Darius HillOF
Iowa Cubs
Age 28
L/L
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .287 / .328
PA220
HR2
K%23
BB%6
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
46→46
PWR
33→33
SPD
45→45
EYE
43→43
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-12M | $-17M | -$5M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 131 | 123 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .211 | .248 | .309 | .557 | .098 | .226 | 11 | 5 | .226 | 31 | -10 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 306 | 291 | 74 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 72 | 1 | 3 | 2 | .254 | .286 | .320 | .606 | .065 | .324 | 24 | 4 | .269 | 64 | -12 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | 2 teams | 574 | 540 | 152 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 97 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .281 | .316 | .400 | .716 | .119 | .328 | 17 | 4 | .311 | 96 | -3 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 1.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 372 | 344 | 82 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 66 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .238 | .292 | .328 | .620 | .090 | .290 | 18 | 6 | .272 | 66 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 392 | 361 | 87 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 84 | 1 | 3 | 6 | .241 | .288 | .319 | .607 | .078 | .302 | 21 | 6 | .264 | 60 | -18 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 209 | 192 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .182 | .245 | .286 | .532 | .104 | .250 | 30 | 6 | .230 | 34 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 220 | 202 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .238 | .294 | .332 | .625 | .094 | .298 | 23 | 6 | .279 | 72 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | CHC | 262 | 241 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 60 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .228 | .285 | .324 | .608 | .095 | .297 | 23 | 6 | .281 | 73 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | CHC | 301 | 276 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .236 | .292 | .344 | .636 | .109 | .295 | 23 | 7 | .281 | 74 | -9 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | CHC | 298 | 274 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .234 | .291 | .343 | .634 | .109 | .294 | 23 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -9 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | CHC | 287 | 263 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .224 | .284 | .316 | .600 | .091 | .293 | 24 | 7 | .276 | 70 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 70% | CHC | 262 | 240 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .225 | .285 | .321 | .605 | .096 | .291 | 25 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 87% | CHC | 222 | 203 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .277 | .300 | .578 | .084 | .290 | 26 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -10 | +0 | -5 | -1 | +6 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3836 | 3550 | 845 | 174 | 20 | 42 | 223 | 837 | 27 | 24 | 18 | .238 | .288 | .334 | .622 | .096 | .298 | 22 | 6 | .275 | 69 | -136 | -2 | -19 | -23 | +109 | -7.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 602 | 142 | 29 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 142 | 5 | 4 | 3 | .236 | .287 | .329 | .616 | .093 | .296 | 22 | 6 | .275 | 69 | -23 | -0 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | South Bend Cubs | 94 | 85 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .224 | .283 | .306 | .588 | .082 | .237 | 9 | 7 | .264 | 60 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .306 | .324 | .472 | .797 | .167 | .312 | 8 | 3 | .349 | 125 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 274 | 249 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .277 | .338 | .357 | .696 | .080 | .323 | 17 | 8 | .315 | 99 | -0 | -0 | — | — | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 32 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .375 | .375 | .469 | .844 | .094 | .480 | 22 | 0 | .375 | 145 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 373 | 343 | 109 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 53 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .318 | .362 | .434 | .797 | .117 | .364 | 14 | 6 | .350 | 126 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 201 | 185 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | .308 | .360 | .486 | .846 | .178 | .329 | 12 | 6 | .372 | 143 | +10 | -0 | — | — | +6 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 372 | 334 | 91 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .272 | .343 | .377 | .720 | .105 | .322 | 15 | 9 | .325 | 107 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 392 | 352 | 94 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 70 | 1 | 3 | 6 | .267 | .327 | .355 | .682 | .088 | .322 | 18 | 8 | .304 | 91 | -4 | -2 | — | — | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 114 | 99 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .212 | .310 | .323 | .633 | .111 | .270 | 22 | 11 | .290 | 80 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 95 | 87 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .184 | .253 | .299 | .551 | .115 | .230 | 25 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Darius Hill (OGILVIE) | 28 | 46 | 33 | 45 | 43 | .233/.287/.328 | .096 | .298 | 2 | 2 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Marcus Lemon 2016 · AAA |
28 | 46→53 | 39→40 | 42→45 | 40 | .221/.265/.311 | .089 | .290 | 6 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .214/.265/.296 | .082 | .287 | 5 | 6 | 26% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .197/.253/.255 | .058 | .267 | 2 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 35 | -1.5 |
|
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA |
28 | 45→48 | 40 | 47→45 | 44 | .218/.272/.310 | .092 | .278 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .201/.260/.284 | .083 | .288 | 7 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .153/.218/.207 | .054 | .226 | 5 | 0 | 33% | 6% | 9 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ricardo Gastelum 2012 · AAA |
28 | 49 | 40 | 47→40 | 44 | .234/.279/.324 | .090 | .283 | 7 | 7 | 20% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.273/.337 | .118 | .279 | 12 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .201/.259/.330 | .129 | .255 | 13 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 57 | -0.3 |
|
✕Beau Amaral 2019 · AAA |
28 | 45→52 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 42 | .216/.265/.294 | .077 | .281 | 5 | 10 | 25% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .218/.268/.320 | .102 | .279 | 10 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .204/.257/.322 | .118 | .245 | 14 | 10 | 22% | 5% | 56 | -0.3 |
|
✕Carlos Penuelas 2015 · AAA |
27 | 49 | 39→30 | 42→50 | 45 | .234/.285/.316 | .082 | .288 | 6 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .249/.290/.314 | .065 | .302 | 5 | 11 | 18% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .257/.294/.300 | .043 | .307 | 3 | 9 | 17% | 4% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Irving Lopez 2023 · AAA |
28 | 43→50 | 40→45 | 50→40 | 44 | .209/.272/.300 | .091 | .268 | 7 | 8 | 24% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .223/.296/.342 | .119 | .284 | 12 | 6 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .221/.304/.350 | .129 | .281 | 13 | 0 | 25% | 9% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Christian Herrera 2010 · AAA |
28 | 47 | 38→40 | 47→45 | 45 | .223/.277/.302 | .080 | .280 | 5 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .231/.278/.322 | .091 | .305 | 7 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .228/.277/.314 | .086 | .308 | 6 | 10 | 27% | 4% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Preston Beck 2019 · AAA |
28 | 43 | 42→45 | 42→45 | 42 | .215/.264/.319 | .105 | .272 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .215/.271/.329 | .114 | .283 | 11 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .208/.270/.325 | .117 | .273 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 61 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jose Salazar 2012 · AAA |
28 | 49 | 39→40 | 44→45 | 45 | .233/.271/.313 | .080 | .268 | 6 | 8 | 16% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .237/.271/.322 | .085 | .297 | 6 | 7 | 21% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .235/.267/.304 | .069 | .301 | 4 | 5 | 23% | 4% | 52 | -0.7 |
|
✕Emerson Frostad 2011 · AAA |
28 | 45→47 | 41→50 | 43→40 | 46 | .217/.271/.317 | .100 | .271 | 7 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .216/.270/.316 | .100 | .269 | 9 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .195/.255/.281 | .086 | .240 | 9 | 2 | 22% | 8% | 43 | -0.7 |
|
✕Drew Meyer 2010 · AAA |
28 | 50→56 | 38→40 | 48→50 | 48 | .236/.290/.320 | .084 | .288 | 5 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .229/.284/.323 | .094 | .288 | 7 | 8 | 21% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .207/.266/.288 | .081 | .263 | 5 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 50 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chuckie Caufield 2011 · AA |
28 | 47→49 | 40→45 | 47→50 | 42 | .224/.278/.312 | .089 | .290 | 7 | 6 | 25% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .232/.291/.353 | .121 | .313 | 10 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .229/.290/.366 | .136 | .310 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Daniel Nunez 2009 · AAA |
27 | 46→51 | 40→30 | 46→50 | 42 | .219/.280/.304 | .086 | .300 | 7 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .215/.272/.308 | .093 | .299 | 8 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .247/.326/.322 | .075 | .314 | 4 | 14 | 21% | 7% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Ian Sagdal 2021 · AA |
28 | 49→55 | 41→45 | 45 | 43 | .237/.281/.342 | .105 | .298 | 8 | 5 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .219/.274/.334 | .115 | .310 | 12 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .185/.242/.284 | .100 | .267 | 16 | 0 | 36% | 6% | 37 | -0.5 |
|
✕Tom Belza 2016 · AAA |
27 | 49→57 | 39→45 | 45 | 42 | .231/.281/.317 | .086 | .310 | 6 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.263/.299 | .087 | .304 | 5 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .199/.247/.273 | .074 | .292 | 2 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 37 | -0.9 |
|
✕Alan Sanchez 2017 · AAA |
28 | 53→59 | 37→40 | 48→50 | 44 | .249/.290/.324 | .075 | .306 | 4 | 11 | 20% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .254/.287/.343 | .089 | .303 | 7 | 10 | 18% | 4% | 74 | -0.1 | .260/.287/.348 | .087 | .305 | 9 | 8 | 17% | 3% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Joey Wong 2016 · AAA |
28 | 46→48 | 37→40 | 46→45 | 42 | .218/.263/.294 | .076 | .280 | 3 | 8 | 23% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .215/.285/.280 | .065 | .281 | 4 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .206/.291/.261 | .054 | .271 | 4 | 1 | 23% | 9% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕BJ Boyd 2021 · AAA |
28 | 49→55 | 39→45 | 48→50 | 43 | .236/.279/.321 | .086 | .291 | 7 | 10 | 21% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .258/.310/.408 | .150 | .313 | 17 | 12 | 22% | 6% | 102 | +1.9 | .271/.326/.421 | .150 | .325 | 17 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 109 | +1.3 |
|
✕Hector Hernandez 2011 · AAA |
28 | 52→51 | 38→40 | 47→50 | 45 | .247/.280/.329 | .082 | .277 | 5 | 8 | 13% | 4% | 67 | -0.5 | .252/.278/.336 | .084 | .285 | 5 | 8 | 13% | 3% | 68 | -0.5 | .268/.303/.323 | .055 | .304 | 3 | 3 | 13% | 4% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Blake Davis 2012 · MLB |
28 | 46→56 | 40 | 45→50 | 42 | .222/.262/.314 | .093 | .273 | 8 | 10 | 22% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .224/.258/.311 | .087 | .281 | 6 | 9 | 22% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .218/.248/.293 | .076 | .275 | 3 | 7 | 21% | 4% | 41 | -1.3 |