Rodrigo Aguirre
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 426 | .309/.356/.366 | 1 | 7 | 78 | — | .292/.321/.343 |
| 2014 | 30 | AAAToros de Tiju… | 262 | .287/.339/.404 | 6 | 1 | 76 | — | .274/.306/.350 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAAToros de Tiju… | 17 | .294/.294/.353 | 0 | 0 | 46 | — | .235/.235/.294 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 22 | AAA | Potros de Tijuana | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 206 | 242 | 448 | 61 | 240 | 24 | 3 | 203 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA | Potros de Tijuana | — | 73 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 236 | 221 | 457 | 29 | 220 | 14 | 5 | 210 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 116 | 99 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 313 | 364 | 485 | 849 | 172 | 322 | 8 | 6 | 346 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 28 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 304 | 385 | 348 | 732 | 43 | 368 | 14 | 11 | 315 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 284 | 241 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 320 | 399 | 419 | 818 | 100 | 352 | 9 | 11 | 356 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 34 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 344 | 382 | 406 | 789 | 62 | 393 | 12 | 6 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 295 | 253 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 249 | 317 | 308 | 625 | 59 | 278 | 11 | 8 | 272 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 159 | 142 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 289 | 275 | 564 | 35 | 291 | 17 | 6 | 249 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 378 | 345 | 110 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 49 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 319 | 367 | 380 | 746 | 61 | 367 | 13 | 6 | 332 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 48 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 267 | 256 | 522 | 23 | 256 | 8 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 262 | 230 | 66 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 287 | 339 | 404 | 743 | 117 | 291 | 8 | 6 | 316 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 17 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 353 | 647 | 59 | 333 | 12 | 0 | 288 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 22 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 206 | 242 | 448 | 61 | 226 | 29 | 3 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 73 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 222 | 217 | 440 | 29 | 221 | 16 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 116 | 101 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 317 | 355 | 455 | 811 | 139 | 316 | 9 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 28 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 292 | 346 | 333 | 679 | 42 | 343 | 18 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 284 | 252 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 310 | 363 | 401 | 763 | 91 | 330 | 10 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 295 | 261 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 245 | 291 | 299 | 590 | 54 | 263 | 13 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 159 | 147 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 257 | 259 | 515 | 27 | 274 | 19 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 378 | 356 | 104 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 292 | 321 | 343 | 663 | 51 | 337 | 15 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 262 | 237 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 274 | 306 | 350 | 657 | 76 | 273 | 9 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 17 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 294 | 529 | 59 | 292 | 12 | 0 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 206 | 242 | 448 | 61 | 261 | 29 | 3 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AAA RAW | Potros de Tijuana | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 206 | 242 | 448 | 61 | 240 | 24 | 3 | 203 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 73 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 222 | 217 | 440 | 29 | 224 | 16 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA RAW | Potros de Tijuana | — | 73 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 236 | 221 | 457 | 29 | 220 | 14 | 5 | 210 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 116 | 101 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 317 | 355 | 455 | 811 | 139 | 341 | 9 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 116 | 99 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 313 | 364 | 485 | 849 | 172 | 322 | 8 | 6 | 346 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 28 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 292 | 346 | 333 | 679 | 42 | 368 | 18 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 28 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 304 | 385 | 348 | 732 | 43 | 368 | 14 | 11 | 315 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 283 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 311 | 365 | 399 | 764 | 88 | 347 | 10 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 318 | 273 | 88 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 322 | 397 | 418 | 815 | 95 | 357 | 9 | 10 | 356 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 295 | 261 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 245 | 291 | 299 | 590 | 54 | 281 | 13 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 295 | 253 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 249 | 317 | 308 | 625 | 59 | 278 | 11 | 8 | 272 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 159 | 147 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 257 | 259 | 515 | 27 | 288 | 19 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 159 | 142 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 289 | 275 | 564 | 35 | 291 | 17 | 6 | 249 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 400 | 118 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 64 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 295 | 322 | 345 | 667 | 50 | 347 | 15 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 426 | 388 | 120 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 53 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 309 | 356 | 366 | 722 | 57 | 354 | 12 | 6 | 320 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 262 | 237 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 274 | 306 | 350 | 657 | 76 | 291 | 9 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | Toros de Tijuana | — | 262 | 230 | 66 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 287 | 339 | 404 | 743 | 117 | 291 | 8 | 6 | 316 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 17 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 294 | 529 | 59 | 267 | 12 | 0 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | Toros de Tijuana | — | 17 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 353 | 647 | 59 | 333 | 12 | 0 | 288 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 206 | 242 | 448 | 61 | 226 | 29 | 3 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 73 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 222 | 214 | 437 | 29 | 221 | 16 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 116 | 109 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 355 | 422 | 777 | 128 | 316 | 9 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 28 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 269 | 346 | 308 | 654 | 38 | 343 | 18 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 291 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 302 | 365 | 388 | 753 | 86 | 330 | 10 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 295 | 276 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 291 | 283 | 574 | 51 | 263 | 13 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 28 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 159 | 153 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 257 | 248 | 505 | 26 | 274 | 19 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 407 | 118 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 64 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 290 | 322 | 339 | 661 | 49 | 337 | 15 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 262 | 249 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 261 | 306 | 333 | 640 | 72 | 273 | 9 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 17 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 294 | 529 | 59 | 292 | 12 | 0 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1728 | 1572 | 431 | 59 | 9 | 8 | 78 | 230 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 274 | 311 | 338 | 650 | 64 | 314 | 13 | 5 | 279 | 75 | -52 | -4 | +0 | +6 | +37 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 162 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 87 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 274 | 311 | 337 | 648 | 63 | 314 | 13 | 4 | 279 | 75 | -20 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 17 PAwOBA .280 → .236 (−45)K% 11.8% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 24.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.208 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .280 → .236; ISO .059 → .044; BABIP .333 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAToros de Tijuana · 262 PAwOBA .308 → .280 (−28)K% 8.0% → 9.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.02% | ÷1.058 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.73% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 3.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.88% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 23.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.35% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 2.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.901 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.87% | ÷1.271 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.52% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 112, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .308 → .280; ISO .117 → .084; BABIP .291 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 378 PAwOBA .322 → .291 (−30)K% 13.0% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.96% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.29% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.42% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 29.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.101 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.901 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.083 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.21% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 107, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .322 → .291; ISO .061 → .050; BABIP .367 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 159 PAwOBA .243 → .226 (−17)K% 17.0% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.98% | ÷1.052 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷1.125 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 3.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.22% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 24.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.106 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 3.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 98, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 110, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .243 → .226; ISO .035 → .029; BABIP .291 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 295 PAwOBA .268 → .250 (−17)K% 10.8% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.85% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.14% | ÷1.016 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 22.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.62% | ÷1.001 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 3.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.45% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.32% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .268 → .250; ISO .059 → .053; BABIP .278 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 284 PAwOBA .347 → .324 (−24)K% 8.8% → 10.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.80% | ÷1.035 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.21% | ÷1.042 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷1.015 | ×0.930 | ×1.049 | ×1.003 | 25.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×1.003 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×1.003 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.915 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 107, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .347 → .324; ISO .100 → .091; BABIP .352 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 28 PAwOBA .307 → .292 (−15)K% 14.3% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 29.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .307 → .292; ISO .043 → .041; BABIP .368 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 116 PAwOBA .337 → .335 (−2)K% 7.8% → 9.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 24.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 2.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.41% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .337 → .335; ISO .172 → .157; BABIP .322 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .