Joey Wong
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 493 | .217/.322/.299 | 2 | 4 | 52 | — | .193/.273/.245 |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA/AASEA | 515 | .239/.360/.291 | 3 | 0 | 60 | — | .220/.306/.267 |
| 2018 | 30 | AANYM | 113 | .213/.339/.362 | 3 | 0 | 58 | — | .180/.268/.290 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 319 | 273 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 223 | 300 | 311 | 612 | 88 | 267 | 18 | 8 | 268 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 412 | 360 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 61 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 286 | 353 | 408 | 762 | 122 | 329 | 15 | 7 | 332 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 100 | 89 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 247 | 316 | 337 | 653 | 90 | 280 | 14 | 6 | 293 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 61 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 250 | 300 | 393 | 693 | 143 | 311 | 18 | 7 | 300 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 318 | 279 | 67 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 55 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 240 | 305 | 330 | 635 | 90 | 291 | 17 | 6 | 279 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 198 | 169 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 290 | 381 | 385 | 766 | 95 | 320 | 10 | 10 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 287 | 258 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 221 | 287 | 298 | 586 | 78 | 273 | 19 | 8 | 264 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 221 | 183 | 55 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 301 | 403 | 399 | 802 | 98 | 333 | 11 | 14 | 357 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 65 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 222 | 311 | 534 | 115 | 255 | 23 | 3 | 228 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 190 | 164 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 287 | 357 | 354 | 711 | 67 | 336 | 13 | 8 | 312 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 312 | 258 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 345 | 302 | 648 | 70 | 284 | 17 | 13 | 297 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 181 | 157 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 191 | 282 | 293 | 575 | 102 | 221 | 15 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 42 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 111 | 241 | 14 | 14 | 309 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 473 | 390 | 94 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 66 | 79 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 362 | 287 | 649 | 46 | 295 | 17 | 14 | 304 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 113 | 94 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 339 | 362 | 701 | 149 | 262 | 23 | 14 | 320 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 319 | 285 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 80 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 196 | 244 | 263 | 507 | 67 | 238 | 25 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 412 | 372 | 89 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 87 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 239 | 291 | 323 | 613 | 83 | 285 | 21 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 100 | 91 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 231 | 286 | 319 | 604 | 88 | 257 | 19 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 61 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 207 | 233 | 310 | 544 | 103 | 285 | 26 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 318 | 286 | 64 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 224 | 272 | 301 | 573 | 77 | 270 | 21 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 287 | 266 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 66 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 245 | 263 | 508 | 64 | 253 | 23 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 65 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 175 | 258 | 433 | 97 | 223 | 31 | 2 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 190 | 168 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 280 | 335 | 339 | 674 | 60 | 318 | 16 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 312 | 274 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 71 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 193 | 273 | 245 | 518 | 51 | 246 | 23 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 42 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 262 | 289 | 551 | 105 | 213 | 19 | 10 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 473 | 412 | 92 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 99 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 310 | 265 | 575 | 41 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 113 | 100 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 268 | 290 | 558 | 110 | 242 | 28 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 319 | 285 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 80 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 196 | 244 | 263 | 507 | 67 | 261 | 25 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 319 | 273 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 223 | 300 | 311 | 612 | 88 | 267 | 18 | 8 | 268 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 412 | 372 | 89 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 87 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 239 | 291 | 323 | 613 | 83 | 300 | 21 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 412 | 360 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 61 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 286 | 353 | 408 | 762 | 122 | 329 | 15 | 7 | 332 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 148 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 223 | 272 | 318 | 590 | 95 | 281 | 21 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 161 | 145 | 36 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 248 | 310 | 359 | 669 | 110 | 292 | 16 | 6 | 296 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 467 | 104 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 109 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 223 | 273 | 300 | 572 | 77 | 286 | 21 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 516 | 448 | 116 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 75 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 259 | 335 | 350 | 685 | 92 | 303 | 15 | 7 | 304 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 470 | 95 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 117 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 202 | 247 | 272 | 519 | 70 | 261 | 23 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 508 | 441 | 112 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 79 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 254 | 337 | 340 | 677 | 86 | 299 | 16 | 11 | 304 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 230 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 248 | 294 | 317 | 611 | 70 | 315 | 20 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 255 | 225 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 39 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 262 | 322 | 342 | 665 | 80 | 316 | 15 | 7 | 291 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 433 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 112 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 194 | 274 | 242 | 517 | 48 | 255 | 23 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 493 | 415 | 90 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 59 | 79 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 217 | 322 | 299 | 621 | 82 | 260 | 16 | 12 | 284 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 450 | 98 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 106 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 304 | 258 | 562 | 40 | 278 | 21 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 515 | 426 | 102 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 72 | 85 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 360 | 291 | 651 | 52 | 290 | 17 | 14 | 305 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 113 | 100 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 268 | 290 | 558 | 110 | 242 | 28 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AA RAW | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 113 | 94 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 339 | 362 | 701 | 149 | 262 | 23 | 14 | 320 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 319 | 298 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 80 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 188 | 244 | 252 | 496 | 64 | 238 | 25 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 412 | 382 | 89 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 87 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 233 | 291 | 314 | 605 | 81 | 285 | 21 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 150 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 220 | 272 | 313 | 585 | 93 | 268 | 21 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 479 | 104 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 109 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 217 | 273 | 292 | 565 | 75 | 270 | 21 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 475 | 95 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 117 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 200 | 247 | 269 | 516 | 69 | 253 | 23 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 238 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 239 | 294 | 307 | 601 | 67 | 294 | 20 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 442 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 112 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 190 | 274 | 238 | 512 | 48 | 246 | 23 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 454 | 98 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 106 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 304 | 256 | 560 | 40 | 271 | 21 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 113 | 100 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 268 | 290 | 558 | 110 | 242 | 28 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3292 | 2955 | 634 | 117 | 17 | 16 | 197 | 727 | 49 | 45 | 35 | 215 | 275 | 282 | 557 | 67 | 277 | 22 | 6 | 243 | 51 | -193 | -5 | +0 | +35 | +71 | -9.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 125 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 144 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 214 | 275 | 280 | 555 | 65 | 277 | 22 | 6 | 243 | 51 | -38 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 113 PAwOBA .312 → .254 (−58)K% 23.0% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.01% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.16% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 9.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×0.948 | 16.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷0.906 | ×0.860 | ×1.033 | ×0.948 | 6.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.134 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.013 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 3.22% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 127, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .312 → .254; ISO .149 → .121; BABIP .262 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 473 PAwOBA .299 → .258 (−42)K% 16.7% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.70% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 9.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.05% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.958 | 24.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.22% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.958 | 2.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.958 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.024 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 0.48% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .299 → .258; ISO .046 → .039; BABIP .295 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAATacoma Rainiers · 42 PAwOBA .302 → .247 (−55)K% 14.3% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.028 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 10.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.982 | 18.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.988 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 2.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 2.65% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .302 → .247; ISO .111 → .089; BABIP .241 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 312 PAwOBA .291 → .235 (−56)K% 16.7% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.948 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.14% | ÷1.083 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.33% | ÷1.032 | ×0.900 | ×1.033 | ×0.992 | 19.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷1.050 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×0.992 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×0.992 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.202 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.31% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .291 → .235; ISO .070 → .054; BABIP .284 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 190 PAwOBA .305 → .285 (−20)K% 12.6% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.63% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 25.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.86% | ÷1.016 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 6.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.133 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .305 → .285; ISO .067 → .061; BABIP .336 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 65 PAwOBA .225 → .182 (−43)K% 23.1% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷0.960 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.08% | ÷1.056 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 2.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.22% | ÷1.010 | ×0.900 | ×1.024 | ×1.003 | 13.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.075 | ×0.810 | ×1.024 | ×1.003 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.933 | ×0.810 | ×1.024 | ×1.003 | 3.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.105 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 102, 2B 115, 3B 87, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .225 → .182; ISO .115 → .091; BABIP .255 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATulsa Drillers · 287 PAwOBA .260 → .225 (−35)K% 18.8% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.82% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.36% | ÷1.038 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.10% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 19.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.37% | ÷1.087 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.901 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.43% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .260 → .225; ISO .078 → .068; BABIP .273 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AATulsa Drillers · 318 PAwOBA .270 → .247 (−23)K% 17.3% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.30% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.03% | ÷0.967 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.98% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 19.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷0.911 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.239 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 110, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .270 → .247; ISO .090 → .082; BABIP .291 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .