Marcus Lemon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 376 | .256/.321/.393 | 8 | 5 | 79 | — | .197/.243/.275 |
| 2015 | 27 | AACWS | 299 | .268/.322/.366 | 3 | 3 | 62 | — | .244/.283/.325 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA/AACWS | 325 | .219/.300/.288 | 1 | 1 | 42 | — | .209/.265/.272 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 101 | 84 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 310 | 420 | 405 | 825 | 95 | 351 | 10 | 16 | 373 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 535 | 460 | 120 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 100 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 261 | 355 | 363 | 718 | 102 | 323 | 19 | 10 | 324 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 517 | 447 | 132 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 69 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 295 | 374 | 434 | 808 | 139 | 335 | 13 | 9 | 353 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 510 | 451 | 118 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 70 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 262 | 327 | 333 | 660 | 71 | 306 | 14 | 8 | 293 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 516 | 468 | 127 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 82 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 271 | 327 | 355 | 682 | 83 | 320 | 16 | 7 | 304 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 172 | 162 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 278 | 302 | 581 | 56 | 303 | 17 | 3 | 258 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 200 | 177 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 260 | 325 | 362 | 686 | 102 | 289 | 12 | 8 | 302 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 319 | 281 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 40 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 324 | 389 | 445 | 834 | 121 | 368 | 13 | 9 | 364 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 329 | 294 | 71 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 63 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 241 | 307 | 327 | 634 | 85 | 303 | 19 | 8 | 283 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 59 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 132 | 220 | 151 | 371 | 19 | 175 | 22 | 10 | 185 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 176 | 159 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 252 | 308 | 377 | 685 | 126 | 294 | 18 | 7 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 141 | 124 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 315 | 380 | 516 | 896 | 202 | 337 | 13 | 9 | 383 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 299 | 265 | 71 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 268 | 322 | 366 | 688 | 98 | 332 | 20 | 5 | 297 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 58 | 51 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 211 | 157 | 367 | 39 | 143 | 16 | 9 | 180 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 267 | 227 | 55 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 55 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 320 | 317 | 637 | 75 | 312 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 101 | 90 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 256 | 330 | 333 | 663 | 78 | 301 | 14 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 535 | 476 | 113 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 40 | 136 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 237 | 311 | 324 | 635 | 86 | 314 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 517 | 459 | 125 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 93 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 272 | 336 | 394 | 730 | 122 | 315 | 18 | 7 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 510 | 463 | 119 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 85 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 257 | 305 | 324 | 629 | 67 | 300 | 17 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 516 | 480 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 99 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 254 | 294 | 327 | 621 | 73 | 306 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 172 | 164 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 249 | 280 | 529 | 55 | 286 | 22 | 2 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 200 | 183 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 246 | 289 | 333 | 622 | 87 | 277 | 16 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 319 | 288 | 83 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 56 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 288 | 341 | 389 | 730 | 101 | 341 | 18 | 7 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 329 | 302 | 69 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 77 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 228 | 276 | 308 | 584 | 79 | 295 | 23 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 59 | 55 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 127 | 186 | 145 | 332 | 18 | 168 | 25 | 7 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 176 | 163 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 221 | 262 | 319 | 581 | 98 | 262 | 21 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 299 | 271 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 75 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 244 | 283 | 325 | 608 | 81 | 305 | 25 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 58 | 53 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 175 | 151 | 326 | 38 | 128 | 17 | 5 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 267 | 235 | 54 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 68 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 285 | 298 | 582 | 68 | 290 | 25 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 101 | 90 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 256 | 330 | 333 | 663 | 78 | 303 | 14 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 101 | 84 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 310 | 420 | 405 | 825 | 95 | 351 | 10 | 16 | 373 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 535 | 476 | 113 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 40 | 136 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 237 | 311 | 324 | 635 | 86 | 324 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 535 | 460 | 120 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 100 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 261 | 355 | 363 | 718 | 102 | 323 | 19 | 10 | 324 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 517 | 459 | 125 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 93 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 272 | 336 | 394 | 730 | 122 | 327 | 18 | 7 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ RAW | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 517 | 447 | 132 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 69 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 295 | 374 | 434 | 808 | 139 | 335 | 13 | 9 | 353 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 510 | 463 | 119 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 85 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 257 | 305 | 324 | 629 | 67 | 311 | 17 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 510 | 451 | 118 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 70 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 262 | 327 | 333 | 660 | 71 | 306 | 14 | 8 | 293 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 516 | 480 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 99 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 254 | 294 | 327 | 621 | 73 | 313 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 516 | 468 | 127 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 82 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 271 | 327 | 355 | 682 | 83 | 320 | 16 | 7 | 304 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 348 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 239 | 270 | 313 | 583 | 75 | 292 | 19 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 372 | 339 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 254 | 303 | 333 | 636 | 80 | 296 | 14 | 6 | 282 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 319 | 288 | 83 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 56 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 288 | 341 | 389 | 730 | 101 | 351 | 18 | 7 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 319 | 281 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 40 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 324 | 389 | 445 | 834 | 121 | 368 | 13 | 9 | 364 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 329 | 302 | 69 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 77 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 228 | 276 | 308 | 584 | 79 | 302 | 23 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 329 | 294 | 71 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 63 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 241 | 307 | 327 | 634 | 85 | 303 | 19 | 8 | 283 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 376 | 346 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 197 | 245 | 277 | 522 | 81 | 247 | 22 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 376 | 336 | 86 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 62 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 256 | 321 | 393 | 714 | 137 | 292 | 16 | 8 | 314 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 299 | 271 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 75 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 244 | 283 | 325 | 608 | 81 | 325 | 25 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 299 | 265 | 71 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 268 | 322 | 366 | 688 | 98 | 332 | 20 | 5 | 297 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 287 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 78 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 265 | 265 | 529 | 59 | 276 | 24 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 325 | 278 | 61 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 64 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 300 | 288 | 588 | 68 | 279 | 20 | 8 | 261 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 101 | 90 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 256 | 330 | 333 | 663 | 78 | 301 | 14 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 535 | 479 | 113 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 40 | 136 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 236 | 311 | 322 | 633 | 86 | 314 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 517 | 468 | 125 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 93 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 267 | 336 | 387 | 723 | 120 | 315 | 18 | 7 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 510 | 473 | 119 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 85 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 252 | 305 | 317 | 622 | 66 | 300 | 17 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 516 | 484 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 99 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 252 | 294 | 324 | 618 | 72 | 306 | 19 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 354 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 234 | 270 | 308 | 578 | 73 | 281 | 19 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 319 | 293 | 83 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 56 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 283 | 341 | 382 | 723 | 99 | 341 | 18 | 7 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 329 | 306 | 69 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 77 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 225 | 276 | 304 | 580 | 78 | 295 | 23 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 376 | 351 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 194 | 245 | 274 | 518 | 80 | 238 | 22 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 299 | 282 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 75 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 234 | 283 | 312 | 595 | 78 | 305 | 25 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 299 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 78 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 265 | 254 | 519 | 57 | 261 | 24 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4199 | 3810 | 930 | 165 | 38 | 25 | 237 | 866 | 45 | 78 | 56 | 244 | 296 | 327 | 623 | 83 | 308 | 21 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -156 | -7 | +0 | +45 | +91 | -2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 145 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 134 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 246 | 299 | 331 | 629 | 85 | 310 | 21 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -24 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AABirmingham Barons · 267 PAwOBA .272 → .248 (−25)K% 20.6% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.60% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.49% | ÷0.990 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 23.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.897 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 1.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.49% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 79, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .272 → .248; ISO .075 → .070; BABIP .312 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 58 PAwOBA .176 → .148 (−28)K% 15.5% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.52% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.62% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×0.992 | 8.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×0.992 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .176 → .148; ISO .039 → .035; BABIP .143 → .128. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 299 PAwOBA .293 → .260 (−32)K% 20.1% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.07% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.35% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.34% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×0.978 | 23.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.37% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×0.978 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | ×1.015 | ×0.978 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.04% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .293 → .260; ISO .098 → .087; BABIP .332 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAErie SeaWolves · 176 PAwOBA .295 → .253 (−41)K% 17.6% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.61% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.09% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 19.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.03% | ÷0.945 | ×0.860 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .295 → .253; ISO .126 → .106; BABIP .294 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 59 PAwOBA .181 → .151 (−29)K% 22.0% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 14.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 2.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.899 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 106, 3B 110, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .181 → .151; ISO .019 → .016; BABIP .175 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAErie SeaWolves · 329 PAwOBA .277 → .254 (−22)K% 19.1% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.15% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.60% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.998 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 23.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.46% | ÷0.965 | ×0.860 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.902 | ×0.950 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 3.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.33% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .277 → .254; ISO .085 → .083; BABIP .303 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 319 PAwOBA .356 → .316 (−40)K% 12.5% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.54% | ÷1.004 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.78% | ÷0.982 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 6.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.39% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 24.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.88% | ÷0.970 | ×0.960 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.122 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.96% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .356 → .316; ISO .121 → .109; BABIP .368 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 200 PAwOBA .294 → .261 (−33)K% 11.5% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.50% | ÷1.009 | ×1.420 | — | — | 16.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.50% | ÷0.988 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.981 | ×0.940 | ×1.049 | ×0.998 | 21.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.052 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×0.998 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×1.049 | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.166 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 1.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .294 → .261; ISO .102 → .085; BABIP .289 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .