Jace Jung

3B Toledo Mud Hens
Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.386 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AAA/ADET430.258/.385/.46115397—.219/.317/.396
202423MLBDET94.241/.362/.304001010.2
202524AAADET495.252/.373/.44717493—.221/.312/.385
202524MLBDET55.106/.236/.1060012-0.2
202625AAADET569.227/.348/.42122270—.190/.279/.329
2027PROJ45% MLB26MLBDET70.200/.293/.34120840.0
2028PROJ49% MLB27MLBDET143.201/.293/.34141840.1
2029PROJ52% MLB28MLBDET155.201/.292/.33940830.0
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.386First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.2M2031Arb-2$0.4M2032Ext$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd69
xwOBA28
Avg EV21
Barrel%13
Speed10
CompsJJ Bleday (age 26) · Devin Mann (age 26) · Isan Díaz (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .293 / .341
PA70
HR2
K%26
BB%11
BABIP249
ISO145
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
100.205
POWER55
Barrel%
133.5
Avg EV
2186.9
Bat Spd
6973.3
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
Sprint
1025.5
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   0.386 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Arb-1$0.2M———
2031Arb-2$0.4M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 134108 25611 25280 10 231376333709 102300 2119 330 63 — — — — — —
202322 AAErie SeaWolves — 209183 529014 23563 00 284373563936 279336 2711 408 98 — — — — — —
202322 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 366303 7718214 56835 51 254379465844 211303 2315 375 88 — — — — — —
202322 INTLSalt River Rafters — 6550 10201 14191 42 200385300685 100300 2922 331 110 — — — — — —
202423 MLBDetroit Tigers — 9479 19500 15290 01 241362304665 63380 3116 314 101 +0 -0 -2 +2 +2 0.2
202423 AAAToledo Mud Hens — 415339 8723114 67932 22 257381454836 198307 2216 368 95 — — — — — —
202423 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 1510 3101 420 10 3005007001.200 400250 1327 471 148 — — — — — —
202524 MLBDetroit Tigers — 5547 5000 7161 00 106236106343 161 2913 184 12 -6 +0 +1 +2 +1 -0.2
202524 AAAToledo Mud Hens — 495412 10427117 781251 44 252373447819 194318 2516 364 93 — — — — — —
202625 AAAToledo Mud Hens — 569475 10826022 861172 21 227348421769 194251 2115 343 70 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 149126 24500 22451 01 190315230546 40296 3015 266 66 -6 -0 -1 +4 +3 -0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 134116 22511 17370 10 190293276569 86262 2813 261 63 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 209191 448010 15723 00 230297429726 199316 347 313 98 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 366321 6614113 381055 51 206299377676 171259 2910 299 88 — — — — — —
202423 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 9479 19500 15290 01 241362304665 63380 3116 318 101 +0 -0 -2 +2 +2 0.2
202423 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 415359 7820113 481092 22 217313387700 170259 2612 308 95 — — — — — —
202423 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 1511 3101 330 10 2734296361.065 364188 2020 387 148 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 5547 5000 7161 00 106236106343 161 2913 185 12 -6 +0 +1 +2 +1 -0.2
202524 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 495434 9624115 561401 44 221312385696 164284 2811 306 93 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 569501 9522016 601412 21 190279329608 140222 2511 271 70 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 134116 22511 17370 10 190293276569 86266 2813 261 63 — — — — — —
202221 A+ RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 134108 25611 25280 10 231376333709 102300 2119 330 63 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE3 teams — 640570 12425225 591979 93 218301400701 182283 319 304 92 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAW3 teams — 640536 13929229 931589 93 259378483861 224313 2515 381 92 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLE3 teams — 524450 9925114 651412 33 220321373694 153281 2712 312 97 — — — — — —
202423 AAA RAW3 teams — 524428 10929115 861242 33 255381432813 178318 2416 362 97 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 550481 10224115 631562 44 212306360666 148277 2811 294 85 — — — — — —
202524 AAA RAW2 teams — 550459 10927117 851412 44 237359412771 174302 2615 346 85 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 569501 9522016 601412 21 190279329608 140226 2511 271 70 — — — — — —
202625 AAA RAWToledo Mud Hens — 569475 10826022 861172 21 227348421769 194251 2115 343 70 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 134116 22511 17370 10 190293276569 86262 2813 261 63 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE3 teams — 640567 12425225 591979 93 219301402703 183280 319 304 92 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLE3 teams — 524452 9925114 651412 33 219321372693 153279 2712 312 97 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 550480 10224115 631562 44 212306360666 148272 2811 294 85 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 569502 9522016 601412 21 189279329608 139222 2511 271 70 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AAA MLE3 teams — 524452 9925114 651412 33 219321372693 153279 2712 312 97 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 550480 10224115 631562 44 212306360666 148272 2811 294 85 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 569502 9522016 601412 21 189279329608 139222 2511 271 70 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEDET 45% 380334 6816110 42981 21 204296350647 146253 2611 292 84 -7 +0 -1 +1 +8 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXDET 45% 7062 12302 8180 00 200293341634 141249 2611 287 84 -1 +0 -0 +0 +2 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEDET 49% 290255 531218 32751 11 205297350647 145255 2611 292 84 -6 -0 -1 +1 +6 0.1
202928 MLB MLEDET 52% 300263 551318 33781 10 205296348644 143256 2611 291 83 -6 +0 -1 +1 +6 0.0
203029 MLB MLEDET 52% 294260 531208 31761 10 205294345639 140256 2611 289 82 -6 +0 -2 +1 +6 -0.1
203130 MLB MLEDET 52% 289256 511207 30751 10 204291340631 136255 2610 286 79 -7 +0 -3 +1 +6 -0.2
202827 MLB CTXDET 49% 143125 25604 16371 10 201293341634 140250 2611 287 84 -3 +0 -0 +1 +3 0.1
202928 MLB CTXDET 52% 155136 27604 17401 00 201292339632 138251 2611 286 83 -3 +0 -1 +1 +3 0.0
203029 MLB CTXDET 52% 152134 27604 16391 00 201290336626 135251 2611 284 82 -3 +0 -1 +1 +3 -0.1
203130 MLB CTXDET 52% 149131 26604 16391 00 200288331619 132251 2611 281 79 -4 +0 -1 +1 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 748652 12929016 872005 11 198297316613 118257 2712 281 84 -19 -0 -4 +6 +16 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650567 11225014 761744 11 198297316612 118257 2712 281 84 -16 -0 -4 +5 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 37453288 6821577106 407101620 2412 207299356655 149263 2711 292 84 -34 +0 -8 +9 +32 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 11827118 711763 42 207298352650 145262 2711 292 84 -15 +0 -3 +4 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 569 PAwOBA .337 → .271 (−66)K% 20.6% → 24.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.56%÷1.000×1.200——24.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.94%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01810.49%
HBP% /PA0.35%—×0.940—×1.0180.34%
Singles /BIP16.76%÷1.000×0.930×0.980×1.01815.55%
Doubles /BIP7.26%÷1.000×0.830×0.980×1.0186.02%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.980×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP6.15%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0184.38%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .337 → .271; ISO .194 → .148; BABIP .251 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 495 PAwOBA .358 → .306 (−52)K% 25.3% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.25%÷1.073×1.200——28.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.76%÷0.988×0.690—×1.03311.37%
HBP% /PA0.20%—×0.940—×1.0330.20%
Singles /BIP20.56%÷0.993×0.930×0.953×1.03318.95%
Doubles /BIP9.41%÷0.953×0.830×0.953×1.0338.07%
Triples /BIP0.35%÷0.905×0.970×0.953×1.0330.37%
Home runs /BIP5.92%÷0.872×0.700—×1.0334.91%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 81, K 115, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .358 → .306; ISO .194 → .170; BABIP .318 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 415 PAwOBA .364 → .308 (−56)K% 22.4% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.41%÷1.022×1.200——26.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.14%÷1.016×0.690—×1.04811.50%
HBP% /PA0.48%—×0.940—×1.0480.47%
Singles /BIP19.92%÷1.117×0.930×0.987×1.04817.15%
Doubles /BIP9.35%÷1.049×0.830×0.987×1.0487.65%
Triples /BIP0.41%÷1.070×0.970×0.987×1.0480.38%
Home runs /BIP5.69%÷0.792×0.700—×1.0485.27%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 58, 1B 123, 2B 110, 3B 114, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .364 → .308; ISO .198 → .183; BABIP .307 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 15 PAwOBA .492 → .387 (−105)K% 13.3% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.33%÷1.028×1.360——17.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA26.67%÷1.061×0.690—×0.98016.99%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9800.00%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.980×0.920—×0.98011.50%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.351×0.830—×0.9807.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.910—×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP12.50%÷1.099×0.800—×0.9808.92%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .492 → .387; ISO .400 → .336; BABIP .250 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 366 PAwOBA .365 → .299 (−65)K% 22.7% → 28.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.68%÷1.007×1.270——28.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.48%÷0.993×0.710—×0.99810.34%
HBP% /PA1.37%—×0.790—×0.9981.08%
Singles /BIP19.55%÷0.989×0.920×0.964×0.99817.49%
Doubles /BIP8.18%÷0.985×0.810×0.964×0.9986.47%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷1.150×0.850×0.964×0.9980.65%
Home runs /BIP6.36%÷0.882×0.800—×0.9985.76%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .365 → .299; ISO .211 → .182; BABIP .303 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAErie SeaWolves · 209 PAwOBA .396 → .313 (−83)K% 26.8% → 34.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.79%÷0.944×1.220——34.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.00%÷1.063×0.700—×1.0277.44%
HBP% /PA1.44%—×0.850—×1.0271.25%
Singles /BIP22.83%÷1.002×0.970×0.981×1.02722.28%
Doubles /BIP7.09%÷0.924×0.860×0.981×1.0276.65%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.145×0.950×0.981×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP11.02%÷1.055×0.780—×1.0278.37%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 129, K 89, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .396 → .313; ISO .279 → .206; BABIP .336 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 134 PAwOBA .322 → .261 (−61)K% 20.9% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.90%÷0.956×1.270——27.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.91%÷1.024×0.710—×1.01212.56%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP21.25%÷1.031×0.920×0.967×1.01218.56%
Doubles /BIP7.50%÷0.876×0.810×0.967×1.0126.79%
Triples /BIP1.25%÷1.150×0.850×0.967×1.0120.90%
Home runs /BIP1.25%÷0.847×0.800—×1.0121.19%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 106, 2B 75, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .322 → .261; ISO .102 → .090; BABIP .300 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .