Cole Young — OGILVIE

Cole Young2B Seattle Mariners

Age 23 L/R 5'10" / 180 lbs MLB K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.703 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION593 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9396vR 96

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP270

ISO127

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

902.7%

xAVG

490.251

POWER40

Barrel%

285.3

Avg EV

3688.0

Bat Spd

5772.1

EYE60

Chase%

908.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%20%▼21% over 107 PA (30d) · proj 18%

BB%7%▼6% over 159 PA (45d) · proj 9%

ISO.138▲.147 over 191 AB (60d) · proj .127xISO .133 vs .131 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

HR/BB3.4%·3.8% over 160 BBE (60d) · proj 3.0%barrel% 5.2% vs 5.6% prior

BABIP.265·.266 over 154 BIP (60d) · proj .265xBABIP .306 vs .261 prior

SLASH.230/.299/.368·proj .231/.311/.359

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 368 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

100

268

—

wRC+

111

◀◀L

wOBA

332

278

◀◀L

ISO

164

087

◀◀L

BABIP

304

253

◀◀L

19.0%

19.8%

◀L

BB%

8.0%

11.2%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.703 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.4M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$12M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	45	39	15	0	0	2	4	4	0	1	2	385	442	538	980	154	371	9	9	416	168	+4	-1	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	26	21	7	1	1	0	4	4	0	3	0	333	440	476	916	143	389	15	15	393	152	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	230	192	56	14	2	6	34	38	3	5	5	292	406	479	885	188	336	17	15	393	152	+14	-1	—	—	+5	1.9
2023	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	376	303	81	20	7	5	54	52	14	17	5	267	402	429	831	162	303	14	14	372	138	+17	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	469	127	25	2	9	67	87	8	23	11	271	371	390	761	119	313	16	12	342	118	+12	+0	—	—	+12	2.4
2025	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	257	223	47	7	1	4	28	47	2	1	0	211	304	305	609	94	247	18	11	279	75	-8	+0	-6	+2	+6	-0.6
2025	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	245	206	57	13	5	5	31	28	8	4	2	277	392	461	853	184	301	11	13	381	144	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	257	223	47	7	1	4	28	47	2	1	0	211	304	305	609	94	247	18	11	279	75	-8	+0	-6	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	45	40	14	0	0	2	3	6	0	1	2	350	395	500	895	150	325	13	7	392	151	+3	-1	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	26	23	6	1	1	0	2	6	0	3	0	261	320	391	711	130	305	23	8	301	90	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	230	203	48	11	2	5	23	51	3	5	5	236	323	384	707	148	281	22	10	302	91	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.1
2023	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	376	319	73	16	5	5	38	68	14	17	5	229	337	357	694	129	261	18	10	305	93	-3	+1	—	—	+8	0.6
2024	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	487	120	23	2	9	50	102	8	23	11	246	327	357	684	111	285	18	9	300	89	-7	+0	—	—	+12	0.5
2025	22	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	257	223	47	7	1	4	28	47	2	1	0	211	304	305	609	94	247	18	11	275	72	-8	+0	-6	+2	+6	-0.7
2025	22	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	245	215	49	11	4	3	22	35	8	4	2	228	322	358	681	130	259	14	9	303	91	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	63	20	1	1	2	5	11	0	4	2	317	368	460	828	143	340	15	7	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	71	60	22	1	1	2	8	8	0	4	2	367	441	517	958	150	377	11	11	407	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	606	522	120	27	6	10	61	119	17	22	10	230	330	362	692	132	276	20	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	606	495	137	34	9	11	88	90	17	22	10	277	403	448	852	172	315	15	15	380	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	487	120	23	2	9	50	102	8	23	11	246	327	357	684	111	292	18	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	469	127	25	2	9	67	87	8	23	11	271	371	390	761	119	313	16	12	342	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	502	438	96	18	5	7	50	82	10	5	2	219	313	331	644	112	254	16	10	289	82	-11	+0	-6	+2	+11	-0.4
2025	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	502	429	104	20	6	9	59	75	10	5	2	242	347	380	727	138	274	15	12	329	82	-11	+0	-6	+2	+11	-0.4
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	66	20	1	1	2	5	11	0	4	2	303	368	439	807	136	318	15	7	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	606	523	120	27	6	10	61	119	17	22	10	229	330	361	691	132	269	20	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	489	120	23	2	9	50	102	8	23	11	245	327	356	682	110	285	18	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	502	437	96	18	5	7	50	82	10	5	2	220	313	332	645	112	253	16	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	606	523	120	27	6	10	61	119	17	22	10	229	330	361	691	132	269	20	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	489	120	23	2	9	50	102	8	23	11	245	327	356	682	110	285	18	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	502	437	96	18	5	7	50	82	10	5	2	220	313	332	645	112	253	16	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	MLB MLE	SEA	—	593	539	135	18	4	17	38	101	12	3	5	250	314	393	707	143	278	17	6	315	99	-0	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.3
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	23	MLB RAW	SEA	—	593	539	135	18	4	17	38	101	12	3	5	250	314	393	707	143	278	17	6	316	99	-0	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.3
YTD	23	MLB RAW	SEA	—	593	539	135	18	4	17	38	101	12	3	5	250	314	393	707	143	278	17	6	316	100	-0	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.4
ROS	23	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		273	22	11	310	96	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	23	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		270	22	11	293	96	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	SEA	—	602	547	136	18	4	17	39	103	12	3	5	249	313	389	702	141	277	17	6	315	99	-0	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.3
TOT	23	MLB MLE	SEA	—	602	547	136	18	4	17	39	103	12	3	5	249	313	389	702	141	277	17	6	315	99	-0	-1	-0	+2	+13	1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	632	568	139	20	4	17	47	108	12	5	4	245	316	384	700	139	275	17	7	316	100	-0	-1	-8	+2	+14	0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	629	564	139	20	4	17	48	106	12	5	4	246	319	387	705	140	275	17	8	318	102	+1	-1	-8	+2	+14	0.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	629	564	140	20	4	18	48	106	12	5	4	248	321	394	714	145	275	17	8	319	102	+2	-1	-8	+2	+14	0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	624	559	139	20	4	18	48	106	12	5	4	249	321	395	717	147	275	17	8	320	102	+2	-1	-8	+2	+14	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	616	551	136	20	4	17	48	105	12	4	4	247	321	390	711	143	274	17	8	319	102	+1	-1	-9	+2	+13	0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	604	539	133	19	4	17	48	105	12	4	3	247	322	391	714	145	273	17	8	317	100	+0	-0	-9	+2	+13	0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	592	529	129	18	4	16	47	104	11	4	3	244	319	384	702	140	272	18	8	314	98	-1	-0	-10	+2	+13	0.4
