David Martin — OGILVIE

David MartinC Hillsboro Hops

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .289 / .317

PA6

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	24	20	4	2	0	0	2	4	2	0	0	200	333	300	633	100	250	17	8	302	90	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	23	19	4	1	0	0	2	5	2	0	0	211	348	263	611	53	286	22	9	298	88	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	148	122	35	2	0	2	22	18	4	0	0	287	412	352	765	66	324	12	15	359	129	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	220	177	52	11	0	1	34	26	5	1	3	294	421	373	794	79	331	12	15	363	132	+8	-1	—	—	+5	1.2
2024	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	85	16	3	0	0	7	17	6	0	0	188	296	224	519	35	235	17	7	254	58	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	24	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	14	4	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	286	412	286	697		400	24	18	336	114	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	24	21	4	2	0	0	1	5	2	0	0	190	292	286	577	95	223	21	4	242	50	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	23	20	3	1	0	0	1	7	2	0	0	150	261	200	461	50	226	30	4	205	25	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	148	131	33	2	0	2	13	25	4	0	0	252	338	313	651	61	296	17	9	289	82	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	220	187	45	9	0	1	24	34	5	1	3	241	343	305	647	64	274	15	11	294	85	-4	-1	—	—	+5	-0.0
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	88	12	2	0	0	4	25	6	0	0	136	224	159	384	23	193	26	4	181	9	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	200	294	200	494		344	35	12	244	51	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	47	40	6	2	0	0	3	13	4	0	0	150	277	200	477	50	222	28	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	47	39	8	3	0	0	4	9	4	0	0	205	340	282	622	77	267	19	9	300	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	368	317	78	11	0	3	38	60	9	1	3	246	343	309	653	63	291	16	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	368	299	87	13	0	3	56	44	9	1	3	291	418	365	782	74	328	12	15	361	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	88	12	2	0	0	4	25	6	0	0	136	224	159	384	23	190	26	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	85	16	3	0	0	7	17	6	0	0	188	296	224	519	35	235	17	7	254	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	200	294	200	494		333	35	12	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	14	4	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	286	412	286	697		400	24	18	336	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	47	40	6	2	0	0	3	13	4	0	0	150	277	200	477	50	224	28	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	368	318	78	11	0	3	38	60	9	1	3	245	343	308	652	63	283	16	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	88	12	2	0	0	4	25	6	0	0	136	224	159	384	23	193	26	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	200	294	200	494		344	35	12	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	368	318	78	11	0	3	38	60	9	1	3	245	343	308	652	63	283	16	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	98	88	12	2	0	0	4	25	6	0	0	136	224	159	384	23	193	26	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	200	294	200	494		344	35	12	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		285	33	0	278	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	135	121	28	5	1	3	11	35	2	2	1	231	306	364	670	132	286	26	8	286	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	42%	224	200	45	8	1	5	18	58	4	3	1	225	302	350	652	125	286	26	8	289	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	286	256	56	10	1	6	24	74	4	4	1	219	296	336	632	117	286	26	8	290	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	49%	321	286	64	12	1	7	27	84	5	4	1	224	302	346	648	122	285	26	8	289	82	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	ARI	50%	343	306	67	12	1	7	29	90	5	4	1	219	297	333	630	114	284	26	8	286	80	-8	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2032	31	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	333	297	64	12	1	6	28	89	5	3	1	215	294	323	617	108	282	27	8	282	77	-9	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.1
2033	32	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	314	280	60	11	1	6	26	85	5	3	1	214	293	325	618	111	278	27	8	277	73	-10	+0	-4	+6	+7	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	41	37	9	2	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	243	317	378	695	135	292	27	7	277	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	42%	93	84	19	4	0	2	8	24	1	1	0	226	301	345	646	119	292	26	9	280	82	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	136	122	28	5	1	3	11	35	2	2	1	230	304	361	664	131	292	26	8	281	82	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	49%	158	142	32	6	1	3	13	41	2	2	1	225	299	345	644	120	291	26	8	280	82	-3	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	ARI	50%	172	153	34	7	1	3	14	45	3	2	1	222	300	340	640	118	290	26	8	277	80	-4	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.2
2032	31	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	169	150	33	6	1	3	14	45	3	2	1	220	299	333	633	113	287	27	8	273	77	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2033	32	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	173	154	33	6	1	3	14	47	3	1	0	214	292	325	617	110	284	27	8	268	73	-5	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	942	842	188	36	5	18	77	248	15	11	4	223	300	342	642	119	293	26	8	276	76	-23	+1	-5	+17	+20	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	129	25	3	12	53	171	10	8	3	222	298	337	635	115	292	26	8	276	76	-16	+0	-4	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2492	2212	484	85	7	43	210	621	49	24	10	219	301	322	623	103	282	25	8	281	76	-48	+2	-10	+35	+43	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	126	22	2	11	55	162	13	6	3	218	301	321	622	102	282	25	8	281	76	-16	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.4	944	19	11	219	293	335	+17	+12	1.8	1.8
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+8.4	1.3	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Martin (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	214/289/317	103	285	1	1	27%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hunter Feduccia 2022 · AA	25	44→47	45→50	46→40	48	221/285/339	118	278	13	4	25%	8%	77	-0.3	218/292/356	138	288	15	3	28%	9%	84	+0.1	229/318/340	111	310	9	3	27%	11%	88	+0.2
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	42→47	44→45	48→40	42	209/277/328	119	296	12	6	32%	7%	72	-0.7	228/284/344	116	308	11	5	28%	6%	78	-0.3	232/290/345	114	313	10	3	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→41	41→45	46→45	42	214/267/309	95	266	8	8	23%	5%	63	-1.3	209/278/339	130	256	15	8	24%	6%	75	-0.5	203/308/311	108	241	12	6	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA	25	44	40→45	50	50	211/289/302	91	285	7	11	27%	10%	70	-0.8	239/301/353	114	292	10	14	21%	8%	86	+0.3	250/306/369	119	290	10	17	17%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	45	213/295/327	115	301	10	10	31%	8%	78	-0.3	205/286/325	120	295	11	14	32%	9%	75	-0.5	189/275/311	122	271	11	17	32%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	44→43	41→45	46→45	46	215/278/318	103	271	8	7	23%	7%	70	-0.9	222/283/336	114	279	9	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/284/341	121	270	10	3	21%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→40	43→40	52	222/314/329	107	293	9	4	26%	10%	86	+0.3	234/325/337	103	316	10	6	26%	11%	92	+0.7	234/334/325	92	316	9	5	26%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Michael Fransoso 2015 · A	25	45	45	49→50	50	224/294/348	124	269	13	8	22%	8%	82	+0.0	211/277/290	79	262	6	11	21%	7%	63	-1.4	189/259/215	26	234	0	13	18%	7%	38	-1.3
✕Matt Lloyd 2021 · A	25	44	46→45	46→50	41	217/277/346	129	311	13	9	33%	7%	76	-0.4	213/281/359	146	311	17	7	35%	7%	80	-0.1	216/290/343	127	289	14	12	29%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	40	44→45	50	216/296/304	88	262	8	4	20%	8%	74	-0.6	226/307/313	87	264	8	8	17%	9%	80	-0.2	229/313/307	77	262	7	7	15%	9%	77	-0.1
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	45→47	40→45	46→50	47	213/291/303	89	294	7	10	28%	9%	71	-0.8	214/282/312	98	298	8	9	29%	7%	70	-0.9	217/287/331	114	285	10	8	26%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	48	43→45	49→50	49	230/305/350	120	299	10	12	25%	9%	87	+0.4	248/322/349	101	326	7	10	24%	9%	93	+0.8	251/326/342	91	332	6	8	24%	9%	89	+0.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	213/275/308	95	322	7	3	33%	7%	65	-1.2	206/272/297	91	310	6	1	33%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Peter Maris 2019 · AA	25	47→50	46→45	47→50	49	235/294/365	131	276	13	9	20%	8%	86	+0.3	217/275/346	129	282	13	8	26%	7%	74	-0.5	203/258/327	124	267	13	6	28%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Ryan Flaherty 2011 · AA	25	46→47	45→50	45	45	227/281/353	127	278	12	6	23%	6%	78	-0.3	229/278/371	142	282	16	5	24%	6%	82	-0.0	216/300/331	115	277	12	2	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕J.C. Escarra 2021 · A	26	41→46	43→45	48→45	44	204/260/306	102	245	11	5	22%	6%	60	-1.6	205/277/306	101	267	9	9	25%	7%	67	-1.1	224/295/345	121	259	11	3	17%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Casey Stevenson 2013 · A	25	50	42→45	49→45	42	244/290/349	105	302	9	7	22%	5%	80	-0.1	214/273/305	91	262	8	7	21%	6%	65	-1.2	193/259/268	75	232	7	5	20%	6%	52	-0.9
✕Meibrys Viloria 2022 · MLB	25	46→47	41→45	43→40	45	214/294/314	101	321	9	6	34%	9%	75	-0.5	221/311/343	122	326	12	7	32%	11%	88	+0.4	216/327/336	120	314	12	3	31%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→45	43→45	50	44	212/278/331	119	279	10	12	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/289/332	101	313	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	234/293/322	88	321	6	7	27%	6%	72	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps