Juan Carlos Gamboa

PosSS

B/TL/R

Born1991-04-18

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	32	INTLMexico	242	.184/.287/.285	5	2	64	—
2024	33	INTLYaquis de Obr…	189	.250/.371/.385	4	2	117	—
2025	34	INTLMexico Rojo	148	.262/.359/.397	3	4	113	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	19	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	256	221	65	11	4	0	34	31	0	16	7	294	388	380	768	86	342	12	13	350	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	44	38	6	0	0	0	4	8	0	1	2	158	238	158	396		194	18	9	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	57	49	13	4	0	2	3	11	0	1	0	265	308	469	777	204	297	19	5	311	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	148	131	38	8	0	3	15	30	0	4	2	290	363	420	783	130	350	20	10	347	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	176	153	36	9	0	6	17	39	2	1	1	235	320	412	732	176	278	22	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	78	63	17	5	0	2	13	16	0	2	0	270	395	444	839	175	326	21	17	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	90	74	21	2	0	2	11	14	1	0	1	284	384	392	776	108	322	16	12	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	356	307	94	22	4	7	38	56	4	6	6	306	390	472	862	166	352	16	11	376	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	256	218	55	9	0	6	30	43	0	3	1	252	343	376	719	124	290	17	12	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	304	259	84	20	0	6	33	45	4	4	7	324	407	471	878	147	366	15	11	384	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	243	212	42	8	1	4	28	38	2	4	1	198	298	302	599	104	224	16	12	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	337	299	96	17	1	9	27	60	4	2	3	321	385	475	860	154	373	18	8	375	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	230	202	50	7	0	1	20	47	0	6	2	248	315	297	612	50	318	20	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	101	85	28	6	0	2	14	15	1	3	1	329	430	471	901	141	377	15	14	401	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	186	165	42	4	2	5	19	40	2	1	2	255	339	394	733	139	308	22	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	260	217	52	7	0	7	36	47	2	7	1	240	353	369	722	129	271	18	14	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	398	333	115	22	0	11	54	71	4	4	4	345	442	511	953	165	406	18	14	417	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	INTL	Mexico	—	233	202	40	4	0	3	21	55	3	4	4	198	283	262	546	64	253	24	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL	Mexico	—	186	154	42	7	0	3	29	21	1	3	5	273	391	377	768	104	295	11	16	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	167	139	29	6	0	3	23	31	1	2	1	209	325	317	642	108	248	19	14	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	229	192	40	9	0	0	26	57	0	5	2	208	303	255	558	47	284	25	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL	Mexico	—	242	207	38	6	0	5	26	47	4	2	1	184	287	285	572	101	213	19	11	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	189	156	39	9	0	4	27	36	3	2	0	250	371	385	756	135	302	19	14	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	148	126	33	4	2	3	19	21	0	4	1	262	359	397	755	135	291	14	13	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	256	232	44	7	2	0	23	38	0	16	7	190	263	237	500	47	229	15	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	57	50	12	3	0	1	2	13	0	1	0	240	269	360	629	120	269	23	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	ROK MLE	Kingsport Mets	—	148	136	30	6	0	2	10	43	0	4	2	221	274	309	583	88	297	29	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	356	321	83	17	3	4	24	72	4	6	6	259	318	368	686	109	314	20	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	304	275	77	16	0	4	18	60	4	4	7	280	333	382	715	102	330	20	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	337	310	82	12	1	5	16	81	4	2	3	265	309	358	667	94	331	24	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	101	90	25	5	0	1	9	19	1	3	1	278	350	367	717	89	327	19	9	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	398	354	93	15	0	7	33	98	4	4	4	263	332	364	697	102	329	25	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	300	270	52	8	3	0	27	44	0	17	9	193	266	244	510	52	229	15	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	300	259	71	11	4	0	38	39	0	17	9	274	367	347	714	73	321	13	13	326	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	381	346	80	17	0	7	22	104	2	6	3	231	281	341	622	110	307	27	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	381	333	87	21	0	11	35	80	2	6	3	261	335	423	759	162	310	21	9	329	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	78	63	17	5	0	2	13	16	0	2	0	270	395	444	839	175	326	21	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	78	63	17	5	0	2	13	16	0	2	0	270	395	444	839	175	326	21	17	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	90	74	21	2	0	2	11	14	1	0	1	284	384	392	776	108	322	16	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	90	74	21	2	0	2	11	14	1	0	1	284	384	392	776	108	322	16	12	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	612	551	145	29	6	8	42	124	4	9	7	263	320	381	701	118	325	20	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	612	525	149	31	4	13	68	99	4	9	7	284	370	432	803	149	327	16	11	351	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	547	501	140	29	0	8	32	108	6	8	8	279	330	385	715	106	338	20	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	547	471	126	28	1	10	61	83	6	8	8	268	358	395	753	127	303	15	11	337	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	522	139	21	1	9	26	136	4	8	5	266	306	362	668	96	342	24	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	567	501	146	24	1	10	47	107	4	8	5	291	357	403	760	112	351	19	8	334	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	287	257	71	13	0	4	26	53	3	4	3	276	350	374	723	97	333	18	9	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	287	250	70	10	2	7	33	55	3	4	3	280	371	420	791	140	333	19	11	355	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	260	217	52	7	0	7	36	47	2	7	1	240	353	369	722	129	271	18	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	260	217	52	7	0	7	36	47	2	7	1	240	353	369	722	129	271	18	14	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	631	558	147	23	0	11	52	155	7	8	8	263	334	364	698	100	341	25	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	631	535	155	26	0	14	75	126	7	8	8	290	384	417	801	127	351	20	12	355	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	186	154	42	7	0	3	29	21	1	3	5	273	391	377	768	104	295	11	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	186	154	42	7	0	3	29	21	1	3	5	273	391	377	768	104	295	11	16	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	167	139	29	6	0	3	23	31	1	2	1	209	325	317	642	108	248	19	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	167	139	29	6	0	3	23	31	1	2	1	209	325	317	642	108	248	19	14	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	229	192	40	9	0	0	26	57	0	5	2	208	303	255	558	47	284	25	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	229	192	40	9	0	0	26	57	0	5	2	208	303	255	558	47	284	25	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	242	207	38	6	0	5	26	47	4	2	1	184	287	285	572	101	213	19	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	242	207	38	6	0	5	26	47	4	2	1	184	287	285	572	101	213	19	11	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	189	156	39	9	0	4	27	36	3	2	0	250	371	385	756	135	302	19	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	189	156	39	9	0	4	27	36	3	2	0	250	371	385	756	135	302	19	14	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL MLE	Mexico Rojo	—	148	126	33	4	2	3	19	21	0	4	1	262	359	397	755	135	291	14	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL RAW	Mexico Rojo	—	148	126	33	4	2	3	19	21	0	4	1	262	359	397	755	135	291	14	13	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	300	270	52	8	3	0	27	44	0	17	9	193	266	244	510	52	229	15	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	381	354	80	17	0	7	22	104	2	6	3	226	281	333	614	107	289	27	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	612	561	145	29	6	8	42	124	4	9	7	258	320	374	694	116	314	20	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	547	504	140	29	0	8	32	108	6	8	8	278	330	383	713	105	330	20	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	567	532	139	21	1	9	26	136	4	8	5	261	306	355	661	94	331	24	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	287	256	71	13	0	4	26	53	3	4	3	277	350	375	725	98	327	18	9	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	631	567	147	23	0	11	52	155	7	8	8	259	334	358	692	99	329	25	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4914	4333	1085	195	12	76	437	1014	38	87	55	250	324	354	678	103	308	21	9	202	23	-452	-5	+0	+53	+106	-30.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	144	26	2	10	58	134	5	12	7	251	325	356	681	105	309	21	9	202	23	-60	-0	+0	+7	+14	-4.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 398 PAwOBA .409 → .309 (−100)K% 17.8% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.84%	÷0.871	×1.200	—	—	24.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.56%	÷1.035	×0.690	—	×0.992	8.30%
HBP% /PA	1.01%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.94%
Singles /BIP	31.30%	÷1.013	×0.930	×0.950	×0.992	27.08%
Doubles /BIP	8.40%	÷1.185	×0.830	×0.950	×0.992	5.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.20%	÷1.116	×0.700	—	×0.992	2.61%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 74, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .409 → .309; ISO .165 → .106; BABIP .406 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 101 PAwOBA .392 → .324 (−67)K% 14.9% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.85%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	18.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.87%	÷1.003	×0.690	—	×1.018	9.01%
HBP% /PA	0.99%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.95%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.036	×0.930	×1.004	×1.018	26.22%
Doubles /BIP	8.57%	÷1.143	×0.830	×1.004	×1.018	6.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.093	×0.920	×1.004	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.86%	÷1.080	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.89%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 107, 2B 129, 3B 119, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .392 → .324; ISO .141 → .102; BABIP .377 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 337 PAwOBA .363 → .297 (−66)K% 17.8% → 23.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.80%	÷0.894	×1.200	—	—	23.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.53%	÷1.001	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.65%
HBP% /PA	1.19%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.15%
Singles /BIP	28.87%	÷1.027	×0.930	×1.008	×1.033	27.22%
Doubles /BIP	7.11%	÷1.188	×0.830	×1.008	×1.033	5.18%
Triples /BIP	0.42%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.008	×1.033	0.35%
Home runs /BIP	3.77%	÷1.183	×0.700	—	×1.033	2.30%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 105, 2B 138, 3B 130, K 79, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .363 → .297; ISO .154 → .101; BABIP .373 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 304 PAwOBA .377 → .320 (−57)K% 14.8% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.80%	÷0.900	×1.200	—	—	19.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.87%	÷1.204	×0.690	—	×1.048	5.93%
HBP% /PA	1.32%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.30%
Singles /BIP	27.10%	÷1.045	×0.930	×1.017	×1.048	25.70%
Doubles /BIP	9.35%	÷1.122	×0.830	×1.017	×1.048	7.37%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.123	×0.920	×1.017	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.80%	÷1.043	×0.700	—	×1.048	1.97%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 109, 2B 124, 3B 125, K 80, BB 141 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .377 → .320; ISO .147 → .114; BABIP .366 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 356 PAwOBA .365 → .308 (−57)K% 15.7% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.73%	÷0.931	×1.200	—	—	20.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.27%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×1.050	6.77%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.11%
Singles /BIP	24.30%	÷1.039	×0.930	×1.018	×1.050	23.24%
Doubles /BIP	8.76%	÷1.183	×0.830	×1.018	×1.050	6.57%
Triples /BIP	1.59%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.018	×1.050	1.36%
Home runs /BIP	2.79%	÷1.180	×0.700	—	×1.050	1.74%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 108, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .365 → .308; ISO .166 → .121; BABIP .352 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 ROKKingsport Mets · 148 PAwOBA .343 → .262 (−81)K% 20.3% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.27%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	28.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.14%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.995	6.45%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.740	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.73%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.050	×0.995	23.46%
Doubles /BIP	7.92%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.050	×0.995	6.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.050	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.97%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.995	2.36%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .343 → .262; ISO .130 → .097; BABIP .350 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 57 PAwOBA .307 → .274 (−33)K% 19.3% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.30%	÷0.990	×1.200	—	—	23.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.003	×0.690	—	×1.050	3.80%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.42%	÷1.023	×0.930	×1.050	×1.050	18.45%
Doubles /BIP	10.53%	÷1.180	×0.830	×1.050	×1.050	8.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.104	×0.700	—	×1.050	3.50%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 136, 3B 130, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .307 → .274; ISO .204 → .158; BABIP .297 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 DSLDSL Mets 1 · 256 PAwOBA .340 → .233 (−107)K% 12.1% → 14.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.11%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	14.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.89%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	8.98%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.32%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.018	×0.995	18.13%
Doubles /BIP	5.79%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.018	×0.995	3.52%
Triples /BIP	2.11%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.018	×0.995	1.28%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .340 → .233; ISO .086 → .054; BABIP .342 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .