Oliver Carrillo — OGILVIE

Oliver CarrilloLF Asheville Tourists

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 210 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 146 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .256 / .275

PA146

HR3

K%38

BB%9

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	DSL Padres	—	155	135	30	6	1	7	16	52	3	4	0	222	318	437	755	215	299	34	10	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	DSL Padres	—	155	125	41	8	2	9	26	35	3	4	0	328	455	640	1.095	312	390	23	17	468	216	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	169	38	7	0	8	42	63	12	4	1	225	413	408	821	183	300	28	19	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	145	44	8	0	11	66	45	12	4	1	303	547	586	1.133	283	363	20	29	492	234	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	409	371	55	10	1	10	31	190	5	0	2	148	224	261	485	113	260	46	8	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	409	353	80	18	1	16	49	139	5	0	2	227	329	419	749	193	320	34	12	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	195	168	26	4	0	3	16	75	8	3	0	155	260	232	493	77	247	38	8	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	195	157	32	6	0	4	27	53	8	3	0	204	349	318	667	115	272	27	14	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	HOU	—	146	129	21	4	0	3	13	56	3	1	0	163	255	264	519	101	261	38	9	248	48	-9	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	HOU	30%	212	188	34	6	1	5	18	77	4	2	1	181	267	303	570	122	265	36	8	257	55	-11	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.7
2027	25	MLB	HOU	30%	64	57	11	2	0	2	6	23	1	1	0	193	281	333	615	140	268	36	9	246	46	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	64	57	11	2	0	2	6	23	1	1	0	193	281	333	615	140	281	36	9	246	46	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	111	20	0	20	61	234	10	10	0	192	280	330	610	138	280	36	9	246	46	-39	+2	+0	-7	+18	-2.6
Career	—			—	1342	1160	204	37	3	36	136	513	35	14	4	176	282	306	588	130	271	38	10	266	62	-58	+1	+0	-14	+38	-3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	98	18	1	17	66	248	17	7	2	174	281	301	581	126	268	38	10	266	62	-28	+1	+0	-7	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	DSL Padres	—	155	125	41	8	2	9	26	35	3	4	0	328	455	640	1.095	312	390	23	17	468	216	+20	+1	—	—	+4	2.6
2023	21	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	225	145	44	8	0	11	66	45	12	4	1	303	547	586	1.133	283	363	20	29	492	234	+34	+0	—	—	+6	4.2
2024	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	236	215	48	12	0	10	20	82	0	0	0	223	289	419	708	195	306	35	8	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	173	138	32	6	1	6	29	57	5	0	2	232	384	420	804	188	342	33	17	364	136	+7	-1	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	103	83	14	2	0	1	15	30	3	1	0	169	317	229	546	60	241	29	15	265	61	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	92	74	18	4	0	3	12	23	5	2	0	243	385	419	804	176	306	25	13	363	136	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oliver Carrillo (OGILVIE)	24	20	42	44	49	168/256/275	108	261	3	1	38%	9%	48	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Pat McInerney 2019 · A	24	32	44→45	47→45	43	163/256/277	115	280	12	7	43%	10%	47	-1.9	179/254/287	108	309	11	6	42%	8%	48	-1.9	147/220/248	102	250	12	3	44%	7%	22	-1.9
✕Michael Ratterree 2015 · AA	24	36→29	47→45	44→40	39	183/255/327	144	283	14	5	39%	8%	59	-1.1	172/249/276	104	296	9	5	41%	8%	43	-2.2	105/199/167	62	201	4	0	45%	8%	-4	-2.6
✕Tate Blackman 2019 · A	24	37→34	44→45	43→40	40	187/260/298	112	287	13	5	37%	8%	54	-1.4	177/248/262	85	324	8	5	44%	7%	40	-2.4	124/203/169	45	259	4	1	50%	8%	-4	-3.0
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Gabriel Garcia 2021 · A	23	35	43→40	43→45	43	174/265/281	106	276	11	6	38%	9%	52	-1.6	191/252/304	113	341	12	7	44%	7%	51	-1.7	145/205/246	100	273	12	3	49%	6%	16	-1.6
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Jhalan Jackson 2017 · A	24	38→33	47→50	42→45	38	196/250/333	137	278	14	6	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/253/328	141	308	16	6	42%	7%	59	-1.1	167/242/306	140	284	18	6	45%	8%	46	-1.2
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	36→38	47→50	51→45	39	189/255/321	133	280	16	8	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/261/333	132	277	17	6	32%	7%	63	-0.8	194/254/308	114	254	15	4	29%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	37→43	42→45	42→50	40	182/253/289	107	277	8	8	35%	7%	48	-1.9	202/276/293	91	279	9	12	29%	8%	59	-1.1	197/277/277	81	264	9	14	27%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Conor Bierfeldt 2015 · A	24	34→30	45→50	49→30	38	179/232/306	127	251	12	4	34%	6%	43	-2.2	185/242/325	140	253	15	3	32%	6%	53	-1.5	171/231/317	146	225	16	1	32%	6%	43	-1.5
✕Stefan Sabol 2016 · A	24	37→40	42→45	45→50	43	185/257/286	102	282	9	10	36%	8%	49	-1.8	204/269/305	101	325	9	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	187/253/287	100	307	9	5	40%	8%	45	-0.9
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Ignacio Valdez 2018 · A	23	33	47→45	43→50	36	171/241/303	132	293	16	3	45%	7%	47	-1.9	187/239/281	94	344	8	5	45%	6%	39	-2.5	124/152/185	60	246	4	0	50%	3%	-26	-1.3
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	37→41	45	49→50	43	189/270/308	118	271	12	12	33%	8%	61	-1.0	193/264/305	112	280	12	14	33%	7%	57	-1.2	182/251/287	106	263	12	14	34%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Spencer Henson 2023 · A	25	37	47→50	46→40	40	188/263/322	135	287	15	6	38%	8%	62	-0.9	197/254/328	131	285	15	5	35%	5%	59	-1.1	185/237/326	140	253	19	1	34%	4%	50	-1.0
✕Marcus Knecht 2014 · A	24	35→43	44→45	47→50	37	180/242/298	117	265	11	6	35%	6%	46	-2.0	191/257/282	91	275	5	9	30%	7%	47	-1.9	185/256/268	83	266	3	9	29%	7%	41	-1.8