Rafael Ramirez Jr.SS Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 159 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION241 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .288 / .286
PA160
HR2
K%34
BB%11
BABIP283
ISO100
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +11.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.81.60.30.60.91.01.11.11.00.80.60.4+$53M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE61
scouting grade only
SPEED52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$5M+$4M
2034Arb-1$2M+0.8$2M+$1.0M
2035Arb-2$2M+0.6$1M+$0.3M
2036Arb-3$2M+0.4$0.7M+$0.1M
Totals $9M $20M +$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL CLE Red 200180 31431 15475 114 172255244499 72227 248 232 36
202217 ROKDSL CLE Red 200170 42642 25345 114 247360365725 118299 1712 333 113
202318 ROKACL Guardians 190157 24422 29772 62 153293242535 89275 4115 256 54
202318 ROKACL Guardians 190136 34634 50542 62 250457426884 176375 2826 401 165
202419 AFredericksburg Nationals 278251 351213 231251 77 139215231446 92254 458 200 11
202419 AFredericksburg Nationals 278235 431324 39951 77 183302306608 123281 3414 280 73
202520 ROK2 teams 4739 6110 7191 13 154298231529 77300 4015 209 18
202520 ROK2 teams 4735 6110 11131 13 171383257640 86273 2823 318 101
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 AWSH 241205 451503 30805 42 220333337670 117341 3312 298 86 -4 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.6
YTD21 AWSH 241187 511803 48565 42 273433417850 144372 2320 389 156 +15 +0 +0 +3 +7 2.5
ROS21 AWSH 0% 160139 26802 18542 32 186288286574 100293 3411 271 65 -6 -0 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
ROS21 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 293 261 58 +0 +0
FULL21 AWSH 241206 451503 30805 42 218333335668 117339 3312 298 86 -4 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.6
TOT21 AWSH 401344 712305 481347 74 206315316632 110318 3312 287 78 -10 -0 +0 +4 +11 0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBWSH 34% 345299 591615 391124 53 197298308606 110292 3211 280 73 -11 -0 +0 +4 +10 0.3
202823 MLBWSH 48% 420365 741927 471325 74 203302323625 121293 3111 289 79 -10 -0 +0 +4 +12 0.6
202924 MLBWSH 53% 467406 842129 521436 85 207306335641 128294 3111 294 83 -9 -0 +0 +5 +13 0.9
203025 MLBWSH 55% 488424 8922210 551486 96 210309342651 132294 3011 297 85 -8 -1 +0 +5 +14 1.0
203126 MLBWSH 56% 498433 9123210 561516 96 210309342651 132294 3011 297 86 -8 -1 +0 +5 +14 1.1
203227 MLBWSH 55% 499433 9123210 571526 96 210310342652 132294 3011 298 86 -8 -1 +0 +5 +14 1.1
203328 MLBWSH 55% 494428 8922210 571516 96 208310339648 131294 3112 297 85 -8 -1 -1 +5 +14 1.0
203429 MLBWSH 58% 485420 8822210 561496 96 210311343654 133293 3112 295 84 -9 -1 -1 +5 +14 0.8
203530 MLBWSH 60% 474410 832119 551476 85 202306324630 122292 3112 292 82 -10 -0 -2 +5 +13 0.6
203631 MLBWSH 62% 460398 802019 531446 85 201304324628 123290 3112 289 79 -11 -0 -3 +5 +13 0.4
203732 MLBWSH 63% 442383 761918 511405 74 198301316617 117286 3212 283 75 -12 -0 -4 +5 +13 0.1
203833 MLBWSH 63% 412357 691717 471335 64 193296305601 112281 3211 277 70 -14 -0 -4 +4 +12 -0.3
202722 MLBWSH 34% 119103 20502 14391 21 194297301598 107292 3312 271 65 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202823 MLBWSH 48% 204176 36914 23643 32 205307335642 131293 3111 280 72 -6 -0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
202924 MLBWSH 53% 246213 451115 28753 43 211311343654 131294 3011 285 76 -7 -0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203025 MLBWSH 55% 267232 481215 30813 53 207306332638 125294 3011 287 78 -7 -0 +0 +3 +8 0.4
203126 MLBWSH 56% 277241 511316 31843 53 212309349658 137294 3011 288 79 -7 -0 +0 +3 +8 0.4
203227 MLBWSH 55% 274238 501216 31833 53 210309345653 134294 3011 288 79 -7 -0 +0 +3 +8 0.4
203328 MLBWSH 55% 270234 491216 31823 53 209310346656 137294 3011 287 78 -7 -0 -0 +3 +8 0.3
203429 MLBWSH 58% 281244 511316 32863 53 209308344653 135293 3111 286 77 -7 -0 -1 +3 +8 0.3
203530 MLBWSH 60% 285246 521316 33884 53 211314346660 134292 3112 283 75 -8 -0 -1 +3 +8 0.2
203631 MLBWSH 62% 284246 491215 33893 53 199301317618 118290 3112 280 72 -9 -0 -2 +3 +8 0.0
203732 MLBWSH 63% 277240 481215 32883 43 200302321623 121286 3212 275 68 -10 -0 -2 +3 +8 -0.2
203833 MLBWSH 63% 261226 441114 30843 42 195297305603 111281 3211 268 63 -11 +0 -3 +3 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 30452640 5431351160 34894335 5232 206306333640 128293 3111 282 74 -89 -2 -9 +33 +86 1.9
/ 162G 650564 11629213 742017 117 206305333639 128292 3111 282 74 -19 -1 -2 +7 +18 0.4
Career 63595522 109527426112 717202478 12278 198299318617 120288 3211 283 75 -181 -7 -15 +68 +180 4.7
/ 162G 650564 11228311 732078 128 199299317616 119289 3211 283 75 -18 -1 -2 +7 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL CLE Red 200170 42642 25345 114 247360365725 118299 1712 333 113 +3 +1 +6 0.9
202318 ROKACL Guardians 190136 34634 50542 62 250457426884 176375 2826 401 165 +14 +0 +5 2.0
202419 AFredericksburg Nationals 278235 431324 39951 77 183302306608 123281 3414 280 73 -9 -1 +8 -0.2
202520 AFredericksburg Nationals 1816 2010 250 00 125222250472 125182 2811 218 25 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202520 ROKFCL Nationals 2919 4100 981 13 211483263746 53364 2831 380 149 +2 -1 +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#4Curt Casalilast yr '24
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA
101,566472217311367+28+197.87.9
/162664201+11.9+7.93.3pk7: 8
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,2406055204302328+35+244.14.0
/1626641211+7.1+4.90.8pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Rafael Ramirez Jr. (OGILVIE) 21 20→25 35→40 47→52 61 206/315/316 110318 57 33% 12% 78 +0.6
Carlos Rodriguez
2023 · A
20 38 39→45 47→45 45 181/267/268 87282 76 36% 9% 49 -1.8 190/265/267 77299 56 35% 9% 47 -1.9 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
Leandro Pineda
2023 · A
21 36→39 39→45 47→45 42 172/250/266 95272 56 36% 8% 41 -2.3 201/268/322 121279 126 31% 7% 63 -0.9 202/271/32212026112626%7%62-0.5
Anthony Seigler
2021 · A
22 42→39 37→50 49→55 47 199/276/274 74283 56 29% 9% 53 -1.5 192/289/301 109273 99 30% 12% 67 -0.5 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
Ashton McGee
2021 · A
22 41 39→45 50→40 41 194/258/283 89288 55 33% 7% 48 -1.9 196/284/305 109362 114 44% 10% 66 -0.6 177/274/28410733412245%11%53-0.8
Randy Florentino
2022 · A
22 34 40→50 43→45 39 169/234/252 83267 86 38% 7% 30 -3.1 190/245/276 86264 86 30% 6% 40 -2.4 183/233/258752428427%6%29-0.9
Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A
21 37 44→50 49→50 39 187/256/305 118276 129 35% 7% 54 -1.4 197/279/292 95352 78 42% 9% 60 -1.0 146/272/221753593452%12%39-0.5
Je'Von Ward
2021 · A
21 42→35 36→45 47→50 43 196/259/266 70298 48 34% 8% 43 -2.2 198/247/286 88325 710 39% 6% 43 -2.2 189/272/31612728915837%10%63-0.4
LeVon Washington
2012 · A
21 44 38→45 51→50 44 201/274/280 78315 513 35% 9% 54 -1.4 234/309/337 103350 713 32% 9% 83 +0.6 243/313/36512334181229%8%88+0.4
Imanol Vargas
2019 · A
21 42→44 40→50 45 51 200/293/295 95288 79 30% 11% 67 -0.5 207/285/347 140314 157 36% 9% 76 +0.1 205/290/36015432618239%10%79+0.2
Addison Barger
2021 · A
21 41→45 39→55 49→45 44 198/267/288 90270 65 28% 7% 53 -1.5 217/280/375 158316 197 36% 7% 82 +0.5 220/290/39217226920626%8%86+0.6
Rudy van Heydoorn
2010 · A
21 33 41→45 40→50 41 166/249/256 90260 98 37% 8% 39 -2.5 197/273/307 110309 105 36% 8% 61 -1.0 204/303/33813429214232%11%83+0.2
Adrian Abreu
2012 · A
21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
Franklin Tineo
2016 · A
21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
Henrry Rosario
2014 · A
21 37 38→45 47→45 44 180/249/266 85257 58 30% 8% 40 -2.4 199/253/304 105256 87 24% 6% 50 -1.7 205/253/33713225514925%5%57-0.4
Willy Diaz
2015 · A
21 36 36→40 45→40 46 170/263/235 65253 45 32% 9% 40 -2.4 187/263/267 80309 54 37% 8% 46 -2.0 184/258/270863085239%8%42-0.8
Michael De La Cruz
2016 · A
20 41 36→40 45→50 44 192/261/262 70277 49 30% 8% 43 -2.2 192/257/257 65308 310 35% 8% 40 -2.4 156/232/1883126901438%9%10-1.5
Aaron Shipman
2013 · A
21 39→35 35→30 44→50 48 182/265/240 58277 29 32% 10% 40 -2.4 219/302/285 66307 216 26% 10% 67 -0.5 235/324/2935831912124%11%73-0.1
Andy Paz
2015 · A
22 38 38→40 45 44 185/245/261 75253 65 28% 7% 37 -2.7 210/264/277 67293 46 28% 7% 48 -1.9 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
Payton Henry
2018 · A
21 39→30 42→50 46→30 38 189/254/293 104302 83 38% 7% 50 -1.8 179/246/274 95319 102 44% 6% 42 -2.3 255/300/39914433320129%4%91+0.4
Carter Jensen
2023 · A
20 35→45 42→55 45→50 44 176/254/278 102265 97 35% 9% 46 -2.0 196/287/331 135277 149 32% 11% 73 -0.1 224/298/39617229121829%9%92+0.9