Terrin Vavra2B
Norfolk Tides
Age 29
L/R
5'11" / 185 lbs
AAA
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .295 / .320
PA250
HR3
K%25
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
35→35
SPD
50→50
EYE
49↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-2
MLB Debut 2022
Service 4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2028
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2027 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-4M | $-4M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | 453 | 404 | 94 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 84 | 2 | 18 | 9 | .233 | .292 | .349 | .641 | .116 | .268 | 19 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +13 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 208 | 181 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 63 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .232 | .329 | .381 | .710 | .149 | .333 | 30 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | 3 teams | 332 | 289 | 81 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 66 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .280 | .366 | .384 | .750 | .104 | .350 | 20 | 10 | .330 | 111 | +4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | 2 teams | 124 | 113 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .265 | .320 | .363 | .683 | .097 | .337 | 23 | 6 | .297 | 85 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 262 | 235 | 54 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 3 | .230 | .301 | .340 | .642 | .111 | .318 | 29 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -9 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 298 | 265 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 72 | 2 | 7 | 1 | .245 | .308 | .321 | .629 | .075 | .328 | 24 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 250 | 227 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .229 | .294 | .322 | .616 | .093 | .301 | 25 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | BAL | 325 | 294 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 82 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .228 | .295 | .320 | .615 | .092 | .299 | 25 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -9 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | BAL | 310 | 280 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 79 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .225 | .293 | .318 | .611 | .093 | .297 | 25 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | BAL | 291 | 263 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .228 | .298 | .327 | .625 | .099 | .295 | 26 | 8 | .279 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -0.9 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | BAL | 261 | 236 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .220 | .290 | .309 | .599 | .089 | .293 | 26 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -10 | +0 | -6 | -3 | +7 | -1.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 70% | BAL | 219 | 198 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .286 | .308 | .594 | .091 | .291 | 27 | 8 | .267 | 62 | -9 | +0 | -6 | -2 | +6 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3333 | 2985 | 703 | 124 | 22 | 44 | 265 | 816 | 35 | 57 | 21 | .236 | .305 | .336 | .641 | .101 | .307 | 24 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -90 | +3 | -28 | -27 | +94 | -4.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 137 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 159 | 7 | 11 | 4 | .235 | .306 | .337 | .643 | .101 | .306 | 24 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -18 | +1 | -6 | -5 | +18 | -1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | 453 | 374 | 119 | 32 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 62 | 2 | 18 | 9 | .318 | .418 | .489 | .907 | .171 | .350 | 14 | 14 | .391 | 157 | +29 | +0 | — | — | +13 | 4.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 184 | 149 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 42 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .248 | .388 | .430 | .818 | .181 | .314 | 23 | 16 | .368 | 140 | +8 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 1.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 24 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .381 | .458 | .571 | 1.030 | .190 | .533 | 25 | 12 | .450 | 203 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 103 | 89 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .258 | .347 | .337 | .684 | .079 | .310 | 18 | 12 | .309 | 95 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 208 | 173 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 36 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .324 | .435 | .451 | .886 | .127 | .400 | 17 | 13 | .399 | 163 | +15 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 2.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 21 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .188 | .350 | .375 | .725 | .188 | .214 | 14 | 19 | .316 | 100 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 56 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .245 | .315 | .245 | .560 | .000 | .324 | 21 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 68 | 63 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .333 | .382 | .524 | .906 | .190 | .396 | 19 | 4 | .399 | 164 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 237 | 202 | 47 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 62 | 3 | 2 | 3 | .233 | .338 | .347 | .684 | .114 | .314 | 26 | 12 | .311 | 96 | -1 | -1 | — | — | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .292 | .320 | .375 | .695 | .083 | .389 | 24 | 4 | .312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 298 | 253 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 58 | 2 | 7 | 1 | .257 | .349 | .340 | .689 | .083 | .325 | 19 | 11 | .309 | 94 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 159 | 138 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .254 | .335 | .304 | .640 | .051 | .315 | 19 | 11 | .290 | 80 | -4 | -0 | -2 | -0 | +5 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Terrin Vavra (OGILVIE) | 29 | 50 | 35 | 50 | 55 | .228/.295/.320 | .093 | .301 | 3 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Peter Bergeron 2007 · MLB |
29 | 51→60 | 41→40 | 45→50 | 45 | .245/.293/.343 | .099 | .311 | 9 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .232/.282/.331 | .099 | .294 | 8 | 11 | 23% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.267/.281 | .051 | .290 | 0 | 8 | 20% | 5% | 47 | -0.4 |
|
✕Omar Quintanilla 2011 · MLB |
29 | 47→57 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 47 | .223/.284/.317 | .094 | .286 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .229/.287/.339 | .110 | .284 | 10 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .235/.300/.338 | .103 | .289 | 9 | 3 | 20% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jose Salazar 2013 · AAA |
29 | 50 | 39→40 | 48→45 | 42 | .241/.275/.333 | .091 | .292 | 6 | 9 | 20% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .230/.266/.310 | .080 | .293 | 6 | 6 | 23% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .223/.257/.272 | .049 | .286 | 3 | 2 | 22% | 4% | 39 | -1.0 |
|
✕Mitch Canham 2014 · AAA |
29 | 46→50 | 38→45 | 48→45 | 48 | .216/.281/.301 | .085 | .280 | 4 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .219/.276/.314 | .095 | .280 | 7 | 13 | 23% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .187/.229/.236 | .049 | .231 | 5 | 12 | 21% | 5% | 20 | -0.7 |
|
✕Brad Coon 2012 · AAA |
29 | 49→57 | 37→40 | 51→60 | 49 | .230/.295/.306 | .076 | .292 | 4 | 17 | 22% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.289/.297 | .081 | .282 | 5 | 16 | 23% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .200/.281/.261 | .061 | .262 | 3 | 18 | 23% | 10% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Blake Davis 2013 · MLB |
29 | 47→56 | 40 | 48→50 | 42 | .228/.264/.322 | .094 | .276 | 7 | 9 | 20% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .219/.252/.303 | .084 | .279 | 5 | 9 | 23% | 4% | 49 | -1.8 | .211/.240/.280 | .069 | .274 | 3 | 7 | 23% | 3% | 34 | -1.4 |
|
✕Sherman Johnson 2019 · AAA |
29 | 42→50 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 48 | .206/.281/.310 | .104 | .272 | 9 | 13 | 26% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .204/.278/.309 | .105 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .178/.271/.272 | .094 | .251 | 8 | 7 | 30% | 10% | 48 | -0.8 |
|
✕Taylor Kohlwey 2023 · AAA |
29 | 50→53 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 48 | .238/.305/.340 | .102 | .305 | 8 | 10 | 24% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .229/.307/.342 | .113 | .291 | 10 | 12 | 23% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .230/.322/.348 | .118 | .286 | 11 | 15 | 22% | 10% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
✕Logan Watkins 2019 · AAA |
29 | 47→52 | 37→45 | 48→55 | 45 | .223/.278/.297 | .075 | .283 | 4 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .231/.297/.346 | .115 | .295 | 11 | 17 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .232/.306/.347 | .115 | .293 | 11 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 82 | +0.1 |
|
✕Drew Meyer 2010 · AAA |
28 | 50→56 | 38→40 | 48→50 | 48 | .236/.290/.320 | .084 | .288 | 5 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .229/.284/.323 | .094 | .288 | 7 | 8 | 21% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .207/.266/.288 | .081 | .263 | 5 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 50 | -0.9 |
|
✕Drew Niles 2006 · AAA |
29 | 50→52 | 40 | 46→45 | 48 | .237/.306/.330 | .093 | .319 | 7 | 8 | 26% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .224/.284/.311 | .087 | .309 | 7 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .203/.255/.253 | .051 | .285 | 3 | 3 | 28% | 6% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Tug Hulett 2012 · MLB |
29 | 44→54 | 43→45 | 45→50 | 50 | .216/.284/.333 | .117 | .266 | 10 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .236/.290/.339 | .103 | .298 | 8 | 9 | 22% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .256/.307/.337 | .081 | .327 | 5 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matt Angle 2015 · AAA |
29 | 45→55 | 38→40 | 53→60 | 41 | .215/.273/.295 | .080 | .300 | 6 | 16 | 29% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .206/.271/.283 | .077 | .299 | 5 | 19 | 30% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .185/.267/.221 | .036 | .284 | 0 | 33 | 31% | 9% | 33 | -0.9 |
|
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB |
28 | 40→43 | 42→40 | 51→50 | 49 | .195/.279/.303 | .108 | .267 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .201/.288/.323 | .122 | .291 | 12 | 10 | 32% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .122/.235/.206 | .084 | .191 | 10 | 0 | 38% | 11% | 20 | -0.8 |
|
✕Nate Orf 2019 · MLB |
29 | 48→54 | 40→45 | 52→50 | 48 | .228/.301/.322 | .094 | .277 | 7 | 14 | 20% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .225/.311/.334 | .109 | .274 | 10 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .213/.314/.315 | .102 | .255 | 11 | 11 | 20% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 |
|
✕Wilmer Difo 2021 · MLB |
29 | 47→54 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 49 | .229/.294/.332 | .103 | .283 | 9 | 14 | 22% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .230/.286/.331 | .101 | .286 | 10 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.276/.309 | .091 | .269 | 9 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
✕Robert Andino 2013 · MLB |
29 | 48→57 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 47 | .233/.288/.330 | .096 | .284 | 9 | 12 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .214/.262/.304 | .090 | .277 | 8 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .203/.240/.308 | .105 | .262 | 12 | 4 | 27% | 4% | 42 | -1.4 |
|
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB |
29 | 44 | 43→45 | 53→50 | 52 | .214/.296/.324 | .109 | .266 | 10 | 16 | 23% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 | .227/.306/.345 | .118 | .294 | 12 | 12 | 25% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .219/.302/.318 | .099 | .288 | 9 | 12 | 25% | 9% | 72 | -0.0 |
|
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA |
28 | 45→48 | 40 | 47→45 | 44 | .218/.272/.310 | .092 | .278 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .201/.260/.284 | .083 | .288 | 7 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .153/.218/.207 | .054 | .226 | 5 | 0 | 33% | 6% | 9 | -1.3 |
|
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2022 · MLB |
28 | 44→49 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .214/.264/.309 | .095 | .291 | 8 | 14 | 28% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .205/.271/.320 | .115 | .292 | 12 | 15 | 32% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .140/.224/.229 | .089 | .198 | 11 | 18 | 34% | 10% | 17 | -0.9 |