Nick Dunn — OGILVIE

Nick Dunn3B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 29 L/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.263 / .322 / .378

PA20

HR0

K%13

BB%7

ISO116

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	8	0	0	0	1	9	3	0	1	167	231	167	397		205	17	2	195	18	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2019	22	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	380	94	19	3	3	24	58	2	2	1	247	296	337	632	89	281	14	6	283	77	-11	+0	—	—	+9	-0.2
2021	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	324	84	14	0	6	36	59	6	4	2	259	344	358	702	99	295	16	10	318	101	+1	+0	—	—	+8	0.9
2022	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	399	108	21	3	7	63	42	8	5	2	271	381	391	772	120	287	9	13	351	124	+13	+0	—	—	+10	2.4
2023	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	225	192	58	10	0	2	32	26	1	0	0	302	404	385	790	83	341	12	14	363	132	+9	+0	—	—	+5	1.4
2023	26	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	312	265	88	15	2	7	41	31	2	2	6	332	425	483	908	151	351	10	13	401	157	+21	-2	—	—	+7	2.7
2024	27	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	323	102	19	3	8	30	33	3	1	1	316	379	467	847	152	328	9	8	372	138	+16	-0	—	—	+8	2.4
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	146	132	27	3	1	2	12	16	0	1	0	205	271	288	559	83	217	11	8	253	58	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	28	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	177	151	34	6	0	7	23	12	2	2	1	225	335	404	739	179	203	7	13	332	111	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	7	0	0	0	1	12	3	0	1	146	212	146	357		176	23	2	152	-11	-7	-0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	387	76	16	2	3	17	81	2	2	1	196	234	271	505	75	236	20	4	226	39	-30	+0	—	—	+9	-2.1
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	336	76	11	0	5	24	74	6	4	2	226	290	304	593	77	266	20	6	265	65	-15	+0	—	—	+8	-0.7
2022	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	422	101	20	3	5	40	50	8	5	2	239	317	336	654	97	259	11	8	294	85	-8	+0	—	—	+10	0.2
2023	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	225	202	53	9	0	2	22	32	1	0	0	262	338	337	674	74	301	14	10	297	87	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2023	26	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	312	278	83	13	2	5	28	38	2	2	6	299	367	414	781	115	325	12	9	347	121	+8	-2	—	—	+7	1.3
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	332	92	17	2	6	21	42	3	1	1	277	326	395	720	117	294	12	6	314	99	-1	-0	—	—	+8	0.7
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	146	136	27	3	1	2	8	19	0	1	0	199	243	279	522	81	205	13	5	216	32	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	28	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	177	159	32	5	0	6	15	14	2	2	1	201	278	346	624	145	191	8	8	278	74	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2018	21	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	7	0	0	0	1	12	3	0	1	146	212	146	357		194	23	2	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	8	0	0	0	1	9	3	0	1	167	231	167	397		205	17	2	195	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	387	76	16	2	3	17	81	2	2	1	196	234	271	505	75	237	20	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	380	94	19	3	3	24	58	2	2	1	247	296	337	632	89	281	14	6	283	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	336	76	11	0	5	24	74	6	4	2	226	290	304	593	77	271	20	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	324	84	14	0	6	36	59	6	4	2	259	344	358	702	99	295	16	10	318	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	422	101	20	3	5	40	50	8	5	2	239	317	336	654	97	260	11	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	399	108	21	3	7	63	42	8	5	2	271	381	391	772	120	287	9	13	351	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	537	480	136	22	2	7	50	70	3	2	6	283	355	381	736	98	317	13	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	537	457	146	25	2	9	73	57	3	2	6	319	417	442	859	123	347	11	14	385	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	332	92	17	2	6	21	42	3	1	1	277	326	395	720	117	298	12	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	323	102	19	3	8	30	33	3	1	1	316	379	467	847	152	328	9	8	372	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	295	58	8	1	7	23	34	2	3	1	197	259	302	561	105	199	11	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA RAW	2 teams	—	323	283	61	9	1	9	35	28	2	3	1	216	306	350	656	134	210	9	11	297	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	52	48	7	0	0	0	1	12	3	0	1	146	212	146	357		176	23	2	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	411	389	76	16	2	3	17	81	2	2	1	195	234	270	504	75	236	20	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	371	338	76	11	0	5	24	74	6	4	2	225	290	302	591	77	266	20	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	421	101	20	3	5	40	50	8	5	2	240	317	337	654	97	259	11	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	537	479	136	22	2	7	50	70	3	2	6	284	355	382	737	98	315	13	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	334	92	17	2	6	21	42	3	1	1	275	326	392	718	117	294	12	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	295	58	8	1	7	23	34	2	3	1	197	259	302	561	105	197	11	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	537	479	136	22	2	7	50	70	3	2	6	284	355	382	737	98	315	13	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	361	334	92	17	2	6	21	42	3	1	1	275	326	392	718	117	294	12	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	295	58	8	1	7	23	34	2	3	1	197	259	302	561	105	197	11	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	PHI	2%	20	19	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	263	300	316	616	53	290	15	5	315	100	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PHI	28%	319	290	76	13	2	6	24	45	2	2	1	262	323	383	706	121	289	14	8	313	98	-1	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.5
2028	31	MLB MLE	PHI	43%	325	296	76	13	2	6	24	49	2	2	1	257	317	375	692	118	287	15	7	310	96	-2	+0	-3	+1	+7	0.4
2029	32	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	319	290	73	13	1	6	24	50	2	2	1	252	313	366	679	114	284	16	8	305	92	-3	+0	-4	+1	+7	0.2
2030	33	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	298	272	66	11	1	5	22	49	2	1	1	243	304	346	650	103	280	16	7	298	88	-4	-0	-4	+1	+6	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	PHI	28%	89	81	22	4	0	2	7	13	1	1	0	272	337	395	732	123	292	15	8	313	98	-0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	PHI	43%	140	128	34	6	1	3	10	21	1	1	0	266	324	398	722	133	289	15	7	309	96	-1	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.2
2029	32	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	166	152	39	7	1	3	12	26	1	1	0	257	315	375	690	118	286	16	7	304	92	-2	+0	-2	+1	+4	0.1
2030	33	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	170	154	38	6	1	3	13	28	1	1	0	247	310	357	667	110	283	16	8	297	88	-2	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	565	515	133	23	3	11	42	88	4	4	0	258	319	379	698	120	291	16	7	304	82	-5	+1	-6	+2	+12	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	152	26	3	13	48	101	5	5	0	257	317	377	694	120	289	16	7	304	82	-6	+1	-7	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3808	3467	842	145	16	56	271	559	35	24	18	243	304	342	647	100	273	15	7	289	82	-10	-0	-13	+5	+28	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	145	25	3	10	46	95	6	4	3	245	306	348	654	103	274	15	7	289	82	-5	-0	-6	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Albert Almora Jr.last yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,571 PA	2.4	1,571	33	7	261	301	387	+2	+18	4.8	4.8
/162	664	14	3	+1.0	+7.8	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Brendan Harrislast yr '13 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,819 PA	2.7	1,819	31	5	256	313	380	+18	-14	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	2	+6.6	-5.2	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	2.3	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
/162	664	13	0	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	2.3	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
/162	664	14	0	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	571	10	3	254	312	368	+2	+1	1.1	1.1
/162	664	12	3	+2.4	+1.2	1.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Dunn (OGILVIE)	29	50	50	45	55	263/322/378	115	290	5	2	13%	7%	100	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Elias Díaz 2020 · MLB	29	53→57	42→50	44→45	48	255/305/361	106	294	10	3	17%	6%	89	+0.5	238/296/379	141	270	16	3	18%	7%	91	+0.6	234/291/379	145	271	17	0	20%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Terrence Long 2005 · MLB	29	53→58	46→50	45	49	259/309/398	139	287	13	6	15%	7%	99	+1.2	255/299/368	113	294	10	5	16%	6%	88	+0.4	252/294/353	100	291	9	2	16%	5%	80	-0.1
●Donovan Walton 2023 · MLB	29	47→56	47→50	48→45	48	233/295/381	148	261	13	8	17%	7%	91	+0.6	234/295/349	115	270	11	7	17%	7%	83	+0.1	246/321/364	118	275	14	5	16%	8%	95	+0.7
✕Conor Gillaspie 2017 · MLB	30	52→59	47→50	42→40	47	257/303/403	146	287	13	4	16%	6%	98	+1.2	235/283/366	131	260	13	9	15%	6%	82	-0.0	215/251/306	91	238	7	8	12%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Brian Buscher 2009 · MLB	28	53→56	45	39→45	50	260/316/380	120	288	13	4	15%	7%	97	+1.1	235/306/344	109	268	11	4	16%	8%	86	+0.3	213/297/299	86	247	8	0	16%	10%	72	-0.3
✕Tucker Barnhart 2019 · MLB	28	52→55	44→45	40	55	250/326/373	123	291	11	3	18%	10%	99	+1.3	236/319/373	137	289	15	3	22%	10%	97	+1.1	229/314/361	132	289	15	1	24%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Vimael Machín 2023 · MLB	29	50→54	41→45	46→50	52	241/309/346	105	287	8	3	18%	8%	87	+0.4	234/294/344	110	281	10	8	20%	7%	81	-0.1	237/291/357	120	281	13	10	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	42→50	46	248/303/377	129	294	12	6	20%	6%	92	+0.7	226/294/335	109	263	9	7	17%	7%	80	-0.2	266/336/367	100	308	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.3
✕Tommy La Stella 2018 · MLB	29	50→55	45→55	42→50	54	247/320/372	125	279	12	4	16%	9%	97	+1.1	264/332/404	140	281	16	3	12%	9%	109	+2.0	271/338/441	170	269	21	1	9%	8%	117	+1.2
✕Mark Teahen 2011 · MLB	29	54→60	45→55	44→50	49	263/326/397	134	323	12	7	22%	8%	105	+1.7	229/291/327	98	304	8	7	25%	8%	76	-0.4	211/270/284	73	290	4	5	27%	7%	56	-0.9
●J.P. Crawford 2023 · MLB	28	54→58	41→45	40→50	57	257/338/360	103	294	8	5	15%	10%	101	+1.4	250/347/385	135	297	13	5	19%	12%	111	+2.1	249/350/384	135	299	14	5	20%	13%	109	+1.9
✕Greg Garcia 2019 · MLB	29	51→55	41→40	46→50	56	242/337/337	95	297	8	7	20%	11%	96	+1.0	238/337/346	108	305	8	6	22%	12%	98	+1.2	247/365/353	105	325	6	0	22%	14%	107	+1.1
✕John Baker 2010 · MLB	29	55→59	46→45	42→45	52	267/342/405	138	326	13	3	21%	9%	113	+2.3	246/327/358	112	310	8	5	21%	10%	97	+1.1	196/273/239	43	268	3	2	26%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Kevin Howard 2010 · AAA	29	52→57	45	43→45	50	254/305/380	126	280	13	7	15%	7%	93	+0.8	239/280/345	106	275	11	7	17%	5%	76	-0.4	238/273/329	92	274	10	7	17%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Scott Moore 2013 · MLB	29	49→51	49→55	42→50	47	244/311/395	152	298	16	5	24%	7%	100	+1.3	209/277/343	134	272	14	3	28%	7%	76	-0.4	183/253/302	119	242	13	1	29%	6%	55	-1.2
✕Daniel Fornes 2009 · AAA	29	49→56	45→50	42→40	54	242/317/368	125	265	13	3	14%	9%	95	+1.0	245/307/365	120	271	12	4	14%	7%	91	+0.7	244/305/357	112	267	12	2	13%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Yuniesky Betancourt 2011 · MLB	29	52→60	46→50	41→50	47	256/286/388	132	265	13	4	10%	4%	88	+0.4	242/271/385	143	254	16	4	12%	4%	82	+0.0	232/259/372	140	245	16	2	13%	3%	71	-0.6
✕Andy Ibáñez 2022 · MLB	29	51→55	51→50	45	48	259/311/423	164	286	18	5	17%	6%	106	+1.8	243/298/384	141	282	14	7	19%	7%	92	+0.7	249/308/393	144	292	15	7	20%	7%	96	+0.6
✕Midre Cummings 2001 · MLB	29	53	45→50	47→50	53	261/326/385	124	285	13	5	14%	8%	103	+1.5	256/317/382	126	287	13	6	15%	7%	99	+1.2	230/293/362	132	295	17	0	27%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Marlon Anderson 2003 · MLB	29	55→59	44→55	47→50	51	264/317/388	124	289	10	7	13%	7%	99	+1.3	256/310/380	124	282	12	14	13%	7%	95	+1.0	268/329/434	165	300	18	13	17%	8%	112	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps