David Martin — OGILVIE

David MartinC Hillsboro Hops

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .286 / .314

PA80

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	47	40	6	2	0	0	3	13	4	0	0	150	277	200	477	50	222	28	6	225	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	47	39	8	3	0	0	4	9	4	0	0	205	340	282	622	77	267	19	9	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	368	317	77	11	0	3	38	59	9	1	3	243	341	306	647	63	286	16	10	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	368	299	87	13	0	3	56	44	9	1	3	291	418	365	782	74	328	12	15	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	88	12	2	0	0	4	26	6	0	0	136	224	159	384	23	194	27	4	172	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	85	16	3	0	0	7	17	6	0	0	188	296	224	519	35	235	17	7	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	200	294	200	494		333	35	12	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	14	4	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	286	412	286	697		400	24	18	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	ARI	—	80	73	15	3	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	205	275	288	563	82	285	28	8	275	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ARI	30%	135	121	27	5	1	3	11	37	2	2	1	223	299	355	654	132	287	27	8	284	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	27	MLB	ARI	42%	224	200	44	8	1	5	18	60	4	3	1	220	297	345	642	125	287	27	8	287	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2029	28	MLB	ARI	48%	286	257	56	10	1	6	23	77	4	4	1	218	292	335	627	117	287	27	8	288	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2030	29	MLB	ARI	49%	321	286	63	12	1	7	27	86	5	4	1	220	299	343	641	122	286	27	8	287	78	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.6
2031	30	MLB	ARI	50%	343	307	66	12	1	7	28	93	5	4	1	215	291	329	620	114	285	27	8	284	76	-9	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.5
2027	26	MLB	ARI	30%	41	37	8	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	216	293	324	617	108	289	27	7	274	68	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	27	MLB	ARI	42%	93	84	18	3	0	2	8	25	1	1	0	214	290	321	612	107	289	27	9	278	71	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	28	MLB	ARI	48%	136	122	28	5	1	3	11	36	2	2	1	230	304	361	664	131	289	26	8	279	72	-4	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	29	MLB	ARI	49%	158	142	31	6	1	3	13	42	2	2	1	218	293	338	631	120	288	27	8	278	71	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2031	30	MLB	ARI	50%	172	153	34	6	1	4	14	47	3	2	1	222	300	353	653	131	287	27	8	275	69	-6	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	600	538	119	21	3	13	49	161	9	8	3	221	297	344	641	123	289	27	8	277	70	-20	+0	-2	+11	+17	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	129	23	3	14	53	174	10	9	3	221	297	343	640	122	289	27	8	277	70	-22	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	1919	1704	369	65	5	32	160	479	40	19	8	217	299	317	616	100	280	25	8	279	71	-62	+1	-4	+34	+54	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	125	22	2	11	54	162	14	6	3	217	299	319	618	102	279	25	8	279	71	-21	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	24	20	4	2	0	2	4	2	0	0	200	333	300	633	100	250	17	8	302	89	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	23	19	4	1	0	2	5	2	0	0	211	348	263	611	53	286	22	9	298	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	148	122	35	2	2	22	18	4	0	0	287	412	352	765	66	324	12	15	359	133	+5	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2023	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	220	177	52	11	1	34	26	5	1	3	294	421	373	794	79	331	12	15	363	136	+9	-1	—	—	+6	1.4
2024	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	85	16	3	0	7	17	6	0	0	188	296	224	519	35	235	17	7	254	53	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	24	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	14	4	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	286	412	286	697		400	24	18	336	115	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	601	12	8	220	293	338	+11	+8	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	14	9	220	293	338	+11.9	+8.8	1.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Martin (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	211/286/314	103	285	1	1	28%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	44	212/291/330	118	301	10	10	31%	8%	75	-0.0	206/288/340	134	295	14	14	32%	9%	76	+0.1	187/277/329	142	264	15	17	33%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	43→48	44→45	48→40	41	210/276/328	118	297	12	6	32%	7%	68	-0.5	231/286/350	119	313	12	5	29%	6%	77	+0.1	234/292/346	112	318	10	2	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→40	41→45	46→45	42	214/266/308	94	265	8	8	22%	5%	58	-1.2	208/275/342	134	258	16	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→45	49→50	47	223/294/335	113	295	9	12	26%	8%	77	+0.1	253/326/358	105	332	7	10	24%	9%	95	+1.4	261/335/360	99	340	7	8	23%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	44→50	39→45	46→50	47	209/288/295	86	289	7	10	28%	9%	64	-0.8	213/282/321	108	300	10	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	221/294/350	129	290	13	8	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	43→40	40→45	45	45	209/273/307	97	268	7	7	24%	7%	60	-1.0	221/281/340	119	280	10	6	24%	7%	72	-0.2	221/283/352	131	272	12	3	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Meibrys Viloria 2022 · MLB	25	45→47	42→45	43→40	44	211/291/318	107	319	10	6	34%	9%	72	-0.2	223/312/350	127	327	13	7	32%	11%	89	+1.0	223/334/350	127	322	13	3	31%	13%	95	+0.7
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	41→40	44→45	51	219/303/311	93	267	8	4	21%	9%	76	+0.0	226/306/320	94	265	9	8	17%	9%	79	+0.3	228/311/314	85	261	9	7	15%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→43	43→45	42→40	51	222/313/332	110	294	10	4	26%	10%	85	+0.7	235/325/339	104	322	10	6	27%	10%	92	+1.2	236/335/327	92	323	10	5	27%	11%	91	+0.5
✕Michael Fransoso 2015 · A	25	45	46→45	49→50	50	225/294/353	128	266	14	8	21%	8%	82	+0.5	213/277/292	79	262	6	11	20%	7%	58	-1.2	192/259/218	26	237	0	13	17%	7%	30	-1.2
✕Beau Taylor 2015 · AA	25	44→45	41→45	43→30	43	210/273/307	98	304	9	3	33%	8%	60	-1.0	212/277/306	94	303	8	3	30%	8%	62	-0.9	218/307/332	114	311	11	1	30%	11%	80	+0.2
✕Chad De La Guerra 2018 · AA	25	48	42→50	48→45	43	230/282/338	108	306	8	8	27%	6%	72	-0.2	222/273/357	135	310	15	7	32%	6%	73	-0.1	201/259/334	133	289	15	7	34%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2019 · A	25	44→42	44→55	47→45	41	222/265/335	113	282	13	6	26%	5%	64	-0.8	212/266/322	110	290	10	7	29%	6%	61	-1.0	226/290/351	125	289	12	8	25%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Ryan Flaherty 2011 · AA	25	45	45→55	45	46	223/278/346	123	273	12	6	23%	7%	72	-0.2	228/276/377	149	281	18	5	25%	6%	80	+0.4	226/274/389	163	272	21	4	25%	5%	78	+0.1
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	41→48	44→45	48→50	45	208/267/323	115	265	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.9	224/286/345	121	283	13	11	24%	8%	76	+0.0	221/287/339	118	276	13	13	24%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2019 · MLB	25	48	40→45	45→50	44	231/278/330	100	292	7	9	23%	6%	68	-0.5	222/271/320	98	302	7	12	27%	6%	62	-0.9	196/257/289	93	276	8	15	30%	7%	45	-0.7
✕Pratt Maynard 2014 · A	24	45	41→45	45	50	217/284/310	94	265	9	6	21%	8%	66	-0.6	226/287/339	113	291	8	6	24%	8%	74	-0.1	235/287/366	132	306	6	0	24%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Christian Stringer 2015 · A	25	46	45→50	52→50	46	230/280/351	121	263	13	8	18%	6%	75	-0.0	230/280/342	112	276	8	11	19%	6%	72	-0.2	242/292/357	114	287	3	16	16%	5%	78	+0.1