Luke ShligerC West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 24 L/R 5'7" / 197 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION136 act + 90 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .298 / .276
PA90
HR1
K%26
BB%10
BABIP274
ISO75
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: -0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +6.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.40.70.90.9+$22M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$3M+$2M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 ASan Jose Giants — 6759 13200 6152 11 220313254568 34295 229 260 57 — — — — — —
202321 ASan Jose Giants — 6757 17300 8102 11 298403351754 53362 1512 352 127 — — — — — —
202422 A2 teams — 346291 541112 4210511 114 186311251562 65281 3012 265 61 — — — — — —
202422 A2 teams — 346276 661523 577111 114 239390341730 101310 2116 342 120 — — — — — —
202523 A+Eugene Emeralds — 230198 43504 22654 113 217308303611 86291 2810 274 68 — — — — — —
202523 A+Eugene Emeralds — 230186 49704 34534 113 263388366754 102336 2315 341 119 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 A+DET — 136118 22302 13364 43 186289263552 76247 2610 258 56 -7 -0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
YTD24 A+DET — 136113 27403 18274 43 239363354717 115286 2013 331 111 +2 -0 +0 +2 +4 0.8
ROS24 A+DET 0% 9079 16301 9242 21 201298276574 75274 2610 272 67 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
ROS24 MLBDET 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 269 —— 253 52 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL24 A+DET — 136119 22302 13364 43 185289261549 76244 2610 258 56 -7 -0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
TOT24 A+DET — 226197 38603 22606 64 192292268561 76258 2610 264 60 -10 -0 +0 +4 +6 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBDET 38% 235204 43714 24625 52 211309314623 103277 2610 282 74 -7 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
202826 MLBDET 55% 311271 581016 31816 73 214308325633 111278 2610 287 78 -8 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.7
202927 MLBDET 61% 351306 661117 36916 83 216310327637 111279 2610 289 80 -8 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.9
203028 MLBDET 65% 376328 701217 38987 83 213308320628 107279 2610 289 79 -9 +0 -1 +7 +11 0.9
202725 MLBDET 38% 8978 16301 9232 21 205303282585 77272 2610 264 60 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
202826 MLBDET 55% 173151 31503 17453 42 205298298596 93274 2610 269 64 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202927 MLBDET 61% 216188 40714 22564 52 213308324633 112274 2610 272 66 -8 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
203028 MLBDET 65% 243212 45814 25634 52 212307316623 104274 2610 272 66 -9 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 721630 13223212 7318713 167 210305310614 100276 2610 270 65 -29 +0 -0 +13 +20 0.5
/ 162G— — 650568 12021211 6616912 146 211307313621 102279 2610 270 65 -26 +0 -0 +12 +18 0.4
Career— — 20061736 36361531 20854143 5320 209309303612 94282 2710 280 73 -62 +3 -1 +36 +57 3.4
/ 162G— — 650563 11820210 6717514 176 210309306615 96283 2710 280 73 -20 +1 -0 +12 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 ASan Jose Giants — 6757 17300 8102 11 298403351754 53362 1512 352 127 +2 -0 — — +2 0.4
202422 A+Eugene Emeralds — 7061 17402 7211 10 279362443805 164395 3010 355 130 +2 +0 — — +2 0.5
202422 ASan Jose Giants — 276215 491121 505010 104 228396312708 84291 1818 338 117 +5 +0 — — +8 1.4
202523 A+Eugene Emeralds — 230186 49704 34534 113 263388366754 102336 2315 341 119 +5 +1 — — +7 1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA
81,6393522225325344+29+5912.412.5
/162664149+11.9+23.85.0pk7: 13
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27211315214306320+13+81.71.7
/1626641214+11.9+7.41.5pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luke Shliger (OGILVIE) 24 45 35 55 60 192/292/268 76258 36 26% 10% 60 -0.0 ————————— —————————
✕Nolan Fontana
2014 · A 		23 42→43 39→40 52→50 58 198/312/287 89285 614 30% 14% 73 -0.1 204/300/291 87305 49 30% 12% 69 -0.4 184/288/308124252111229%12%68-0.2
✕Hoy Park
2019 · A 		23 46→49 39→45 55 50 218/298/304 86288 617 25% 9% 71 -0.3 227/304/324 97304 716 25% 9% 78 +0.2 217/301/336119289131828%10%77+0.1
✕Shayne Fontana
2021 · A 		24 48 40→45 53→55 45 226/293/330 103297 613 25% 7% 75 -0.0 202/286/308 106294 1010 32% 9% 67 -0.5 219/304/31898295101927%8%75-0.0
✕James Skelton
2010 · AA 		24 47→57 39→40 49→50 57 222/316/306 84290 613 24% 12% 79 +0.3 218/312/306 88292 611 24% 12% 77 +0.1 223/325/3068429751024%12%82+0.2
✕Mike McQuillan
2014 · A 		24 49 38→40 51→50 47 230/297/317 87318 514 27% 8% 72 -0.2 202/287/304 102302 99 33% 9% 66 -0.6 152/264/25210023210535%11%43-1.1
✕Conner Crumbliss
2011 · A 		24 46→50 39→45 49→50 61 216/324/306 90272 512 21% 13% 83 +0.6 219/320/327 108274 915 21% 12% 86 +0.8 213/318/332118262121621%12%85+0.6
✕Joe Sclafani
2014 · A 		24 46→45 40 52→50 51 218/297/316 98272 614 21% 9% 73 -0.1 252/313/328 76307 411 18% 8% 82 +0.5 279/336/3406133321016%7%89+0.5
✕Scott Wingo
2013 · A 		24 46→45 38→40 48→50 49 213/304/296 83286 411 25% 9% 72 -0.2 208/303/295 87293 610 28% 9% 72 -0.2 188/301/272842736929%10%62-0.6
✕Kobe Kato
2023 · A 		24 47 41→30 46→55 54 223/310/322 99281 910 22% 11% 80 +0.4 215/294/301 86303 622 28% 9% 68 -0.5 198/284/2818328662930%10%55-0.5
✕Michael Turconi
2023 · A 		24 50→44 40→45 45→50 50 239/316/330 91296 89 21% 8% 85 +0.7 206/287/298 92310 68 32% 9% 64 -0.8 187/274/269822945735%10%50-0.9
✕Gabe Holt
2022 · AA 		24 52→54 35→30 52→50 55 240/320/297 56290 312 17% 10% 78 +0.2 210/264/271 61245 312 15% 6% 46 -2.0 178/215/2143620101411%4%7-2.4
✕Damon Sublett
2010 · A 		24 48→49 40→45 50 49 222/303/328 106316 59 29% 10% 79 +0.3 219/295/328 109324 77 31% 10% 75 -0.0 217/292/3331163279234%10%72-0.1
✕Braiden Ward
2022 · A 		23 48→45 37→40 47→70 46 223/310/297 75312 410 28% 8% 75 -0.0 211/301/295 84308 644 31% 6% 72 -0.2 223/313/32410130666426%6%79+0.2
✕Drew Millas
2022 · A 		24 48 38→45 51→50 53 226/305/311 85282 514 21% 10% 75 -0.0 227/300/334 107297 912 25% 9% 79 +0.3 249/306/373124288121718%7%88+0.5
✕Matt Rudick
2022 · A 		24 45→44 39→45 56→50 49 215/284/308 92270 611 22% 8% 66 -0.6 212/297/327 115264 1014 22% 9% 77 +0.1 206/302/338132254151624%10%78+0.1
✕John Mora
2017 · A 		24 48→50 41→45 49→50 50 227/294/331 105280 79 21% 8% 76 +0.0 216/271/306 90297 59 27% 6% 59 -1.1 211/264/2968529741029%6%50-1.4
✕Casey Turgeon
2017 · AA 		24 44 39→40 47→45 55 210/302/302 93263 57 21% 10% 72 -0.2 212/292/317 105275 108 25% 9% 72 -0.2 195/281/2919624712625%9%59-0.6
✕Lance Zawadzki
2009 · A 		24 48→50 41→45 56→50 44 230/287/330 100309 715 27% 7% 72 -0.2 230/281/344 114303 1015 26% 6% 72 -0.2 225/274/338113295101626%6%64-0.6
✕Bryce Windham
2021 · A 		24 49 37→40 49→50 53 227/306/304 76293 37 22% 10% 73 -0.1 220/294/307 87275 66 21% 9% 69 -0.4 217/295/299822696620%10%65-0.3
✕Garrett Stubbs
2017 · AA 		24 50 41→45 51→50 52 243/310/345 102279 913 16% 8% 85 +0.7 227/290/326 99277 813 20% 7% 72 -0.2 217/303/339123262131722%10%80+0.1