Nelson Quiroz — OGILVIE

Nelson QuirozC Tulsa Drillers

Age 24 L/R 5'9" / 194 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .301 / .343

PA144

HR1

K%19

BB%6

BABIP308

ISO90

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 71 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT71

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.7M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$6M		$25M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	144	131	25	1	1	1	9	30	2	1	1	191	254	237	490	46	235	21	6	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	144	125	33	2	1	1	15	21	2	1	1	264	352	320	672	56	305	15	10	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	111	98	21	9	0	0	10	18	2	0	0	214	300	306	606	92	259	16	9	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	111	92	25	11	0	0	16	12	2	0	0	272	391	391	782	120	309	11	14	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	50	46	12	2	0	2	4	8	0	0	0	261	320	435	755	174	278	16	8	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	50	44	15	2	0	4	6	5	0	0	0	341	420	659	1.079	318	314	10	12	464	214	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	202	189	44	5	0	1	11	22	2	0	0	233	282	275	557	42	259	11	5	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	202	184	47	5	0	1	16	16	2	0	0	255	322	299	621	43	275	8	8	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	206	192	58	12	1	1	12	25	1	0	0	302	346	391	737	89	341	12	6	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	206	186	62	13	2	1	18	18	1	0	0	333	395	441	836	108	363	9	9	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	LAD	—	54	50	13	3	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	260	315	320	635	60	333	20	7	289	79	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
YTD	24	AA	LAD	—	54	48	16	4	0	0	6	8	0	0	0	333	407	417	824	83	400	15	11	374	144	+3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.5
ROS	24	AA	LAD	2%	144	134	34	7	1	1	8	27	1	2	0	254	301	343	644	90	302	19	6	283	75	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
ROS	24	MLB	LAD	2%	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	333	333	333	667		298	33	0	275	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AA	LAD	—	57	53	14	3	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	264	316	321	637	57	341	21	7	288	78	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	24	AA	LAD	—	198	184	47	10	1	1	12	38	1	2	0	255	305	337	642	82	315	19	6	284	76	-5	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	LAD	39%	278	257	65	13	1	3	17	52	2	3	1	253	304	346	651	93	302	19	6	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2028	26	MLB	LAD	56%	343	315	80	15	2	5	22	65	3	4	1	254	309	362	671	108	302	19	6	298	86	-5	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.1
2029	27	MLB	LAD	62%	371	340	86	17	2	5	25	71	3	5	1	253	310	359	669	106	301	19	7	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.3
2030	28	MLB	LAD	65%	389	357	90	17	2	6	26	76	3	5	1	252	308	361	670	109	301	20	7	299	87	-6	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.2
2031	29	MLB	LAD	64%	391	358	90	17	2	6	27	77	3	5	1	251	309	360	670	109	300	20	7	297	85	-6	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.1
2032	30	MLB	LAD	64%	391	358	89	17	2	5	27	78	3	5	1	249	307	349	656	101	299	20	7	294	83	-7	+1	-2	+7	+11	0.9
2033	31	MLB	LAD	64%	369	338	84	16	2	5	25	75	3	4	1	249	306	352	658	104	297	20	7	290	80	-8	+0	-3	+7	+10	0.7
2027	25	MLB	LAD	39%	107	98	25	5	1	1	7	20	1	1	0	255	311	357	668	102	298	19	7	284	75	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	26	MLB	LAD	56%	191	176	44	8	1	3	12	36	1	2	1	250	302	358	660	108	298	19	6	289	79	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2029	27	MLB	LAD	62%	228	209	52	10	1	3	15	44	2	3	1	249	305	349	655	100	297	19	7	290	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.6
2030	28	MLB	LAD	65%	251	230	57	11	1	4	17	49	2	3	1	248	305	357	662	109	297	20	7	290	80	-6	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.6
2031	29	MLB	LAD	64%	252	231	57	11	1	4	17	49	2	3	1	247	304	355	659	108	296	19	7	288	79	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2032	30	MLB	LAD	64%	252	231	56	11	1	3	17	50	2	3	1	242	300	338	638	95	296	20	7	285	77	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2033	31	MLB	LAD	64%	237	217	53	10	1	3	16	48	2	3	1	244	302	341	643	97	294	20	7	281	74	-7	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1521	1395	345	66	7	21	101	297	12	18	6	247	304	350	654	103	299	20	7	287	78	-38	+1	-5	+27	+43	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	147	28	3	9	43	127	5	8	3	247	303	349	652	102	298	20	7	287	78	-16	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	3389	3113	778	148	16	41	223	624	28	34	8	250	306	347	653	97	299	18	7	291	81	-74	+4	-7	+61	+96	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	149	28	3	8	43	120	5	7	2	250	305	347	652	97	299	18	7	291	81	-14	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	144	125	33	2	1	1	15	21	2	1	1	264	352	320	672	56	305	15	10	309	94	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2021	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	111	92	25	11	0	0	16	12	2	0	0	272	391	391	782	120	309	11	14	355	130	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	50	44	15	2	0	4	6	5	0	0	0	341	420	659	1.079	318	314	10	12	464	214	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	202	184	47	5	0	1	16	16	2	0	0	255	322	299	621	43	275	8	8	288	79	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.1
2025	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	99	88	26	2	2	0	10	6	0	0	0	295	367	364	731	68	313	6	10	330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	107	98	36	11	0	1	8	12	1	0	0	367	421	510	931	143	412	11	7	413	175	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Ronny Paulinolast yr '12 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,027 PA	7	2,027	33	4	272	324	376	+36	+25	11.3	11.3
	/162	664	11	1	272	324	376	+11.9	+8.2	3.7	pk7: 11
#3Toby Halllast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,501 PA	8	2,501	45	2	263	298	374	+32	+38	9.9	10.1
#3Toby Halllast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,501 PA	/162	664	12	1	263	298	374	+8.4	+10.1	2.6	pk7: 10
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	7	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
	/162	664	19	7	254	303	396	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,524	21	20	251	304	355	+27	+16	4.4	4.4
	/162	664	9	9	251	304	355	+11.9	+7.0	1.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Quiroz (OGILVIE)	24	71	31	42	41	255/305/337	82	315	1	2	19%	6%	76	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Guillorme 2019 · MLB	24	56→62	36→40	45	52	261/319/327	66	305	3	5	15%	8%	84	+0.6	256/334/354	98	306	8	7	18%	10%	98	+1.6	260/347/342	82	303	7	3	15%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Brent Keys 2014 · AA	24	60→65	36→30	47→50	53	282/337/346	64	312	3	13	11%	8%	96	+1.5	237/305/295	58	275	3	10	14%	9%	70	-0.3	223/308/259	36	257	0	9	12%	10%	62	-0.5
✕Eddie Cornejo 2006 · A	24	55→60	37→40	41→40	49	257/308/325	67	295	4	5	14%	6%	79	+0.3	261/317/332	71	302	4	4	14%	7%	85	+0.7	268/327/331	63	310	3	3	14%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Chesny Young 2017 · AA	24	59→65	37→30	45→50	50	280/331/354	75	326	3	13	15%	7%	95	+1.4	235/279/291	56	292	3	9	19%	6%	57	-1.2	220/261/254	34	276	1	7	20%	5%	37	-1.7
✕Roberto Valencia 2012 · AAA	24	59→64	36→30	45	43	282/304/343	62	313	3	10	12%	3%	80	+0.4	250/279/316	66	286	3	8	13%	3%	63	-0.8	273/297/338	64	306	2	8	11%	2%	74	-0.0
✕Steve Clevenger 2010 · AAA	24	55→59	38→45	46→45	48	260/307/345	86	302	4	7	15%	6%	83	+0.6	260/300/369	109	299	8	4	15%	5%	87	+0.8	274/322/367	93	317	7	1	15%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Josh Thole 2010 · MLB	23	59→67	38→40	46→45	52	279/335/366	87	316	3	6	12%	7%	101	+1.8	259/326/347	88	296	5	4	13%	9%	92	+1.2	249/322/326	78	284	4	1	13%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Carlos Garay 2018 · A	23	59→64	36→30	45→30	42	278/307/342	64	320	3	4	14%	3%	82	+0.5	259/291/337	78	310	5	5	17%	4%	74	-0.1	283/303/353	70	334	4	0	16%	2%	78	+0.1
✕Leonardo Reginatto 2014 · A	24	57→61	36→30	47→45	45	265/307/330	65	327	2	8	19%	6%	79	+0.3	252/300/314	62	310	2	8	18%	6%	72	-0.2	248/295/303	55	305	2	7	18%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Rossmel Perez 2015 · AAA	25	56→55	39→30	41→45	51	265/312/345	80	284	6	6	10%	6%	85	+0.7	242/284/319	77	267	5	6	11%	5%	67	-0.5	234/272/275	41	255	1	3	8%	4%	50	-1.0
✕Manuel Lopez 2012 · AAA	25	55	37→40	43→45	42	256/299/331	74	321	3	7	21%	5%	76	+0.1	247/293/326	79	318	3	6	22%	5%	72	-0.2	248/294/318	71	323	2	3	22%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Adrian Cardenas 2012 · AAA	24	56→59	40→45	45→50	49	268/315/365	97	305	6	10	14%	6%	92	+1.2	242/301/355	113	282	8	10	16%	8%	84	+0.6	228/301/352	124	265	6	7	15%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Tomás Telis 2016 · MLB	25	56→61	39→45	47→45	42	268/294/353	84	302	6	7	14%	3%	79	+0.3	257/293/356	99	288	8	7	13%	4%	80	+0.4	263/294/366	103	289	9	4	12%	3%	82	+0.3
✕James Beresford 2014 · AAA	25	54→64	34→30	46→45	46	251/294/298	47	303	1	8	17%	5%	65	-0.7	264/297/319	55	315	2	6	16%	5%	72	-0.2	273/306/319	46	324	1	3	15%	4%	72	-0.2
✕Tim Fedroff 2012 · AAA	25	56→62	38→40	46→50	47	263/318/349	85	333	4	9	21%	7%	89	+0.9	248/309/336	88	315	6	13	22%	8%	82	+0.5	235/303/316	80	304	6	13	23%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Ramón Cabrera 2014 · AAA	24	55→59	37→40	45→40	51	257/310/340	84	293	3	4	14%	7%	83	+0.6	256/295/343	87	292	7	3	14%	5%	78	+0.2	260/293/341	81	293	8	1	14%	4%	73	-0.1
●Tyler Kuhn 2011 · AA	24	53→63	39→45	49→50	42	251/289/342	91	313	5	11	21%	5%	75	-0.0	255/293/347	92	316	4	11	20%	5%	78	+0.2	253/293/343	90	310	3	11	18%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Jonathan Ash 2007 · AA	24	59→63	39→45	39→40	47	280/323/377	97	306	5	6	11%	4%	98	+1.6	255/309/335	80	279	4	5	10%	6%	82	+0.5	253/314/321	68	272	3	3	8%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Sergio Perez 2014 · AAA	24	55	37→40	47→50	43	260/305/332	72	321	5	13	20%	5%	79	+0.3	259/304/347	88	322	6	8	20%	5%	82	+0.5	264/309/341	77	326	4	4	19%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Rob Brantly 2013 · MLB	24	52→57	42→50	37→30	45	250/293/359	109	290	9	3	17%	5%	82	+0.5	230/268/319	89	278	7	2	19%	5%	60	-1.0	245/311/355	110	283	11	1	17%	6%	87	+0.3