Corey Joyce — OGILVIE

Corey JoyceSS Frisco RoughRiders

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION235 act + 156 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .289 / .325

PA156

HR4

K%29

BB%9

BABIP265

ISO123

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	51	8	2	0	0	3	18	1	0	0	157	218	196	414	39	242	33	5	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	50	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	180	255	220	475	40	257	27	7	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	3 teams	—	164	148	23	3	0	2	11	64	5	8	0	155	238	216	454	61	256	39	7	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	3 teams	—	164	140	27	3	0	2	17	46	5	8	0	193	299	257	556	64	272	28	10	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	355	298	65	12	2	12	38	103	16	8	5	218	338	393	731	174	285	29	11	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	355	280	74	13	3	11	56	72	16	8	5	264	415	450	865	186	315	20	16	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	353	302	54	10	2	5	35	123	11	10	3	179	287	275	562	96	274	35	10	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	353	284	62	15	3	5	53	94	11	10	3	218	362	345	707	127	300	27	15	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	99	84	16	2	0	1	12	32	3	6	0	190	313	250	563	60	294	32	12	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	99	77	17	2	0	1	19	25	3	6	0	221	394	286	680	65	314	25	19	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	433	378	94	19	1	2	44	118	11	16	3	249	344	320	664	71	357	27	10	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	433	362	99	21	1	3	58	87	11	16	3	273	388	362	750	88	353	20	13	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	TEX	—	235	213	44	6	0	10	16	70	4	5	2	207	275	376	650	169	254	30	7	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
YTD	27	AA	TEX	—	235	203	51	8	0	11	23	54	4	5	2	251	335	453	788	202	288	23	10	345	122	+6	+0	+0	+3	+7	1.6
ROS	27	AA	TEX	2%	156	138	28	5	0	4	14	45	3	4	1	202	289	325	614	123	266	29	9	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	TEX	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						268	33	0	262	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AA	TEX	—	238	216	44	6	0	10	16	71	4	5	2	204	271	370	642	167	250	30	7	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
TOT	27	AA	TEX	—	391	351	72	11	0	14	30	115	7	9	3	205	280	355	636	151	258	29	8	279	72	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TEX	27%	317	281	58	10	1	7	28	89	5	7	2	206	290	324	614	117	270	28	9	279	71	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2028	29	MLB	TEX	37%	338	300	63	11	1	8	30	95	5	7	2	210	293	333	626	123	271	28	9	280	73	-10	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.2
2029	30	MLB	TEX	43%	353	314	66	12	1	8	31	99	5	6	1	210	291	331	623	121	271	28	9	280	72	-11	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.2
2027	28	MLB	TEX	27%	85	77	16	3	0	2	7	24	1	2	0	208	282	325	607	117	271	28	8	268	63	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	29	MLB	TEX	37%	125	111	23	4	0	3	11	35	2	2	1	207	290	324	615	117	273	28	9	270	65	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	30	MLB	TEX	43%	152	136	28	5	0	4	13	43	2	3	1	206	285	331	616	125	273	28	9	270	65	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	365	327	67	12	0	9	31	103	5	7	2	205	284	324	608	119	267	28	8	270	64	-15	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	119	21	0	16	55	183	9	12	4	204	283	323	606	119	266	28	8	270	64	-26	+1	-3	+7	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2623	2294	475	86	8	49	246	786	65	72	17	207	302	316	617	109	289	30	9	278	71	-87	+8	-4	+28	+74	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	117	21	2	12	61	195	16	18	4	206	301	313	614	107	288	30	9	278	71	-21	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	50	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	180	255	220	475	40	257	27	7	226	31	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2021	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	35	6	0	0	0	0	15	1	1	0	171	194	171	366		300	42	0	171	-11	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	107	87	16	3	0	1	15	27	3	5	0	184	318	253	571	69	254	25	14	275	69	-4	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2021	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	21	18	5	0	0	1	2	4	1	2	0	278	381	444	825	167	308	19	10	373	144	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	22	16	10	2	0	2	5	3	1	1	0	625	727	1.125	1.852	500	727	14	23	745	428	+8	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2022	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	65	56	14	2	1	0	4	17	5	1	0	250	354	321	675	71	359	26	6	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	268	208	50	9	2	9	47	52	10	6	5	240	404	433	836	192	273	19	18	376	146	+14	-1	—	—	+8	2.1
2023	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	206	168	45	12	3	4	30	56	6	8	2	268	397	446	843	179	373	27	15	376	146	+11	+1	—	—	+6	1.8
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	147	116	17	3	0	1	23	38	5	2	1	147	312	198	511	52	200	26	16	255	53	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	28	22	5	2	0	0	6	7	0	2	0	227	393	318	711	91	333	25	21	338	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	29	10	0	0	1	4	9	3	2	0	345	472	448	920	103	474	25	11	423	182	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	25	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	35	26	2	0	0	0	9	9	0	2	0	77	314	77	391		118	26	26	231	35	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	389	323	88	16	1	2	56	81	8	15	2	272	391	347	737	74	358	21	14	344	121	+9	+2	—	—	+11	2.3
2025	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	44	39	11	5	0	1	2	6	3	1	1	282	364	487	851	205	312	14	5	378	147	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	368	8	7	208	287	326	+4	+3	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	15	13	208	287	326	+7.1	+5.4	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Corey Joyce (OGILVIE)	27	50	30	50	60	205/280/355	151	258	14	9	29%	8%	72	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Duarte 2012 · AAA	27	50→56	39→40	49→55	50	235/300/329	94	296	6	16	22%	8%	77	+0.1	228/297/324	96	285	8	11	21%	9%	75	-0.0	217/292/293	76	259	8	8	19%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Jack Dunn 2023 · AAA	26	48→47	38→40	46→55	47	226/294/303	77	302	5	12	26%	8%	68	-0.5	216/308/302	86	279	8	21	23%	10%	75	-0.0	206/313/288	82	258	9	26	22%	12%	72	-0.1
✕Derrik Gibson 2017 · AAA	27	51→54	37→40	50→55	48	237/299/310	72	296	3	12	20%	7%	71	-0.3	207/263/306	99	279	6	12	26%	7%	56	-1.3	183/238/287	105	253	5	11	29%	6%	38	-1.2
✕Cutter Dykstra 2015 · AA	26	49→53	40	49→55	46	231/297/321	90	313	7	14	27%	8%	74	-0.1	223/287/305	82	320	7	9	30%	8%	65	-0.7	211/279/274	64	299	7	8	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Jordan Cowan 2022 · AA	27	49→53	40→30	52→50	46	235/294/327	92	300	8	19	24%	7%	74	-0.1	218/283/308	90	291	7	13	26%	7%	65	-0.7	185/261/225	39	255	0	8	25%	7%	31	-0.8
✕Andrew Aplin 2018 · AAA	27	44→54	40	52→55	50	212/286/306	94	274	7	19	24%	9%	66	-0.6	213/278/324	111	270	10	9	24%	8%	67	-0.5	219/280/335	116	267	9	3	20%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Ryan Jackson 2015 · MLB	27	50→54	38→40	52→45	46	236/289/314	78	299	6	8	22%	7%	68	-0.5	222/280/282	60	309	3	6	27%	8%	56	-1.3	217/279/259	43	302	1	3	27%	8%	47	-1.0
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	46→51	38→40	49→55	44	218/272/292	74	286	5	16	25%	6%	55	-1.4	212/263/300	88	281	8	18	26%	6%	54	-1.4	196/246/269	72	264	6	19	27%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA	28	46→47	36→30	47→50	52	213/294/275	62	265	4	13	20%	9%	62	-0.9	216/289/280	64	270	3	12	20%	8%	60	-1.0	214/286/271	57	268	2	9	19%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Christian Herrera 2009 · AAA	27	48	38→40	48→45	44	228/280/310	81	288	5	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	229/277/317	88	299	6	8	24%	5%	64	-0.8	232/282/319	87	309	6	8	26%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Josh Labandeira 2006 · AAA	27	51→52	38→40	45	48	237/307/322	85	302	4	12	22%	8%	79	+0.3	238/295/312	74	294	4	9	19%	6%	71	-0.3	236/292/299	63	293	4	6	19%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Matt Williams 2017 · AAA	27	47→49	37→45	47→50	50	222/291/297	75	286	4	14	23%	9%	65	-0.7	215/269/317	102	258	9	15	19%	7%	61	-1.0	193/241/293	100	218	9	17	16%	5%	39	-1.3
✕Alfredo Lopez 2017 · AAA	27	51	37→30	52→50	46	242/290/316	74	292	4	18	18%	6%	69	-0.4	247/295/331	84	293	6	19	17%	6%	75	-0.0	259/292/309	50	300	3	17	14%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Abiatal Avelino 2022 · AAA	27	48→54	41→45	54→55	45	232/281/336	104	280	8	17	20%	6%	71	-0.3	228/279/351	123	277	13	16	22%	6%	74	-0.1	212/259/338	126	251	16	18	23%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2019 · AAA	27	50→56	39→40	50→60	45	238/277/319	81	276	7	20	17%	5%	64	-0.8	240/282/333	93	281	7	11	17%	5%	69	-0.4	240/287/328	88	279	6	10	16%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Elliot Soto 2017 · AAA	27	48→53	35→40	48→50	51	225/297/279	55	294	3	8	23%	9%	63	-0.8	223/280/307	84	288	5	8	23%	7%	63	-0.9	228/287/310	82	306	4	7	25%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Brett Dowdy 2009 · AAA	27	48→50	42→40	50	45	234/285/340	106	282	10	13	21%	6%	74	-0.1	221/262/311	90	269	8	11	20%	5%	56	-1.3	194/228/251	57	232	4	9	18%	3%	23	-2.1
✕Rafael Bautista 2021 · AAA	28	45→53	40→30	53→60	43	216/267/303	87	278	7	16	24%	6%	56	-1.3	217/264/323	106	273	11	9	24%	4%	61	-1.0	204/247/291	87	252	10	6	23%	3%	41	-1.0
✕Andy Simunic 2013 · AA	27	50→58	37→30	52→50	43	238/287/303	65	315	5	13	25%	6%	64	-0.8	235/284/299	64	316	4	14	25%	6%	62	-0.9	234/283/267	33	324	1	18	26%	6%	51	-0.4
✕Danny Worth 2013 · MLB	27	46→52	44→45	51→50	46	224/291/341	118	296	10	16	27%	8%	77	+0.1	204/264/293	89	306	6	13	32%	7%	53	-1.5	221/288/315	95	324	7	9	32%	8%	66	-0.4