Cole Young — OGILVIE

Cole Young2B Seattle Mariners

Age 23 L/R 5'10" / 180 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 0.703 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION384 act + 256 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8373vR 69

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .311 / .362

PA256

HR6

K%18

BB%8

BABIP271

ISO127

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

903.6%

xwOBA

570.317

POWER40

Barrel%

275.2

Avg EV

3888.2

Bat Spd

5772.1

EYE60

Chase%

9010.7%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 368 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

100

268

—

wRC+

112

◀◀L

wOBA

332

278

◀◀L

ISO

164

087

◀◀L

BABIP

304

253

◀◀L

19.0%

19.8%

◀L

BB%

8.0%

11.2%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.703 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.5	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$8M	+$6M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$7M	+$4M
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+1.0	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$38M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	71	63	20	1	1	3	5	12	0	4	2	317	368	508	876	190	333	17	7	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	71	60	22	1	1	2	8	8	0	4	2	367	441	517	958	150	377	11	11	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	606	522	121	26	6	11	61	115	17	22	10	232	332	368	699	136	274	19	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	606	495	137	34	9	11	88	90	17	22	10	277	403	448	852	172	315	15	15	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	483	121	23	1	13	54	103	8	23	11	251	336	383	719	133	291	19	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	469	127	25	2	9	67	87	8	23	11	271	371	390	761	119	313	16	12	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB	2 teams	—	502	439	97	19	5	7	49	81	10	5	2	221	313	335	648	114	255	16	10	288	78	-12	+0	-6	+2	+14	-0.2
2025	22	MLB	2 teams	—	502	429	104	20	6	9	59	75	10	5	2	242	347	380	727	138	274	15	12	329	110	+6	+0	-6	+2	+14	1.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	MLB	SEA	—	384	348	88	14	1	11	25	70	7	3	3	253	316	394	709	141	285	18	7	312	97	-1	-1	-0	+1	+11	1.1
YTD	23	MLB	SEA	—	384	348	88	14	1	11	25	70	7	3	3	253	316	394	709	141	285	18	7	316	100	-0	-1	-0	+1	+11	1.2
ROS	23	MLB	SEA	100%	256	229	54	9	1	6	20	47	5	3	1	236	311	362	673	127	275	18	8	308	94	-2	+0	-4	+1	+7	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	SEA	100%	256	229	54	9	1	6	20	47	5	3	1	236	311	362	673	127	273	18	8	292	82	-5	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.1
FULL	23	MLB	SEA	—	640	577	142	23	2	17	45	117	12	6	4	246	314	381	695	135	280	18	7	304	91	-7	-0	-4	+2	+18	1.0
TOT	23	MLB	SEA	—	640	577	142	23	2	17	45	117	12	6	4	246	314	381	695	135	280	18	7	311	96	-3	-0	-4	+2	+18	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SEA	82%	628	562	137	23	3	16	50	113	11	7	3	244	318	381	699	137	276	18	8	313	97	-2	+0	-9	+2	+18	0.9
2028	25	MLB	SEA	82%	629	562	137	23	3	16	51	112	11	7	3	244	319	381	700	137	276	18	8	315	99	-1	+0	-9	+2	+18	1.1
2029	26	MLB	SEA	82%	629	561	137	23	3	16	52	112	11	7	3	244	321	381	702	137	276	18	8	316	100	+0	+0	-9	+2	+18	1.1
2030	27	MLB	SEA	82%	624	556	136	23	3	16	52	111	11	7	3	245	321	383	705	138	276	18	8	316	100	+0	+0	-9	+2	+18	1.1
2031	28	MLB	SEA	82%	616	548	133	22	3	16	52	111	11	6	3	243	321	381	702	139	275	18	8	315	99	-0	+0	-10	+2	+17	1.0
2032	29	MLB	SEA	82%	604	537	130	22	3	15	51	110	11	6	3	242	321	378	699	136	275	18	8	313	98	-1	+0	-10	+2	+17	0.8
2033	30	MLB	SEA	82%	592	527	126	21	2	15	50	109	10	5	3	239	317	372	689	133	273	18	8	310	96	-3	-0	-11	+2	+17	0.5
2034	31	MLB	SEA	82%	577	513	121	20	2	14	49	108	10	4	2	236	315	365	679	129	271	19	8	306	92	-5	+0	-11	+2	+16	0.2
2035	32	MLB	SEA	82%	558	496	115	19	2	13	47	107	10	4	2	232	311	357	668	125	267	19	8	300	88	-8	+0	-12	+2	+16	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	SEA	82%	515	460	111	19	2	13	41	93	9	6	3	241	316	376	692	135	274	18	8	297	85	-9	+0	-8	+2	+15	0.0
2028	25	MLB	SEA	82%	516	460	111	19	2	13	42	92	9	6	3	241	317	376	693	135	274	18	8	299	87	-8	+0	-8	+2	+15	0.1
2029	26	MLB	SEA	82%	516	460	111	19	2	13	42	92	9	6	3	241	317	376	693	135	274	18	8	300	88	-7	+0	-8	+2	+15	0.2
2030	27	MLB	SEA	82%	512	455	109	18	2	13	43	91	9	6	3	240	318	374	691	134	273	18	8	300	88	-7	+0	-8	+2	+15	0.2
2031	28	MLB	SEA	82%	505	449	108	18	2	13	42	91	9	5	3	241	318	376	694	136	273	18	8	299	87	-7	-0	-8	+2	+14	0.0
2032	29	MLB	SEA	82%	495	441	105	18	2	12	42	90	9	5	2	238	317	370	687	132	272	18	8	297	86	-8	+0	-9	+2	+14	-0.1
2033	30	MLB	SEA	82%	485	433	103	17	2	12	41	89	8	4	2	238	315	370	685	132	271	18	8	294	84	-9	+0	-9	+2	+14	-0.3
2034	31	MLB	SEA	82%	473	422	98	16	2	11	40	89	8	4	2	232	311	358	668	126	268	19	8	290	80	-11	+0	-9	+2	+13	-0.5
2035	32	MLB	SEA	82%	458	408	93	15	2	10	39	88	8	3	1	228	308	348	656	120	264	19	9	284	76	-13	+0	-10	+2	+13	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4988	4440	1050	175	20	120	420	909	85	49	23	236	314	366	680	130	271	18	8	295	84	-91	+1	-85	+19	+141	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	138	23	3	16	55	118	11	6	3	238	316	371	688	133	272	18	8	295	84	-12	+0	-11	+2	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	7444	6598	1585	274	38	177	643	1351	136	110	51	240	320	374	694	134	275	18	9	310	96	-36	+2	-101	+27	+211	10.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	138	24	3	15	56	118	12	10	4	240	320	370	690	130	275	18	9	310	96	-3	+0	-9	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	45	39	15	0	0	2	4	4	0	1	2	385	442	538	980	154	371	9	9	416	176	+4	-1	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	26	21	7	1	1	0	4	4	0	3	0	333	440	476	916	143	389	15	15	393	159	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	230	192	56	14	2	6	34	38	3	5	5	292	406	479	885	188	336	17	15	393	159	+15	-1	—	—	+7	2.1
2023	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	376	303	81	20	7	5	54	52	14	17	5	267	402	429	831	162	303	14	14	372	142	+18	+1	—	—	+11	3.1
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	469	127	25	2	9	67	87	8	23	11	271	371	390	761	119	313	16	12	342	120	+13	+0	—	—	+16	2.9
2025	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	257	223	47	7	1	4	28	47	2	1	0	211	304	305	609	94	247	18	11	279	71	-8	+0	-6	+2	+7	-0.5
2025	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	245	206	57	13	5	5	31	28	8	4	2	277	392	461	853	184	301	11	13	381	150	+14	+0	—	—	+7	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	257	223	47	7	1	4	28	47	2	1	0	211	304	305	609	94	247	18	11	279	71	-8	+0	-6	+2	+7	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,753	140	56	240	314	373	+21	-27	14.7	12.8
	/162	664	16	6	240	314	373	+2.4	-3.2	1.7	pk7: 11
#3Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Yangervis Solartelast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,645 PA	6	2,645	75	6	258	315	408	+9	+3	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	19	2	258	315	408	+2.4	+0.7	2.4	pk7: 9
#5Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Young (OGILVIE)	23	45	40	55	60	246/314/381	135	280	17	6	18%	7%	96	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alek Thomas 2023 · MLB	23	48→51	47→50	48→50	46	241/296/385	145	289	14	11	22%	7%	90	+1.0	235/282/369	134	285	13	11	22%	5%	80	+0.4	234/278/362	128	287	13	11	23%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Travis Denker 2009 · MLB	23	46→51	45→50	47→45	51	226/297/356	130	274	12	5	22%	9%	84	+0.6	227/289/355	128	280	13	6	23%	7%	79	+0.3	227/302/380	153	255	18	0	19%	8%	92	+0.6
●Dustin Ackley 2011 · AAA	23	48→58	42→50	51→50	53	227/302/344	117	269	7	9	18%	9%	82	+0.5	253/325/377	124	301	10	9	18%	10%	100	+1.7	258/331/377	119	305	10	8	18%	10%	98	+1.7
●Jesse Castillo 2006 · AAA	23	46→56	46→45	51→50	43	231/283/365	134	285	14	10	24%	6%	80	+0.4	260/323/349	89	319	5	6	19%	8%	92	+1.2	272/333/394	122	321	13	13	18%	8%	107	+1.8
✕Daniel Descalso 2010 · AAA	23	51→55	44→50	45	47	248/300/372	125	283	10	6	16%	6%	89	+0.9	247/307/352	105	289	6	7	16%	7%	86	+0.8	228/334/386	157	282	15	4	23%	13%	103	+1.2
✕Blake DeWitt 2009 · MLB	23	50→55	46→50	45→40	49	249/304/381	132	283	14	5	18%	7%	92	+1.2	243/307/370	127	278	10	4	16%	8%	91	+1.1	241/307/369	128	275	9	3	15%	8%	84	+0.4
●J.P. Crawford 2018 · MLB	23	43→53	42→45	46→50	53	211/285/315	105	253	9	8	20%	9%	68	-0.5	220/302/342	122	280	10	9	23%	10%	82	+0.5	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Nick Franklin 2014 · MLB	23	49→50	47→50	53→50	48	241/305/383	142	301	14	12	24%	8%	93	+1.3	226/288/362	136	285	15	13	25%	8%	81	+0.4	217/276/346	129	271	14	14	25%	7%	70	-0.3
●Jason Castro 2010 · AA	23	50→54	44→50	45→30	48	246/305/366	119	295	11	5	20%	7%	89	+0.9	232/300/333	101	284	9	4	20%	9%	79	+0.3	243/317/402	159	312	17	1	26%	9%	100	+1.2
✕Taylor Lindsey 2015 · AAA	23	45→52	46→50	45	45	227/270/353	126	256	14	6	18%	5%	71	-0.3	196/251/312	116	240	12	7	23%	7%	53	-1.5	174/234/286	112	216	12	5	25%	7%	36	-1.7
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	49→55	44→50	53→50	47	236/295/364	127	291	10	13	22%	7%	84	+0.6	253/314/393	140	315	12	14	22%	8%	99	+1.7	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Greg Garcia 2013 · AA	23	51→54	40	46→50	50	242/317/339	97	301	7	9	21%	8%	87	+0.8	238/311/330	92	308	6	12	23%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Matt Thaiss 2019 · AAA	24	46→50	45→55	46→45	45	227/279/354	127	279	12	7	23%	6%	75	-0.0	224/293/384	160	275	19	5	25%	9%	89	+1.0	224/303/389	165	274	20	4	25%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Josh Rojas 2018 · AAA	24	42→52	47→50	51→55	43	213/264/345	132	262	15	4	25%	6%	66	-0.6	224/288/357	133	276	12	23	22%	8%	80	+0.4	250/329/393	142	309	13	22	22%	10%	102	+1.8
●Luis Campusano 2022 · MLB	23	46→56	49→50	49→30	45	232/292/380	148	281	17	4	24%	7%	88	+0.9	238/289/372	134	282	16	3	21%	6%	84	+0.6	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
●Jesus Romo 2007 · AAA	23	46→56	46→40	46→50	46	228/285/355	127	277	13	13	23%	7%	78	+0.2	225/279/305	80	260	6	12	15%	6%	62	-0.9	289/346/364	74	339	5	8	15%	7%	102	+1.2
●Brendan Harris 2005 · MLB	24	44→54	47→50	49→45	47	223/286/361	138	259	15	8	20%	7%	80	+0.4	248/300/377	129	296	13	8	20%	6%	90	+1.0	267/329/402	135	323	11	4	20%	7%	106	+1.8
●Lonnie Chisenhall 2012 · MLB	23	46→56	49→55	47→45	43	234/283/381	147	274	16	3	22%	5%	84	+0.6	252/301/406	154	295	17	5	20%	6%	98	+1.6	264/318/425	161	306	17	4	19%	6%	107	+1.6
✕Caleb Gindl 2012 · AAA	23	51→55	45→50	45→50	50	250/313/375	124	303	12	9	21%	8%	95	+1.4	228/283/359	131	288	13	5	24%	7%	78	+0.2	244/288/382	138	296	13	1	22%	6%	83	+0.3
●Bryson Stott 2023 · MLB	25	48→56	46→45	50→55	48	236/298/365	128	293	13	13	24%	8%	85	+0.7	252/314/378	126	291	13	25	17%	8%	96	+1.5	254/320/377	123	288	13	29	16%	8%	95	+1.4