Jose Lobatón

PosC
B/TS/R
Born1984-10-21
Age (2027)42
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2021
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201833AAALas Vegas 51s151.348/.430/.59881115—.271/.325/.450
201833MLBNYM57.143/.250/.22400400.1
201934AAAOklahoma City…374.236/.312/.42714134—.159/.218/.280
202136AAACHC49.179/.347/.4102047—.140/.245/.279
202237No MLB games played
202338No MLB games played
202439No MLB games played
202540No MLB games played
202641No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2021
xwOBA31
Barrel%22
Avg EV10
Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200520 AFort Wayne Wizards — 3734 6100 250 00 176222206428 29207 145 195 -2 — — — — — —
200520 ROKAZL Padres — 2014 5200 640 10 3575505001.050 143500 2030 473 112 — — — — — —
200621 A+Lake Elsinore Storm — 145122 26704 20421 02 213329369698 156286 2914 314 55 — — — — — —
200621 AFort Wayne Wizards — 7761 17311 12122 00 279413410823 131327 1616 367 100 — — — — — —
200722 A+Lake Elsinore Storm — 357304 7915310 41793 00 260353428781 168311 2211 341 76 — — — — — —
200823 AASan Antonio Missions — 342294 762109 39750 11 259345422767 163309 2211 335 80 — — — — — —
200924 MLBSan Diego Padres — 1717 3000 050 00 176176176353 250 290 160 -6 -2 +0 +1 +5 +0 0.4
200924 AAAPortland Beavers — 148133 32603 10350 00 241294353647 113302 247 282 47 — — — — — —
200924 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 10284 22703 15191 00 262380452832 190302 1915 366 94 — — — — — —
201025 AAADurham Bulls — 271241 631107 27521 10 261338394732 133306 1910 328 63 — — — — — —
201025 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 2824 6100 450 00 250357292649 42316 1814 307 53 — — — — — —
201025 INTLLeones del Caracas — 11590 28701 24170 00 311456422878 111370 1521 399 156 — — — — — —
201126 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 3934 4100 481 00 118231147378 29154 2110 193 16 -4 +0 +3 +6 +1 0.6
201126 AAADurham Bulls — 224184 541018 37500 00 293412489901 196362 2217 395 121 — — — — — —
201126 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs — 2018 8400 250 00 4445006671.167 222615 2510 508 164 — — — — — —
201126 INTLLeones del Caracas — 7361 12301 10120 00 197310295605 98224 1614 276 73 — — — — — —
201227 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 197167 371002 24462 01 222326317644 96289 2312 294 82 -4 -0 +5 +4 +4 0.9
201227 AAADurham Bulls — 1515 1100 050 00 6767133200 67100 330 86 -72 — — — — — —
201227 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 1613 2100 330 00 154312231543 77200 1919 268 28 — — — — — —
201328 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 311277 691527 30650 01 249322394716 144300 2110 317 101 +0 -0 +5 +6 +7 1.8
201429 MLBWashington Nationals — 230214 50902 15611 00 234287304591 70318 277 270 67 -9 +0 +7 +4 +5 0.7
201530 MLBWashington Nationals — 155136 27403 15401 00 199283294577 96253 2610 262 60 -7 +0 +5 +3 +3 0.4
201631 MLBWashington Nationals — 11499 23313 12181 00 232321374695 141253 1611 310 93 -1 +0 +6 +2 +2 1.0
201732 MLBWashington Nationals — 158141 24304 14351 00 170250277527 106194 229 241 46 -10 +0 +2 +3 +3 -0.2
201833 MLBNew York Mets — 5749 7210 7150 00 143250224474 82200 2612 223 40 -4 +0 +0 +4 +1 0.1
201833 AAALas Vegas 51s — 151132 46908 18311 10 3484305981.029 250409 2112 449 115 — — — — — —
201934 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers — 374335 7922014 35982 10 236312427739 191289 269 327 34 — — — — — —
202136 AAAIowa Cubs — 4939 7302 10150 00 179347410757 231227 3120 343 47 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 12781134 24447421 1212937 02 215295319614 104269 239 278 75 -39 -1 +34 +36 +28 5.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200520 A MLEFort Wayne Wizards — 3735 6100 170 00 171194200394 29190 193 165 -2 — — — — — —
200520 ROK MLEAZL Padres — 2016 5200 460 10 312450438887 125384 3020 333 112 — — — — — —
200621 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm — 145128 22603 14561 02 172259289548 117265 3910 250 55 — — — — — —
200621 A MLEFort Wayne Wizards — 7765 17311 8162 00 262360385745 123308 2110 316 100 — — — — — —
200722 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm — 357317 691229 281063 00 218287353641 136275 308 281 76 — — — — — —
200823 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 342306 701907 27920 11 229291359651 131282 278 286 80 — — — — — —
200924 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 1717 3000 050 00 176176176353 250 290 160 -6 -2 +0 +1 +5 +0 0.4
200924 AAA MLEPortland Beavers — 148136 28502 7450 00 206245287532 81281 305 237 47 — — — — — —
200924 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 10290 22703 9231 00 244320422742 178273 239 307 94 — — — — — —
201025 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 271250 54905 18641 10 216271312583 96269 247 261 63 — — — — — —
201025 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 2825 5100 360 00 200286240526 40286 2111 247 53 — — — — — —
201126 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 3934 4100 481 00 118231147378 29154 2110 192 16 -4 +0 +3 +6 +1 0.6
201126 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 224195 53917 26570 00 272357436793 164339 2512 347 121 — — — — — —
201126 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs — 2019 6300 170 00 316350474824 158564 355 411 164 — — — — — —
201227 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 197168 371002 23462 01 220321315637 95289 2312 290 82 -4 -0 +5 +4 +4 0.9
201227 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 1515 1100 060 00 6767133200 6783 400 62 -72 — — — — — —
201227 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 1614 2100 240 00 143250214464 71177 2512 209 28 — — — — — —
201328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 311277 681527 30650 01 245319390709 144300 2110 317 101 +0 -0 +5 +6 +7 1.8
201429 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 230215 50902 14611 00 233283302585 70318 276 267 67 -9 +0 +7 +4 +5 0.7
201530 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 155137 27403 14401 00 197276292568 95253 269 257 60 -7 +0 +5 +3 +3 0.4
201631 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 114100 23313 11181 00 230312370682 140253 1610 306 93 -1 +0 +6 +2 +2 1.0
201732 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 158142 24304 13351 00 169244275518 106194 228 236 46 -10 +0 +2 +3 +3 -0.2
201833 MLB MLENew York Mets — 5749 7210 7150 00 143250224474 82200 2612 228 40 -4 +0 +0 +4 +1 0.1
201833 AAA MLELas Vegas 51s — 151140 38706 10411 10 271325450775 179345 277 338 115 — — — — — —
201934 AAA MLEOklahoma City Dodgers — 374346 551509 241252 10 159218280498 121212 336 219 34 — — — — — —
202136 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 4943 6301 6170 00 140245279524 140181 3512 238 47 — — — — — —
200520 A MLE2 teams — 5751 9200 5130 10 176250216466 39237 239 224 38 — — — — — —
200520 A RAW2 teams — 5748 11300 890 10 229339292631 63282 1614 293 38 — — — — — —
200621 A+ MLE2 teams — 222192 38814 23733 02 198294312606 115291 3310 273 71 — — — — — —
200621 A+ RAW2 teams — 222183 431015 32543 02 235358383740 148302 2414 333 71 — — — — — —
200722 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm — 357317 691229 281063 00 218287353641 136287 308 281 76 — — — — — —
200722 A+ RAWLake Elsinore Storm — 357304 7915310 41793 00 260353428781 168311 2211 341 76 — — — — — —
200823 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 342306 701907 27920 11 229291359651 131294 278 286 80 — — — — — —
200823 AA RAWSan Antonio Missions — 342294 762109 39750 11 259345422767 163309 2211 335 80 — — — — — —
200924 AAA MLE3 teams — 267242 531205 17731 00 219273331604 112289 276 259 61 — — — — — —
200924 AAA RAW3 teams — 267234 571306 25591 00 244319376695 132298 229 306 61 — — — — — —
201025 AAA MLE3 teams — 414381 831407 29981 10 218275310585 92273 247 260 62 — — — — — —
201025 AAA RAW3 teams — 414355 971908 55741 10 273372394767 121324 1813 347 62 — — — — — —
201126 AAA MLE4 teams — 356311 801719 39901 00 257342405747 148332 2511 330 110 — — — — — —
201126 AAA RAW4 teams — 356297 781819 53751 00 263376421797 158321 2115 355 110 — — — — — —
201227 MLB MLE3 teams — 228197 391202 25562 01 198295289584 91262 2511 269 68 -9 -0 +5 +4 +5 0.5
201227 MLB RAW3 teams — 228195 401202 27542 01 205308297605 92270 2412 278 68 -9 -0 +5 +4 +5 0.5
201328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 311277 681527 30650 01 245319390709 144295 2110 317 101 +0 -0 +5 +6 +7 1.8
201328 MLB RAWTampa Bay Rays — 311277 691527 30650 01 249322394716 144300 2110 317 101 +0 -0 +5 +6 +7 1.8
201429 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 230215 50902 14611 00 233283302585 70316 276 267 67 -9 +0 +7 +4 +5 0.7
201429 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 230214 50902 15611 00 234287304591 70318 277 270 67 -9 +0 +7 +4 +5 0.7
201530 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 155137 27403 14401 00 197276292568 95250 269 257 60 -7 +0 +5 +3 +3 0.4
201530 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 155136 27403 15401 00 199283294577 96253 2610 262 60 -7 +0 +5 +3 +3 0.4
201631 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 114100 23313 11181 00 230312370682 140250 1610 306 93 -1 +0 +6 +2 +2 1.0
201631 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 11499 23313 12181 00 232321374695 141253 1611 310 93 -1 +0 +6 +2 +2 1.0
201732 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 158142 24304 13351 00 169244275518 106192 228 236 46 -10 +0 +2 +3 +3 -0.2
201732 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 158141 24304 14351 00 170250277527 106194 229 241 46 -10 +0 +2 +3 +3 -0.2
201833 AAA MLE2 teams — 208189 461016 17561 10 243309402711 159312 278 308 94 — — — — — —
201833 AAA RAW2 teams — 208181 531118 25461 10 293382497879 204352 2212 387 94 — — — — — —
201934 AAA MLEOklahoma City Dodgers — 374346 551509 241252 10 159218280498 121215 336 219 34 — — — — — —
201934 AAA RAWOklahoma City Dodgers — 374335 7922014 35982 10 236312427739 191289 269 327 34 — — — — — —
202136 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 4943 6301 6170 00 140245279524 140200 3512 238 47 — — — — — —
202136 AAA RAWIowa Cubs — 4939 7302 10150 00 179347410757 231227 3120 343 47 — — — — — —
200520 A MLE2 teams — 5752 9200 5130 10 173250212462 38258 239 224 38 — — — — — —
200621 A+ MLE2 teams — 222194 38814 23733 02 196294309603 113280 3310 273 71 — — — — — —
200722 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm — 357323 691229 281063 00 214287347634 133275 308 281 76 — — — — — —
200823 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 342312 701907 27920 11 224291353644 128282 278 286 80 — — — — — —
200924 AAA MLE3 teams — 267247 531205 17731 00 215273324597 109276 276 259 61 — — — — — —
201025 AAA MLE3 teams — 414381 831407 29981 10 218275310585 92271 247 260 62 — — — — — —
201126 AAA MLE4 teams — 356313 801719 39901 00 256342403744 147329 2511 330 110 — — — — — —
201227 MLB MLE3 teams — 228199 391202 25562 01 196295286581 90268 2511 269 68 — — — — — —
201328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 311278 681527 30650 01 245319388708 144300 2110 317 101 — — — — — —
201429 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 230213 50902 14611 00 235283305588 70318 276 267 67 — — — — — —
201530 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 155139 27403 14401 00 194276288564 94253 269 257 60 — — — — — —
201631 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 114101 23313 11181 00 228312366679 139253 1610 306 93 — — — — — —
201732 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 158143 24304 13351 00 168244273516 105194 228 236 46 — — — — — —
201833 AAA MLE2 teams — 208188 461016 17561 10 245309404713 160305 278 308 94 — — — — — —
201934 AAA MLEOklahoma City Dodgers — 374345 551509 241252 10 159218281499 122212 336 219 34 — — — — — —
202136 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 4943 6301 6170 00 140245279524 140181 3512 238 47 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12781134 24447421 1212937 02 215295319614 104269 239 278 72 -39 -1 +34 +36 +28 5.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 12424211 621494 01 215296321617 106268 2310 278 72 -20 -0 +17 +18 +14 3.0
Career— MLE — 38423446 740158878 322101818 55 215285333618 118278 268 275 72 -39 -1 +34 +36 +28 5.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 12527113 541723 11 214284331615 117277 268 275 72 -20 -0 +17 +18 +14 3.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAAIowa Cubs · 49 PAwOBA .335 → .238 (−96)K% 30.6% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.61%÷1.032×1.200——35.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.41%÷1.023×0.690—×0.94012.94%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP8.33%÷1.039×0.930—×0.9407.01%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷0.963×0.830—×0.94010.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.988×0.920—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.081×0.700—×0.9405.07%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 98, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .335 → .238; ISO .231 → .164; BABIP .227 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 374 PAwOBA .320 → .219 (−100)K% 26.2% → 33.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.20%÷1.014×1.290——33.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.36%÷0.993×0.710—×0.9406.29%
HBP% /PA0.53%—×0.980—×0.9400.49%
Singles /BIP18.14%÷1.048×0.900×0.950×0.94013.92%
Doubles /BIP9.28%÷1.012×0.810×0.950×0.9406.63%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.045×0.810×0.950×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP5.91%÷1.073×0.780—×0.9404.04%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 109, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .320 → .219; ISO .191 → .125; BABIP .289 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAALas Vegas 51s · 151 PAwOBA .433 → .338 (−95)K% 20.5% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.53%÷0.986×1.290——26.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.60%÷1.039×0.710—×0.9406.81%
HBP% /PA0.66%—×0.980—×0.9400.61%
Singles /BIP28.71%÷0.992×0.900×1.019×0.94024.96%
Doubles /BIP8.91%÷0.918×0.810×1.019×0.9407.53%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.959×0.810×1.019×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP7.92%÷1.009×0.780—×0.9405.76%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 92, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .433 → .338; ISO .250 → .186; BABIP .409 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 16 PAwOBA .262 → .209 (−53)K% 18.8% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷1.004×1.220——22.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.75%÷0.969×0.680—×0.96812.74%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×0.9680.00%
Singles /BIP10.00%÷1.022×0.920—×0.9688.71%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.983×0.910—×0.9688.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.037×0.880—×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.147×0.800—×0.9680.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 107, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .262 → .209; ISO .077 → .071; BABIP .200 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAADurham Bulls · 15 PAwOBA .083 → .062 (−21)K% 33.3% → 39.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.008×1.200——39.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.046×0.690—×0.9920.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9920.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷0.987×0.930—×0.9920.00%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.998×0.830—×0.9928.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.942×0.970—×0.9920.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.093×0.840—×0.9920.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 88, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .083 → .062; ISO .067 → .050; BABIP .100 → .083. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAADurham Bulls · 224 PAwOBA .385 → .347 (−37)K% 22.3% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.32%÷1.051×1.200——25.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.62%÷0.938×0.690—×1.00311.53%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP26.12%÷0.969×0.930×1.007×1.00325.32%
Doubles /BIP7.46%÷0.994×0.830×1.007×1.0036.30%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷1.017×0.970×1.007×1.0030.72%
Home runs /BIP5.97%÷0.960×0.840—×1.0035.24%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 94, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 110, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .385 → .347; ISO .196 → .180; BABIP .362 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 20 PAwOBA .494 → .411 (−83)K% 25.0% → 32.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.087×1.420——32.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.035×0.750—×0.9586.94%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.930—×0.9580.00%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷0.974×0.920—×0.95827.85%
Doubles /BIP30.77%÷0.991×0.960—×0.95828.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.810—×0.9580.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.171×0.880—×0.9580.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 85, K 117, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .494 → .411; ISO .222 → .192; BABIP .615 → .564. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAADurham Bulls · 271 PAwOBA .320 → .261 (−58)K% 19.2% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.19%÷0.971×1.200——23.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.59%÷0.999×0.690—×1.0186.75%
HBP% /PA0.37%—×0.940—×1.0180.35%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷1.037×0.930×0.992×1.01821.58%
Doubles /BIP5.82%÷1.026×0.830×0.992×1.0184.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×0.992×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.151×0.840—×1.0182.75%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 107, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .320 → .261; ISO .133 → .101; BABIP .306 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .