Luke Shliger

C West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 25 L/R 5'7" / 197 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#804ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+/ASF346.239/.390/.34131166—.194/.314/.269
202523A+SF230.263/.388/.36641178—.223/.317/.299
202624AA/A+DET247.296/.412/.507108107—.246/.338/.408
2027PROJMLE25MLBDET1.216/.308/.33700880.0
2028PROJ38% MLB26MLBDET70.217/.308/.34022890.2
2029PROJ52% MLB27MLBDET117.218/.308/.34032890.3
Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
wOBA99
wRC+99
ISO99
Speed81
Whiff%79
K%74
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 1.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%
CompsMichael Turconi (age 25) · Josh Smith (age 26) · Terrin Vavra (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .308 / .337
PA1
HR0
K%27
BB%10
BABIP282
ISO109
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.30.40.30.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $1M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ASan Jose Giants — 6757 17300 8102 11 298403351754 53362 1512 352 70 — — — — — —
202422 A+Eugene Emeralds — 7061 17402 7211 10 279362443805 164395 3010 355 62 — — — — — —
202422 ASan Jose Giants — 276215 491121 505010 104 228396312708 84291 1818 338 67 — — — — — —
202523 A+Eugene Emeralds — 230186 49704 34534 113 263388366754 102336 2315 341 78 — — — — — —
202624 AAErie SeaWolves — 7463 25616 9150 31 3974728101.282 413432 2012 526 193 — — — — — —
202624 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 173140 35504 25376 53 250386371757 121307 2114 348 70 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLESan Jose Giants — 6760 14200 5152 11 233313267580 33312 227 272 70 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 7063 13301 5291 10 206275302577 95347 417 260 62 — — — — — —
202422 A MLESan Jose Giants — 276230 44921 357110 104 191324261585 70262 2613 267 67 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 230197 44603 23674 113 223317299616 76293 2910 283 78 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 7466 23515 6180 31 3484036821.085 333391 248 453 193 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 173148 30403 17476 53 203310291600 88258 2710 271 70 — — — — — —
202321 A MLESan Jose Giants — 6760 14200 5152 11 233313267580 33311 227 272 70 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWSan Jose Giants — 6757 17300 8102 11 298403351754 53362 1512 352 70 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE2 teams — 346293 571222 4010111 114 195314270584 75288 2912 266 66 — — — — — —
202422 A RAW2 teams — 346276 661523 577111 114 239390341730 101310 2116 342 66 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 230197 44603 23674 113 223317299616 76311 2910 283 78 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAWEugene Emeralds — 230186 49704 34534 113 263388366754 102336 2315 341 78 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 247213 53918 24656 84 249342413755 164312 2610 326 106 — — — — — —
202624 A+ RAW2 teams — 247203 6011110 34526 84 296412507919 212345 2114 401 106 — — — — — —
202321 A MLESan Jose Giants — 6760 14200 5152 11 233313267580 33312 227 272 70 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE2 teams — 346292 571222 4010111 114 195314271585 75279 2912 266 66 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 230201 44603 23674 113 219317294610 75293 2910 283 78 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 247215 53918 24656 84 247342409751 163298 2610 326 106 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLE2 teams — 346292 571222 4010111 114 195314271585 75279 2912 266 66 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 230201 44603 23674 113 219317294610 75293 2910 283 78 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 247215 53918 24656 84 247342409751 163298 2610 326 106 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEDET 0% 297261 581017 29795 72 220311345656 125286 2710 298 88 -4 +1 +0 +5 +6 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXDET 0% 11 0000 000 00 216308337645 121282 00 294 88 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEDET 38% 185162 36614 18493 41 221312348660 127286 2610 299 89 -2 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.5
202927 MLB MLEDET 52% 225197 44815 22594 52 222311348660 127286 2610 299 89 -3 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.6
203028 MLB MLEDET 60% 252221 50916 25674 52 221309347656 126285 2710 298 88 -4 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.6
203129 MLB MLEDET 62% 261230 51916 25694 42 220307343651 124284 2610 295 86 -4 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.5
203230 MLB MLEDET 63% 267236 52916 25714 42 218304339643 121282 279 292 84 -5 +0 -2 +5 +6 0.3
203331 MLB MLEDET 69% 244216 46815 23663 32 214299329628 115279 279 286 80 -6 -0 -3 +4 +5 0.1
202826 MLB CTXDET 38% 7062 13202 7191 21 217308340648 122282 2710 295 89 -1 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.2
202927 MLB CTXDET 52% 117103 22403 11312 21 218308340648 122281 269 295 89 -2 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.3
203028 MLB CTXDET 60% 150132 28503 15402 31 217306338644 121281 2710 293 88 -2 +0 -0 +3 +3 0.4
203129 MLB CTXDET 62% 161143 30504 15432 31 216304335639 119279 279 291 86 -3 +0 -1 +3 +3 0.3
203230 MLB CTXDET 63% 167147 32604 16442 31 214301331631 117278 2610 287 84 -3 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.2
203331 MLB CTXDET 69% 168148 30503 16452 22 210296321617 111275 2710 282 80 -4 -0 -2 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 833735 15527019 8022211 157 211298325623 114273 2710 290 84 -15 +0 -5 +15 +18 1.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 12121015 621739 125 211298326624 115272 2710 290 84 -11 +0 -4 +12 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 24702154 47483948 24466847 5924 220313334647 114293 2710 292 84 -27 +1 -7 +28 +34 3.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650567 12522213 6417612 166 220312335647 115293 2710 292 84 -11 +0 -3 +12 +14 1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 173 PAwOBA .343 → .271 (−72)K% 21.4% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.39%÷1.000×1.270——27.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.45%÷1.000×0.710—×0.97810.03%
HBP% /PA3.47%—×0.790—×0.9782.68%
Singles /BIP25.24%÷1.000×0.920×0.961×0.97821.83%
Doubles /BIP4.85%÷1.000×0.810×0.961×0.9783.70%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.961×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP3.88%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9783.04%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .343 → .271; ISO .121 → .095; BABIP .307 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 74 PAwOBA .525 → .453 (−72)K% 20.3% → 24.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.27%÷1.000×1.220——24.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.16%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9988.50%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.970—×0.99824.20%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.860—×0.99810.73%
Triples /BIP2.08%÷1.000×0.950—×0.9981.98%
Home runs /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9989.73%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .525 → .453; ISO .413 → .344; BABIP .432 → .391. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 230 PAwOBA .335 → .283 (−52)K% 23.0% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.04%÷1.070×1.350——29.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.48%÷0.950×0.710—×0.9889.95%
HBP% /PA1.74%—×0.810—×0.9881.39%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.011×0.910×1.004×0.98825.50%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.048×0.830×1.004×0.9884.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.909×0.820×1.004×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP3.01%÷0.980×0.830—×0.9882.52%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .335 → .283; ISO .102 → .086; BABIP .336 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASan Jose Giants · 276 PAwOBA .332 → .267 (−66)K% 18.1% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.12%÷0.957×1.360——25.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.12%÷0.966×0.690—×0.99012.81%
HBP% /PA3.62%—×0.780—×0.9902.80%
Singles /BIP21.21%÷0.961×0.920×0.987×0.99019.84%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.012×0.830×0.987×0.9905.34%
Triples /BIP1.21%÷1.000×0.910×0.987×0.9901.08%
Home runs /BIP0.61%÷0.959×0.800—×0.9900.50%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .332 → .267; ISO .084 → .068; BABIP .291 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 70 PAwOBA .346 → .260 (−86)K% 30.0% → 41.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.00%÷0.968×1.350——41.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.024×0.710—×0.9986.92%
HBP% /PA1.43%—×0.810—×0.9981.15%
Singles /BIP27.50%÷1.016×0.910—×0.99824.59%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.950×0.830—×0.9988.72%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷1.010×0.830—×0.9984.10%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .346 → .260; ISO .164 → .121; BABIP .395 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASan Jose Giants · 67 PAwOBA .344 → .272 (−72)K% 14.9% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.93%÷0.935×1.360——21.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.94%÷1.011×0.690——8.15%
HBP% /PA2.99%—×0.780——2.33%
Singles /BIP29.79%÷1.049×0.920×0.993—25.92%
Doubles /BIP6.38%÷1.005×0.830×0.993—5.23%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.993—0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.890×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .344 → .272; ISO .053 → .042; BABIP .362 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).