Jace Jung — OGILVIE

Jace Jung3B Toledo Mud Hens

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION336 act + 224 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .297 / .391

PA224

HR9

K%27

BB%11

BABIP248

ISO183

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4411.7%

xwOBA

230.276

POWER55

Barrel%

153.7

Avg EV

2487.1

Bat Spd

6973.3

EYE60

Chase%

5730.4%

SPEED45

Sprint

1025.5

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.1M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.2	$9M	+$7M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2029	Arb-4	$6M	+1.1	$7M	+$3M
Totals		$13M		$25M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	134	117	21	6	1	1	16	41	0	1	0	179	278	274	552	94	263	31	12	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	134	108	25	6	1	1	25	28	0	1	0	231	376	333	709	102	300	21	19	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	640	571	121	25	1	28	58	214	9	9	3	212	295	406	701	194	281	33	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	640	536	139	29	2	29	93	158	9	9	3	259	378	483	861	224	313	25	15	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	—	524	453	101	24	1	22	62	139	2	3	3	223	319	426	745	203	264	27	12	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	—	524	428	109	29	1	15	86	124	2	3	3	255	381	432	813	178	318	24	16	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	550	482	109	25	1	21	62	147	2	4	4	226	317	413	730	187	277	27	11	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	550	459	109	27	1	17	85	141	2	4	4	237	359	412	771	174	302	26	15	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	DET	—	336	298	59	12	0	13	34	90	1	2	0	198	282	369	651	171	232	27	10	282	74	-10	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.1
YTD	25	AAA	DET	—	336	283	65	14	0	15	49	75	1	2	0	230	345	438	784	208	255	22	15	347	124	+9	+0	+0	+1	+10	2.1
ROS	25	AAA	DET	55%	224	197	41	9	0	9	24	60	1	1	0	208	297	391	688	183	246	27	11	303	90	-2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.4
ROS	25	MLB	DET	55%	123	109	22	5	0	5	13	33	0	1	0	202	287	385	672	183	241	27	11	294	83	-2	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.2
FULL	25	AAA	DET	—	459	407	81	17	0	18	47	123	1	3	0	199	284	373	657	174	233	27	10	285	77	-12	+1	-0	+2	+13	0.3
TOT	25	AAA	DET	—	560	495	100	21	0	22	58	150	2	3	0	202	288	378	666	176	239	27	10	290	80	-12	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	DET	63%	593	523	111	24	1	23	62	156	3	3	1	212	299	394	693	182	250	26	10	306	92	-5	+0	-2	+2	+17	1.3
2028	27	MLB	DET	66%	581	512	109	23	1	22	61	152	3	3	1	213	300	391	691	178	253	26	10	307	93	-4	+0	-2	+2	+16	1.3
2029	28	MLB	DET	67%	569	501	107	23	1	21	60	148	3	3	1	214	301	389	691	176	255	26	11	307	93	-4	+0	-2	+2	+16	1.2
2030	29	MLB	DET	66%	558	492	104	22	1	20	58	146	3	3	1	211	298	382	680	171	255	26	10	305	92	-5	+0	-3	+2	+16	1.0
2031	30	MLB	DET	65%	547	482	102	21	1	20	57	145	3	2	1	212	299	384	683	172	253	27	10	303	90	-6	+0	-4	+2	+15	0.8
2032	31	MLB	DET	65%	392	346	71	15	0	14	41	105	2	2	0	205	293	370	663	165	251	27	10	298	87	-6	+0	-4	+1	+11	0.3
2027	26	MLB	DET	63%	376	332	69	15	1	14	39	99	2	2	0	208	295	386	680	178	245	26	10	296	85	-6	+0	-1	+1	+11	0.5
2028	27	MLB	DET	66%	381	336	71	15	1	14	40	100	2	2	0	211	299	387	686	176	249	26	10	297	86	-6	+0	-1	+1	+11	0.6
2029	28	MLB	DET	67%	380	335	70	15	1	13	40	99	2	2	0	209	297	376	673	167	250	26	11	297	86	-6	+0	-1	+1	+11	0.5
2030	29	MLB	DET	66%	367	324	68	14	1	13	38	96	2	2	0	210	297	380	676	170	250	26	10	296	84	-6	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.4
2031	30	MLB	DET	65%	356	314	64	13	1	12	37	94	2	2	0	204	292	366	658	162	248	26	10	293	82	-7	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.2
2032	31	MLB	DET	65%	254	224	45	9	0	9	27	68	1	1	0	201	290	362	651	161	246	27	11	289	79	-6	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2386	2100	433	91	5	80	256	634	12	12	1	206	296	369	665	162	253	27	11	293	83	-47	+2	-12	+12	+68	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	118	25	1	22	70	173	3	3	0	206	296	369	665	163	253	27	11	293	83	-13	+1	-3	+3	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	5312	4676	997	217	9	201	561	1453	31	34	15	213	302	392	694	179	261	27	11	307	93	-41	+1	-17	+19	+151	11.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	123	27	1	25	69	178	4	4	2	215	304	397	701	182	263	27	11	307	93	-5	+0	-2	+2	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	134	108	25	6	1	1	25	28	0	1	0	231	376	333	709	102	300	21	19	330	111	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	209	183	52	9	0	14	23	56	3	0	0	284	373	563	936	279	336	27	11	408	170	+17	+0	—	—	+6	2.3
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	366	303	77	18	2	14	56	83	5	5	1	254	379	465	844	211	303	23	15	375	145	+19	+1	—	—	+10	3.0
2023	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	65	50	10	2	0	1	14	19	1	4	2	200	385	300	685	100	300	29	22	331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	94	79	19	5	0	0	15	29	0	0	1	241	362	304	665	63	380	31	16	314	99	-0	-0	-2	+2	+3	0.2
2024	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	415	339	87	23	1	14	67	93	2	2	2	257	381	454	836	198	307	22	16	368	140	+19	-0	—	—	+12	3.1
2024	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	15	10	3	1	0	1	4	2	0	1	0	300	500	700	1.200	400	250	13	27	471	218	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2025	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	55	47	5	0	0	0	7	16	1	0	0	106	236	106	343		161	29	13	184	-1	-6	+0	+1	+2	+2	-0.2
2025	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	495	412	104	27	1	17	78	125	1	4	4	252	373	447	819	194	318	25	16	364	137	+21	-1	—	—	+14	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	149	126	24	5	0	0	22	45	1	0	1	190	315	230	546	40	296	30	15	266	62	-6	-0	-1	+4	+4	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	6	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	24	7	230	317	416	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,400	83	12	211	298	378	+9	-3	4.8	4.9
	/162	664	23	3	211	298	378	+2.4	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jace Jung (OGILVIE)	25	45	55	45	60	202/288/378	176	239	22	3	27%	10%	80	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	44→54	52→50	43→40	47	223/324/388	165	300	20	3	31%	9%	105	+2.1	204/288/345	141	275	15	5	30%	8%	78	+0.2	160/245/277	117	216	10	0	30%	7%	40	-1.0
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	46→47	54→55	45→30	46	238/296/415	177	289	22	3	26%	8%	98	+1.6	234/288/383	149	306	17	3	28%	7%	87	+0.8	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Eric Munson 2004 · MLB	26	43	56→60	49→40	54	234/307/418	184	244	26	6	18%	9%	105	+2.1	230/297/432	202	254	28	4	22%	8%	104	+2.0	221/285/421	201	242	28	1	23%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Christin Stewart 2019 · MLB	25	41→50	54→60	48→45	47	219/293/397	178	272	23	3	28%	8%	93	+1.3	230/298/405	175	290	21	3	27%	8%	98	+1.6	215/294/395	180	283	23	5	31%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	39→37	55	45→40	48	212/303/403	192	269	23	3	30%	10%	99	+1.7	199/289/371	172	258	19	6	29%	10%	85	+0.7	181/276/345	163	230	19	6	29%	11%	71	-0.2
✕James Darnell 2012 · MLB	25	49→53	55	46→40	50	253/318/440	188	288	23	4	21%	8%	115	+2.7	231/290/390	159	279	19	6	24%	7%	90	+1.0	208/285/376	168	235	23	3	23%	8%	83	+0.1
●Pedro Álvarez 2013 · MLB	26	45→46	56→60	44→45	47	235/307/425	190	307	24	3	31%	9%	106	+2.2	239/310/452	213	293	30	5	29%	9%	115	+2.7	236/310/454	218	281	32	5	28%	9%	106	+1.8
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	53→55	43→45	54	244/335/417	174	281	21	4	21%	10%	116	+2.8	221/317/358	137	264	16	6	22%	10%	94	+1.3	226/309/345	119	258	14	6	18%	9%	85	+0.4
✕Billy McKinney 2021 · MLB	26	41→51	54→55	44→45	47	220/286/404	185	263	21	5	25%	8%	92	+1.2	213/291/377	164	278	18	6	29%	9%	87	+0.8	214/296/366	152	268	19	6	27%	9%	83	+0.3
●Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	56→60	43→30	45	236/298/421	184	280	25	3	26%	7%	102	+1.8	242/310/452	210	289	29	3	27%	7%	115	+2.8	236/309/467	231	279	34	1	28%	7%	117	+1.6
✕Preston Tucker 2016 · MLB	26	45→46	54→55	40	44	237/286/411	173	275	22	3	23%	6%	94	+1.3	218/271/376	158	263	19	3	25%	6%	78	+0.2	232/310/385	153	274	16	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
●Colby Rasmus 2012 · MLB	25	48→55	53→60	47→50	52	245/318/424	180	293	20	8	23%	10%	110	+2.4	239/304/430	191	296	23	5	27%	8%	106	+2.2	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
✕Wilin Rosario 2014 · MLB	25	45→49	54→60	43→45	40	241/275/410	169	281	23	6	24%	4%	89	+0.9	234/271/374	140	277	16	5	22%	5%	77	+0.1	236/269/379	143	273	18	3	21%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Jason Martin 2022 · MLB	26	43→49	54→60	46→50	47	227/288/404	177	264	23	11	24%	8%	92	+1.2	230/292/428	198	292	26	9	30%	8%	101	+1.8	222/285/422	200	282	26	8	31%	8%	93	+0.9
✕J.P. Arencibia 2012 · MLB	26	38→47	58→60	43→30	42	214/269/415	201	250	26	2	27%	6%	88	+0.9	214/259/404	190	258	27	3	29%	5%	81	+0.4	202/243/385	182	242	27	1	30%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Seth Beer 2022 · AAA	25	44→45	54→55	41→30	44	229/317/406	177	268	22	3	23%	6%	107	+2.2	209/293/341	132	263	15	2	26%	7%	79	+0.3	202/284/322	120	262	14	0	27%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Greg Bird 2018 · MLB	25	44→50	55	45→30	51	231/309/419	188	266	23	4	23%	9%	105	+2.1	212/299/382	170	260	20	4	26%	10%	92	+1.2	180/259/335	155	223	19	1	29%	9%	61	-0.6
✕DJ Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	43→47	53→60	46→50	48	228/300/402	174	266	21	11	23%	8%	97	+1.5	223/320/403	180	277	23	6	27%	11%	106	+2.2	212/319/414	202	253	29	2	28%	11%	105	+1.0
●Sean Murphy 2020 · MLB	25	43→50	53→60	45→30	45	227/287/403	175	272	20	4	25%	7%	92	+1.2	237/322/431	194	286	23	3	25%	10%	114	+2.7	242/337/441	199	283	23	0	22%	10%	120	+2.6
✕Nomar Mazara 2020 · MLB	25	50→51	54→55	46→40	47	257/315/438	181	299	22	4	22%	7%	113	+2.6	245/307/386	141	311	15	4	25%	7%	95	+1.4	238/306/352	113	308	11	0	25%	8%	85	+0.3