David Martin

C Hillsboro Hops
Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2182MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202322A+/AARI368.291/.418/.3653187—.250/.349/.313
202423A+ARI98.188/.296/.2240017—.149/.245/.172
202524A+ARI17.286/.412/.2860059—.200/.294/.200
2027PROJMLE26MLBARI200.211/.282/.29523650.0
2028PROJ26% MLB27MLBARI19.218/.288/.3090066-0.0
2029PROJ39% MLB28MLBARI51.217/.288/.3091066-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 A+
Whiff%89
Z-Con%89
K%86
Chase%64
BB%21
wOBA17
CompsJackson Cluff (age 26) · Jake Lowery (age 26) · JJ Schwarz (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .280 / .292
PA47
HR1
K%27
BB%7
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.00.0272829
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 AVisalia Rawhide — 2420 4200 242 00 200333300633 100250 178 302 49 — — — — — —
202221 ROKACL D-backs Black — 2319 4100 252 00 211348263611 53286 229 298 22 — — — — — —
202322 A+Hillsboro Hops — 148122 35202 22184 00 287412352765 66324 1215 359 93 — — — — — —
202322 AVisalia Rawhide — 220177 521101 34265 13 294421373794 79331 1215 363 83 — — — — — —
202423 A+Hillsboro Hops — 9885 16300 7176 00 188296224519 35235 177 254 17 — — — — — —
202524 A+Hillsboro Hops — 1714 4000 340 00 286412286697 400 2418 336 59 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 2421 4200 152 00 190292286577 95226 214 241 49 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEACL D-backs Black — 2320 3100 172 00 150261200461 50220 304 200 22 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 148129 34202 15254 00 264358326684 62310 1710 305 93 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 220187 45901 24355 13 241343305647 64274 1611 291 83 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 9887 13200 5246 00 149245172417 23201 245 193 17 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 1715 3000 250 00 200294200494 352 2912 256 59 — — — — — —
202221 A MLE2 teams — 4740 6200 3134 00 150277200477 50222 286 221 36 — — — — — —
202221 A RAW2 teams — 4739 8300 494 00 205340282622 77267 199 300 36 — — — — — —
202322 A MLE2 teams — 368316 791103 39599 13 250349313662 63295 1611 297 87 — — — — — —
202322 A RAW2 teams — 368299 871303 56449 13 291418365782 74328 1215 361 87 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 9887 13200 5246 00 149245172417 23206 245 193 17 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAWHillsboro Hops — 9885 16300 7176 00 188296224519 35235 177 254 17 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 1715 3000 250 00 200294200494 300 2912 256 59 — — — — — —
202524 A+ RAWHillsboro Hops — 1714 4000 340 00 286412286697 400 2418 336 59 — — — — — —
202221 A MLE2 teams — 4740 6200 3134 00 150277200477 50223 286 221 36 — — — — — —
202322 A MLE2 teams — 368317 791103 39599 13 249349312661 63288 1611 297 87 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 9887 13200 5246 00 149245172417 23201 245 193 17 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 1715 3000 250 00 200294200494 352 2912 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 9887 13200 5246 00 149245172417 23201 245 193 17 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 1715 3000 250 00 200294200494 352 2912 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEARI 0% 200180 38712 14534 31 211282295577 84284 267 264 65 -8 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEARI 26% 7367 13201 5191 10 212283298580 86284 267 266 66 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202928 MLB MLEARI 39% 129117 25412 9342 11 211283298581 87283 267 266 66 -5 -0 -1 +2 +3 -0.1
202827 MLB CTXARI 26% 1918 4100 150 00 218288309597 91293 265 272 66 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
202928 MLB CTXARI 39% 5146 10201 4141 00 217288309597 92292 278 272 66 -2 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 7064 14301 5191 00 219286312598 94295 277 272 68 -3 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 1302809 461769 00 219285311596 93296 277 272 68 -26 +0 -3 +12 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 779685 1492317 6616723 44 218307285592 67275 218 268 68 -10 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 1241916 5513919 33 217307285591 68274 218 268 68 -26 +1 -2 +12 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 A+Hillsboro Hops · 17 PAwOBA .329 → .256 (−73)K% 23.5% → 31.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.53%÷1.002×1.350——31.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷1.044×0.710—×0.97811.74%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×0.9780.00%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷1.012×0.910—×0.97835.16%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.830—×0.9780.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.968×0.830—×0.9780.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .329 → .256; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .400 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 98 PAwOBA .248 → .193 (−56)K% 17.3% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.35%÷0.964×1.350——24.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.14%÷1.086×0.710—×0.9884.62%
HBP% /PA6.12%—×0.810—×0.9884.90%
Singles /BIP19.12%÷1.049×0.910×1.016×0.98816.63%
Doubles /BIP4.41%÷1.066×0.830×1.016×0.9883.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820×1.016×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.875×0.830—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 110, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .248 → .193; ISO .035 → .026; BABIP .235 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 220 PAwOBA .361 → .291 (−70)K% 11.8% → 15.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.82%÷1.019×1.360——15.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.45%÷0.987×0.690—×0.99010.69%
HBP% /PA2.27%—×0.780—×0.9901.75%
Singles /BIP26.49%÷1.060×0.920×0.978×0.99022.25%
Doubles /BIP7.28%÷1.029×0.830×0.978×0.9905.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.978×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.66%÷1.003×0.800—×0.9900.52%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .361 → .291; ISO .079 → .065; BABIP .331 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 148 PAwOBA .350 → .305 (−46)K% 12.2% → 16.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.16%÷0.987×1.350——16.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.86%÷1.038×0.710—×0.99810.15%
HBP% /PA2.70%—×0.810—×0.9982.18%
Singles /BIP29.81%÷0.980×0.910×1.040×0.99828.73%
Doubles /BIP1.92%÷0.947×0.830×1.040×0.9981.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.820×1.040×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP1.92%÷0.952×0.830—×0.9981.67%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .350 → .305; ISO .066 → .058; BABIP .324 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AVisalia Rawhide · 24 PAwOBA .295 → .241 (−53)K% 16.7% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷1.001×1.360——22.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.33%÷1.023×0.690——5.62%
HBP% /PA8.33%—×0.780——6.50%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.997×0.920——11.54%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷0.942×0.830——11.02%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.062×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .295 → .241; ISO .100 → .086; BABIP .250 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL D-backs Black · 23 PAwOBA .292 → .200 (−91)K% 21.7% → 31.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷0.988×1.440——31.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.70%÷1.016×0.620—×0.9755.17%
HBP% /PA8.70%—×0.720—×0.9756.10%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷0.996×0.820—×0.97517.21%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.043×0.720—×0.9754.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.958×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.948×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 92, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .292 → .200; ISO .053 → .033; BABIP .286 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).