	36→40	39→45	50	207/292/280	72	272	3	5	23%	9%	63	-0.9	222/283/317	95	264	8	8	18%	6%	68	-0.5	224/278/323	99	258	10	8	17%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Roy Morales 2016 · A	21	44	36→30	44→45	47	204/269/273	69	231	4	5	14%	5%	50	-1.7	232/297/293	61	277	3	7	16%	7%	66	-0.6	271/335/332	61	323	4	8	16%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	46	37→40	47→40	49	214/282/293	80	268	3	4	20%	8%	60	-1.0	228/287/328	100	272	8	4	18%	7%	72	-0.2	266/310/330	64	299	2	0	12%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Joel Naughton 2008 · A	21	46	39→40	43→30	44	222/269/306	84	277	6	6	22%	6%	57	-1.2	229/272/317	88	285	7	3	21%	6%	61	-1.0	233/274/318	85	289	8	1	22%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Geraldi Diaz 2021 · A	21	45	38→40	45→40	49	211/297/295	84	269	5	6	22%	8%	69	-0.4	197/278/288	91	290	6	6	32%	8%	59	-1.1	170/258/262	92	261	7	4	35%	8%	43	-0.7
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→54	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	237/310/328	91	301	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Anthony Dimino 2016 · A	22	48	35→40	47→50	48	223/281/286	63	285	2	6	22%	7%	57	-1.2	245/310/310	65	315	3	12	21%	8%	76	+0.1	255/321/317	62	324	3	16	20%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Rossmel Perez 2011 · A	21	51→55	36→30	38→45	48	239/288/303	63	273	4	3	14%	6%	64	-0.8	243/301/298	55	271	4	6	11%	7%	69	-0.4	264/318/322	58	285	4	5	8%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Yohander Martinez 2023 · A	21	45	36→30	43→50	52	209/304/266	57	271	5	8	23%	10%	65	-0.7	197/304/264	67	284	5	6	29%	10%	65	-0.7	166/287/223	56	249	5	5	31%	11%	48	-0.6
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	44	36→40	48→45	47	207/285/272	64	289	4	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	237/301/331	94	305	7	8	23%	6%	79	+0.3	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/301	89	298	5	7	29%	6%	65	-0.7	218/299/286	68	273	4	4	20%	8%	67	-0.5	236/329/295	58	282	5	1	16%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7