2034	31	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	577	515	123	17	3	15	46	103	11	3	2	239	315	371	686	132	269	18	8	309	95	-3	-0	-10	+2	+13	0.1
2035	32	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	558	498	117	16	3	14	44	102	11	2	2	235	311	363	674	129	266	18	8	303	91	-6	-0	-11	+2	+12	-0.3
2036	33	MLB MLE	SEA	82%	528	472	108	14	3	13	41	99	10	2	1	229	304	354	658	125	261	19	8	296	86	-9	+0	-11	+2	+11	-0.6
2037	34	MLB MLE	SEA	77%	480	431	96	12	3	11	37	93	9	1	1	223	298	341	639	118	255	19	8	287	80	-11	-0	-11	+2	+10	-1.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	518	464	114	16	4	14	39	89	10	4	3	246	318	388	706	142	273	17	8	299	100	-0	-0	-7	+2	+11	0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	516	462	114	16	4	14	39	87	10	4	3	247	319	390	709	143	273	17	8	301	102	+1	-0	-7	+2	+11	0.7
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	516	462	114	16	4	14	39	87	10	4	3	247	319	390	709	143	273	17	8	302	102	+1	-0	-7	+2	+11	0.8
2030	27	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	512	457	112	16	3	14	40	87	10	4	3	245	320	385	705	140	272	17	8	302	102	+1	-0	-7	+2	+11	0.8
2031	28	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	505	450	110	16	3	14	40	86	10	4	3	244	320	387	707	142	272	17	8	301	102	+1	-0	-7	+2	+11	0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	495	443	107	15	3	13	39	86	10	3	3	242	317	377	694	135	271	17	8	299	100	+0	-1	-7	+2	+11	0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	485	435	105	15	3	13	38	85	9	3	2	241	315	379	695	138	270	18	8	297	98	-1	-0	-8	+2	+11	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	473	424	100	14	3	12	37	85	9	2	2	236	311	368	679	132	267	18	8	292	95	-3	-0	-8	+2	+10	0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	458	410	95	13	3	11	36	84	9	2	2	232	308	359	666	127	264	18	8	286	91	-5	-0	-9	+2	+10	-0.2
2036	33	MLB CTX	SEA	82%	433	388	87	11	2	10	34	81	8	1	1	224	300	340	640	116	259	19	8	279	86	-7	-0	-9	+2	+9	-0.5
2037	34	MLB CTX	SEA	77%	372	333	73	9	2	8	29	72	7	1	1	219	295	330	626	111	253	19	8	271	80	-9	-0	-9	+1	+8	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5549	4959	1179	164	35	141	439	978	104	33	26	238	313	370	683	132	268	18	8	294	95	-27	-4	-90	+21	+120	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	138	19	4	17	51	115	12	4	3	238	312	372	683	134	268	18	8	294	95	-3	-0	-10	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	8209	7308	1756	265	54	201	669	1453	159	94	57	240	318	374	691	134	273	18	8	309	95	-32	-5	-109	+25	+146	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	139	21	4	16	53	115	13	7	5	240	318	373	691	133	272	18	8	309	95	-3	-0	-10	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	8.4	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
/162	664	26	3	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	7.7	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
/162	664	21	3	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	10.2	6,775	175	44	241	312	377	+24	-33	16.8	14.3
/162	664	17	4	+2.4	-3.2	1.6	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Young (OGILVIE)	23	45	40	55	60	241/311/375	134	273	16	5	17%	7%	96	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alek Thomas 2023 · MLB	23	49→54	47→50	48→50	46	245/300/391	146	292	14	11	21%	6%	94	+0.9	238/285/374	136	286	14	11	21%	6%	84	+0.2	233/278/374	141	282	14	12	22%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Lonnie Chisenhall 2012 · MLB	23	46→56	48→55	47→45	44	234/284/374	141	274	15	3	21%	5%	84	+0.2	251/301/404	153	293	16	5	20%	6%	98	+1.2	279/336/448	169	324	15	7	18%	7%	116	+1.2
✕Daniel Descalso 2010 · AAA	23	51→55	43→50	45	47	248/300/369	121	282	9	6	16%	6%	88	+0.5	245/305/350	105	286	6	7	16%	7%	86	+0.3	233/339/396	163	287	16	4	23%	13%	107	+1.1
✕Travis Denker 2009 · MLB	23	46→52	45→50	47→45	51	227/298/357	130	274	12	5	22%	9%	86	+0.3	227/289/350	123	280	12	6	22%	7%	81	-0.1	229/306/370	141	260	15	0	18%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Blake DeWitt 2009 · MLB	23	50→55	46→50	45→40	49	249/304/380	131	283	14	5	18%	7%	93	+0.8	243/308/370	127	278	10	4	16%	8%	92	+0.7	241/307/369	128	275	9	3	15%	8%	86	+0.2
●Luis Campusano 2022 · MLB	23	46→54	48→55	49→30	46	233/293/378	145	281	16	4	23%	7%	89	+0.5	242/293/378	136	285	16	3	21%	6%	88	+0.5	257/334/422	165	298	20	1	20%	10%	111	+1.3
●Jesse Castillo 2006 · AAA	23	47→57	46→45	51→50	44	232/291/363	131	288	13	10	24%	6%	84	+0.2	260/325/346	86	320	5	6	19%	8%	93	+0.8	283/345/405	122	330	12	13	17%	8%	114	+1.9
●Dustin Ackley 2011 · AAA	23	49→56	41→50	51→50	53	231/305/345	114	273	7	9	18%	9%	85	+0.2	250/322/371	121	298	10	9	18%	10%	97	+1.1	253/327/369	116	299	10	8	18%	10%	95	+1.0
✕Matt Thaiss 2019 · AAA	24	46→50	44→50	46→45	45	229/282/353	124	281	11	7	22%	6%	78	-0.3	224/295/376	152	278	17	5	25%	9%	89	+0.5	222/303/377	155	275	18	4	25%	10%	90	+0.5
●Brendan Harris 2005 · MLB	24	44→54	47→50	49→45	47	223/286/361	138	258	15	8	20%	7%	82	+0.0	247/300/374	127	296	12	8	20%	6%	90	+0.6	266/328/398	132	323	11	4	20%	7%	104	+1.4
✕Josh Rojas 2018 · AAA	24	42→52	48→50	51→55	42	216/266/356	140	267	16	4	26%	6%	74	-0.6	228/293/362	134	278	12	23	21%	8%	85	+0.2	253/331/399	146	310	14	22	22%	10%	104	+1.5
●Alec Bohm 2020 · AA	23	48→56	49→50	46→45	49	242/298/391	149	273	16	6	18%	7%	94	+0.9	259/314/382	123	318	12	6	21%	7%	97	+1.1	271/324/416	145	301	15	4	15%	6%	106	+1.7
●Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	48→52	50→55	51→50	48	244/305/399	156	281	17	13	20%	7%	98	+1.2	219/308/375	156	260	16	11	22%	10%	95	+0.9	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	44	47→50	50→30	46	221/305/356	134	275	16	5	25%	8%	89	+0.5	218/303/357	139	268	16	5	24%	8%	89	+0.5	207/319/359	152	258	16	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4
●Jason Castro 2010 · AA	23	51→55	43→55	45→30	48	247/305/364	117	294	10	5	20%	7%	90	+0.6	234/302/338	104	284	9	4	20%	9%	83	+0.1	247/321/416	169	316	18	1	26%	9%	104	+1.2
●Alejandro Kirk 2022 · MLB	23	49→57	50	47→40	55	250/325/411	162	269	18	4	15%	9%	108	+1.9	262/342/390	128	281	14	2	12%	10%	110	+2.1	261/344/375	114	280	12	0	11%	10%	104	+1.2
✕Nick Weglarz 2011 · AAA	23	45→47	49→50	43→45	52	228/312/383	155	276	16	5	23%	10%	98	+1.2	208/296/346	138	299	14	5	33%	10%	84	+0.1	180/279/304	124	280	14	2	37%	11%	66	-0.6
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	43→41	43→50	50→40	50	212/304/325	114	273	10	7	25%	9%	82	-0.0	224/309/361	137	297	15	5	28%	8%	92	+0.7	229/300/373	144	272	16	1	22%	7%	90	+0.2
●Jesus Romo 2007 · AAA	23	46→56	45→40	46→50	48	230/293/355	125	280	13	13	23%	8%	84	+0.1	225/281/303	78	261	5	12	15%	6%	66	-1.1	293/350/363	70	340	4	8	14%	8%	103	+1.0
✕Aaron Luna 2011 · AAA	24	44→45	49→50	50→45	50	219/327/369	150	269	16	7	24%	9%	101	+1.4	230/317/367	137	291	15	9	25%	8%	97	+1.1	225/311/355	129	287	17	8	26%	7%	91	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps