Levi Michael
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 386 | .262/.354/.375 | 7 | 8 | 68 | — | .222/.297/.314 |
| 2018 | 27 | AANYM | 447 | .305/.391/.470 | 10 | 13 | 108 | — | .283/.353/.426 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA/AASF | 435 | .239/.320/.384 | 10 | 8 | 49 | — | .189/.254/.294 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 512 | 431 | 106 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 56 | 82 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 246 | 343 | 311 | 654 | 65 | 295 | 16 | 11 | 296 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 375 | 315 | 72 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 67 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 229 | 336 | 340 | 676 | 111 | 272 | 18 | 13 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 63 | 53 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 340 | 444 | 358 | 803 | 19 | 429 | 17 | 11 | 377 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 201 | 177 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 305 | 379 | 395 | 774 | 90 | 346 | 12 | 9 | 346 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 400 | 385 | 785 | 77 | 267 | 0 | 12 | 317 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 264 | 221 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 53 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 267 | 372 | 434 | 806 | 167 | 327 | 20 | 12 | 354 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 59 | 47 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 277 | 404 | 340 | 744 | 64 | 361 | 19 | 14 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 358 | 316 | 68 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 83 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 215 | 293 | 291 | 585 | 76 | 284 | 23 | 6 | 266 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 45 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 295 | 341 | 637 | 98 | 300 | 24 | 7 | 282 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 341 | 295 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 85 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 264 | 362 | 380 | 741 | 115 | 353 | 25 | 10 | 339 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 447 | 387 | 118 | 30 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 93 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 305 | 391 | 470 | 862 | 165 | 379 | 21 | 8 | 381 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 346 | 302 | 75 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 86 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 248 | 328 | 411 | 739 | 162 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 324 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 89 | 78 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 287 | 282 | 569 | 77 | 258 | 19 | 7 | 260 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 512 | 443 | 90 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 122 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 203 | 287 | 260 | 546 | 56 | 258 | 24 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 375 | 327 | 63 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 98 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 193 | 279 | 284 | 563 | 92 | 246 | 26 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 63 | 56 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 339 | 413 | 357 | 770 | 18 | 438 | 22 | 6 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 201 | 182 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 269 | 328 | 357 | 685 | 88 | 315 | 17 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 17 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 333 | 357 | 690 | 71 | 210 | 0 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 264 | 232 | 54 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 65 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 233 | 310 | 353 | 664 | 121 | 301 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 358 | 324 | 62 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 105 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 191 | 254 | 253 | 507 | 62 | 267 | 29 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 45 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 250 | 310 | 560 | 95 | 273 | 29 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 341 | 305 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 103 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 223 | 303 | 315 | 618 | 92 | 314 | 30 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 447 | 399 | 113 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 114 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 283 | 353 | 426 | 779 | 143 | 363 | 26 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 346 | 311 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 114 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 254 | 302 | 557 | 113 | 260 | 33 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 89 | 80 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 253 | 263 | 515 | 75 | 235 | 24 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 512 | 443 | 90 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 122 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 203 | 287 | 260 | 546 | 56 | 271 | 24 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 512 | 431 | 106 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 56 | 82 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 246 | 343 | 311 | 654 | 65 | 295 | 16 | 11 | 296 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 375 | 327 | 63 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 98 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 193 | 279 | 284 | 563 | 92 | 259 | 26 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 375 | 315 | 72 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 67 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 229 | 336 | 340 | 676 | 111 | 272 | 18 | 13 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 281 | 252 | 71 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 49 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 282 | 344 | 349 | 693 | 67 | 340 | 17 | 7 | 306 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 281 | 243 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 36 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 313 | 395 | 387 | 782 | 74 | 357 | 13 | 10 | 351 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 282 | 67 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 80 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 238 | 317 | 365 | 683 | 128 | 315 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 323 | 268 | 72 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 64 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 269 | 378 | 418 | 796 | 149 | 333 | 20 | 12 | 351 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 358 | 324 | 62 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 105 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 191 | 254 | 253 | 507 | 62 | 279 | 29 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 358 | 316 | 68 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 83 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 215 | 293 | 291 | 585 | 76 | 284 | 23 | 6 | 266 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 347 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 116 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 222 | 297 | 314 | 611 | 92 | 314 | 30 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 386 | 336 | 88 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 96 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 262 | 354 | 375 | 729 | 113 | 346 | 25 | 9 | 332 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 447 | 399 | 113 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 114 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 283 | 353 | 426 | 779 | 143 | 378 | 26 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA RAW | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 447 | 387 | 118 | 30 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 93 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 305 | 391 | 470 | 862 | 165 | 379 | 21 | 8 | 381 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 435 | 391 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 135 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 189 | 254 | 294 | 548 | 105 | 266 | 31 | 4 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 435 | 380 | 91 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 103 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 239 | 320 | 384 | 704 | 145 | 300 | 24 | 7 | 311 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 512 | 455 | 90 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 122 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 198 | 287 | 253 | 540 | 55 | 258 | 24 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 375 | 333 | 63 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 98 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 189 | 279 | 279 | 558 | 90 | 246 | 26 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 281 | 255 | 71 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 49 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 278 | 344 | 345 | 689 | 67 | 336 | 17 | 7 | 306 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 287 | 67 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 80 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 233 | 317 | 359 | 676 | 125 | 301 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 358 | 328 | 62 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 105 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 189 | 254 | 250 | 504 | 61 | 267 | 29 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 346 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 116 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 223 | 297 | 315 | 612 | 92 | 309 | 30 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 447 | 401 | 113 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 114 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 282 | 353 | 424 | 777 | 142 | 363 | 26 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 435 | 398 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 135 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 186 | 254 | 289 | 543 | 103 | 255 | 31 | 4 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3117 | 2765 | 617 | 106 | 28 | 32 | 207 | 819 | 82 | 89 | 26 | 223 | 297 | 316 | 613 | 93 | 302 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -120 | +7 | +0 | +11 | +68 | -3.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 129 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 171 | 17 | 19 | 5 | 224 | 297 | 319 | 616 | 95 | 302 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -25 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAASacramento River Cats · 346 PAwOBA .313 → .246 (−67)K% 24.9% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.86% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.78% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.47% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 3.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.15% | ÷0.982 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 19.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.09% | ÷0.981 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.008 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.63% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.49% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .313 → .246; ISO .162 → .117; BABIP .312 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 89 PAwOBA .256 → .219 (−37)K% 19.1% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.10% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.74% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 4.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.37% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.03% | ÷1.020 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.968 | 16.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.916 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.147 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.968 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 104, 2B 83, 3B 129, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .256 → .219; ISO .077 → .067; BABIP .258 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 447 PAwOBA .371 → .328 (−43)K% 20.8% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.81% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.61% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.47% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 3.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.85% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×0.978 | 25.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.20% | ÷0.906 | ×0.860 | ×1.035 | ×0.978 | 9.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.134 | ×0.950 | ×1.035 | ×0.978 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.40% | ÷1.013 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 127, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .371 → .328; ISO .165 → .141; BABIP .379 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 341 PAwOBA .329 → .272 (−57)K% 24.9% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.93% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.52% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 2.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 24.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.084 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.018 | ×0.880 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 104, K 102, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .329 → .272; ISO .115 → .093; BABIP .353 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARochester Red Wings · 45 PAwOBA .281 → .241 (−40)K% 24.4% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.44% | ÷0.997 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 24.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 2.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.085 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.98% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 117, 3B 117, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .281 → .241; ISO .098 → .084; BABIP .300 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 358 PAwOBA .260 → .222 (−38)K% 23.2% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.18% | ÷0.961 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.42% | ÷1.039 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.35% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 2.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.61% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.108 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 1.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 3.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.301 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 101, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 92, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .260 → .222; ISO .076 → .065; BABIP .284 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 264 PAwOBA .348 → .295 (−53)K% 20.1% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.08% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.74% | ÷1.059 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.02% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.999 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.98% | ÷1.020 | ×0.880 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 2.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.98% | ÷1.232 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 104, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .348 → .295; ISO .167 → .138; BABIP .327 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 201 PAwOBA .341 → .296 (−45)K% 12.4% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.44% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.45% | ÷1.018 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.63% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 24.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷1.011 | ×0.960 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.995 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 86, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .341 → .296; ISO .090 → .082; BABIP .346 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .