Jorbit Vivas

3B Washington Nationals
Age 26 L/R 5'9" / 171 lbs MLB Svc 1.326 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AAA/A+/A/INTL3 orgs487.216/.343/.34292266—.199/.297/.302
202524AAA/INTL2 orgs475.270/.384/.36241385—.247/.335/.322
202524MLBNYY66.161/.258/.2501047-0.2
202625MLBWSH364.238/.333/.32232880.6
2027PROJ26MLBWSH388.222/.315/.32365840.4
2028PROJ82% MLB27MLBWSH316.221/.314/.32044830.3
2029PROJ82% MLB28MLBWSH309.219/.312/.31543810.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.326First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.8M2030Arb-2$0.8M2031Arb-3$0.8M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026
Speed42
xwOBA37
Bat Spd34
Barrel%12
Avg EV10
Form.217/.314/.320 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .222/.313/.323
CompsDrew Macias (age 26) · Vimael Machín (age 26) · Mark Johnson (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .315 / .323
PA388
HR6
SB5
K%16
BB%10
BABIP254
ISO103
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +8.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.60.30.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
330.237
POWER
Barrel%
123.3
Avg EV
1083.4
Bat Spd
3469.7
SPEED
Sprint
4227.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%17%▼18% over 65 PA (60d) · proj 16%
BB%11%▲12% over 65 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.103·.107 over 56 AB (60d) · proj .102
HR/BB1.4%·0.0% over 44 BBE (60d) · proj 2.0%
BABIP.257·.318 over 44 BIP (60d) · proj .254
SLASH.217/.314/.320·proj .222/.313/.323
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   1.326 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$2M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Arb-1$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Arb-2$0.8M———
2031Arb-3$0.8M———
Totals $2M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201817 ROKDSL Dodgers Robinson — 217176 391110 263511 164 222357295652 74269 1612 306 32 — — — — — —
201918 ROKAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 137115 411121 13156 54 357448513961 157392 119 419 99 — — — — — —
202019 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 2928 8100 130 10 286310321632 36320 103 287 80 — — — — — —
202120 A+Great Lakes Loons — 10285 27601 13133 31 318426424849 106361 1313 384 118 — — — — — —
202120 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 375328 10220413 274217 53 311392515908 204322 117 398 118 — — — — — —
202120 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 2219 1000 330 11 5318253234 62 1414 136 -22 — — — — — —
202221 A+Great Lakes Loons — 570479 12919710 635821 21 269378401778 132285 1011 351 88 — — — — — —
202221 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 3427 9200 661 00 333471407878 74429 1818 407 161 — — — — — —
202322 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers — 121102 23211 15193 41 225342294636 69265 1612 299 65 — — — — — —
202322 AATulsa Drillers — 491404 11323212 545224 214 280394436829 156292 1111 370 110 — — — — — —
202423 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 422347 781829 58709 205 225347366713 141254 1714 323 72 — — — — — —
202423 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 1816 5100 230 00 312389375764 62385 1711 350 58 — — — — — —
202423 ATampa Tarpons — 1511 1000 331 10 9133391424 125 2020 249 7 — — — — — —
202423 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 3224 2000 610 10 8326783350 80 319 187 13 — — — — — —
202524 MLBNew York Yankees — 6656 9201 5133 00 161258250508 89190 208 239 47 -4 +0 -1 +2 +1 -0.2
202524 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 459374 1012114 644511 129 270388364751 94295 1014 343 86 — — — — — —
202524 INTLTigres de Aragua — 1615 4100 030 10 267267333600 67333 190 250 55 — — — — — —
202625 MLBWashington Nationals — 364311 741513 41534 21 238333322655 84274 1511 298 88 -5 +0 +1 +1 +8 0.6
202625 INTLTigres de Aragua — 1715 4100 220 10 267353333686 67308 1212 317 101 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 430367 831714 46667 21 226322311632 84262 1511 289 82 -9 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201817 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Robinson — 217184 28710 184311 164 152268201469 49182 208 215 32 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 137120 32811 8226 54 267343375718 108300 166 314 99 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 10289 27601 9173 31 303386404791 101351 179 343 118 — — — — — —
202120 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 375336 9515411 195617 53 283352449802 167300 155 342 118 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 570497 1181758 467121 21 237328340668 103254 128 298 88 — — — — — —
202322 AAA MLEOklahoma City Dodgers — 121106 23211 11233 41 217308283591 66258 199 265 65 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 491421 11022210 406224 214 261359394753 133276 138 331 110 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 422367 741527 42859 205 202299311610 109237 2010 274 72 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 1817 4100 140 00 235278294572 59317 226 254 58 — — — — — —
202423 A MLETampa Tarpons — 1512 1000 241 10 8326783350 110 2713 178 7 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 6658 9201 5133 00 155258241499 86190 208 237 47 -4 +0 -1 +2 +1 -0.2
202524 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 459401 991913 425511 129 247335322656 75271 129 296 86 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 364312 741513 41534 21 237333321654 83274 1511 298 88 -5 +0 +1 +1 +8 0.6
201817 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Robinson — 217184 28710 184311 164 152268201469 49193 208 215 32 — — — — — —
201817 ROK RAWDSL Dodgers Robinson — 217176 391110 263511 164 222357295652 74269 1612 306 32 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 137120 32811 8226 54 267343375718 108310 166 314 99 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 137115 411121 13156 54 357448513961 157392 119 419 99 — — — — — —
202019 INTL MLEAguilas del Zulia — 2928 8100 130 10 286310321632 36320 103 — — — — — — — —
202019 INTL RAWAguilas del Zulia — 2928 8100 130 10 286310321632 36320 103 287 80 — — — — — —
202120 A MLE3 teams — 499446 12721413 297720 95 285356437793 152317 156 342 118 — — — — — —
202120 A RAW3 teams — 499432 13026414 435820 95 301390477867 176319 129 384 118 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLE2 teams — 604528 1261869 487622 21 239328347674 108261 138 298 88 — — — — — —
202221 A+ RAW2 teams — 604506 13821710 696422 21 273383401784 128292 1111 354 88 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLE2 teams — 612527 13224310 518527 255 250347364711 114278 148 318 101 — — — — — —
202322 AA RAW2 teams — 612506 13625313 697127 255 269383407791 138287 1211 356 101 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLE4 teams — 487423 841727 4810010 225 199295298593 99239 2110 270 69 — — — — — —
202423 AAA RAW4 teams — 487398 861929 697710 225 216343342685 126242 1614 313 69 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE3 teams — 541472 1102114 497014 139 233323307631 74264 139 289 81 — — — — — —
202524 AAA RAW3 teams — 541445 1142415 696114 139 256368348717 92285 1113 328 81 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLE2 teams — 381327 771513 43554 31 235332315647 80271 1411 298 88 -6 +0 +1 +1 +8 0.6
202625 MLB RAW2 teams — 381326 781613 43554 31 239334322656 83276 1411 299 88 -6 +0 +1 +1 +8 0.6
201817 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Robinson — 217186 28710 184311 164 151268199467 48182 208 215 32 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 137122 32811 8226 54 262343369712 107300 166 314 99 — — — — — —
202120 A MLE3 teams — 499447 12721413 297720 95 284356436792 152311 156 342 118 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLE2 teams — 604529 1261869 487622 21 238328346674 108254 138 298 88 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLE2 teams — 612529 13224310 518527 255 250347363710 113272 148 318 101 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLE4 teams — 487426 841727 4810010 225 197295296591 99236 2110 270 69 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE3 teams — 541473 1102114 497014 139 233323307630 74261 139 289 81 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLE2 teams — 381331 771513 43554 31 233332311643 79274 1411 298 88 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AAA MLE4 teams — 487426 841727 4810010 225 197295296591 99236 2110 270 69 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE3 teams — 541473 1102114 497014 139 233323307630 74261 139 289 81 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLE2 teams — 381331 771513 43554 31 233332311643 79274 1411 298 88 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEWSH 100% 474415 921827 49767 62 222315323638 101254 1610 293 84 -9 +0 +1 +2 +10 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXWSH 100% 388339 751516 40626 51 222315323638 101254 1610 293 84 -7 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEWSH 82% 385336 741515 40626 41 221314321635 100254 1610 291 83 -8 +0 +0 +1 +8 0.3
202928 MLB MLEWSH 82% 377329 721415 39626 31 219312316628 97253 1610 289 81 -8 +0 -0 +1 +8 0.1
203029 MLB MLEWSH 82% 363318 691415 37615 21 216309309619 93251 1710 285 79 -9 +0 -1 +1 +8 -0.1
203130 MLB MLEWSH 82% 350306 651314 36605 11 213306301607 88250 1710 280 76 -10 -0 -2 +1 +8 -0.3
202827 MLB CTXWSH 82% 316275 601214 33515 41 221314320634 99254 1610 291 83 -6 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.3
202928 MLB CTXWSH 82% 309269 591214 32515 31 219312315627 96253 1710 288 81 -7 +0 -0 +1 +7 0.1
203029 MLB CTXWSH 82% 298261 571114 31504 21 217309309618 92252 1710 285 79 -7 +0 -1 +1 +6 -0.1
203130 MLB CTXWSH 82% 287252 541113 29494 11 213306301607 87250 1710 280 76 -8 -0 -1 +1 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16401424 31363519 17126725 125 220314311625 91256 1610 287 84 -38 +0 -2 +8 +36 0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650564 1252528 6810610 52 222316316631 94258 1610 287 84 -15 +0 -1 +3 +14 0.2
Career— MLE — 53704683 10792032472 487838142 11139 230322330652 100264 169 293 84 -52 +1 -2 +10 +50 0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650567 1312539 5910117 135 231322333655 102263 169 293 84 -15 +0 -0 +3 +14 0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 459 PAwOBA .337 → .296 (−41)K% 9.8% → 12.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.80%÷0.979×1.200——12.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.73%÷1.078×0.690—×1.0489.21%
HBP% /PA2.40%—×0.940—×1.0482.36%
Singles /BIP22.80%÷1.008×0.930×0.979×1.04821.58%
Doubles /BIP6.38%÷1.020×0.830×0.979×1.0485.33%
Triples /BIP0.30%÷0.944×0.970×0.979×1.0480.32%
Home runs /BIP1.22%÷1.070×0.700—×1.0480.83%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 89, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .337 → .296; ISO .094 → .079; BABIP .295 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 422 PAwOBA .319 → .274 (−45)K% 16.6% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.59%÷0.990×1.200——20.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.74%÷1.011×0.690—×1.0509.85%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.940—×1.0502.10%
Singles /BIP17.69%÷0.976×0.930×0.987×1.05017.46%
Doubles /BIP6.50%÷1.072×0.830×0.987×1.0505.21%
Triples /BIP0.72%÷0.900×0.970×0.987×1.0500.81%
Home runs /BIP3.25%÷1.045×0.700—×1.0502.29%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .319 → .274; ISO .141 → .113; BABIP .254 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 18 PAwOBA .341 → .254 (−88)K% 16.7% → 23.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.946×1.310——23.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷1.099×0.600—×0.9986.05%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷1.025×0.870—×0.99826.06%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.070×0.780—×0.9985.60%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.032×0.880—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 89, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .341 → .254; ISO .062 → .045; BABIP .385 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ATampa Tarpons · 15 PAwOBA .245 → .178 (−67)K% 20.0% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷0.959×1.360——28.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.061×0.690—×0.99012.87%
HBP% /PA6.67%—×0.780—×0.9905.15%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷1.035×0.920—×0.99011.00%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.028×0.830—×0.9900.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.979×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .245 → .178; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .110. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AATulsa Drillers · 491 PAwOBA .366 → .331 (−34)K% 10.6% → 12.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.59%÷1.023×1.220——12.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.00%÷0.973×0.700—×1.0428.24%
HBP% /PA4.89%—×0.870—×1.0424.43%
Singles /BIP21.59%÷0.992×0.920×0.992×1.04220.69%
Doubles /BIP6.53%÷0.942×0.840×0.992×1.0426.02%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷0.900×0.940×0.992×1.0420.61%
Home runs /BIP3.41%÷1.083×0.800—×1.0422.62%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .366 → .331; ISO .156 → .137; BABIP .292 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 121 PAwOBA .294 → .265 (−29)K% 15.7% → 18.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.70%÷1.003×1.200——18.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.40%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0509.20%
HBP% /PA2.48%—×0.940—×1.0502.45%
Singles /BIP22.89%÷1.021×0.930×1.032×1.05022.59%
Doubles /BIP2.41%÷0.983×0.830×1.032×1.0502.20%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷1.150×0.970×1.032×1.0501.10%
Home runs /BIP1.20%÷1.006×0.700—×1.0500.88%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .294 → .265; ISO .069 → .058; BABIP .265 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Great Lakes Loons · 570 PAwOBA .345 → .298 (−47)K% 10.2% → 12.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.18%÷1.033×1.270——12.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.70%÷0.980×0.710—×1.0277.96%
HBP% /PA3.68%—×0.790—×1.0272.99%
Singles /BIP22.09%÷1.026×0.920×0.994×1.02720.22%
Doubles /BIP4.51%÷0.985×0.810×0.994×1.0273.79%
Triples /BIP1.66%÷1.150×0.850×0.994×1.0271.25%
Home runs /BIP2.38%÷1.013×0.800—×1.0271.93%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .345 → .298; ISO .132 → .110; BABIP .285 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 375 PAwOBA .390 → .342 (−48)K% 11.2% → 15.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.20%÷1.015×1.360——15.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.93%÷0.985×0.690—×1.0305.00%
HBP% /PA4.53%—×0.780—×1.0303.64%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷0.965×0.920×1.013×1.03022.59%
Doubles /BIP6.99%÷1.166×0.830×1.013×1.0305.19%
Triples /BIP1.40%÷0.960×0.910×1.013×1.0301.38%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.965×0.800—×1.0303.88%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 93, 2B 133, 3B 92, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .390 → .342; ISO .204 → .171; BABIP .322 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .