Tzu-Wei Lin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 26 | MLBBOS | 57 | .154/.185/.173 | 0 | 0 | -10 | -0.6 | ||
| 2021 | 27 | AAAMIN | 30 | .269/.367/.308 | 0 | 3 | 55 | — | .222/.300/.259 | |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA/A/INTL2 orgs | 235 | .240/.358/.398 | 7 | 15 | 89 | — | .143/.227/.228 | |
| 2023 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 130 | 110 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 255 | 349 | 318 | 667 | 64 | 329 | 22 | 12 | 301 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 467 | 402 | 92 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 74 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 229 | 320 | 296 | 616 | 67 | 272 | 16 | 12 | 281 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 194 | 173 | 35 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 202 | 270 | 266 | 536 | 64 | 238 | 14 | 8 | 242 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 307 | 281 | 79 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 32 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 281 | 333 | 367 | 700 | 85 | 309 | 10 | 7 | 312 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 54 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 296 | 229 | 525 | 21 | 286 | 24 | 11 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 411 | 372 | 83 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 55 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 223 | 288 | 293 | 581 | 70 | 256 | 13 | 8 | 264 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 66 | 56 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 369 | 339 | 709 | 71 | 385 | 26 | 14 | 322 | 106 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 154 | 141 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 227 | 283 | 319 | 602 | 92 | 270 | 18 | 7 | 270 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 184 | 159 | 48 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 302 | 383 | 491 | 874 | 189 | 333 | 15 | 11 | 378 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 73 | 65 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 329 | 415 | 744 | 169 | 319 | 23 | 11 | 332 | 104 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 302 | 277 | 85 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 64 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 307 | 362 | 448 | 810 | 141 | 385 | 21 | 8 | 360 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 22 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 273 | 300 | 573 | 100 | 286 | 27 | 9 | 262 | 54 | -1 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 250 | 224 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 58 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 246 | 310 | 357 | 667 | 112 | 311 | 23 | 8 | 296 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 57 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 173 | 358 | 19 | 222 | 30 | 4 | 158 | -10 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 30 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 269 | 367 | 308 | 674 | 38 | 389 | 27 | 13 | 317 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 106 | 92 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 152 | 257 | 250 | 507 | 98 | 194 | 26 | 12 | 238 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 407 | 429 | 836 | 190 | 308 | 26 | 22 | 380 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL | Auckland Tuatara | — | 102 | 83 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 337 | 450 | 554 | 1.004 | 217 | 338 | 9 | 15 | 433 | 179 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 218 | 193 | 43 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 223 | 299 | 316 | 615 | 93 | 309 | 26 | 10 | 277 | 73 | -7 | -1 | -3 | +7 | +5 | 0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 130 | 116 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 207 | 270 | 259 | 528 | 52 | 278 | 31 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 467 | 419 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 104 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 205 | 270 | 258 | 527 | 53 | 256 | 22 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 194 | 178 | 38 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 213 | 259 | 275 | 535 | 62 | 251 | 18 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 307 | 289 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 260 | 294 | 332 | 626 | 73 | 298 | 15 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 411 | 383 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 68 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 217 | 261 | 274 | 535 | 57 | 257 | 17 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 66 | 56 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 369 | 339 | 709 | 71 | 385 | 26 | 14 | 325 | 106 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 154 | 144 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 208 | 250 | 292 | 542 | 83 | 262 | 22 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 184 | 166 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 271 | 328 | 422 | 749 | 151 | 305 | 18 | 7 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 73 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 315 | 385 | 700 | 154 | 319 | 23 | 11 | 322 | 104 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 302 | 285 | 75 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 77 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 263 | 302 | 365 | 667 | 102 | 349 | 25 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 22 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 273 | 300 | 573 | 100 | 286 | 27 | 9 | 248 | 54 | -1 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 250 | 230 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 70 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 273 | 313 | 587 | 91 | 294 | 28 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 57 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 173 | 358 | 19 | 222 | 30 | 4 | 154 | -10 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 259 | 559 | 37 | 347 | 33 | 10 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 106 | 96 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 135 | 210 | 198 | 407 | 62 | 183 | 33 | 8 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 27 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 296 | 348 | 644 | 174 | 246 | 37 | 15 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 130 | 116 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 207 | 270 | 259 | 528 | 52 | 304 | 31 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 130 | 110 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 255 | 349 | 318 | 667 | 64 | 329 | 22 | 12 | 301 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 467 | 419 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 104 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 205 | 270 | 258 | 527 | 53 | 265 | 22 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 467 | 402 | 92 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 74 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 229 | 320 | 296 | 616 | 67 | 272 | 16 | 12 | 281 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 555 | 518 | 125 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 90 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 241 | 280 | 309 | 589 | 68 | 287 | 16 | 5 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 555 | 502 | 124 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 72 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 247 | 308 | 319 | 626 | 72 | 283 | 13 | 8 | 282 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 411 | 383 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 68 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 217 | 261 | 274 | 535 | 57 | 260 | 17 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 411 | 372 | 83 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 55 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 223 | 288 | 293 | 581 | 70 | 256 | 13 | 8 | 264 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 404 | 365 | 91 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 85 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 249 | 310 | 364 | 674 | 115 | 308 | 21 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 404 | 356 | 95 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 72 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 267 | 343 | 399 | 741 | 132 | 315 | 18 | 10 | 328 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 350 | 90 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 94 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 257 | 305 | 369 | 673 | 111 | 341 | 25 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 375 | 342 | 101 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 81 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 356 | 442 | 797 | 146 | 373 | 22 | 8 | 354 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 249 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 221 | 273 | 313 | 587 | 92 | 302 | 28 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 272 | 244 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 64 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 242 | 307 | 352 | 660 | 111 | 309 | 24 | 8 | 293 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 57 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 173 | 358 | 19 | 222 | 30 | 4 | 154 | -10 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 57 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 173 | 358 | 19 | 222 | 30 | 4 | 158 | -10 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 259 | 559 | 37 | 353 | 33 | 10 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | St. Paul Saints | — | 30 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 269 | 367 | 308 | 674 | 38 | 389 | 27 | 13 | 317 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 235 | 208 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 79 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 139 | 228 | 226 | 454 | 87 | 198 | 34 | 9 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 235 | 196 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 44 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 240 | 358 | 398 | 756 | 158 | 274 | 19 | 14 | 339 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 130 | 119 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 202 | 270 | 252 | 522 | 50 | 278 | 31 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 467 | 427 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 104 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 201 | 270 | 253 | 523 | 52 | 256 | 22 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 555 | 522 | 125 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 90 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 239 | 280 | 307 | 587 | 67 | 280 | 16 | 5 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 411 | 385 | 83 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 68 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 216 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 57 | 257 | 17 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 404 | 369 | 91 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 85 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 247 | 310 | 360 | 670 | 114 | 302 | 21 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 348 | 90 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 94 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 259 | 305 | 371 | 676 | 112 | 343 | 25 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 252 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 218 | 273 | 310 | 583 | 91 | 293 | 28 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 57 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 185 | 164 | 349 | 18 | 222 | 30 | 4 | 154 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 259 | 559 | 37 | 347 | 33 | 10 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 235 | 209 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 79 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 139 | 228 | 225 | 453 | 86 | 196 | 34 | 9 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 218 | 193 | 43 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 223 | 299 | 316 | 615 | 93 | 309 | 26 | 10 | 277 | 57 | -7 | -1 | -3 | +7 | +5 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 128 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 63 | 170 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 223 | 299 | 317 | 616 | 94 | 309 | 26 | 10 | 277 | 57 | -21 | -2 | -10 | +21 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2936 | 2687 | 597 | 100 | 23 | 21 | 197 | 663 | 4 | 88 | 39 | 222 | 276 | 300 | 576 | 78 | 285 | 23 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -7 | -1 | -3 | +7 | +5 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 132 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 147 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 222 | 277 | 301 | 577 | 79 | 284 | 23 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -21 | -2 | -10 | +21 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAASyracuse Mets · 106 PAwOBA .232 → .183 (−49)K% 26.4% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.42% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.26% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.06% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 13.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.10% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 91, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .232 → .183; ISO .098 → .071; BABIP .194 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ASt. Lucie Mets · 27 PAwOBA .371 → .261 (−111)K% 25.9% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.93% | ÷0.959 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.081 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 13.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 17.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 5.66% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 110, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 92, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .371 → .261; ISO .190 → .145; BABIP .308 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASt. Paul Saints · 30 PAwOBA .309 → .250 (−59)K% 26.7% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 30.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.121 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .309 → .250; ISO .038 → .031; BABIP .389 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 250 PAwOBA .291 → .258 (−32)K% 23.2% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.20% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.40% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.49% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 22.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.63% | ÷0.896 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.038 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 91, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .291 → .258; ISO .112 → .098; BABIP .311 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 302 PAwOBA .349 → .291 (−58)K% 21.2% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.19% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.28% | ÷1.082 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.974 | ×1.048 | 25.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.39% | ÷1.067 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.048 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.974 | ×1.048 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.342 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.54% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 168, 1B 100, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .349 → .291; ISO .141 → .107; BABIP .385 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 184 PAwOBA .372 → .321 (−51)K% 14.7% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.67% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.87% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.48% | ÷0.984 | ×0.970 | ×0.952 | ×1.027 | 22.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.085 | ×0.860 | ×0.952 | ×1.027 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.010 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | ×1.027 | 2.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.79% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 102, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .372 → .321; ISO .189 → .157; BABIP .333 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 154 PAwOBA .263 → .238 (−25)K% 18.2% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.937 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.24% | ÷0.987 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×1.050 | 20.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.42% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.050 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.050 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.77% | ÷1.106 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.41% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .263 → .238; ISO .092 → .079; BABIP .270 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 411 PAwOBA .258 → .239 (−19)K% 13.4% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.38% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.27% | ÷1.050 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.82% | ÷1.040 | ×0.970 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.15% | ÷0.997 | ×0.860 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 2.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.58% | ÷1.031 | ×0.950 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.371 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.37% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 108, 2B 99, 3B 106, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .258 → .239; ISO .070 → .062; BABIP .256 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .