James Beresford
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 25 | AAAWSH | 556 | .276/.325/.351 | 2 | 7 | 72 | — | .267/.298/.332 | |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 579 | .306/.342/.357 | 1 | 4 | 90 | — | .306/.334/.354 | |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 585 | .268/.330/.316 | 0 | 2 | 71 | — | .262/.308/.296 | |
| 2016 | 27 | MLBMIN | 24 | .227/.261/.273 | 0 | 0 | 44 | -1.2 | ||
| 2017 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 158 | 139 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 288 | 349 | 302 | 651 | 14 | 345 | 15 | 8 | 292 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 211 | 179 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 246 | 345 | 285 | 630 | 39 | 306 | 17 | 12 | 291 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 505 | 450 | 130 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 70 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 289 | 343 | 313 | 656 | 24 | 341 | 14 | 7 | 293 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 540 | 491 | 146 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 56 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 297 | 350 | 363 | 713 | 65 | 333 | 10 | 6 | 319 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 55 | 52 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 404 | 436 | 519 | 956 | 115 | 438 | 7 | 4 | 426 | 174 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 545 | 485 | 131 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 270 | 332 | 299 | 631 | 29 | 306 | 12 | 8 | 285 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 413 | 369 | 98 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 331 | 314 | 645 | 49 | 309 | 13 | 8 | 292 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 72 | 67 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 324 | 343 | 667 | 60 | 317 | 10 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 222 | 198 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 298 | 356 | 343 | 700 | 45 | 347 | 13 | 7 | 313 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 181 | 160 | 50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 312 | 375 | 344 | 719 | 31 | 355 | 12 | 8 | 323 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 556 | 507 | 140 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 75 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 276 | 325 | 351 | 676 | 75 | 318 | 13 | 6 | 300 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 536 | 498 | 153 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 307 | 345 | 359 | 705 | 52 | 341 | 11 | 5 | 314 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 43 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 286 | 302 | 333 | 636 | 48 | 300 | 5 | 0 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 312 | 25 | 4 | 233 | 44 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -11 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 516 | 465 | 125 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 43 | 78 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 332 | 312 | 644 | 43 | 321 | 15 | 8 | 293 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 69 | 64 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 319 | 344 | 663 | 78 | 304 | 12 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 312 | 25 | 4 | 233 | 44 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -11 | +1 | -1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 158 | 143 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 252 | 296 | 266 | 562 | 14 | 302 | 21 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 211 | 188 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 207 | 277 | 239 | 516 | 32 | 267 | 24 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 505 | 460 | 129 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 280 | 320 | 302 | 623 | 22 | 337 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 540 | 501 | 141 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 76 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 281 | 322 | 337 | 659 | 56 | 320 | 14 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 545 | 496 | 123 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 94 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 248 | 296 | 278 | 574 | 30 | 292 | 17 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 413 | 380 | 101 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 66 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 311 | 311 | 622 | 45 | 313 | 16 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 222 | 203 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 296 | 338 | 340 | 678 | 44 | 341 | 16 | 5 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 181 | 164 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 323 | 369 | 354 | 723 | 30 | 364 | 14 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 556 | 521 | 139 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 90 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 267 | 298 | 332 | 630 | 65 | 309 | 16 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 536 | 506 | 155 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 306 | 334 | 354 | 688 | 47 | 341 | 12 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 312 | 25 | 4 | 233 | 44 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -11 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 516 | 477 | 125 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 93 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 308 | 296 | 604 | 34 | 319 | 18 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 158 | 143 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 252 | 296 | 266 | 562 | 14 | 327 | 21 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 158 | 139 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 288 | 349 | 302 | 651 | 14 | 345 | 15 | 8 | 292 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 211 | 188 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 207 | 277 | 239 | 516 | 32 | 283 | 24 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK RAW | Elizabethton Twins | — | 211 | 179 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 246 | 345 | 285 | 630 | 39 | 306 | 17 | 12 | 291 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 505 | 460 | 129 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 280 | 320 | 302 | 623 | 22 | 352 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A RAW | Beloit Snappers | — | 505 | 450 | 130 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 70 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 289 | 343 | 313 | 656 | 24 | 341 | 14 | 7 | 293 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 553 | 155 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 83 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 280 | 321 | 336 | 657 | 56 | 327 | 14 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 595 | 543 | 167 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 36 | 60 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 308 | 358 | 378 | 736 | 70 | 343 | 10 | 6 | 329 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 545 | 496 | 123 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 94 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 248 | 296 | 278 | 574 | 30 | 301 | 17 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 545 | 485 | 131 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 270 | 332 | 299 | 631 | 29 | 306 | 12 | 8 | 285 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 446 | 118 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 77 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 265 | 311 | 309 | 620 | 45 | 319 | 16 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 485 | 436 | 117 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 60 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 268 | 330 | 319 | 649 | 50 | 310 | 12 | 8 | 293 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 367 | 113 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 308 | 352 | 346 | 698 | 38 | 366 | 15 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 403 | 358 | 109 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 51 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 304 | 365 | 344 | 708 | 39 | 350 | 13 | 7 | 317 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 556 | 521 | 139 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 90 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 267 | 298 | 332 | 630 | 65 | 316 | 16 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 556 | 507 | 140 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 75 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 276 | 325 | 351 | 676 | 75 | 318 | 13 | 6 | 300 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 546 | 168 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 72 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 308 | 337 | 355 | 692 | 48 | 349 | 12 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 579 | 540 | 165 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 59 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 306 | 342 | 357 | 700 | 52 | 337 | 10 | 5 | 312 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 609 | 564 | 148 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 112 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 308 | 300 | 607 | 37 | 325 | 18 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 609 | 551 | 147 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 49 | 92 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 328 | 314 | 642 | 47 | 318 | 15 | 8 | 292 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 158 | 148 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 243 | 296 | 257 | 553 | 14 | 302 | 21 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 211 | 191 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 204 | 277 | 236 | 512 | 31 | 267 | 24 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 505 | 473 | 129 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 273 | 320 | 294 | 614 | 21 | 337 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 557 | 155 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 83 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 278 | 321 | 334 | 655 | 56 | 320 | 14 | 4 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 545 | 506 | 123 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 94 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 243 | 296 | 273 | 569 | 30 | 292 | 17 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 452 | 118 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 77 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 261 | 311 | 305 | 616 | 44 | 313 | 16 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 375 | 113 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 301 | 352 | 339 | 691 | 37 | 351 | 15 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 556 | 528 | 139 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 90 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 263 | 298 | 328 | 625 | 64 | 309 | 16 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 550 | 168 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 72 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 305 | 337 | 353 | 690 | 47 | 341 | 12 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 609 | 567 | 148 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 112 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 308 | 298 | 606 | 37 | 319 | 18 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 45 | 312 | 25 | 4 | 233 | 72 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -11 | +1 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 135 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 260 | 272 | 532 | 45 | 311 | 25 | 4 | 233 | 72 | -43 | +0 | +12 | -295 | +14 | -31.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4646 | 4284 | 1168 | 129 | 19 | 4 | 237 | 768 | 23 | 68 | 52 | 273 | 314 | 314 | 629 | 42 | 329 | 17 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -11 | +1 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 164 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 107 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 274 | 314 | 319 | 633 | 45 | 329 | 16 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -43 | +0 | +12 | -295 | +14 | -31.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 516 PAwOBA .288 → .270 (−18)K% 15.1% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.12% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 28.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.62% | ÷1.224 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 2.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .288 → .270; ISO .043 → .035; BABIP .321 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 536 PAwOBA .310 → .302 (−8)K% 10.6% → 12.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.63% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.48% | ÷0.979 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 29.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.23% | ÷0.932 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.23% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.20% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .310 → .302; ISO .052 → .049; BABIP .341 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAARochester Red Wings · 556 PAwOBA .294 → .274 (−20)K% 13.5% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.49% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.29% | ÷1.125 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 24.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.48% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.075 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.37% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .294 → .274; ISO .075 → .067; BABIP .318 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARochester Red Wings · 222 PAwOBA .306 → .293 (−13)K% 13.1% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.06% | ÷0.987 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.18% | ÷1.040 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 29.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.14% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 3.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .306 → .293; ISO .045 → .046; BABIP .347 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 181 PAwOBA .320 → .318 (−1)K% 12.2% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.15% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.73% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.61% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 33.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.62% | ÷0.963 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 3.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.897 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .320 → .318; ISO .031 → .031; BABIP .355 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 413 PAwOBA .285 → .273 (−13)K% 12.8% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.83% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.27% | ÷1.015 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 27.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.80% | ÷1.067 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.981 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.811 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 103, 2B 113, 3B 96, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .285 → .273; ISO .049 → .046; BABIP .309 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 545 PAwOBA .281 → .256 (−25)K% 11.6% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.56% | ÷0.955 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷1.017 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 5.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.96% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 26.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.84% | ÷0.910 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 3.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.24% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 108, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .281 → .256; ISO .029 → .031; BABIP .306 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ABeloit Snappers · 540 PAwOBA .312 → .285 (−27)K% 10.4% → 14.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.37% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 13.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.30% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 27.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 3.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.23% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.19% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .312 → .285; ISO .065 → .056; BABIP .333 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .