Corey Joyce — OGILVIE

Corey JoyceSS Frisco RoughRiders

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION342 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO84

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	50	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	180	255	220	475	40	257	27	7	226	39	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	35	6	0	0	0	0	15	1	1	0	171	194	171	366		300	42	0	171	2	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	107	87	16	3	0	1	15	27	3	5	0	184	318	253	571	69	254	25	14	275	73	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2021	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	21	18	5	0	0	1	2	4	1	2	0	278	381	444	825	167	308	19	10	373	139	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	22	16	10	2	0	2	5	3	1	1	0	625	727	1.125	1.852	500	727	14	23	745	390	+8	+0	—	—	+0	0.8
2022	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	65	56	14	2	1	0	4	17	5	1	0	250	354	321	675	71	359	26	6	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	268	208	50	9	2	9	47	52	10	6	5	240	404	433	836	192	273	19	18	376	141	+13	-1	—	—	+6	1.8
2023	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	206	168	45	12	3	4	30	56	6	8	2	268	397	446	843	179	373	27	15	376	141	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.6
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	147	116	17	3	0	1	23	38	5	2	1	147	312	198	511	52	200	26	16	255	58	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	28	22	5	2	0	0	6	7	0	2	0	227	393	318	711	91	333	25	21	338	115	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	29	10	0	0	1	4	9	3	2	0	345	472	448	920	103	474	25	11	423	172	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	25	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	35	26	2	0	0	0	9	9	0	2	0	77	314	77	391		118	26	26	231	43	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	389	323	88	16	1	2	56	81	8	15	2	272	391	347	737	74	358	21	14	344	119	+9	+2	—	—	+8	2.0
2025	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	44	39	11	5	0	1	2	6	3	1	1	282	364	487	851	205	312	14	5	378	142	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	20	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	51	8	2	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	157	218	196	414	39	233	35	5	177	6	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2021	22	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	35	5	0	0	0	0	18	1	1	0	143	167	143	310		274	50	0	133	-24	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	107	94	14	3	0	1	10	38	3	5	0	149	252	213	465	64	233	36	9	215	32	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	21	19	5	0	0	1	1	6	1	2	0	263	333	421	754	158	279	29	5	296	86	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	22	17	9	2	0	1	4	4	1	1	0	529	636	824	1.460	294	613	18	18	610	299	+5	+0	—	—	+0	0.6
2022	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	65	57	12	2	1	0	3	21	5	1	0	211	308	281	588	70	323	32	5	259	61	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	268	222	43	8	1	9	33	73	10	6	5	194	325	360	685	167	234	27	12	302	91	-3	-1	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	206	177	39	9	2	3	21	68	6	8	2	220	324	345	668	124	324	33	10	299	88	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	147	124	16	3	0	1	15	49	5	2	1	129	250	177	427	48	178	33	10	198	20	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	28	24	5	2	0	0	4	8	0	2	0	208	321	292	613	83	272	29	14	256	59	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	36	30	10	0	0	1	3	11	3	2	0	333	444	433	878	100	445	31	8	355	126	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	35	29	2	0	0	0	6	12	0	2	0	69	229	69	298		110	34	17	170	1	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	389	342	86	16	1	2	39	100	8	15	2	251	342	322	664	70	344	26	10	295	86	-7	+2	—	—	+8	0.4
2019	20	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	51	8	2	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	157	218	196	414	39	250	35	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	50	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	180	255	220	475	40	257	27	7	226	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	164	148	24	3	0	2	11	61	5	8	0	162	244	223	467	61	259	37	7	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	164	140	27	3	0	2	17	46	5	8	0	193	299	257	556	64	272	28	10	265	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	355	297	64	11	2	10	39	98	16	8	5	215	338	367	705	152	281	28	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	355	280	74	13	3	11	56	72	16	8	5	264	415	450	865	186	315	20	16	388	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	353	301	54	11	2	4	36	117	11	10	3	179	290	269	559	90	270	33	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	353	284	62	15	3	5	53	94	11	10	3	218	362	345	707	127	300	27	15	325	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	99	83	16	2	0	1	13	32	3	6	0	193	323	253	576	60	300	32	13	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	99	77	17	2	0	1	19	25	3	6	0	221	394	286	680	65	314	25	19	331	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	378	94	17	1	2	44	111	11	16	3	249	344	315	659	66	347	26	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	433	362	99	21	1	3	58	87	11	16	3	273	388	362	750	88	353	20	13	347	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	55	51	8	2	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	157	218	196	414	39	233	35	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	164	147	24	3	0	2	11	61	5	8	0	163	244	224	468	61	248	37	7	207	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	355	297	64	11	2	10	39	98	16	8	5	215	338	367	705	152	274	28	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	353	303	54	11	2	4	36	117	11	10	3	178	290	267	558	89	263	33	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	99	83	16	2	0	1	13	32	3	6	0	193	323	253	576	60	278	32	13	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	375	94	17	1	2	44	111	11	16	3	251	344	317	661	67	344	26	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	353	303	54	11	2	4	36	117	11	10	3	178	290	267	558	89	263	33	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	99	83	16	2	0	1	13	32	3	6	0	193	323	253	576	60	278	32	13	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	433	375	94	17	1	2	44	111	11	16	3	251	344	317	661	67	344	26	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	TEX	—	342	312	65	8	0	10	23	95	5	11	2	208	274	330	604	122	264	28	7	264	65	-14	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	TEX	—	342	298	74	9	0	13	33	78	5	11	2	248	329	409	739	161	293	23	10	329	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	TEX	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	22	11	269	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AA MLE	TEX	—	351	320	66	8	0	10	24	97	5	11	2	206	272	325	597	119	262	28	7	264	65	-15	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TEX	27%	317	283	59	9	1	6	26	85	5	8	1	208	287	311	598	102	270	27	8	273	71	-11	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	TEX	37%	338	302	64	10	1	7	28	91	5	8	1	212	290	321	611	109	272	27	8	275	72	-11	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	TEX	43%	353	315	67	11	1	7	30	95	5	7	1	213	291	321	612	108	272	27	8	275	72	-12	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	TEX	27%	85	77	16	2	0	2	7	23	1	2	0	208	282	312	594	104	273	27	8	266	71	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	TEX	37%	125	112	24	4	0	3	10	33	2	3	0	214	290	330	621	116	274	26	8	269	72	-4	+1	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	TEX	43%	152	136	29	5	0	3	13	41	2	3	1	213	291	316	608	103	274	27	9	269	72	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	362	325	69	11	0	8	30	97	5	8	1	212	289	320	609	108	275	27	8	268	72	-12	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	124	20	0	14	54	174	9	14	2	212	289	318	608	106	275	27	8	268	72	-22	+2	-3	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2476	2166	451	76	8	39	231	711	62	71	14	208	303	305	607	96	288	29	9	274	72	-34	+3	-4	+11	+22	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	118	20	2	10	61	187	16	19	4	207	302	302	605	95	287	29	9	274	72	-22	+2	-3	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	368	8	8	210	285	316	+4	+3	0.2	0.2
/162	664	14	15	+7.1	+5.4	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Corey Joyce (OGILVIE)	27	50	30	50	60	203/281/301	98	269	5	7	27%	8%	68	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	38→40	49→55	45	222/277/298	76	287	5	16	24%	6%	63	-1.3	211/266/294	83	280	7	18	25%	6%	59	-1.7	193/244/257	65	259	5	19	26%	6%	41	-1.5
✕Jose Duarte 2012 · AAA	27	49→56	39→40	49→55	50	231/297/322	91	291	5	16	22%	8%	77	-0.3	225/294/316	91	280	7	11	21%	9%	75	-0.5	216/290/282	67	257	7	8	18%	10%	63	-0.5
✕Matt Williams 2017 · AAA	27	47→48	37→40	47→50	50	220/290/293	73	282	4	14	22%	9%	68	-1.0	216/272/315	99	259	8	15	19%	7%	66	-1.1	198/245/292	94	224	8	17	16%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Jack Dunn 2023 · AAA	26	48	37→40	46→55	47	227/294/299	72	300	5	12	24%	8%	71	-0.8	217/308/298	81	279	7	21	23%	10%	77	-0.3	209/314/286	77	261	8	26	21%	11%	75	-0.4
✕Hunter Jones 2019 · AAA	27	49→57	40	53→55	44	234/289/330	97	294	7	14	22%	6%	76	-0.4	213/270/308	95	291	8	12	28%	6%	64	-1.3	134/194/192	57	197	7	10	34%	5%	8	-1.6
✕Alfredo Lopez 2017 · AAA	27	50	37→30	52→50	46	236/287/309	72	285	4	18	18%	6%	70	-0.9	244/295/325	81	291	5	19	17%	6%	76	-0.4	252/287/296	45	294	2	17	15%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Kramer Robertson 2022 · AAA	27	44→51	44→40	51→55	50	217/299/336	119	268	11	13	23%	9%	82	+0.0	205/307/292	87	273	8	22	25%	10%	76	-0.4	189/303/255	65	260	6	26	26%	11%	64	-1.1
✕Danny Worth 2013 · MLB	27	46→53	42→45	51→50	47	223/291/330	107	296	9	16	27%	8%	77	-0.3	204/266/291	87	307	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	223/291/322	99	325	7	9	31%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Jordan Cowan 2022 · AA	27	49→51	39→30	53→50	48	231/295/314	83	295	6	19	23%	8%	74	-0.5	219/285/306	87	290	6	13	25%	7%	70	-0.9	191/265/232	41	258	0	8	24%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Brian Friday 2012 · AAA	26	46→52	40	47→50	47	219/286/317	98	283	6	12	24%	8%	72	-0.7	205/269/295	90	266	6	14	24%	7%	61	-1.5	176/243/242	66	228	3	16	22%	7%	37	-1.8
✕Jecksson Flores 2021 · AAA	27	46→56	41→40	52→55	44	225/275/318	92	272	8	18	20%	5%	68	-1.0	218/283/306	88	268	6	8	20%	7%	69	-0.9	214/283/290	77	263	4	4	19%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Ryan Jackson 2015 · MLB	27	49→53	38→40	52→45	46	232/286/308	77	294	6	8	23%	7%	70	-0.9	226/287/287	61	310	3	6	26%	8%	65	-1.2	223/286/267	44	308	1	3	26%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA	28	46→47	36→30	47→50	52	213/295/276	63	264	4	13	20%	9%	67	-1.1	213/288/276	63	267	3	12	20%	8%	64	-1.3	208/284/263	55	261	2	9	19%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Abiatal Avelino 2022 · AAA	27	48→52	41→45	53→55	45	233/283/334	101	283	8	17	20%	6%	74	-0.5	226/281/344	118	274	12	16	21%	6%	76	-0.4	206/252/321	115	240	14	18	21%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Evan Mendoza 2023 · AAA	27	44→51	36→30	50	47	210/268/270	61	266	4	18	22%	7%	54	-2.0	217/274/308	91	272	9	17	22%	7%	65	-1.2	196/237/246	51	244	8	21	23%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Derrik Gibson 2017 · AAA	27	52→55	37→40	49→55	48	243/304/315	72	301	3	12	20%	7%	78	-0.3	214/269/317	103	284	6	12	25%	7%	65	-1.2	192/246/307	115	260	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Jeff Bianchi 2014 · MLB	27	49→57	39→45	46→50	43	237/276/318	81	289	6	13	20%	5%	68	-1.0	225/266/302	77	283	6	9	22%	5%	60	-1.6	214/254/266	53	277	4	6	23%	5%	44	-0.9
✕Andy Simunic 2013 · AA	27	52→59	37→30	52→50	44	243/294/310	66	317	5	13	24%	6%	72	-0.7	238/286/301	63	315	4	14	24%	6%	68	-1.0	237/286/270	33	322	1	18	25%	6%	58	-0.4
✕L.J. Mazzilli 2018 · AAA	27	46→54	38→40	49→45	49	219/278/302	83	265	5	9	19%	7%	65	-1.2	220/277/327	107	269	9	9	21%	7%	71	-0.8	204/259/317	112	243	11	4	20%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2019 · AAA	27	49→54	39→40	50→60	45	235/275/315	80	274	6	20	17%	5%	66	-1.1	240/282/330	90	281	7	11	16%	5%	72	-0.7	240/288/323	83	279	5	10	15%	6%	70	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps