Quincy Hamilton
OF Sugar Land Space Cowboys| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | AAA/AAHOU | 323 | .250/.353/.442 | 13 | 6 | 79 | — | .215/.294/.361 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 573 | .229/.345/.403 | 17 | 17 | 76 | — | .194/.282/.351 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAAHOU | 226 | .157/.254/.288 | 6 | 5 | 15 | — | .126/.192/.217 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 29 | MLBHOU | 15 | .194/.269/.327 | 0 | 0 | 67 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 30 | MLBHOU | 46 | .194/.268/.324 | 1 | 1 | 65 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 142 | 115 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 261 | 380 | 357 | 736 | 96 | 311 | 20 | 13 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 148 | 126 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 206 | 318 | 341 | 659 | 135 | 250 | 23 | 13 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 233 | 187 | 60 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 39 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 321 | 448 | 524 | 972 | 203 | 368 | 17 | 16 | 426 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 160 | 134 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 291 | 403 | 485 | 888 | 194 | 324 | 17 | 12 | 394 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 132 | 112 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 336 | 438 | 773 | 214 | 212 | 16 | 12 | 344 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 191 | 164 | 44 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 47 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 268 | 365 | 445 | 810 | 177 | 336 | 25 | 13 | 359 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 410 | 349 | 86 | 21 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 94 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 246 | 352 | 464 | 816 | 218 | 292 | 23 | 13 | 358 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 77 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 131 | 312 | 197 | 508 | 66 | 156 | 19 | 17 | 261 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 86 | 71 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 341 | 282 | 623 | 56 | 283 | 21 | 14 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 226 | 198 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 157 | 254 | 288 | 542 | 131 | 189 | 27 | 11 | 249 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 142 | 121 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 215 | 307 | 273 | 579 | 58 | 269 | 27 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 148 | 134 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 164 | 243 | 261 | 504 | 97 | 218 | 30 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 233 | 200 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 55 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 255 | 352 | 410 | 762 | 155 | 305 | 24 | 10 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 160 | 140 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 243 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 157 | 289 | 24 | 9 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 132 | 117 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 298 | 393 | 691 | 179 | 211 | 19 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 191 | 171 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 55 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 216 | 291 | 339 | 630 | 123 | 286 | 29 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 410 | 366 | 76 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 112 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 208 | 286 | 383 | 668 | 175 | 260 | 27 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 77 | 65 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 123 | 260 | 185 | 444 | 62 | 145 | 23 | 12 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 226 | 207 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 72 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 126 | 192 | 217 | 409 | 92 | 171 | 32 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 142 | 121 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 215 | 307 | 273 | 579 | 58 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A RAW | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 142 | 115 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 261 | 380 | 357 | 736 | 96 | 311 | 20 | 13 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 474 | 107 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 50 | 137 | 13 | 27 | 4 | 226 | 317 | 365 | 682 | 139 | 284 | 25 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 541 | 447 | 125 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 76 | 100 | 13 | 27 | 4 | 280 | 399 | 461 | 859 | 181 | 323 | 18 | 14 | 383 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 288 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 80 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 212 | 291 | 347 | 638 | 135 | 257 | 25 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 323 | 276 | 69 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 68 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 250 | 353 | 442 | 795 | 192 | 283 | 21 | 12 | 353 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 573 | 506 | 99 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 154 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 196 | 283 | 354 | 637 | 158 | 246 | 27 | 10 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 573 | 481 | 110 | 23 | 5 | 17 | 79 | 127 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 229 | 345 | 403 | 748 | 175 | 273 | 22 | 14 | 335 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 226 | 207 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 72 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 126 | 192 | 217 | 409 | 92 | 168 | 32 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA RAW | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 226 | 198 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 157 | 254 | 288 | 542 | 131 | 189 | 27 | 11 | 249 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 142 | 125 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 208 | 307 | 264 | 571 | 56 | 269 | 27 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 473 | 107 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 50 | 137 | 13 | 27 | 4 | 226 | 317 | 366 | 682 | 140 | 276 | 25 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 288 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 80 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 212 | 291 | 347 | 638 | 135 | 255 | 25 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 573 | 506 | 99 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 154 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 196 | 283 | 354 | 637 | 158 | 242 | 27 | 10 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 226 | 207 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 72 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 126 | 192 | 217 | 409 | 92 | 171 | 32 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 573 | 506 | 99 | 23 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 154 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 196 | 283 | 354 | 637 | 158 | 242 | 27 | 10 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 226 | 207 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 72 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 126 | 192 | 217 | 409 | 92 | 171 | 32 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | HOU | 10% | 276 | 249 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 75 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 192 | 267 | 324 | 591 | 132 | 245 | 27 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -11 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | HOU | 10% | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 269 | 327 | 596 | 133 | 249 | 27 | 7 | 269 | 67 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | HOU | 27% | 167 | 150 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 266 | 321 | 587 | 129 | 245 | 28 | 8 | 265 | 65 | -7 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | HOU | 27% | 46 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 268 | 324 | 592 | 130 | 250 | 28 | 9 | 267 | 65 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 46 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 310 | 570 | 119 | 250 | 28 | 9 | 267 | 71 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 113 | 28 | 0 | 14 | 57 | 184 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 191 | 262 | 309 | 570 | 118 | 251 | 28 | 9 | 267 | 71 | -27 | +3 | -8 | -4 | +14 | -2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2118 | 1878 | 373 | 77 | 10 | 50 | 187 | 567 | 31 | 69 | 22 | 199 | 282 | 330 | 612 | 132 | 253 | 27 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -13 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +7 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 114 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 57 | 174 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 198 | 281 | 328 | 610 | 130 | 252 | 27 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -26 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 226 PAwOBA .243 → .191 (−52)K% 26.5% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.55% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.06% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×1.003 | 11.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.891 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.003 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×1.003 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.961 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.18% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .243 → .191; ISO .131 → .104; BABIP .189 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 410 PAwOBA .352 → .293 (−59)K% 22.9% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.93% | ÷1.006 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.17% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 15.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.24% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.018 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.64% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 107, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .352 → .293; ISO .218 → .187; BABIP .292 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 77 PAwOBA .255 → .209 (−46)K% 19.5% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.48% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.88% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 11.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.90% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 3.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 12.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.908 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 1.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 82, 3B 82, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .255 → .209; ISO .066 → .056; BABIP .156 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 191 PAwOBA .353 → .277 (−76)K% 24.6% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.61% | ÷1.049 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.57% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 20.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.40% | ÷0.975 | ×0.840 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 7.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.322 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.10% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 112, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .353 → .277; ISO .177 → .124; BABIP .336 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 132 PAwOBA .337 → .296 (−41)K% 15.9% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.48% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 16.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.30% | ÷0.882 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 6.21% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 76, 3B 111, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .337 → .296; ISO .214 → .182; BABIP .212 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Asheville Tourists · 233 PAwOBA .420 → .331 (−89)K% 16.7% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.74% | ÷0.927 | ×1.310 | — | — | 23.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.88% | ÷0.933 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 10.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.58% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.870 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 21.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.14% | ÷1.131 | ×0.780 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.73% | ÷0.972 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 4.23% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 85, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .420 → .331; ISO .203 → .170; BABIP .368 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 160 PAwOBA .386 → .315 (−71)K% 16.9% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.88% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.36% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.980 | 21.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.48% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×0.980 | 6.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.61% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 4.63% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .386 → .315; ISO .194 → .160; BABIP .324 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 148 PAwOBA .296 → .231 (−65)K% 23.0% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.97% | ÷0.947 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.84% | ÷1.084 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.48% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 16.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.040 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 89, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .296 → .231; ISO .135 → .105; BABIP .250 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .